The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
| Author |
Message |
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread soagg wrote: That would mean Titanic's weekend record in 2 days   _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 5:43 pm |
 
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's Friday
BJs Prediction: 12.50m +165%
Enki 12.10m +157%
Chip Munkington - 11.70m +149%
Proud Ryu - 11.50m +144%
Soagg - 11.00m +134%
Eventine - 10.64m +126%
Revatar - 10.56m +125%
Speevy - 10.55m +124%
Xiayun - 10.33m +120%
Mr Reynolds - 10.1m +115%
Average: 11.0m +134%
closed, Current leaders are Xiayun and Speevy, who will win
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 6:00 pm |
|
|
|
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Day | Avatar | Return of the King | Dead Man's Chest | The Dark Knight | Titanic |
| Wed | - | $34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1 | - | - | - |
| Thu | - | $17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2 | - | - | - |
| Fri | $26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 | $21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3 | $55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1 | $67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1 | $8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1 |
| Sat | $25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 | $27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4 | $44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2 | $47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2 | $10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2 |
| Sun | $24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 | $23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5 | $35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3 | $43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3 | $9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3 |
| Mon | $16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 | $13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6 | $18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4 | $24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4 | $5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4 |
| Tue | $16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 | $12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7 | $15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5 | $20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5 | $6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5 |
| Wed | $16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 | $7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8 | $14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6 | $18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6 | $3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6 |
| Thu | $11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 | $13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9 | $12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7 | $16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7 | $9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7 |
| Fri | $23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8 | $19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10 | $18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8 | $23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8 | $12,122,298
+32.1% / +40%
$65,091,634 / 8 |
| Sat | $28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9 | $17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11 | $24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9 | $28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9 | $12,466,455
+2.8% / +16.8%
$77,558,089 / 9 |
| Sun | $24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10 | $14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12 | $18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10 | $23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10 | $10,866,920
-12.8% / +16.8%
$88,425,009 / 10 |
| Mon | $19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11 | $10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13 | $7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11 | $10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11 | $7,942,520
-26.9% / +42.4%
$96,367,529 / 11 |
| Tue | $18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12 | $9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14 | $7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12 | $9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12 | $8,012,909
+0.9% / +33.5%
$104,380,438 / 12 |
| Wed | $18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13 | $7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15 | $6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13 | $8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13 | $8,213,735
