No. Very little news or updates this week, but I don't think it's grossed $100m yet (during the weekdays) because that should have been reported.

The last showings for Saturday are currently taking place, so maybe some partial Saturday admissions will be known soon.

Most Recent updates for each film will be in blue.

Summer 2010 Big 3 Watch

Bayside Shakedown 3:
2day total - Y971,993,832 ($11.08m), 707,399 admissions
5day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1.1m admissions
7day total - Y1.9b ($21.5m), 1.55m admissions
9day total - Y2,501,584,528 ($28.4m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3,662,187,666 ($42.3m), 2.9m admissions
17day total - Y3.92b ($45.1m), 3,005,883 admissions
19day total - Y4.2b ($48.3m), 3.2m admissions
23day total - Y4,599,620,600 ($52.6m), 3,531,063 admissions
25day total - Y4.7b ($53.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y5,251,455,362 ($61.1m), 4m admissions
37day total - Y5,724,349,425 ($66.4m), 4.3m admissions
44day total - Y6,340,024,652 ($73.7m), 4.7m admissions
49day total - Y6.5b ($76.1m), 5m admissions

Toy Story 3:
2day total - Y977,332,877 ($11.04m), 649,190 admissions
6day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1m admissions
9day total - Y2,373,155,050 ($27.3m), 1.5m admissions
12day total - Y3b ($34.5m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3.88b ($44.3m), 2.4m admissions
19day total - Y4,436,000,550 ($51m), 3,002,391 admissions
23day total - Y5,411,249,060 ($62.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y6,659,674,963 ($77.2m), 4.5m admissions
33day total - Y7.3b ($85.2m), 5m admissions
37day total - Y8,283,716,750 ($96.2m), 5,688,359 admissions

The Borrower Arrietty:
2day total - Y895,561,635 ($10.35m), 680,234 admissions
3day total - Y1.35b ($15.6m), 1,038,138 admissions
9day total - Y2,617,702,260 ($29.9m), 2,062,166 admissions
16day total - Y3,978,417,127 ($46.2m), 3m admissions
18day total - Y4,215,660,000 ($49.3m), 3,462,883 admissions
20day total - Y4.5b ($52.4m), 3.7m admissions
23day total - Y5,018,507,263 ($58.3m), 4.1m admissions
30day total - Y6,465,551,370 ($75.1m), 5,341,467 admissions


Nice set of weekdays for Bayside Shakedown 3, which is now heading into it's 8th weekend. Most films probably saw good weekdays based on this update, too.

Looks like Flowering Dogwood might be heading towards a possible Y350 million ($4m) opening.

No official numbers yet, but data is suggesting the Top 3 to look something like this (rankings in admissions):

1. The Borrower Arrietty (Y3.3-3.6 million, or $3.8-4.2 million), would make it's 6th consecutive week on top in admissions.
2. Toy Story 3 (Y3.7-4 million, or $4.3-4.6 million), would be it's 4th consecutive week on top in gross, 5th week overall.
3. Flowering Dogwood (Y2.9-3.3 million, or $3.3-3.8 million)

Which would be great holds for Arrietty and Toy Story 3 coming off a Holiday Weekend. The big blockbusters like them normally defy normal drops, so maybe not that unexpected, but still somewhat surprising.

Screendaily has some numbers for imported films in:

A-Team - $2.2m.
-Given how SD and THR report 3day weekends for Friday openers, a $2.2m 3-day would be pretty disappointing. But it could have been worse as I doubt anyone knew what it even was.

Cats and Dogs 2 - $800,000 on 345 screens.
-Expected disappointment, and I doubt it made the Top 10. I didn't think it'd made the Top 10 when it was projected to open at No.10.

Inception - $1.7m, $35.3m total.
-Just under a 40% drop, which is great for the weekend.

Toy Story 3 - $2.6m, $106.6m.
-I believe SD has this one quite off. It's a near 60% drop (second biggest post-Obon weekend drop ever) and while many films opened this weekend geared toward a young audience, and last weekend was a holiday, nothing has suggested such a severe weekend drop. The total looks perfectly fine, but the weekend number looks very fishy.

How To Train Your Dragon - $407,000, $7.7m total.
-Big drop, but not surprising coming off a holiday and so many films aimed at kids opening this past week.

The Karate Kid - $1.6m, $8.4m total.
-As predicted, one of the biggest second weekend drops of the year at about 55%.

