Bitch hasn't been out a month yet & it's made a billion already
Now if only it can make another bill the rest of it's run

Since it still has China, I wouldn't rule it out. It will depend on how much it makes there.

http://www.screendaily.com/news/distrib ... 03.article

The film added an estimated $66.4m internationally and generated around 7.5m admissions from 15,400 screens in 59 markets was led by an $8m (€5.5m) number one hold in Germany for $61.1m (€43.2m), $6.9m (¥541m) in Japan in second place for $66.7m (¥5.3bn) and $6.5m (€4.5m) in France in second for $50.5m (€35.8m).

Deathly Hallows: Part 2 held at number one in the UK, which remains the top market outside North America on $88.5m (£55.4m) following a $7.3m (£4.5m) weekend haul.

Australia delivered $4.1m (A$3.8m) in second for $47.3m (A$44.4m), South Korea $3.5m (KRW3.6bn) at number one for $24.4m (KRW25.7bn), Brazil $2.9m (R4.4m) in second for $32.3m (R50.6m), Mexico $1.9m (Ps 22.3m) in second for $32.8m (Ps 385.5m), Italy $1.5m (€1.05m) at number one for $29.4m (€20.9m) and Spain $1.2m (€830,000) in third for $18.7m (€13.3m).

So, it could pass Dead Man's Chest by Thursday, but probably more like Friday. It could pass ROTK next Sunday depending on the holds.

I'd expect at the very least $50 million from China, though likely a lot more.

Not a bad drop (about half), could go up again in estimates. This can probably do around $825-850m without China. With China it's gunning for anywhere between $850m-925m. If it outpeforms in China like TF3 (don't think so however), it may hit $950m+.

At this stage I'm going for $380m + $925m = $1.305bn.

What a year....three new entries inside the Top 10 WW charts

Potter should get to #3 easily with approx $1.3bn. Transformers should then take #4 (i think it'll beat ROTK - it's going to be oh so very close) at around $1.125bn.

Pirates 4 should get to around $1.037bn.

Next year, TDKR, Hobbit and Ice Age 4 should also smash through $1billion you would think.

==

1 Avatar Fox $2,782.3 $760.5 27.3% $2,021.8 72.7% 2009^
2 Titanic Par. $1,843.2 $600.8 32.6% $1,242.4 67.4% 1997
3 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King NL $1,119.1 $377.0 33.7% $742.1 66.3% 2003
4 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest BV $1,066.2 $423.3 39.7% $642.9 60.3% 2006
5 Toy Story 3 BV $1,063.2 $415.0 39.0% $648.2 61.0% 2010
6 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides BV $1,032.8 $238.2 23.1% $794.6 76.9% 2011
7 Alice in Wonderland (2010) BV $1,024.3 $334.2 32.6% $690.1 67.4% 2010
8 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 WB $1,008.5 $318.5 31.6% $690.0 68.4% 2011
9 The Dark Knight WB $1,001.9 $533.3 53.2% $468.6 46.8% 2008
10 Transformers: Dark of the Moon P/DW $982.9 $337.9 34.4% $645.0 65.6% 2011

I hope you are talking about OS totals alone crossing those in OS is a lock but in WW charts it will take some time now.

It is at $1.08b now (with estimates) so it needs another $111m to cross ROTK in WW chart. I don't think it will make another $100m in next 7 days. With $66m weekend and about $17m weekdays (average) last 7 days, I see $9m weekdays (average) and $35m weekend for $71m-$75m OS in next 7 days. Add another $25m domestic and it still might fall short of $111m.

This is just Massive total. And it is still making $60m+ over the weekends, if it holds as good as Avatar it can pass Titanic, ofcourse that is not going to happen .

With the current holds I see $850m OS from holdovers and another $70m from China and Indonesia for a total of $920m OS. Add in another $375m domestic and you have $1.295b, it should crawl past $1.3b mark

Interestingly Harry Potter was taken over by another Harry Potter movie and was kicked out of Top 10 WW chart after 10 years by the trio of Pirates, HP and TF3.

It does open in China on Thursday, that should give it the boost to do it.

Hmm it does open in China this weekend, which I forgot to factor in. The numbers with my predictions were anyways close so it should cross ROTK WW this weekend for #3.

