Thats what I think too. GO CATE!

Bill got alot of the editing nobs, etc, that Eternal didn't, I still don't think that takes it out of the running. It also still has a kind of feel good ending heh?

Its nice to see how different the best pic noms are than award shows this year, its making it very tricky to predict the win.

Its also between Moreno and Braff for breakout performance. Its literally going to depend on which film got more viewers, but they're pretty close.

I think since Moreno was not only nominated for Best Breakthrough, but actually also for Best Actress, she's a pretty sure call for Best Breakthrough.

Eternal Sunshine might very well win Best Picture, though. It's really between it and Kill Bill Vol. 2 I don't think too many here saw Million Dollar Baby and Collateral as well as The Aviator definitely weren't nearly as overall beloved as Kill Bill Vol. 2 and Eternal Sunshine.

Oh and I think Natalie Portman (in Closer) will edge out Cate Blanchett for Best Supporting Actress, unless there is a split of votes for Portman (because of Garden State/Closer)

Would be interesting if not a single Oscar winner won tonight.

Let's all just promise that if a lot of the winners do match the Oscar winners...

1) We'll first consider that, hey, maybe these were the best performances/films/screeplays of last year.

2) THEN complain.

Or...yanno, do whatever you want.

I am very sick with coughing and fever and everything that belongs to that, so I won't be here for the entire show, but I'll REALLY try to make it for my presentation.

Best Picture
1. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
2. Million Dollar Baby
3. Kill Bill Volume 2
4. Collateral
5. The Aviator

Best Director
1. Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
2. Quentin Tarantino, Kill Bill Volume 2
3. Martin Scorsese, The Aviator
4. Michel Gondry, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
5. Michael Mann, Collateral
6. Alexander Payne, Sideways

Best Actor
1. Jamie Foxx, Ray
2. Jim Carrey, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
4. Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
5. Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda

Best Actress
1. Uma Thurman, Kill Bill Volume 2
2. Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
3. Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
4. Bryce Dallas Howard, The Village
5. Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace

Best Supporting Actor
1. David Carradine, Kill Bill Volume 2
2. Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
3. Clive Owen, Closer
4. Jamie Foxx, Collateral
5. Thomas Hayden Church, Sideways

Best Supporting Actress
1. Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
2. Natalie Portman, Closer
3. Natalie Portman, Garden State
4. Virginia Madsen, Sideways
5. Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda

Best Original Screenplay
1. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
2. Kill Bill Volume 2
3. The Incredibles
4. Garden State
5. The Aviator

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Sideways
2. Closer
3. Before Sunset
4. Million Dollar Baby
5. Finding Neverland

Best Ensemble
1. Million Dollar Baby
2. Closer
3. The Aviator
4. Ocean's Twelve
5. Sideways

Foreign Language Film
1. Maria Full of Grace
2. Hero
3. The Motorcycle Diaries
4. Bad Education
5. House of Flying Daggers
6. A Very Long Engagement

Overlooked Film
1. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
2. Before Sunset
3. Closer
4. Maria Full of Grace
5. Garden State

Entertainer of the Year
1. Jamie Foxx
2. Kate Winslet
3. Jim Carrey
4. Natalie Portman
5. Ben Stiller

Breakthrough Performance
1. Zach Braff, Garden State
2. Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace
3. Bryce Dallas Howard, The Village
4. Freddie Highmore, Finding Neverland
5. Emily Browning, Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events

Best Editing
1. Million Dollar Baby
2. Collateral
3. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
4. Spider-Man 2
5. Kill Bill Volume 2
6. The Aviator

Best Cinematography
1. Hero
2. The Passion of the Christ
3. The Aviator
4. Collateral
5. Kill Bill Volume 2
6. House of Flying Daggers

Best Art Direction
1. The Phantom of the Opera
2. Kill Bill Volume 2
3. The Aviator
4. Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
5. Harry Potter and Prisoner of Azkaban

Costume Design
1. Troy
2. The Phantom of the Opera
3. The Aviator
4. Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
5. Finding Neverland
6. House of Flying Daggers

Best Visual Effect
1. Spider-Man 2
2. Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow
3. The Day After Tomorrow
4. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
5. I, Robot

Best Makeup
1. Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
2. The Passion of the Christ
3. Hellboy
4. The Aviator
5. Kill Bill Volume 2