Top 10 Attended Films By Location:


TOHO
1 N Flowering Dogwood (Toho)
2 1 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 6
3 2 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 7
4 N The A-Team (Fox)
5 N Metal Fight Beyblade VS Taiyō Shakunetsu no Shinryakusha (Toho)
6 3 Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) 8
7 5 The Karate Kid (Sony) 2
8 N Colorful (Toho)
9 4 The Sorcerer's Apprentice (Disney) 2
10 6 Inception (WB) 5

SHIKOKU and WARNER to follow shortly.

WARNER
1 N Flowering Dogwood (Toho)
2 1 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 6
3 2 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 7
4 N Metal Fight Beyblade VS Taiyō Shakunetsu no Shinryakusha (Toho)
5 4 The Karate Kid (Sony) 2

SHIKOKU
1 N Flowering Dogwood (Toho) 1
2 1 Police Dog Dream (Shichoku) 2
3 2 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 6
4 3 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 7
5 N Metal Fight Beyblade VS Taiyō Shakunetsu no Shinryakusha (Toho)
6 6 Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions Zoroark (Toho) 7
7 N Thriller Restaurant (Toei)
8 5 The Sorcerer's Apprentice (Disney) 2
9 - The Karate Kid (Sony) 2
10 N Cats and Dogs 2: Great War of the World's Largest Meatball (WB)

To come out on top in admissions at all three major theater chains means Flowering Dogwood is almost certain to be No.1 this weekend.

So SD's $2.6m for TS3 might be closer than I thought since Flowering Dogwood, at most, would have grossed around $4m. Perhaps all the kid/family films released this weekend took an unexpected toll on the Toys.

Surprising to see The Karate Kid make the Top 10 here after not even ranking last weekend.

Great War of the World's Largest Meatball?!?!?!

That's the Japanese title, and I doubt I'd ever get to use it beyond this weekend (and it may not have even made the National Top 10). So I'll be using it as much as I can.

Inception is out of the Top 10... even though it made more than twice as much as C&D2 according to SD?

No, it'll be in the Top 10. It ranked 8th last weekend at Shikoku locations, so it hasn't been playing too well there. And with so many openers this weekend, dropping out of the top 10 at those locations makes sense.

If I had to guess where it ranks before the National Top 10 is released, I'd say 7th. The higher tickets will give it the advantage over all of the kids/family films.

Weekend Rankings
August 21-22, 2010



1 N Flowering Dogwood (Toho)
2 2 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 6
3 1 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 7
4 N The A-Team (Fox)
5 N Metal Fight Beyblade VS Taiyō Shakunetsu no Shinryakusha (Toho)
6 3 The Karate Kid (Sony) 2
7 7 Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Double & Decade Forever A-Z (Toei) 3
8 5 Inception (WB) 5
9 4 Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) 8
10 9 Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions Zoroark (Toho) 7

A little surprising to see Flowering Dogwood at No.1 this weekend, but Kamen Rider managing the same position as last weekend is shocking. It actually rose one spot in admissions. This is a franchise that is known as the most frontloaded in the country, barely reaching a multiplier of 3 with most of the films released every year.

The Sorcerer's Apprentice died.

Numbers should be available soon.

glad to see great holds specially for Toy Story 3, The Borrower Arrietty,
good for Inception and Pokemon 13, they don't want to leave the top 10

Flowering Dogwood - Y399,212,600 ($4.6m), 301,275 admissions on 310 screens.

The A-Team - Y155,865,000 ($1.8m), 123,577 admissions on 358 screens.

Metal Fight Beyblade - Y119,694,900 ($1.4m), 117,418 admissions on 216 screens.

Films 5-9 all look to have landed in a $1.3-1.7m range, and the rankings above are admissions, so those 4 films could easily change positions on Wednesday when all grosses are available.

Toy Story 3 - Exceeded 6.3m admissions for Y9.3 billion ($108m) after 7 weeks.
The Borrower Arrietty - Exceeded 6m admissions after 6 weeks (gross isn't known yet).
Bayside Shakedown 3 - Exceeded 5.1m admissions for Y6.6 billion ($77.1m) after 8 weeks.

Most Recent updates for each film will be in blue.

