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 The Boxoffice Derby Thread! 
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
25 Corpse 76.15%
26 Omni 76.15%

Satisfied. Could have been a little higher if I didn't change Eclipse from 64 to 61 for the 3-day, but the last second change for Prince of Persia (1.3 to 1.2) was great.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jul 06, 2010 6:19 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Nice job Corpse/Omni and xiayun! Awful, awful weekend for everyone.


Tue Jul 06, 2010 6:21 pm
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The Antichrist
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Corpse wrote:
Could have been a little higher if I didn't change Eclipse from 64 to 61 for the 3-day, but the last second change for Prince of Persia (1.3 to 1.2) was great.

PoP was at 1.1 before your masochist act.
I should punish you in the name of the moon! :P

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Tue Jul 06, 2010 6:32 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
On one hand, I'm a little disappointed as foreseeing larger-than-expected declines for holdovers didn't get fully rewarded because the bottom two went so much lower, but on the other hand, I feel I dodged a bullet as well since this could have been an easy weekend to pick up major ground in the yearly race.

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Tue Jul 06, 2010 6:47 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I'm just glad to have a Thursday deadline again. I've never liked the Wednesday cutoff, and the last two horrid weeks prove why.

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Tue Jul 06, 2010 9:56 pm
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Angels & Demons

Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/derbyuserentry.htm?userid=5378&game=435

All of my predictions were in the 90% range except for PoP, Shrek 4, and Greek. It would have helped if I had known they would be losing all those theaters. Thanks a lot, BOM. :grrr:

Congrats to xiayun, Corpse, and Omni, and anyone else who did fairly well this week.


Last edited by TrekFan1 on Sat Jul 10, 2010 5:26 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Wed Jul 07, 2010 12:34 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I finally got into the Top 100 again. Woo!

Congrats to everyone else who did fairly good for this round.


Wed Jul 07, 2010 5:21 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
With boxoffice.com's projections, plus the 0.7 projection from ERC for Greek, my derby would be 89.27% right now. That will likely go down a fair amount since it seems DM is underestimated and I have 2 100%'s with estimates.


Sat Jul 10, 2010 3:40 pm
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
88.43% using ERC.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Jul 10, 2010 4:46 pm
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Angels & Demons

Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
The link I posted in my previous message went to someone else's game results for some reason. I've fixed the link, but if it goes to someone other than Trekker then it's not mine.


Sat Jul 10, 2010 5:25 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
88.31%

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Sat Jul 10, 2010 10:12 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
With studio estimates I dropped to 86.13% this week.

I was afraid of that.

I might get back to 87% or so with actuals. I think a 20% drop for Eclipse
on Sunday is optimistic.


Sun Jul 11, 2010 1:45 pm
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The Wall
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I'm at 87.25% with BOM numbers.


Sun Jul 11, 2010 3:30 pm
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Angels & Demons

Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Woo-hoo! I got 90.13% overall accuracy for this past week's game; I'm ranked #2 out of 474. That's the highest I've ever been; my previous highest rank was #9 for both the November 6, 2005 game and the June 20, 2010 game.

(If the link below does not take you to the game played by "Trekker," then it is not mine.)
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/derbyuserentry.htm?userid=5378&game=436


Mon Jul 12, 2010 7:04 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
TrekFan1 wrote:
Woo-hoo! I got 90.13% overall accuracy for this past week's game; I'm ranked #2 out of 474. That's the highest I've ever been; my previous highest rank was #9 for both the November 6, 2005 game and the June 20, 2010 game.

(If the link below does not take you to the game played by "Trekker," then it is not mine.)
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/derbyuserentry.htm?userid=5378&game=436


Oustanding job! Also an excellent week for xiayun, SolC9, Omni/Corpse, MGCasey, Lobotomy, and many others! :thumbsup:

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Mon Jul 12, 2010 7:06 pm
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The Wall
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Wow. My best placement yet. I expected this would be a good week for everyone so I didn't expect #20 finish. Awesome! :shout:


Mon Jul 12, 2010 7:15 pm
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I didn't expect a Top 10 ranking this weekend. Nice little surpise there. :D We'll pick up a little ground on the yearly charts this week.

Congrats TrekFan1, SolC9, Casey, Evan, be.redy, BJ, and xiayun. Very good week for KJ.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Jul 12, 2010 9:44 pm
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Angels & Demons

Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I didn't expect to place in the top 10 either, let alone #2.

And big congratulations to SolC9, MGCasey, Omni & Corpse, be.redy, BJ, xiayun, Proud Ryu, and everyone else from the KJ forum who did well in the Derby this week.


Mon Jul 12, 2010 9:58 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats TrekFan1! Great work.

A little disappointed with my own performance since it wasn't really a hard week, but glad to be finally more than 100 points clear of Gopher in the yearly race. A little breathing room is always good, with the leaderboard as stacked as they are.

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American Hustle - B+
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12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Mon Jul 12, 2010 10:10 pm
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You are waiting for a train

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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Yeah, so I had the worst weekend of my predicting life last weekend (75% for July 2-4, first time below 79%). This weekend was passable (85%) but not much better. I've been in a slump, and Xia keeps gaining on me. :er:


Mon Jul 12, 2010 10:42 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats on the last derby Trekfan. I didn't pay too much attention to it this week.

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Wed Jul 14, 2010 7:43 pm
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The Wall
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I won't have a good Derby this week. Under 80% for now it seems.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 5:40 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Ouch. 78.52% with estimates. What happened to the holdovers? Specifically films that had been holding up pretty well... Toy Story 3, K&D, and Karate Kid.
Weird.

Predators hurt too, but it's drop isn't really surprising.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 12:21 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Derby is going to be mostly decided by the bottom 2 which dropped loads of theaters. I didn't learn the lesson from Twilight weekend. Can't help but think TS3 lost 3D to Despicable Me (hmm.. poem potential).

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 12:24 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Rank - Name ......... ( Prediction / Estimate ) .......... Score

1 - Inception .......... ( 70 / 60 ) .......... Score: 83.33%%
2 - Despicable Me .......... ( 32.5 / 32.7 ) .......... Score: 99.39%%
3 - The Sorcerer's Apprentice .......... ( 18.5 / 17.4 ) .......... Score: 93.68%%
4 - The Twilight Saga: Eclipse .......... ( 16.5 / 13.5 ) .......... Score: 77.78%%
5 - Toy Story 3 .......... ( 14.5 / 11.7 ) .......... Score: 76.07%%
6 - Grown Ups .......... ( 10.3 / 10 ) .......... Score: 97%%
7 - The Last Airbender .......... ( 8.4 / 7.5 ) .......... Score: 88%%
8 - Predators .......... ( 9.4 / 6.8 ) .......... Score: 61.76%%
9 - Knight and Day .......... ( 5.0 / 3.7 ) .......... Score: 64.86%%
10 - The Karate Kid .......... ( 3.1 / 2.2 ) .......... Score: 59.09%%

Estimated Overall Accuracy: 80.1%

Calculate Your Score Here

record in tact baby, I refuse to fall under 80% in July.

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 12:28 pm
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