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the ultimate biu
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun Jun 08, 2008 3:37 am
Posts: 322
Location: London
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 Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) mark66 wrote: Studios are always lowballing their movies to prevent "disappointing numbers"... But I don't see $60M as a lowball. That's a great number _________________ I demand a SACRAFICE
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| Thu May 07, 2009 4:40 am |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) the ultimate biu wrote: mark66 wrote: Studios are always lowballing their movies to prevent "disappointing numbers"... But I don't see $60M as a lowball. That's a great number The important thing is that Paramount DOES see 60m as a lowball, otherwise they wouldn't have put it out there. _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Thu May 07, 2009 7:50 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) What i find surprising is Paramount expects 25-35m from overseas. That would be an absolutely terrible opening considering it opens in pretty much all important markets this weekend.
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| Thu May 07, 2009 8:07 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) mark66 wrote: Studios are always lowballing their movies to prevent "disappointing numbers"... DMA predicted 60M for MVA. They definitely did not low ball it. I remember Fox predicting 30's for TDTESS. They definitely did not low ball it as well. Plus dont ignore what rival studios thought about that number. I dont know why rival studios will low ball trek.
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| Thu May 07, 2009 8:35 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) Anne Thompson (blogger at Variety): Quote: Star Trek will open huge, and could mark the year's first $100 million weekend. Same blog: Quote: According to female ticket buyers polled at MovieTickets.com Apr. 21 to May 3:
· 52 percent are aware of the film “Star Trek†· 63 percent of those aware of the film intend to see “Star Trek†opening weekend. These are the highest pre-release polling numbers at MovieTickets.com in 2009 amongst female ticket buyers polled the week before a film’s release. “Star Trek†is tracking well across all age groups at MovieTickets.com, save 60-plus.
According to the same Apr. 21 – May 3 poll at MovieTickets.com, over 70 percent of three different age groups aware of “Star Trek†say they intend to see the film opening weekend. Here’s a breakdown: · 58 percent of Under-25s · 70 percent of 25-34s · 76 percent of 35-44s · 78 percent of 45-59s · 11 percent of 60-plus
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Last edited by mark66 on Thu May 07, 2009 3:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu May 07, 2009 10:01 am |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) hmm... and I thought the under 25 was the key demograph. Well I know a ton of high schoolers with interest in ST so if that is one of the lowest demographs, good sign.
I think it might be a little soft at my theater, since our biggest demograph is seniors (55+) but we do have a lot of 40-60 year olds as well, so they may show up. I think if it does over 200 tickets total tonight at my theater that's a pretty good sign for a strong OW.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Thu May 07, 2009 3:16 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) Okay, what do I think about the $7m in 5 hours?
Well, actually I was hoping for $10m, on the other hand IRON MAN did $4m in 4 hours on its way to $102m...
So this number doesn't give a clue where STAR TREK is heading 'til Sunday...
In other news:
IMDB is up to 8.4 (3.939 votes - 1 point haters down to 7.1 %)
Rotten Tomatoes upto 96 % (180/188) average still at 8.1...
Metacritic is down to 84 % (35 reviews)
Yahoo users straight A (2.000 votes)
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| Fri May 08, 2009 2:59 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) 100m is not happening, pure delusion.
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| Fri May 08, 2009 3:25 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) BJ wrote: 100m is not happening, pure delusion. sarcasm? _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Fri May 08, 2009 3:28 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) John Savage wrote: BJ wrote: 100m is not happening, pure delusion. sarcasm? nope, possible over the 4-day but not over the 3-day. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri May 08, 2009 3:30 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) Quote: 'Star Trek' opens at $7 million to $8 million last night, is outpacing 'Wolverine's' Friday morning ticket sales
"Star Trek" is on its way to a huge opening weekend.
Paramount's reboot of the classic franchise grossed between $7 million and $8 million from Thursday evening and midnight shows, according to knowledgeable industry source. That's bigger than last year's "Iron Man," which sold about $5 million of tickets on a comparable Thursday opening and went on to make $102.1 million by Sunday.
More notably, one person with access to box-office data said today that "Star Trek" had already sold about $3 million worth of tickets by this morning. That's twice as big as "X-Men Origins: Wolverine," which opened to $85 million, at the same point last week.
However, given the franchise's devoted base of hard-core fans, sales for the earliest shows don't necessarily mean the movie will go on to be as big as "Iron Man." But it's now looking very likely it will warp past tracking that indicated it would make between $65 million and $75 million.
Even distribution executives at competing studios, who usually remain nonplussed about competitors' performances, were uniformly impressed by the early returns.
Paramount hasn't yet released an official gross or responded to a request for comment.
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| Fri May 08, 2009 6:15 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (CLOSED) _________________
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| Fri May 08, 2009 10:10 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Declaration of defeat Okay my dear friends, I officially declare my first club a failure... Judging by Friday's box office even the most generous IM doesn't point to anything more than $85m until Sunday...
However when I started the club last November most predictions looked like this:
less than 30 million opening with a finish around 70 million
-I put it at 35 million opening and 68 Million final
-opening? 30's, maybe 40
-$30 mil max.
-Even the best reboot imaginable does not point north of 40
-Make something like 46. When things go good....
Even though my club failed, the spirit of it is pretty much alive. J.J. Abrams delivered a crowd pleaser and proved that there is still life in this 43 year old franchise...
Let's enjoy the ride and start predictions for STAR TREK 2, coming to a theater near you in Summer 2011...
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| Sat May 09, 2009 1:34 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) Yeah, failure, but the fact it'll make in 3.5 days what many (including me) thought it'd make in total is funny.
I can't wait to see it.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
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| Sat May 09, 2009 1:39 am |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) You had to hit around 80-85m 3.5 day to get the benefit of the doubt, but it was still a lot closer than most thought, even right before numbers hit.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:24 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) still get props for seeing a break out very ealy; this opened to literally double what most were expecting a few months ago.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 2:25 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) Like i said in the beginning, this will have a Batman Begins kinda performance. Maybe the sequel can flirt with $100m...
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| Sat May 09, 2009 5:39 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) the film will still power its way to 300m, sub 40% wknd2 drop guaranteed.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat May 09, 2009 1:34 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) It was a gutsy club that wasn't necessarily realistic but props for being closer than my prediction from back then.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 1:42 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) BJ wrote: the film will still power its way to 300m, sub 40% wknd2 drop guaranteed. Almost a 5 multiplier... HAHAHAHAHA _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sat May 09, 2009 1:54 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) Yup, I gotta admit that this blew my expectations away from when you opened this thread. You called a huge breakout early, even if $100m was absolutely absurd.
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| Sat May 09, 2009 1:56 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) Most predictable club failure ever at WOKJ (among clubs not created by BKB).
But it certainly outopened most expectations. After the first trailer I was thinking $45-50 million, but certainly not $70+ million.
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| Sun May 10, 2009 9:36 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club Actually, this was your first response...  Dr. Lecter wrote: No way.
Outgrossing the recent installments in one weekend? How often did that happen to franchise films? (and I mean outgrossing several installments in one weekend!)
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| Sun May 10, 2009 10:15 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) Hmm, was the trailer released by then?
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| Sun May 10, 2009 10:59 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: STAR TREK $100m opening weekend club (see post 318) Dr. Lecter wrote: Hmm, was the trailer released by then? Yep, because I opened the club after the first trailer - see first post: Quote: I never started a club before, but after watching the STAR TREK trailer I fully believe this one will open to $100m
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| Sun May 10, 2009 11:04 am |
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