Once again, China will decide the fate of this like TF3. it's definately hitting $900m OS that's for sure.

In Australia, Captain America had an OK start with AU$4.6m. Not quite as big as Thor's $5.3m but on par with X-Men FC's $4.7m.

Harry Potter declined another big 52%. It's officially surpassed the original HP1 (AU$42,348,061) to become the largest in the franchise. it also topped last year's Toy Story 3 to become the largest release since Avatar and now sits just a smidgen below TDK and TTT.

At this rate $50m is a lock though it appears to be dying quicker than expected, so $55m may not be a given just yet. Competition will continue to be strong with Rise of the Apes next week, followed by the long overdue opening of Green Lantern. It'll hold onto IMAX screens for quite some time but will likely start to shed the big 3D screens to Green Lantern...etc.

I'm thinking it's somewhere between $53-56m which will elevate it above ROTK's 49,370,354 and Shrek 2's 50,388,327 to enter the Top 3 all-time; however, It'll likely fall short of Titanic's $57,647,302 unless it can start dropping in the 10-20%.

1 1 CAPTAIN AMERICA: THE FIRST AVENGER (M), PARAMOUNT [428/ $10,750] 4,600,786 N/A 4,600,786
2 3 HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2 (M), WARNER BROS [663/ $5,765] 3,821,864 -52% 44,491,727
3 2 BAD TEACHER (M), SONY PICTURES [244/ $6,839] 1,668,660 -43% 5,515,522
4 7 BRIDESMAIDS (MA15+), UNIVERSAL [234/ $3,127] 731,707 -33% 25,702,956
5 1 HANNA (M), UNIVERSAL [139/ $5,189] 721,207 N/A 758,947
6 5 TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON (M), PARAMOUNT [293/ $2,299] 673,470 -56% 36,631,131
7 2 LARRY CROWNE (M), PINNACLE FILMS [204/ $2,145] 437,668 -44% 1,564,344
8 5 MR. POPPER`S PENGUINS (G), FOX [205/ $1,275] 261,351 -66% 11,934,411
9 6 CARS 2 (PG), WALT DISNEY [192/ $1,100] 211,237 -67% 19,888,393
10 6 KUNG FU PANDA 2 (PG), PARAMOUNT [211/ $950] 200,380 -69% 19,202,473

Yep looks like that and it is definitely surprising IMO for a series to be so consistent and see such big increase with last movie, though I believe 3D helped it a lot.

If it didn't have the 3D boost, i think it's total would be around $330m Domestic and $750m. 3D definately helped the big 3 this year.

It's doing really well in pretty much all of the major markets; however, there are a few sluggish ones.

South Korea is not particular impressive (its predecessors weren't that great either), and Spain (where it actually lags a few Potter movies in US$ after 3 weekends).

AUSTRALIA (AU$) - Weekend 3

Dips below Avatar and relinquishes the #1 spot tracking wise. It's a pretty big drop compared to its neighbours though was down almost the same as HP6. If it follows HP6's trajectory, it's headed for around $52m. Though it's obviously grossing more so should be good for around $55m or thereabouts.

Some people still think $60m is in play, this needs some pretty good holds if its to do this. There's no holidays coming up (though apparently today is a public holiday in NSW/Sydney).

1 - Harry Potter 7-2: DH - $18,368,621 (4-Day or $25,460,975 5-Day - 754 SC)
2 - Harry Potter 7-2: DH - $38,689,028 (7,994,127, -56%)