Summer 2010 Big 3 Watch

Bayside Shakedown 3:
2day total - Y971,993,832 ($11.08m), 707,399 admissions
5day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1.1m admissions
7day total - Y1.9b ($21.5m), 1.55m admissions
9day total - Y2,501,584,528 ($28.4m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3,662,187,666 ($42.3m), 2.9m admissions
17day total - Y3.92b ($45.1m), 3,005,883 admissions
19day total - Y4.2b ($48.3m), 3.2m admissions
23day total - Y4,599,620,600 ($52.6m), 3,531,063 admissions
25day total - Y4.7b ($53.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y5,251,455,362 ($61.1m), 4m admissions
37day total - Y5,724,349,425 ($66.4m), 4.3m admissions
44day total - Y6,340,024,652 ($73.7m), 4.7m admissions
49day total - Y6.5b ($76.1m), 5m admissions
51day total - Y6.6b ($77.1m), 5.1m admissions

Toy Story 3:
2day total - Y977,332,877 ($11.04m), 649,190 admissions
6day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1m admissions
9day total - Y2,373,155,050 ($27.3m), 1.5m admissions
12day total - Y3b ($34.5m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3.88b ($44.3m), 2.4m admissions
19day total - Y4,436,000,550 ($51m), 3,002,391 admissions
23day total - Y5,411,249,060 ($62.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y6,659,674,963 ($77.2m), 4.5m admissions
33day total - Y7.3b ($85.2m), 5m admissions
37day total - Y8,283,716,750 ($96.2m), 5,688,359 admissions
44day total - Y9.3b ($108.8m), 6.3m admissions

The Borrower Arrietty:
2day total - Y895,561,635 ($10.35m), 680,234 admissions
3day total - Y1.35b ($15.6m), 1,038,138 admissions
9day total - Y2,617,702,260 ($29.9m), 2,062,166 admissions
16day total - Y3,978,417,127 ($46.2m), 3m admissions
18day total - Y4,215,660,000 ($49.3m), 3,462,883 admissions
20day total - Y4.5b ($52.4m), 3.7m admissions
23day total - Y5,018,507,263 ($58.3m), 4.1m admissions
30day total - Y6,465,551,370 ($75.1m), 5,341,467 admissions
37day total - Y7.3b ($85.4m), 6.1m admissions

After weekend estimates.

Top 20 Opening Weekends of 2010

1. April, Alice in Wonderland (Disney) - $14,297,616 (2day), 859 screens - $16,644 pta, 828,149 admissions
2. Dec. 09, One Piece Film Strong World (TOEI) - $11,692,830 (2day), 188 screens - $62,196 pta, 819,738 admissions
3. July, Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - $11,080,725 (2day), 447 screens - 24,789 pta, 707,399 admissions
4. July, Toy Story 3 (Disney) - $11,034,083 (2day), 530 screens - $20,819 pta, 649,190 admissions
5. July, The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - $10,352,700 (2day) / $15,627,122 (3day), 447 screens - $23,160 pta, 680,234 admissions (2day) / 1,038,138 admissions (3day)
6. July, Inception (WB) - $7,837,192 (2day + previews)/$8,915,763 (3day + previews), 523 screens - $14,928 pta
7. July, Pokemon 13 Ruler of Illusions: Zoroark (Toho) - $7,107,555 (2day), 369 screens - $19,262 pta, 601,602 admissions
8. Dec. 09, Up (Disney) - $6,992,874 (2day), 663 screens - $10,547 pta, 440,804 admissions
9. Dec. 09, Avatar (Fox) - $6,611,848 (2day)/$14,553,033 (5day), 839 screens - $7,881 pta
10. March, Doraemon 30 South Sea Adventure (Toho) - $6,115,994 (2day), 366 screens - $16,710 pta, 498,198 admissions

11. April, Nodame Cantabile: The Movie II (Toho) - $6,114,997 (2day), 410 screens - $14,915 pta, 437,613 admissions
12. April, Detective Conan 14 Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - $6,103,158 (2day), 352 screens - $17,339 pta, 471,527 admissions
13. Dec. 09, Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider W & Dikeido (TOEI) - $5,096,420 (2day), 292 screens - $17,453 pta, 396,178 admissions
14. August, Flowering Dogwood (Toho) - $4,742,088 (2day), 310 screens - $15,297 pta, 301,275 admissions
15. Dec. 09, Nodame Cantabile: The Movie I (Toho) - $4,364,808 (2day), 409 screens - $10,672 pta, 317,302 admissions
16. March, Liar Game: The Final Stage (Toho) - $4,331,798 (2day), 283 screens - $15,307 pta, 308,824 admissions
17. July, Salt (Sony) - $4,176,768 (2day), 332 screens - $12,812 pta, 319,545 admissions
18. May, Trick the Movie: Psychic Battle Royale (Toho) - $4,004,850 (2day), 320 screens - $12,515 pta, 270,705 admission
19. August, Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Double & Decade Forever A-Z (Toei) - $3,841,186 (2day), 460 screens - $8,350 pta, 251,720 admissions
20. Jan., Oceans (Gaga) - $3,756,389 (2day)/$4,356,393 (3day), 303 screens - $12,483 pta, 280,726 admissions