+2.5% / +130%
$112,594,173 / 13 |
| Thu | $14,738,136
-20.2% / +32.2%
$283,624,210 / 14 | $12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16 | $6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14 | $8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14 | $11,558,520
+40.7% / +25.9%
$124,152,693 / 14 |
| Fri | $25,274,008
+71.5% / +9.4%
$308,898,218 / 15 | $10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17 | $9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15 | $12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15 | $11,698,861
+1.2% / -3.5%
$135,851,554 / 15 |
| Sat | $25,835,551
+2.2% / -8.6%
$334,733,769 / 16 | $10,563,221
-0.4% / -38.8%
$283,395,934 / 18 | $14,665,667
+46.8% / -41%
$311,341,880 / 16 | $17,191,150
+35.3% / -39.2%
$380,987,031 / 16 | $12,726,625
+8.8% / +2.1%
$148,578,179 / 16 |
| Sun | $17,381,129
-32.7% / -28.3%
$352,114,898 / 17 | $7,015,027
-33.6% / -50.6%
$290,410,961 / 19 | $10,557,353
-28% / -44.3%
$321,899,233 / 17 | $12,764,034
-25.8% / -46.1%
$393,751,065 / 17 | $8,889,792
-30.1% / -18.2%
$157,467,971 / 17 |
| Mon | $8,094,554
-53.4% / -58.3%
$360,209,452 / 18 | $2,228,471
-68.2% / -77.8%
$292,639,432 / 20 | $4,304,211
-59.2% / -45.6%
$326,203,444 / 18 | $6,287,429
-50.7% / -40.2%
$400,038,494 / 18 | $3,022,271
-66% / -61.9%
$160,490,242 / 18 |
| Tue | $7,327,233
-9.5% / -59.9%
$367,536,685 / 19 | $2,015,440
-9.6% / -79%
$294,654,872 / 21 | $4,220,967
-1.9% / -43.6%
$330,424,411 / 19 | $5,661,240
-10% / -41.2%
$405,699,734 / 19 | $3,044,822
+0.7% / -62%
$163,535,064 / 19 |
| Wed | $6,909,167
-5.7% / -62.6%
$374,445,852 / 20 | $1,805,059
-10.4% / -76%
$296,459,931 / 22 | $3,709,259
-12.1% / -42.5%
$334,133,670 / 20 | $5,077,367
-10.3% / -42%
$410,777,101 / 20 | $2,841,351
-6.7% / -65.4%
$166,376,415 / 20 |
| Thu | $6,094,445
-11.8% / -58.6%
$380,540,297 / 21 | $1,651,907
-8.5% / -87.1%
$298,111,838 / 23 | $3,745,513
+1% / -42.1%
$337,879,183 / 21 | $4,734,366
-6.8% / -43.7%
$415,511,467 / 21 | $2,789,088
-1.8% / -75.9%
$169,165,503 / 21 |
| Fri | $13,280,653
+117.9% / -47.5%
$393,820,950 / 22 | $3,676,960
+122.6% / -65.3%
$301,788,798 / 24 | $5,966,100
+59.3% / -40.3%
$343,845,283 / 22 | $7,577,362
+60.1% / -40.4%
$423,088,829 / 22 | $7,738,150
+177.4% / -33.9%
$176,903,653 / 22 |
| Sat | $21,269,537
+60.2% / -17.7%
$415,090,487 / 23 | $6,439,410
+75.1% / -39%
$308,228,208 / 25 | $8,388,675
+40.6% / -42.8%
$352,233,958 / 23 | $10,502,243
+38.6% / -38.9%
$433,591,072 / 23 | $12,758,118
+64.9% / +0.2%
$189,661,771 / 23 |
| Sun | $15,756,027
-25.9% / -9.3%
$430,846,514 / 24 | $4,092,728
-36.4% / -41.7%
$312,320,936 / 26 | $6,251,803
-25.5% / -40.8%
$358,485,761 / 24 | $8,037,425
-23.5% / -37%
$441,628,497 / 24 | $8,220,042
-35.6% / -7.5%
$197,881,813 / 24 |
| Mon | $5,111,193
-67.6% / -36.9%
$435,957,707 / 25 | $1,098,097
-73.2% / -50.7%
$313,419,033 / 27 | $2,603,407
-58.4% / -39.5%
$361,089,168 / 25 | $3,742,198
-53.4% / -40.5%
$445,370,695 / 25 | $2,170,146
-73.6% / -28.2%
$200,051,959 / 25 |
| Tue | $5,066,734
-0.9% / -30.9%
$441,024,441 / 26 | $1,148,156
+4.6% / -43%
$314,567,189 / 28 | $2,749,175
+5.6% / -34.9%
$363,838,343 / 26 | $3,515,389
-6.1% / -37.9%
$448,886,084 / 26 | $2,386,164
+10% / -21.6%
$202,438,123 / 26 |
| Wed | $4,743,762
-6.4% / -31.3%
$445,768,203 / 27 | $989,404
-13.8% / -45.2%
$315,556,593 / 29 | $2,549,037
-7.3% / -31.3%
$366,387,380 / 27 | $3,002,302
-14.6% / -40.9%
$451,888,386 / 27 | $2,095,782
-12.2% / -26.2%
$204,533,905 / 27 |
| Thu | $4,698,802
-0.9% / -22.9%
$450,467,005 / 28 | $1,036,039
+4.7% / -37.3%
$316,592,632 / 30 | $2,310,578
-9.4% / -38.3%
$368,697,958 / 28 | $2,814,471
-6.3% / -40.6%
$454,702,857 / 28 | $2,200,465
+5% / -21.1%
$206,734,370 / 28 |
| Fri | Est. $10,400,000
+121.3% / -21.7%
$460,867,000 / 29 | $2,376,259
+129.4% / -35.4%
$318,968,891 / 31 | $3,241,311
+40.3% / -45.7%
$371,939,269 / 29 | $4,937,955
+75.4% / -34.8%
$459,640,812 / 29 | $7,418,385
+237.1% / -4.1%
$214,152,755 / 29 |
_________________
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 6:10 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread huge increase for avatanic again this wk, already matched the amount of sellouts it got yesterday, looks like a 100%-200% increase here. http://www.fandango.com/99517_movietheatershowtimes_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 9:02 pm |
|
|
|
jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 9:03 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32628
Location: the last free city
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Saturday $16.75mwhen in doubt always predict less than BJ  also BJ your 4-day prediction will be off by more than 10m. 
