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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35248
Location: Minnesota
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 Re: February 11-13 predictions My theater had Sanctum only in 3D. Though another theater not far from me that doesn't have a 3D screen had it in 2D. I personally wouldn't even go see it in theaters if my theater only had it in 2D. I'd feel cheated knowing that it was made as a 3D movie.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:54 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: February 11-13 predictions I thought the numbers from RS are going to be better for GAJ but the difference between the two tracking systems is quite big. I don't see that normal rule/probability working this weekend for Gnomeo.
Gnomeo should land between the two numbers, though kids are the most unsatisfied customers last couple of months where only Tangled is a certified quality movie. They are being treated with stale movies. If the movie turns out to be decent it could see great legs. OW is still a long shot for 20m even with open market and tracking numbers.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 1:36 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: February 11-13 predictions MTC is very rarely double or more than RS. The usual rule for MTC>RS is that it goes >MTC, but look at what happened the last times MTC was double or so RS:
Title, RS, MTC, Actual
Avatar: Special Edition, 3, 6, 4.0
Youth in Revolt, 5, 10, 6.9
Love Happens, 5, 10, 8.1
The Time Traveler's Wife, 15, 30, 18.6
Easy A, 13, 25, 17.7
Hereafter, 8, 15, 12.0
The rule not only failed in every case but RS was actually closer in 4 of 6!
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 1:38 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7196
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Proud Ryu wrote: MTC is very rarely double or more than RS. The usual rule for MTC>RS is that it goes >MTC, but look at what happened the last times MTC was double or so RS:
Title, RS, MTC, Actual
Avatar: Special Edition, 3, 6, 4.0
Youth in Revolt, 5, 10, 6.9
Love Happens, 5, 10, 8.1
The Time Traveler's Wife, 15, 30, 18.6
Easy A, 13, 25, 17.7
Hereafter, 8, 15, 12.0
The rule not only failed in every case but RS was actually closer in 4 of 6! None of them were kid movies though.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 1:51 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Didn't DM MTC double RS? 35 and high teens? It went to 55m
Don't think it'll happen with Gnomeo though.
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Men in Black 3 Under 100m
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Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 5:01 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: February 11-13 predictions RS on DM ended at low 20's, but yeah similar thing.
It would be a shock if Tromeo, er, Gnomeo, hit 20.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 6:45 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35248
Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 11-13 predictions NEVER SAY NEVER isn't opening here. Must be a Marcus Theaters thing.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 8:31 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Mike wrote: NEVER SAY NEVER isn't opening here. Must be a Marcus Theaters thing. Their Facebook page references the movie, though. They just want to upset lots all the kids in your area.  _________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 8:43 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35248
Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 11-13 predictions My friend and I have to take her daughter and a friend and we're going to see something else in the meantime. We have to go to a different theater now and they don't have it in 3D . I'm so disappointed. My theater still isn't getting BLUE VALENTINE. I'm beginning to think it won't open here at all. If it doesn't by Oscar weekend it won't be for sure. My theater isn't even getting any other Oscar movies this weekend. They never got 127 HOURS or RABBIT HOLE.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 8:50 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Re: February 11-13 predictions This would have been a good weekend for Blue Valentine to get a 127 Hours style semi-wide push. I bet it could hit 3 million in 900 theaters.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 9:17 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35248
Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 11-13 predictions It would have been a good weekend for it. The best possible opportunity they could have but it doesn't appear they're going to try. Total BS. Why don't they spend some KING'S SPEECH money and give it an advertising push this week and expand it this weekend. As of now they're wasting any momentum it had.
I really wish I knew what Weinstein's release plans were for this weekend and the following.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:17 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35248
Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 11-13 predictions I wonder if Weinstein is going to go ahead and expand SPEECH this weekend to over 3,000 theaters like they'd planned.
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:35 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Magnus wrote: Nazgul9 wrote: BK wrote: I meant it for films like Sanctum, which you can't really argue. If you're not given the option to see it in 2D, the price is your determining factor and whilst they might have wanted to see it for the 2D price, the price hike is a deterrent for a movie that looks generic. Do we know people had no 2D option? YES! For the last god damn time, many people's closest theaters DO NOT show a film in both 2D/3D. At the two closest theaters around me, Santcum was ONLY playing in 3D. And despite your crazy thinking, it IS a big deal to travel 10-15min (one-way) more than usual to a farther theater. 13 3D showings 4 2D showings that's in anchorage, I can tell you had i wanted to see the film it would have been in 3D. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Feb 08, 2011 11:15 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: February 11-13 predictions As of 11:00am ET today, Bieber makes up 71% of ticket sales on Fandango...Gnome second with 7%, Just Go With It at 5%.
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| Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:43 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Not it matters at all, but Never Say Never is getting pretty good reviews. Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and EW all very much liked it.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Wed Feb 09, 2011 4:39 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Big Daddy's opening adjusts to about 67m. That is crazy.
I never realized Grown Ups and Big Daddy had virtually identical runs.
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| Thu Feb 10, 2011 8:44 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35248
Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Anyone here seeing Never Say Never at midnight tonight so they can report on it?
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| Thu Feb 10, 2011 9:58 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: February 11-13 predictions I would (not really), but the single showing around here is actually sold out.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
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| Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:22 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: February 11-13 predictions If my crowd tonight is any indication, Just Go With It will be a $150M+ grosser.
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| Fri Feb 11, 2011 12:11 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35248
Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 11-13 predictions What trailers were shown?
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| Fri Feb 11, 2011 1:04 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Never Say Never's buzz score is 21, which isn't nearly as high as the Hannah Montana Concert movie was when it opened. In addition, the fact that Just Go With It is posting a buzz score of 8 may suggest a typical Sandler opening around $40m. A differential of 13 is not what I expected for a pop star who's supposed to be an Internet sensation.
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| Fri Feb 11, 2011 7:58 am |
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filmboy
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Oct 12, 2007 4:05 pm
Posts: 119
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Re: February 11-13 predictions Never say Never did very well hear last night for Midnights. I must say that critics are right. This is a very well put together film.
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| Fri Feb 11, 2011 9:21 am |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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Re: February 11-13 predictions _________________
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| Fri Feb 11, 2011 12:54 pm |
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Mr. R
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Feb 20, 2006 3:19 pm
Posts: 2231
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Re: February 11-13 predictions This has nothing to do with the Russian take on the US weekend. This guy is a crook. There are some good people on kinopoisk.ru who are way better than him. Like our own almost famous, often seen here. Just post his predictions if you need an expert. Don't disgrace your site.
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| Fri Feb 11, 2011 2:50 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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Re: February 11-13 predictions A crook eh? Care to elaborate?
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| Fri Feb 11, 2011 3:48 pm |
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