_________________________________________________________________________________


Top 20 Films of 2010

1. Avatar (Fox) - $166,371,800
2. Alice In Wonderland (Disney) - $135,112,098
3. Toy Story 3 (Disney) - $110,689,244 (44 days in release)
4. The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - $87,775,353 (37 days in release)
5. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - $79,320,763 (51 days in release)
6. One Piece Film Strong World (TOEI) - $56,776,373
7. Up (Disney) - $54,285,463
8. Nodame Cantabile The Movie II (Toho) - $44,402,145
9. Nodame Cantabile The Movie I (Toho) - $44,322,317
10. Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions: Zoroark (Toho) - $43,578,768 (44 days in release)


11. Confessions (Toho) - $43,406,148 (86 days in release)
12. Detective Conan 14 The Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - $36,140,006
13. Doraemon 30 Nobita's South Sea Adventure (Toho) - $35,780,264
14. Inception (WB) - $35,739,390 (30 days, plus 3 preview days in release)
15. Liar Game: The Final Stage (Toho) - $27,148,337
16. Oceans (GAGA) - $25,721,299
17. Sherlock Holmes (WB) - $23,274,806
18. Younger Brother (Shochiku) - $21,047,812
19. Trick The Movie: Psychic Battle Royale (Toho) - $20,996,475
20. Salt (Sony) - $20,807,968 (16 days in release)

Studio/Distributor Tally: Toho - 10, Disney - 3, WB - 2, TOEI - 1, Fox - 1, Sony - 1 Shochiku - 1, Gaga - 1

_________________________________________________________________________________


Top 20 Films of 2010 by Admissions

1. Avatar (Fox) - 9.7 million admissions
2. Alice in Wonderland (Disney) - 7.2 million admissions
3. Toy Story 3 (Disney) - 6.3 million admissions (44 days in release)
4. The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - 6.1 million admissions (37 days in release)
5. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - 5.2 million admissions (51 days in release)
6. One Piece Film Strong World (Toei) - 4.1 million admissions
7. Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions Zoroark (Toho) - 3.5 million admissions (44 days in release)
8. Up (Disney) - 3.25 million admissions
9. Nodame Cantabile The Movie 1 (Toho) - 3.1 million admissions
10. Nodame Cantabile The Movie 2 (Toho) - 3.1 million admissions


11. Confessions (Toho) - 3.05 million admissions (86 days in release)
12. Detective Conan 14 The Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - 2.7 million admissions
13. Doraemon 30 Nobita's South Sea Adventure (Toho) - 2.65 million admissions
14. Inception (WB) - 2.3 million admissions (30 days, plus 3 preview days in release)
15. Liar Game The Final Stage (Toho) - 2 million admissions
16. Oceans (GAGA) - 1.85 million admissions
17. Sherlock Holmes (WB) - 1.7 million admissions
18. Younger Brother (Shochiku) - 1.65 million admissions
19. Trick The Movie 3 Psychic Battle Royale (Toho) - 1.5 million admissions
20. Shutter Island (Paramount) - 1.4 million admissions



New Entries - Flowering Dogwood makes the Top 20 Opening Weekends Chart.
i - still playing


The most recent exchange rate (BOM just used Sunday's) is becoming a little crazy, it's never been like this before and it's not slowing down. Toy Story 3 and Inception are estimates, but since they're the only two film without an actual Yen gross yet, I went ahead and updated the charts.

TS3 and Inception actuals edited in above,


Most Recent updates for each film will be in blue.

Summer 2010 Big 3 Watch

Bayside Shakedown 3:
2day total - Y971,993,832 ($11.08m), 707,399 admissions
5day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1.1m admissions
7day total - Y1.9b ($21.5m), 1.55m admissions
9day total - Y2,501,584,528 ($28.4m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3,662,187,666 ($42.3m), 2.9m admissions
17day total - Y3.92b ($45.1m), 3,005,883 admissions
19day total - Y4.2b ($48.3m), 3.2m admissions
23day total - Y4,599,620,600 ($52.6m), 3,531,063 admissions
25day total - Y4.7b ($53.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y5,251,455,362 ($61.1m), 4m admissions
37day total - Y5,724,349,425 ($66.4m), 4.3m admissions
44day total - Y6,340,024,652 ($73.7m), 4.7m admissions
51day total - Y6,679,149,400 ($79.3m), 5.2m admissions

