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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Star Trek 2 predictions mark66 wrote: Okay my dear friends, I officially declare my first club a failure... Judging by Friday's box office even the most generous IM doesn't point to anything more than $85m until Sunday...
However when I started the club last November most predictions looked like this:
less than 30 million opening with a finish around 70 million
-I put it at 35 million opening and 68 Million final
-opening? 30's, maybe 40
-$30 mil max.
-Even the best reboot imaginable does not point north of 40
-Make something like 46. When things go good....
Even though my club failed, the spirit of it is pretty much alive. J.J. Abrams delivered a crowd pleaser and proved that there is still life in this 43 year old franchise...
Let's enjoy the ride and start predictions for STAR TREK 2, coming to a theater near you in Summer 2011... Let's do it...
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Nothing Compares 2 U
Last edited by mark66 on Sun Dec 04, 2011 4:28 am, edited 2 times in total.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:10 am |
 
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Will open to $90-100 million and make $250+ million in total.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:11 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions So, you made a Dr. Lecter thread before Dr. Lecter could make it. Bravo, mark  _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:12 am |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am
Posts: 3139
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions 135 million OW
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:12 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Box wrote: So, you made a Dr. Lecter thread before Dr. Lecter could make it. Bravo, mark I waited for him to open a thread, but he didn't... 
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Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:14 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions 140/375
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:14 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Tough to say so soon obviously. However, keep in mind not all sequels to a well received film end up grossing more or significantly more.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:15 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Depends; Iron Man is primed to own next May. I see 160/475 for IM2 at the moment, a # ST2 wont touch.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:26 am |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Well the first one is destroying the "stigma" against ST, so that by the time this one hits, it won't exist. Considering that, and how the fanboys will be back in full force, and this should have magnificent WOM and probably great DVD sales/rentals, so yeah...this will be a lot bigger.
There's no point in guessing how much bigger just yet, but a lot bigger.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:39 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Whatever it is, it's not reaching TDK total. 
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| Sat May 09, 2009 3:36 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions I still feel Trek is too nerdy to reach those hights that some of you are thinking it's capable of. (heh, only a year ago people were mocking me for predicting outlandish numbers for Trek, how the tide has turned) I like Lecter's predictions, personally, around $100m for OW, maybe it'd go a little higher regarding its total, say $280m. But before settling for a number for the sequel, why don't we wait at least a week or two to see how Trek 11 performs, let's not get ahead of ourselves.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 6:00 am |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions 115/320 
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| Sat May 09, 2009 1:12 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions If on a regular weekend, I agree with Lecter: around $90-100m opening.
$250m+ finish... like around $275-290 million
4-day weekend could see a $110-120 million opening and maybe a chance at $300m
_________________
Top Movies of 2009
1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009
1. Nine
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| Sat May 09, 2009 3:52 pm |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am
Posts: 3139
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Let's not kid ourselves. Star Trek is no Star Wars. While SW is accepted amongst the mainstream, ST still has the geeky, nerd taboo associated with. In the coming weeks, as WOM continues to grow, the stigma will be destroyed. And as far as I'm concerned the sky is the limit for the next ST movie. JJ Abrams has been able to do what Lucas was not (or tried not to do), please old fans and bring in a new generation of fans. With the increase in IMAX and natural increase in inflation, my 135 million OW may even be low balling. Taken from Mark's other thread: Quote: When STAR TREK - THE MOTION PICTURE opened with $11.9m back in 1979 it represented the biggest opening weekend of all-time...
When STAR TREK II - THE WRATH OF KHAN opened with $14.3m back in 1982 it represented the biggest opening weekend of all-time...
When STAR TREK III - THE SEARCH FOR SPOCK opened with $16.7m back in 1984 it represented the 3rd biggest opening weekend of all-time... The potential is certainly there for a massive increase for ST2. Lets not forget how sensational WOM is for this movie. It is still at an A on Yahoo after 5000 reviews.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 4:12 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions IMDB rose to 8.6 (was 8.4 yesterday)
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| Sat May 09, 2009 4:15 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Taking into consideration moviegoers' rapidly growing taste for stupidity, I'm going to have to predict 210/760...
