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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I'm agreeing on both sides here. $40-50 million opening weekend? WHY?! It's not a blockbuster type movie, it's not a frontloaded movie. The most I see this make in the weekend is $30 million. But, I do see this crossing $100 million. Comparing this to Riddick doesn't make too much sense to me.
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| Sun Dec 12, 2004 12:42 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: I'm agreeing on both sides here. $40-50 million opening weekend? WHY?! It's not a blockbuster type movie, it's not a frontloaded movie. The most I see this make in the weekend is $30 million. But, I do see this crossing $100 million. Comparing this to Riddick doesn't make too much sense to me. I meant just numbers-wise. An Opening weekend of around $24-27 million, somewhat better legs and a total of around $65-70 million. Maybe Tomb Raider 2 is a better comparison. However, I expect Mr. and Mrs. Smith to open somewhat better than TR2. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Dec 12, 2004 1:01 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Im curious on where the 40 million dollar opening figures came from. Do you mean to tell me that the movie will almost be in par with Troy's opening. The better comparison for this movie would probably be Stepford Wives with the exact same opening and ending gross
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| Sun Dec 12, 2004 1:47 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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20/65. Which is either a bomb or underperforming depending on budget etc which I have no idea whta it will cost.
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| Sun Dec 12, 2004 7:23 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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The budget is estimated at $100 million.
_________________
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| Sun Dec 12, 2004 7:32 pm |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am
Posts: 13299
Location: Vienna
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Opening: $35 Mio.
Final: $112 Mio.
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| Sun Feb 20, 2005 8:56 am |
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Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
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OPENING PREDICTIONS
nebs -- $18m
newfoundglorysp - 19m
Archie Gates - 20m
libs - $20M-25m
lecter - $23.5 m
zing - $27.0 m
bj - 28m
Riggs27- $35m
hans - 36m
roguecommander - $37 m
matatonio - $38M
zach - 37m
sako - 43m
algren - $48m
tombraider17 - 51m
TOTAL
nebs -- $55 m
newfoundglorysp - 60m
Archie Gates - 65m
lecter - $66 m
roguecommander - $91m
sako - 95-103m
bj - 102m
libs - 105-115m
zing - $108.0 m
hans - 109 m
Riggs27 - $112m
zach - 105m
matatonio - $125M
algren - $141m
tombraider17 - 150m
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Last edited by Bodrul on Sun Feb 20, 2005 4:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Feb 20, 2005 9:35 am |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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Revised:
37m/105m.
I am still confident in a 100m+ gross. I think this one will suprise, so long as it delivers plenty of action...
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| Sun Feb 20, 2005 3:36 pm |
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Impact
Kiera Knightly is my lady!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
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Peer presure on BOM
I changed my predict from 25/80 to 32/105
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Isn't it ironic that Hollywood mocks Gibson for drunk driving yet praises Polanski who molested a child? Or praises Edward Kenedy who killed someone while drunk driving?
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:14 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Angeline Jolie will always be BO poison.
27 million/ 72 million
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:23 pm |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am
Posts: 5578
Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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the weekend it is opening is the only red flag for me. otherwise it would easily top $50 million. action, comedy, great trailer, plus two hot stars.. there's just no reason why it wouldn't. except that is is opening in June...
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 5:06 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19391
Location: San Diego
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38/108.
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 6:04 pm |
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Andrew
Lover of Bacon
Joined: Sat Jan 01, 2005 7:05 pm
Posts: 4197
Location: Sherwood Forest, UK
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I'm really looking forward to this one, looks like mindless fun.
35/100
_________________
... and there's something about this city today, like all the colours conspired to overwhelm the grey...
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 6:10 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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It looks too "small-scale" to open over 30 million.
Mr. and Mrs. Smith
Opening:
Maximum - $32.0 mil
Minimum - $18.5 mil
My Prediction - $23.6 mil
Total:
Maximum - $104.0 mil
Minimum - $52.0 mil
My Prediction - $72.5 mil
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 6:26 pm |
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rtms
Angels & Demons
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:08 pm
Posts: 227
Location: Canada
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30 MIL Opening
100 mil max
I think it will be the only one of the group on June 10 to have staying power, given Batman and the rest of them opening later.
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| Mon Mar 14, 2005 12:22 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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New Prediction:
Opening: $25.7 million
Domestic Total: $103.0 million
_________________
See above.
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| Mon Mar 14, 2005 12:46 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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I'm wondering if we are going to see another Proof of Life-ish situation from Mr. and Mrs. Smith. Goodness knows the (at the time) rumored romance behind Russell Crowe and Meg Ryan didn't help that movie.
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| Mon Mar 14, 2005 4:50 pm |
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teenman
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:10 pm
Posts: 510
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Early prediction:
Open-- $34m
Close-- $170m
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| Mon Mar 14, 2005 4:54 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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want2write wrote: Early prediction:
Open-- $34m
Close-- $170m Those are some pretty incredible legs! A 5.0 multiplier? Not likely.
_________________
See above.
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| Mon Mar 14, 2005 4:58 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Libs wrote: I'm wondering if we are going to see another Proof of Life-ish situation from Mr. and Mrs. Smith. Goodness knows the (at the time) rumored romance behind Russell Crowe and Meg Ryan didn't help that movie. I don't think it'll follow that. That was more of a drama-action type of movie, while this is more of a fun, action comedy with two bigger stars and a great release date.
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| Mon Mar 14, 2005 5:25 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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It all depends on how much marketing they put into this. I think the concept is brilliant, and though I don't know if it will strike the same chords with everyone else, this oculd draw in neglected demos if marketed correctly. If they market it as just an average action movie, than hope is lost for it.
But I'm optimistic.
42/136
Ocean's Eleven -esque opening, but worse legs.
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| Mon Mar 14, 2005 6:34 pm |
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teenman
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:10 pm
Posts: 510
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insomniacdude wrote: It all depends on how much marketing they put into this. I think the concept is brilliant, and though I don't know if it will strike the same chords with everyone else, this oculd draw in neglected demos if marketed correctly. If they market it as just an average action movie, than hope is lost for it.
But I'm optimistic.
42/136
Ocean's Eleven -esque opening, but worse legs. How is 3.23 multiplier bad? :???: I don't see anything wrong with that. Not great, but not disappointing very likely.
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| Tue Mar 15, 2005 1:36 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The full trailer is very effective. I think this has the potential to be huge.
Opening: $40 million
Total: $128 million
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| Thu May 05, 2005 9:47 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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I taste that poison thats coming out of Jolie.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu May 05, 2005 10:05 pm |
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Neostorm
All Star Poster
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 2:48 pm
Posts: 4684
Location: Toronto
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Opening: $60 Million
Total: $180 Million.
Huge feeling it will do really well.
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| Thu May 05, 2005 10:11 pm |
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