Toy Story 3:
2day total - Y977,332,877 ($11.04m), 649,190 admissions
6day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1m admissions
9day total - Y2,373,155,050 ($27.3m), 1.5m admissions
12day total - Y3b ($34.5m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3.88b ($44.3m), 2.4m admissions
19day total - Y4,436,000,550 ($51m), 3,002,391 admissions
23day total - Y5,411,249,060 ($62.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y6,659,674,963 ($77.2m), 4.5m admissions
33day total - Y7.3b ($85.2m), 5m admissions
37day total - Y8,283,716,750 ($96.2m), 5,688,359 admissions
44day total - Y9,320,510,372 ($110.6m), 6.3m admissions

The Borrower Arrietty:
2day total - Y895,561,635 ($10.35m), 680,234 admissions
3day total - Y1.35b ($15.6m), 1,038,138 admissions
9day total - Y2,617,702,260 ($29.9m), 2,062,166 admissions
16day total - Y3,978,417,127 ($46.2m), 3m admissions
18day total - Y4,215,660,000 ($49.3m), 3,462,883 admissions
20day total - Y4.5b ($52.4m), 3.7m admissions
23day total - Y5,018,507,263 ($58.3m), 4.1m admissions
30day total - Y6,465,551,370 ($75.1m), 5,341,467 admissions
37day total - Y7,391,062,220 ($87.8m), 6.1m admissions


Updated with actuals.

Are those really totals as of Sunday? That would be shockingly good drops for all 3 (down 25% or so for the week).

Based on 14.4M gross over last week.

if TS3 averages 30% drop it will make ~ 144M in Japan.

it needs to average around 26% drop to make 150M.

Big question is how long TS3 will be able to retain its theaters(and 3d screens). When is Avatar releasing in japan?

Glad to see Salt broke the $20m barrier. Multipliers really are incredible in Japan. Maybe it can get to $24/25m.

The jump in USD is big because of the exchange rate. It's never been like this, and it's really inflating USD grosses. It's better to judge drops in local currency.

It's only playing on 3D screens now, and 3D is back to representing 80% of it's total gross again (will probably be the same as Alice's 84% when it's finished).

Avatar won't be released until October, but Resident Evil IV (fairy popular series) and Umizaru 3 (going to break the local screen count record to be the first with more than 500 screens, 600 is possible, and is the first major local 3D release) will be released back to back mid-September, so Toy Story 3 will more than likely be a the end of it's run may be September 18th.

Weekly Manga Rankings
August 16-22, 2010



1 N Detective Conan #69 - Shogakukan, Gosho Aoyama - 330,262
2 N Fairy Tail #22 - Kodansha, Hiro Mashima - 319,545
3 1 Fullmetal Alchemist #26 - Square Enix, Hiromu Arakawa - 237,251, 1,018,717 (Week 2 total)
4 N Hayate the Combat Butler #25 - Shogankukan, Kenjirou Hata - 198,673
5 N Kekkaishi #30 - Shogakukan, Yellow Tanabe - 172,299
6 N Negima! Magister Negi Magi #31 - Kodansha, Ken Akamatsu 165,999
7 N Daiya no A #22 - Kodansha, Yūji Terajima - 163,161
8 2 One Piece #59 - Shueisha, Eiichiro Oda - 103,711, 2,274,196 (Week 3 Total)
9 N Seitokai Yakuindomo #4 - Kodansha, Tozen Ujiie - 95,446
10 N Kenjirou Hata Shoki Sakuhin-shū: Hayate the Combat Butler - Shogankuka, Kenjirou Hata - 89,867

____________________________________________________________________________________


"The Oricon Communications market survey firm reports that Eiichiro Oda's entire One Piece pirate manga series has sold over 20 million copies (20.328 million copies) — just in 2010. This is the first time that any series in any book category has sold that many copies in one year since Oricon began posting its Japanese book ranking charts in 2008.

The last three volumes of One Piece, #57 through #59, have each sold over 2 million copies. In particular, volumes 57 (1.691 million copies) and 59 (1.853 million copies) each have held the record for the most books sold in the first week."

Weekend Forecast
August 28-29, 2010

1. Flowering Dogwood (Toho) 2
2. The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 7
3. Toy Story 3 (Disney) 8
4. The Karate Kid (Sony) 3
5. The A-Team (Fox) 2
6. Metal Fight Beyblade Movie (Toho) 2
7. Inception (WB) 6
8. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) 9
9. Kamen RiderxKamen Rider Double & Decade Forever A-Z (Toei) 4
10. The Sorcerer's Apprentice (Disney) 3

Only small limited openers this weekend, so some good holds this weekend are possible after last weekend's hard drops after the Holiday Weekend.

BECK opens next weekend which should open quite well.