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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Heh, I'm just teasing, though it was quite ironic.
That's exactly what it's designed for, so players can manage the estimates as a community and get instant feedback on how they did compared to others, etc. Happy to see it being used!
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Sat Jan 14, 2012 1:08 pm |
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almost famous
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Aug 19, 2006 5:09 pm Posts: 1461 Location: Odessa, Ukraine
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Still don't have full Friday numbers but Alvin should obviously be higher. Taking into account 5.4 boxoffice estimates it should be at least 7.1-7.2. On the other hand MI4 and Joyful Noice projections look overestimated.
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Sat Jan 14, 2012 1:17 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
almost famous wrote: Still don't have full Friday numbers but Alvin should obviously be higher. Taking into account 5.4 boxoffice estimates it should be at least 7.1-7.2. On the other hand MI4 and Joyful Noice projections look overestimated. Yep, BOM's estimate for Alvin is higher than what Nikki was looking at (since it was outside her top 100. A $1.165 million Friday should be good for at least a $6.8 million 4-day. Fixed the rest based on BOM estimates, until ERC posts their weekend estimates.
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Sat Jan 14, 2012 1:19 pm |
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almost famous
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Aug 19, 2006 5:09 pm Posts: 1461 Location: Odessa, Ukraine
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
The new winner is MG Casey. Congratulations!
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Tue Jan 17, 2012 5:27 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
almost famous wrote: The new winner is MG Casey. Congratulations! Ha, this is about the first time ever I've gotten a 4-day weekend prediction right. Thanks, almost famous! You did pretty awesome, yourself!  If it hadn't been for Dragon Tattoo, you would have one easily!
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Tue Jan 17, 2012 5:31 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I think it was Proud Ryu who suggested the Relative Score, and I really, really love it. I was looking today, and I think it's going to be such a cool metric to tracking who does the best while excluding missing weeks.
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Tue Jan 17, 2012 5:50 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Eagle wrote: I think it was Proud Ryu who suggested the Relative Score, and I really, really love it. I was looking today, and I think it's going to be such a cool metric to tracking who does the best while excluding missing weeks. Yeah...that's a nice tool to measure players' relative strength. It'd be great if the formula for calculating the Relative Score is provided alongside the score table.
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Tue Jan 17, 2012 6:21 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
It's currently in the How To Play section, not sure where I could put it by the score table, maybe work a link in somewhere. It's a really simple formula: Your score - Average for Week. That's your relative score for the week, then it just sums your relative score for all weeks in the quarter, year, etc where you played.
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Tue Jan 17, 2012 7:00 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Oooh that is cool. Very nice addition!
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Tue Jan 17, 2012 7:03 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I think the example in the How to Play section does a pretty good job at showing how well it does providing a reasonable metric to see how you're doing.
First off, you can just glance and immediately tell if you're above or below average by virtue of a positive or negative score. From there, you can quickly rank yourself vs. other players, even if you've missed a week. The missing component is games played, which we don't show currently due to space constraints. We could always remove the relative scores for openers / holdovers on the year / quarter charts and make room for additional info like games played, etc.
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Tue Jan 17, 2012 7:16 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats, Casey!
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Wed Jan 18, 2012 1:48 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats on win and the strong early lead for the quarter Casey 
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Wed Jan 18, 2012 12:07 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Scottie moves to the top - congrats.
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Mon Jan 23, 2012 5:45 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Great job, Scottie!
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Mon Jan 23, 2012 10:33 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm Posts: 11838 Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Wow, that was quick, only 3 weeks to win my first game. It took me 2 years to win a game at BOM.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.  and many more.
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Tue Jan 24, 2012 12:24 am |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Come now, Scottie. You know you've honed your skills since then 
_________________ "Do or do not, there is no try."
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Tue Jan 24, 2012 11:22 am |
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Crux
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 11:28 pm Posts: 1589 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
This week's openers are going to be tough!
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Tue Jan 24, 2012 7:12 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11016 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
For Ledge I guessed 20.5 but the estimate is 7.3 and I got a 0. Is that correct?
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Sat Jan 28, 2012 6:42 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
nghtvsn wrote: For Ledge I guessed 20.5 but the estimate is 7.3 and I got a 0. Is that correct? Yep. 1 - (Actual - Prediction) / Actual = Percentage Somewhat like Price is Right, underpredictions are always better than overpredictions.
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Sat Jan 28, 2012 11:30 pm |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
After bombing last week because of using 4-day numbers thus over-predicting almost every movie by hefty amount, I managed to under-predict The Descendants by half nearly. I never seem to gauge the movies that expand. Sigh!
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Sun Jan 29, 2012 1:25 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Descendants was my worst derby score as well - I thought it would be a lot lower since it already received a hefty awards bump last weekend.
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Mon Jan 30, 2012 3:07 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Updated with actuals.
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Mon Jan 30, 2012 6:32 pm |
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Crux
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 11:28 pm Posts: 1589 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Nice work Riggs! Highest score yet. 92.2!
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Mon Jan 30, 2012 9:41 pm |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am Posts: 13299 Location: Vienna
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Thanks  That's my first win ever. 
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Tue Jan 31, 2012 2:22 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congreats, Riggs!
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Tue Jan 31, 2012 3:13 am |
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