Best Sound
1. Spider-Man 2
2. Kill Bill Volume 2
3. The Incredibles
4. The Aviator
5. Collateral

Best Score
1. The Aviator
2. The Village
3. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
4. The Incredibles
5. Million Dollar Baby

Best Soundtrack
1. Garden State
2. Ray
3. Spider-Man 2
4. Kill Bill Volume 2
5. Closer
6. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

Best Song
1. The Blower's Daughter, Closer
2. Learn to be Lonely, The Phantom of the Opera
3. Accidentally in Love, Shrek 2
4. Vindicated, Spider-Man 2
5. Old Habits Die Hard, Alfie
6. Million Voices, Hotel Rwanda

Best Animated Feature
1. The Incredibles
2. Shrek 2
3. The Polar Express

Best Comedy
1. Anchorman
2. Sideways
3. Meet the Fockers
4. Shrek 2

Best Horror
1. Saw
2. Dawn of the Dead
3. The Grudge

Best Sequel/Remake
1. Kill Bill Volume 2
2. Spider-Man 2
3. Harry Potter and Prisoner of Azkaban

Bonus ?s
2. Eternal Sunshine
3. Million Dollar Baby and Eternal Sunshine
4. 3 Awards
5. Spider-Man 2/ Garden State/ Maria Full of Grace
6. Collateral
7. One (Just for luck...)
8. 9
TIE-BREAKER #1: 13
TIE-BREAKER #2: 3 Hours and 20 Minutes

No. More. Predictions...

68 points so far, right after the Best Actress award.

I think I have 54.

I've got 64 after Costume Design.

95 after Cinematogrphy. I didn't include the Entertainer of the Year, because it was a tie, and I'm not sure how those are figured. I have Both Jamie and Ben at spots 4 and 5 respectively, so it doesn't help my score much. I'mm thinking it'll be an average of the two, so I'd get 1.5 points from it, but, like I side, I don't really know, so it's not included.

My average for Cinematogrophy would be 2.5, but, like Entertainer, it isn't included.

BUMP

Any updates xia? Need help?

Sorry I haven't been able to calculate everybody's score. And I won't be back until late Monday night. I'll try to get it done by the end of next week.

i'm curently trying to calculate my score.

Oh, for the tied categories, we will just take the average of the two, as insomniacdude suggested.

not sure how many points that is and don't know what to say bout the ties.

I got one bonus right!

101 points when i include bonus
i would have 103 if i include cinemetogrophy for kill bill.

so since i didn't put stiller or hero i get half?

First the correct answers for bonus questions:

2. What movie with 4 or more nominations will have the highest winning ratio (relation between the number or nominations and wins)? Spider-Man 2 (3 out of 6, 50%)

3. What movie will win the most awards of the night? Million Dollar Baby

4. How many awards will it win? 4

5. What movie NOT nominated for Best Picture will win most awards? Spider-Man 2

6. What movie nominated for Best Picture will win the least awards? Collateral

7. How many ties will there be for the winners? 2

8. How many awards will the 5 Best Picture nominees win combined? 10

I will check the answers for the tie-breaker questions if there are ties, and I will calculate the scores at this time.

There were Bonus questions? I never checked back after I predicted but at that time there were none... Darn! But since I had MDB way back in all categories, I wouldn't have had a chance anyway

Hmm, I thought I had them listed since I first wrote the initial post.

torrino: 151
neostorm: 134
MG Casey: 156 (and micasey didn't even answer any bonus questions)
Flava'd‡: 144
Levy: 142
alex young: 152 (got 3 bonus questions right, the most by anybody)
Dr. Lecter: 156 (the only person who got bonus No. 8 right)
are-why-a-en: 152
dolcevita: 137.5
publicenemy#1: 147
Chris: 127.5
loyalfromlondon: 131
insomniacdude: 138
Impact: 127

Since micasey didn't answer any tie-breaker questions, I'm declaring Dr. Lecter as the winner, although micasey showed amazing prediction skills by getting 156 out of possible 170 points on the first part alone. Congrats to both of you! :wink: Thanks everyone for participating.

If you make 10000 posts in 5 months, you should have a pretty good idea of what most of the board likes.

Congratulations, Lecter.

Last place! yay!
lol!

(well i left off some of the movies)