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 9:39 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's Saturday
BJs Prediction: 20.30m +95%
Jmovies - 17.888m +72%
Revatar - 16.75m +61%
Average: 18.31m +74%
you have until 10pm eastern, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.
_________________The Force Awakens
Last edited by BJ on Sat Jan 16, 2010 9:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 9:49 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Revatar wrote: Saturday $16.75mwhen in doubt always predict less than BJ also BJ your 4-day prediction will be off by more than 10m. bilge _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 9:49 pm |
|
|
|
Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am
Posts: 5578
Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread 17.01
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 9:53 pm |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Saturday - 18M
Sunday - 14.4M
Monday - 10.1M
3-day - 42.9M
4-day - 53M
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 10:48 pm |
|
|
|
The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread 18.9
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 10:50 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Saturday- $18.6 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 10:59 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread sold out a 2-D showing http://www.fandango.com/99517_movietheatershowtimesthat makes it 6 sold out showings so far (a 9:40 and 10:45 to go) vs 3 yesterday. _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sat Jan 16, 2010 11:35 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $17.5m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 12:01 am |
|
|
|
Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $17.21 million
_________________
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 12:03 am |
|
|
|
mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Theater Monitoring Report for Avatar 1/16/10
All AMC Theaters
3D screens unless noted, sellouts on right
Tysons Corner
14 Showings-6
Hoffman 22
8 Showings-3
IMAX 3D 4 Showings-4
Hampton 24
7 Showings-0
IMAX 3D 4 showings-0
2D 3 Showings-0
Potomac Mills 18
8 Showings-3
IMAX 3D 4 showings-3
Mazza Gallerie 8
4 Showings-0
Columbia 14
8 Showings-2
IMAX 3D 5 showings-4
Security Square 8
4 2D showings-0
Lynnhaven 18
5 Showings-2
IMAX 3D 4 showings-1
A loss of 2 showings from last week and Friday, as Lynhaven (only 7 showings for Lynnhaven yesterday, I typed 8) dropped 2 showings and Book of Eli gained 2 (not sure if it was the same auditorium). A drop of sellouts on the range of 1-2 per theater from last week. Typically lost a sellout from previous week in the mid-late afternoon and in the late evening. Again this may not be a good sample, because the Ravens played tonight.
I would estimate $17.16m with a range of $17-17.5m. I would not be surprised if it was over $18m, because this seems like a very good weekly hold with the Ravens playing. No sellouts for Eli, but again I was not monitoring as closely.
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:16 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread your sellout report indicates a 100% increase in sellouts from what you reported yesterday. I think with what you and I (150%-200% increase in anchorage) have reported 18.5m is the minimum.
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:28 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's Saturday
BJs Prediction: 20.30m +95%
The Dark Shape - 18.90m +81%
Chip Munkington - 18.60m +78%
Soag - 18.00m +73%
Jmovies - 17.888m +72%
Xiayun - 17.50m +68%
Mdana - 17.16m +65%
Mr Reynolds - 17.01m +63%
Revatar - 16.75m +61%
Average: 18.01m +73%
closed
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:48 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread one more sellout would indicate a 200% increase in anchorage.
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:49 am |
|
|
|
mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: your sellout report indicates a 100% increase in sellouts from what you reported yesterday. I think with what you and I (150%-200% increase in anchorage) have reported 18.5m is the minimum. Yet the increase was similiar to last weekend (Fri-Sat) and there were two less shows overall. I wouldn't rule out your projection or even higher (my area might be an outlier like last Sunday due to the Ravens), but that # seems excessive. How many sell outs do you have this weekend compared to last Saturday? You only have 7 (at the moment) this week compared to the 10 out of 12 showings you posted for last Saturday. Avatar lost 2 showings at your theater from last week. I had at least 40 sellouts last Saturday. There might have been more I was late checking some of the new theaters I added to my sample. That is a weekly drop of 33%. I would compare that ratio along with this week's Friday to Saturday ratio and what was the ratio last Fri-Sat.
