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 BETTING ODDS: Zombieland 
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Wall-E

Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
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Post BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
From Intertops.com

Box Office Opening Weekend Gross: ZOMBIELAND
Closing Date: Oct 02, 2009 13:00 GMT -4
Total Opening 3-Day Weekend Box Office: Friday 2nd October to Sunday 4th October
U.S. & Canada box office sales only.
16 million to 22 million +150
22 million to 27 million +150
27 million or more +200
16 million or less +400


Some luscious odds for some of these options.

I've feeling lucky this week. :yes:

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Thu Oct 01, 2009 11:44 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Not the best odds ever, $22 million being the middle number would still be very high for this movie. Might split on the top two options, then again the middle two options would be safest.


Fri Oct 02, 2009 12:05 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Don't see anything below $22m at this point, so should be a good pay day for whoever plays the top split.

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 12:11 am
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College Boy Z

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
I just have no idea with this movie. Honestly, without tracking and polls, I would have guessed like...$12m. But the polls are great on BOM, tracking is terrific, and the reviews are fantastic. So I guess I'm either going just $22-27m or splitting on top two.


Fri Oct 02, 2009 12:38 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
I'm also not too sure about this... Jennifer's Body had great buzz but did poorly. A lot of people who are causing the buzz won't be able to buy tickets because it's rated R.

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 1:54 am
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
27 or more!

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 2:30 am
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
16m or less!!!!
everyone place everything you have on it. You'll net a fortune!

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 3:02 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
How is this going to get 27+? It's not, that's how.

Not sure yet if I want o/u 16 or 22.

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 10:51 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
don't wait too long... u snooze u lose. ;)

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:19 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
don't wait too long... u snooze u lose. ;)

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:28 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
I smell overhype. It's going to follow the current trend and def not go over 27 million.

I see 16 - 22 or 22 - 27

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:45 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
I didn't bet. Under 16 and over 22 both seemed too likely, though I honestly don't see where all the 22+ predictions are coming from, unless it is just MTC>RS, which is not all that meaningful. My derby entry was 16, though that was what I felt was a safe play.

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Fri Oct 02, 2009 12:14 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
9.3 million Friday.

Any forecast for the weekend?

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Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:33 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
It'll fall into the 22-27 betting range.

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Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:38 pm
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College Boy Z

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Yup, definitely over $22m. $27m+, probably not.


Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:00 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Sweet. Wish I would've just stuck with $22-27 instead of splitting the top two. But still, very profitable! :thumbsup:


Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:03 pm
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College Boy Z

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Yeah, I wish I didn't bet on the top two either. I knew it couldn't do $27m but got nervous that it might break out. xiayun's posts always get me worried. :P Oh well, I still win a little bit this week.


Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:51 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Well I guess it could potentially still go that high. All it needs is a 15% Saturday increase and a healthy Sunday drop.


Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:56 pm
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Golfaholic
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Shit


Sat Oct 03, 2009 6:03 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
MG Casey wrote:
Well I guess it could potentially still go that high. All it needs is a 15% Saturday increase and a healthy Sunday drop.



I strongly doubt it'll increase...

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Sat Oct 03, 2009 8:04 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
Dr. Lecter wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
Well I guess it could potentially still go that high. All it needs is a 15% Saturday increase and a healthy Sunday drop.



I strongly doubt it'll increase...

I don't think it will increase either, but I'd still give it about a 15% shot of happening. Not holding my breath on it.


Sat Oct 03, 2009 8:10 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
zingy wrote:
Yeah, I wish I didn't bet on the top two either. I knew it couldn't do $27m but got nervous that it might break out. xiayun's posts always get me worried. :P Oh well, I still win a little bit this week.


I don't split unless it's with +400 or higher.


I ended up going with just 22-27. :thumbsup:

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Sun Oct 04, 2009 1:34 am
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
MG Casey wrote:
Sweet. Wish I would've just stuck with $22-27 instead of splitting the top two. But still, very profitable! :thumbsup:


Could you explain this to me.
Lets say you put $10 on 22-27 at +150, and $10 on 27+ at +200. Wouldn't your return for 22-27 be $15? If you start with $20 and end with $15, that's a loss. What am I doing wrong?

If I knew I could have won money splitting those two options, I'd have bet for sure.


Sun Oct 04, 2009 3:50 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Zombieland
With +150 on 100, you should get 25 back, with 15 being the profit. That's why when you think it will surely happen between the two ranges, splitting will always make you money unless you see a very rare sub +100 odd on a range.

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My thoughts on box office


Sun Oct 04, 2009 4:01 am
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