Avatar - $48,426,852 ($9,659,700, +10%)*NY
Harry Potter 7-2: DH - $44,491,727 ($3,821,864, -52%)
Shrek 2 - $34,585,149 ($5,308,223, -38%)
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $34,188,000 ($3,027,626, -53%)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $33,725,980 ($3,793,143, -51%)
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $33,690,894 ($3,719,134, -41%)
Transformers 3: Dark Of The Moon - $32,984,829 ($2,995,636, -57%)
The Dark Knight - $32,709,700 ($4,576,178, -40%)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $32,164,419 ($3,457,691, -45%)
Harry Potter 7-1: DH - $31,230,979 ($3,366,604, -50%)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $30,829,895 ($2,581,907, -57%)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $30,487,645 ($3,351,821, -43%)
Toy Story 3 - $30,282,400 ($6,361,024, -1%)
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $29,414,550 ($2,545,042, -51%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $28,761,980 ($3,658,178, -48%)
The Chronicles Of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch And The Wardrobe - $28,638,944 ($2,356,777, -40%)
The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $27,648,161 ($2,518,638, -53%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $27,638,571 ($3,506,135. -46%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $26,214,377 ($3,438,820, -45%)
Alice In Wonderland - $26,083,010 ($3,930,914, -39%)
The Simpsons Movie - $26,000,729 ($2,910,638, -53%)
Star Wars 2: AOTC - $25,677,569 ($3,489,877, -43%)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $25,595,991 ($2,638,493, -49%)
The Hangover: Part II - $25,442,946 ($3,607,039, -37%) or $26,306,986 ($4,471,079)*Queen’s Birthday
The Matrix: Reloaded - $25,266,386 ($3,243,994, -46%)
Happy Feet - $24,327,148 ($2,410,106, -42%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $23,964,954 ($2,397,477, -42%)
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaur - $23,898,497 ($3,145,535, -43%)
Shrek 3 - $23,781,194 ($2,745,604, -48%)
Star Wars 1: PM - $23,305,651 ($3,019,346, -60%)
Spiderman - $23,145,538 ($2,382,239, -53%)
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $22,861,201 ($3,154,080, -45%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $22,623,808 ($2,652,444, -46%)
James Bond: Quantum Of Solace - $22,609,524 ($2,473,401, -41%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $22,499,106 ($3,207,844, -38%)

From here on the theater count decrease will really hurt Potter IMO. This has majority of the screens from past 3 weeks even when movies like CA and Cars 2 are releasing, I don't think theater owners will hold so many screens from here on when it is dropping almost 50% at most of the places.

It's still pulling in strong grosses though, despite the massive drops. It's taken 3 weeks for moves to start beating Potter.

Hong Kong

$910,000 (my est.) (-47%) 3rd weekend

That's not a great hold. It had light competition with only 1 new opener of any consequence. It should stand at 8.4m after this weekend. 10m looks like a longshot but the legs so far this year for sequels have been better than usual so who knows...

Tough competition coming up>?

Yep. August is jam packed.

August 4 - Captain America + Smurfs (you know how people love small things...Gulliver's Travels, Mr. Popper's Penguins) + 2 other openers
August 11 - Cars 2 + Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes + 2 other openers
August 18 - Final Destination 5 + Overheard 2, Larry Crowne
August 25 - Horrible Bosses, Insidious, Cowboys & Aliens + 3 other openers

All weekends in August will see battles. No time for Harry Potter to recover. It will finish with more than 9m though which widely beats OotP by more than 2m.

Its run in HK is definitely nothing to write about, kinda disappointing both in opening as well holding.

The Netherlands:

1 1 3 HARRY POTTER 7 (PART 2) €1,028,792 -40.8% (221/€4,655) €8.732.740
2 - 1 CAPTAIN AMERICA:THE FIRST AVENGER €372,693 (75/€4,969) €382,462
3 - 1 HORRIBLE BOSSES €358,560 (84/€4,268) €385,019
4 2 4 CARS 2 €308,842 -45.4% (158/€1,954) €3,320,243
5 - 1 MONTE CARLO €159,374 (47/€3,390) €176,571

HP7.1 dropped 39.8% in its third weekend, with a €5.952.952 total. 7.2 is definitely distancing itself from part 1 with similar weekend drops, higher weekend numbers and vastly superior weekday numbers. At this pace it looks like a lock for €14 million, behind only the first HP film as the #2 in the franchise, while €15 million is still a possibility.

It skipped from #29 to #24 all time, surpassing the lifetime gross of HP3.

21 Ice Age 3 €8.998.795
22 New Kids: Turbo €8.829.381
23 Finding Nemo €8.761.527
24 Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows pt.2 €8.732.740
25 Harry Potter And The Prisoner Of Azkaban €8.344.969
26 Flodder In Amerika €8.305.214
27 The Da Vinci Code €8.089.460

It should enter the top 20 by the end of next weekend, with nearly €10 million in the bag. From there on it's a race toward the top 10, with pretty much everything between #19 and #11 being really close together before the big wall that is the Lion King awaits.