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:54 am |
|
|
|
Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am
Posts: 3139
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Sorry just got back into the city so I couldn't get to the deadline. So if you decide not to include my prediction, that's cool. But I'm predicting 17.2 million for the Saturday.
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 2:19 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread mdana wrote: BJ wrote: your sellout report indicates a 100% increase in sellouts from what you reported yesterday. I think with what you and I (150%-200% increase in anchorage) have reported 18.5m is the minimum. Yet the increase was similiar to last weekend (Fri-Sat) and there were two less shows overall. I wouldn't rule out your projection or even higher (my area might be an outlier like last Sunday due to the Ravens), but that # seems excessive. How many sell outs do you have this weekend compared to last Saturday? You only have 7 (at the moment) this week compared to the 10 out of 12 showings you posted for last Saturday. Avatar lost a showing at your theater from last week. I had at least 40 sellouts last Saturday. There might have been more I was late checking some of the new theaters I added to my sample. That is a drop of 33%. I would compare that ratio along with this week's Friday to Saturday ratio and what was the ratio last Fri-Sat. Last saturday 3-D sellouts went 8 for 12, this wk 3-D will go 7 for 8. 2D will match the two sellouts it got last Saturday with two less showings, so the drop is not as severe as it looks, the film lost the screens it did not need. _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 2:29 am |
|
|
|
mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: mdana wrote: BJ wrote: your sellout report indicates a 100% increase in sellouts from what you reported yesterday. I think with what you and I (150%-200% increase in anchorage) have reported 18.5m is the minimum. Yet the increase was similiar to last weekend (Fri-Sat) and there were two less shows overall. I wouldn't rule out your projection or even higher (my area might be an outlier like last Sunday due to the Ravens), but that # seems excessive. How many sell outs do you have this weekend compared to last Saturday? You only have 7 (at the moment) this week compared to the 10 out of 12 showings you posted for last Saturday. Avatar lost 2 showings at your theater from last week. I had at least 40 sellouts last Saturday. There might have been more I was late checking some of the new theaters I added to my sample. That is a drop of 33%. I would compare that ratio along with this week's Friday to Saturday ratio and what was the ratio last Fri-Sat. Last saturday 3-D sellouts went 8 for 12, this wk 3-D will go 7 for 8. 2D will match the two sellouts it got last Saturday with two less showings, so the drop is not as severe as it looks, the film lost the screens it did not need. Except it ended up being 6/8 and 1/2 like I stated. So, it lost 30% of its sellouts along with two shows, even if they were the weakest. It was similar to my theaters.
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:51 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread mdana wrote: BJ wrote: mdana wrote: BJ wrote: your sellout report indicates a 100% increase in sellouts from what you reported yesterday. I think with what you and I (150%-200% increase in anchorage) have reported 18.5m is the minimum. Yet the increase was similiar to last weekend (Fri-Sat) and there were two less shows overall. I wouldn't rule out your projection or even higher (my area might be an outlier like last Sunday due to the Ravens), but that # seems excessive. How many sell outs do you have this weekend compared to last Saturday? You only have 7 (at the moment) this week compared to the 10 out of 12 showings you posted for last Saturday. Avatar lost 2 showings at your theater from last week. I had at least 40 sellouts last Saturday. There might have been more I was late checking some of the new theaters I added to my sample. That is a drop of 33%. I would compare that ratio along with this week's Friday to Saturday ratio and what was the ratio last Fri-Sat. Last saturday 3-D sellouts went 8 for 12, this wk 3-D will go 7 for 8. 2D will match the two sellouts it got last Saturday with two less showings, so the drop is not as severe as it looks, the film lost the screens it did not need. Except it ended up being 6/8 and 1/2 like I stated. So, it lost 30% of its sellouts along with two shows, even if they were the weakest. It was similar to my theaters. your fast. _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:55 am |
