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 Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4) 
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Updated:

1 WRECK-IT RALPH $13,415,000

2 FLIGHT $8,172,000

3 THE MAN WITH THE IRON FISTS $3,000,000

4 ARGO $2,985,000

5 TAKEN 2 $1,800,000

6 CLOUD ATLAS $1,500,000

7 PARANORMAL ACTIVITY 4 $1,442,000

8 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA $1,100,000

9 SILENT HILL: REVELATION 3D $1,100,000

10 HERE COMES THE BOOM $1,000,000

- FUN SIZE $652,000

- CHASING MAVERICKS $365,000

- THE SESSIONS $121,000

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/


Earlier:

Per Deadline.com

Wreck-It Ralph - $13 million/ $48-50 million OW
Flight - $6 million/ $14-17 million OW
The Man with Iron Fists - $2-4 million/ $6-10 million OW


Last edited by i.hope on Sat Nov 03, 2012 9:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Fri Nov 02, 2012 7:16 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Sounds about right, although Flight's heavily adult audience would mean a $6M opening day is probs more like $18M for the weekend.


Fri Nov 02, 2012 7:46 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
If FLIGHT has the same multiplier as ARGO it's closer to $20m...

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Fri Nov 02, 2012 8:17 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Update:

WIR:$14m/$51m
Flight:$8m/$21m
TMWIF:$3.5m/$8.5m

http://www.deadline.com/2012/11/first-box-office-wreck-it-ralph-flexes-wide-1-with-48m-50m-weekend-flight-takes-off-in-12-as-many-theaters-with-14m-17m-the-man-with-the-iron-fists-6m-10m/


Fri Nov 02, 2012 8:36 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)


Ooh, that'd be very good for Flight.


Fri Nov 02, 2012 8:40 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
That would be good for Ralph and AMAZING for Flight.


Fri Nov 02, 2012 9:39 pm
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Ocarina of Time
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Go Ralph!

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Fri Nov 02, 2012 9:54 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Beautiful numbers for all three films. Keeps up the tradition of smashing November kick-offs.

Ralph will hold up very well the next two weekends too. Probably as sub 25% drop next weekend.

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Fri Nov 02, 2012 10:27 pm
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now we know
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
I wonder how TE2 is doing.

Great for Ralph. Looks like my prediction is dead on.

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Fri Nov 02, 2012 10:29 pm
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The Incredible Hulk

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
That is great for Flight. With great reviews and Denzel I knew it would open big. Makes you wonder how much more it would have made with a bigger theater count.


Fri Nov 02, 2012 10:51 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Algren wrote:
I wonder how TE2 is doing.

It's looking to possibly break into the TOP 300 12th weekends of all time. Very impressive. :thumbsup:

Actually surprised Flight is doing so well for it being a straight drama. Denzel is on another hot streak with Book of Eli, Unstoppable, Safe House, and now Flight.


Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:00 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Here the Top 10 from Nikki

1. Wreck-It Ralph (Disney) NEW [Runs 3,752] PG
Friday $13.5M, Weekend $50.0M

2. Flight (Paramount) NEW [Runs 1,900] R
Friday $8.0M, Weekend $23M

4. The Man With The Iron Fists (Universal) NEW [Runs 1,868] R
Friday $3.0M, Weekend $8.5M

3. Argo (Warner Bros) Week 4 [Runs 2,774] R
Friday $2.8M, Weekend $8.9M, Cume $75.0M

5. Taken 2 (Fox) Week 5 [Runs 2,639] PG13
Friday $1.7M, Weekend $5.5M, Cume $125.2M

6. Cloud Atlas (Warner Bros) Week 2 [Runs 2,013] R
Friday $1.5M (-56%), Weekend $4.5M, Cume $17.5M

7. Paranormal Activity (Paramount) Week 3 [Runs 3,006] R
Friday $1.5M, Weekend $4.5M, Cume $52.3M

8. Hotel Transylvania (Sony) Week 6 [Runs 2,922] PG
Friday $1.1M, Weekend $5.0M, Cume $138.3M

9. Here Comes The Boom (Sony) Week 4 [Runs 2,314] PG
Friday $1.0M, Weekend $3.3M, Cume $35.2M

10. Silent Hill: Revelation (Open Road) Week 2 [Runs 2,933] R
Friday $1.0M (-70%), Weekend $3.1M, Cume $13.9M


Sat Nov 03, 2012 3:46 am
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The Incredible Hulk

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Wow at Flight. Great weekend. Even for MWIF.