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| Sat May 09, 2009 4:20 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Bradley Witherberry wrote: Taking into consideration moviegoers' rapidly growing taste for stupidity, I'm going to have to predict 210/760... Bradley, believe or think of this as you will, but it is not stupid, and consequently making such a strong claim while the rest of the world including the most cynical of reviewers and movie fanatics disagree with you full-heartedly ironically makes you appear stupid. _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 4:25 pm |
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WarMaster506
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sun Mar 15, 2009 2:38 am
Posts: 92
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Bradley Witherberry wrote: Taking into consideration moviegoers' rapidly growing taste for stupidity, I'm going to have to predict 210/760... Stick to F & F dipshit
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| Sat May 09, 2009 4:28 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions John Savage wrote: Bradley Witherberry wrote: Taking into consideration moviegoers' rapidly growing taste for stupidity, I'm going to have to predict 210/760... Bradley, believe or think of this as you will, but it is not stupid, and consequently making such a strong claim while the rest of the world including the most cynical of reviewers and movie fanatics disagree with you full-heartedly ironically makes you appear stupid. Yeah, yeah... and Transformers was a PhD thesis in robotics. I could care less about what anyone else thinks, but you will find that others will begin to share my opinion as the hype starts to wear off (as usual)...
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| Sat May 09, 2009 4:36 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions WarMaster506 wrote: Bradley Witherberry wrote: Taking into consideration moviegoers' rapidly growing taste for stupidity, I'm going to have to predict 210/760... Stick to F & F dipshit Fuck off and die, newbie. (...or should I say: Fuck off and die, second account coward.)
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| Sat May 09, 2009 4:38 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Bradley Witherberry wrote: WarMaster506 wrote: Bradley Witherberry wrote: Taking into consideration moviegoers' rapidly growing taste for stupidity, I'm going to have to predict 210/760... Stick to F & F dipshit Fuck off and die, newbie. (...or should I say: Fuck off and die, second account coward.) yikes that's harsh for you Bradley. Didn't you hate F&F anyway?  _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 5:15 pm |
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Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions oh you guys
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| Sat May 09, 2009 5:38 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions John Savage wrote: yikes that's harsh for you Bradley. Didn't you hate F&F anyway? What I thought about F&F4 has nothing to do with my comments to WarMaster506. Would you consider calling a long term member of a forum a "dipshit" on your 18th post? From what I remember, you were polite from the start. I only tolerated you saying I "appear stupid" in this thread, because you took the time to learn the interpersonal dynamics of the forum before being bold enough to put forward your (incorrect) opinion. Besides, I was only half joking about my prediction - - I wouldn't be surprised to see the BO jump to ridiculous heights for the sequel, after I saw how far stupidity carried TDK last year. No matter, how stupid I thought the new Star Trek was, I have to say it's producers were very smart - - they know that there's a hot market for world class stupidity these days. Welcome to the birth of idiocracy in TRW...
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| Sat May 09, 2009 5:53 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions Bradley Witherberry wrote: John Savage wrote: yikes that's harsh for you Bradley. Didn't you hate F&F anyway? What I thought about F&F4 has nothing to do with my comments to WarMaster506. Would you consider calling a long term member of a forum a "dipshit" on your 18th post? From what I remember, you were polite from the start. I only tolerated you saying I "appear stupid" in this thread, because you took the time to learn the interpersonal dynamics of the forum before being bold enough to put forward your (incorrect) opinion. Besides, I was only half joking about my prediction - - I wouldn't be surprised to see the BO jump to ridiculous heights for the sequel, after I saw how far stupidity carried TDK last year. No matter, how stupid I thought the new Star Trek was, I have to say it's producers were very smart - - they know that there's a hot market for world class stupidity these days. Welcome to the birth of idiocracy in TRW... I wasn't saying you were necessarily in the wrong, I agree Warmaster has no right to talk like that being a total newb, and honestly, I still try to avoid sounding off unless it's really deserved, seeing as I've only been here 5 months, not 5 years. I was just expressing my surprise cause I don't often see you react so strongly to people, that's all. _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 5:56 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Trek 2 (Summer 2011) predictions He actually used that same insult on torri.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sat May 09, 2009 5:58 pm |
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