|
|
|
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Day | Avatar | Return of the King | Dead Man's Chest | The Dark Knight | Titanic |
| Wed | - | $34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1 | - | - | - |
| Thu | - | $17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2 | - | - | - |
| Fri | $26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 | $21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3 | $55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1 | $67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1 | $8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1 |
| Sat | $25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 | $27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4 | $44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2 | $47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2 | $10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2 |
| Sun | $24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 | $23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5 | $35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3 | $43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3 | $9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3 |
| Mon | $16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 | $13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6 | $18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4 | $24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4 | $5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4 |
| Tue | $16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 | $12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7 | $15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5 | $20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5 | $6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5 |
| Wed | $16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 | $7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8 | $14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6 | $18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6 | $3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6 |
| Thu | $11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 | $13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9 | $12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7 | $16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7 | $9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7 |
| Fri | $23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8 | $19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10 | $18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8 | $23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8 | $12,122,298
+32.1% / +40%
$65,091,634 / 8 |
| Sat | $28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9 | $17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11 | $24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9 | $28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9 | $12,466,455
+2.8% / +16.8%
$77,558,089 / 9 |
| Sun | $24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10 | $14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12 | $18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10 | $23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10 | $10,866,920
-12.8% / +16.8%
$88,425,009 / 10 |
| Mon | $19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11 | $10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13 | $7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11 | $10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11 | $7,942,520
-26.9% / +42.4%
$96,367,529 / 11 |
| Tue | $18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12 | $9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14 | $7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12 | $9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12 | $8,012,909
+0.9% / +33.5%
$104,380,438 / 12 |
| Wed | $18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13 | $7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15 | $6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13 | $8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13 | $8,213,735
+2.5% / +130%
$112,594,173 / 13 |
| Thu | $14,738,136
-20.2% / +32.2%