Sat Nov 03, 2012 3:55 am
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Pure Phase
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Box Office Mojo is buggy as fuck right now.

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Sat Nov 03, 2012 10:03 am
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Official estimates:

Ralph:$13.415m
Argo: $2.985m
Cloud Atlas: $1.5m


Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:41 am
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
BOM's having it's once-per-fortnight technical fuck up. They need to get their act together or shut down altogether.

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Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:03 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
BOM Friday:

1 WRECK-IT RALPH 13.42 13.42 (new; $3,575 PTA from 3,752 theaters)
2 FLIGHT 8.17 8.17 (new; $4,338 PTA from 1,884 theaters)
3 THE MAN WITH THE IRON FISTS 3.00 3.00 (new; $1,606 PTA from 1,868 theaters)
4 ARGO 2.99 68.64 (-24%)
5 TAKEN 2 1.80 121.47 (-30%)
6 CLOUD ATLAS 1.50 14.51 (-56%)
7 PARANORMAL ACTIVITY 4 1.44 46.72 (-54%)
8 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 1.10 134.17 (-57%)
9 SILENT HILL: REVELATION 1.10 11.70 (-69%)
10 HERE COMES THE BOOM 1.00 32.97 (-37%)

N/A FUN SIZE 0.65 5.81 (-51%)
N/A CHASING MAVERICKS 0.37 3.50 (-56%)
N/A THE SESSIONS 0.12 0.60 (+284%; $1,754 PTA from 69 theaters)

http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -02&p=.htm


Last edited by Libs on Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:49 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Excellent opening days for Wreck-It Ralph and Flight. Weekends should reach the neighborhood of $50M and $25M, respectively.

Man with the Iron Fists even made a bit of an impact, although it will likely be frontloaded.

Another gravity-defying hold for Argo considering the direct competition from Flight.


Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:51 pm
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
ERC's $21 million guesstimate seems way too conservative for Flight. It would have to stay flat on Saturday for that to happen, which I highly doubt. It's in for a pretty great weekend.


Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:55 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Pretty darn good for Fists. It will top The Warrior's Way's total in its first 3 days.


Sat Nov 03, 2012 1:10 pm
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College Boy T

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Post Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
MG Casey wrote:
Algren wrote:
I wonder how TE2 is doing.

It's looking to possibly break into the TOP 300 12th weekends of all time. Very impressive. :thumbsup:

Actually surprised Flight is doing so well for it being a straight drama. Denzel is on another hot streak with Book of Eli, Unstoppable, Safe House, and now Flight.

:funny:


Sat Nov 03, 2012 1:42 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Flight is the real winner of this weekend and though Ralph did good it is in the expected category IMO. I don't think it is an amazing number given the empty market, but then again we don't know how much impact did Sandy has on its opening weekend.


Sat Nov 03, 2012 10:59 pm
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Post Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Sandy would have affected Ralph's weekend more than Flight's because parents are more caring over their children than adults are over themselves. Other than that, though, kids have just been given Hotel Transylvania, so they have been catered for recently, and for Ralph to still make a great opening day is testament to its popularity.

As Jack Sparrow said, Flight is the true winner here, though, because it's making a normal Denzel opening in terms of gross, but it's doing it on a theater count of 50%.

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Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:20 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Actually kids are the most under-served this time cause HT is a September movie and I don't think Frankenweenie made any impact at BO even that was the first week of October.


Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:29 pm
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Pure Phase
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Post Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
It is grating to see BoxOffice.com describe The Man with the Iron Fists' opening as quote-unquote in the neighborhood of Ninja Assassin and The Warrior's Way when in fact it is well lower than the former and notably stronger than the latter.

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Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:30 pm
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