$283,624,210 / 14 | $12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16 | $6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14 | $8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14 | $11,558,520
+40.7% / +25.9%
$124,152,693 / 14 |
| Fri | $25,274,008
+71.5% / +9.4%
$308,898,218 / 15 | $10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17 | $9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15 | $12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15 | $11,698,861
+1.2% / -3.5%
$135,851,554 / 15 |
| Sat | $25,835,551
+2.2% / -8.6%
$334,733,769 / 16 | $10,563,221
-0.4% / -38.8%
$283,395,934 / 18 | $14,665,667
+46.8% / -41%
$311,341,880 / 16 | $17,191,150
+35.3% / -39.2%
$380,987,031 / 16 | $12,726,625
+8.8% / +2.1%
$148,578,179 / 16 |
| Sun | $17,381,129
-32.7% / -28.3%
$352,114,898 / 17 | $7,015,027
-33.6% / -50.6%
$290,410,961 / 19 | $10,557,353
-28% / -44.3%
$321,899,233 / 17 | $12,764,034
-25.8% / -46.1%
$393,751,065 / 17 | $8,889,792
-30.1% / -18.2%
$157,467,971 / 17 |
| Mon | $8,094,554
-53.4% / -58.3%
$360,209,452 / 18 | $2,228,471
-68.2% / -77.8%
$292,639,432 / 20 | $4,304,211
-59.2% / -45.6%
$326,203,444 / 18 | $6,287,429
-50.7% / -40.2%
$400,038,494 / 18 | $3,022,271
-66% / -61.9%
$160,490,242 / 18 |
| Tue | $7,327,233
-9.5% / -59.9%
$367,536,685 / 19 | $2,015,440
-9.6% / -79%
$294,654,872 / 21 | $4,220,967
-1.9% / -43.6%
$330,424,411 / 19 | $5,661,240
-10% / -41.2%
$405,699,734 / 19 | $3,044,822
+0.7% / -62%
$163,535,064 / 19 |
| Wed | $6,909,167
-5.7% / -62.6%
$374,445,852 / 20 | $1,805,059
-10.4% / -76%
$296,459,931 / 22 | $3,709,259
-12.1% / -42.5%
$334,133,670 / 20 | $5,077,367
-10.3% / -42%
$410,777,101 / 20 | $2,841,351
-6.7% / -65.4%
$166,376,415 / 20 |
| Thu | $6,094,445
-11.8% / -58.6%
$380,540,297 / 21 | $1,651,907
-8.5% / -87.1%
$298,111,838 / 23 | $3,745,513
+1% / -42.1%
$337,879,183 / 21 | $4,734,366
-6.8% / -43.7%
$415,511,467 / 21 | $2,789,088
-1.8% / -75.9%
$169,165,503 / 21 |
| Fri | $13,280,653
+117.9% / -47.5%
$393,820,950 / 22 | $3,676,960
+122.6% / -65.3%
$301,788,798 / 24 | $5,966,100
+59.3% / -40.3%
$343,845,283 / 22 | $7,577,362
+60.1% / -40.4%
$423,088,829 / 22 | $7,738,150
+177.4% / -33.9%
$176,903,653 / 22 |
| Sat | $21,269,537
+60.2% / -17.7%
$415,090,487 / 23 | $6,439,410
+75.1% / -39%
$308,228,208 / 25 | $8,388,675
+40.6% / -42.8%
$352,233,958 / 23 | $10,502,243
+38.6% / -38.9%
$433,591,072 / 23 | $12,758,118
+64.9% / +0.2%
$189,661,771 / 23 |
| Sun | $15,756,027
-25.9% / -9.3%
$430,846,514 / 24 | $4,092,728
-36.4% / -41.7%
$312,320,936 / 26 | $6,251,803
-25.5% / -40.8%
$358,485,761 / 24 | $8,037,425
-23.5% / -37%
$441,628,497 / 24 | $8,220,042
-35.6% / -7.5%
$197,881,813 / 24 |
| Mon | $5,111,193
-67.6% / -36.9%
$435,957,707 / 25 | $1,098,097
-73.2% / -50.7%
$313,419,033 / 27 | $2,603,407
-58.4% / -39.5%
$361,089,168 / 25 | $3,742,198
-53.4% / -40.5%
$445,370,695 / 25 | $2,170,146
-73.6% / -28.2%
$200,051,959 / 25 |
| Tue | $5,066,734
-0.9% / -30.9%
$441,024,441 / 26 | $1,148,156
+4.6% / -43%
$314,567,189 / 28 | $2,749,175
+5.6% / -34.9%
$363,838,343 / 26 | $3,515,389
-6.1% / -37.9%
$448,886,084 / 26 | $2,386,164
+10% / -21.6%
$202,438,123 / 26 |
| Wed | $4,743,762
-6.4% / -31.3%
$445,768,203 / 27 | $989,404
-13.8% / -45.2%
$315,556,593 / 29 | $2,549,037
-7.3% / -31.3%
$366,387,380 / 27 | $3,002,302
-14.6% / -40.9%
$451,888,386 / 27 | $2,095,782
-12.2% / -26.2%
$204,533,905 / 27 |
| Thu | $4,698,802
-0.9% / -22.9%
$450,467,005 / 28 | $1,036,039
+4.7% / -37.3%
$316,592,632 / 30 | $2,310,578
-9.4% / -38.3%
$368,697,958 / 28 | $2,814,471
-6.3% / -40.6%
$454,702,857 / 28 | $2,200,465
+5% / -21.1%
$206,734,370 / 28 |
| Fri | Est. $10,400,000
+121.3% / -21.7%
$460,867,000 / 29 | $2,376,259
+129.4% / -35.4%
$318,968,891 / 31 | $3,241,311
+40.3% / -45.7%
$371,939,269 / 29 | $4,937,955
+75.4% / -34.8%
$459,640,812 / 29 | $7,418,385
+237.1% / -4.1%
$214,152,755 / 29 |
| Sat | Est. $17,300,000
+66.3% / -18.7%
$478,167,000 / 30 | $4,614,194
+94.2% / -28.3%
$323,583,085 / 32 | $4,482,398
+38.3% / -46.6%
$376,421,667 / 30 | $6,708,833
+35.9% / -36.1%
$466,349,645 / 30 | $12,357,344
+66.6% / -3.1%
$226,510,099 / 30 |
| Sun | Est. $13,600,000
-21.4% / -13.7%
$491,767,000 / 31 | $3,229,017
-30% / -21.1%
$326,812,102 / 33 | $3,277,977
-26.9% / -47.6%
$379,699,644 / 31 | $4,732,505
-29.5% / -41.1%
$471,082,150 / 31 | $10,235,305
-17.2% / +24.5%
$236,745,404 / 31 |
_________________
|
| Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:43 pm |
|
|
Who is online |
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 145 guests |
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum
|
|
