speaking of Shutter Island

Red x?

Is The Fighter the Aronofsky picture? Cuz I think he's making Robocop first.

My updated perdicts

The Human Factor
The Informant
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Shutter Island

It looks like State of Play should be a contender but it has too early a release I think to really get noticed.

go for it

http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/Images/sto ... poster.jpg

First genuine awards contender of the year?

http://www.metacritic.com/film/titles/goodbyesolo

90 on Metacritic with three 100s, including a pristinely glowing one from Ebert (Calling the director the "new great American director"), and 100% on RT with 23 reviews so far. If it does well enough at the box office and Roadside handles it well, Original Screenplay could be possible, and Red West could always pull a Richard Jenkins/Richard Farnsworth.

Seems much smaller than usual for this type of film to gain any traction. We'll see I guess.

Sounds like a great flick, though.

Definitely, I look forward to seeing it eventually.

I linked the Shutter Island poster a few posts up.



Cape Fear Meets The Ring.

Yeah, very creepy.

Not sure if even the mighty Scorsese can get a horror film nominated. I haven't read the novel but I continue to hear mixed things (some LOVE it, some not so much).

What was the last director to follow up a BP winner with a BP nominee (Shine a Light doesn't count)? Eastwood missed it by a tiny bit.

Coppola maybe?

because it was a documentary or what? I would think SAL would count.

what would you change?

When was the last time a Documentary was nominated for Best Picture?

James L. Brooks, with Broadcast News, though he was nominated himself. Woody Allen is the last director to follow up a BP winner with a Director nomination (Interiors), but then that wasn't nominated for Picture! So the last director to follow up a BP winner with BOTH nominations was actually William Friedkin (THe Exorcist). Coppola's Godfather followup as technically The Conversation, which missed a Director nomination.

But yeah, that little fact has kept me from predicting King Kong, Geisha, Flags of Our Fathers and In the Valley of Elah. I don't see that changing.

It's Scorsese, though. I feel that the Academy and the moviegoers have started to warm up to him recently. I mean his last three films (not counting SAL again) got 26 Oscar noms and won 9 Oscars. The box-office of them kept increasing too with the average gross for the three being at $100+ million. (The Dearted was also one of the biggest WoM and DVD hits of its year).

DiCaprio starts to seem a bit overdue at this point too, so if he delivers the goods and can secure a Best Actor nom for himself, I think it'll propel the film to a BP nom as well. I also don' really see a gross of less than $60-70 million for it with the right marketing.

Yeah, but his last three films were Oscar baity as you could get. SI doesn't look Oscarish at all.

The Departed was, cast aside, anything but Oscar baity. You should go back and read the comments n it as that was what almost everyone was saying before it came out.

The Departed for me was the complete opposite of Oscar bait. I'm not the biggest fan of the film or its win, but yeah, it was a popcorn film all the way, which made its Oscar win kinda cool

I think Taking Woodstock can be safely removed from contention. Same with Away We Go.

Amelia (Mira Nair) Life of Amelia Earhart. 2% [ 4 ]
Avatar (James Cameron) First Feature Film Since Titanic. 7% [ 13 ]
Away We Go (Sam Mendes) Comedy about relationships. 0% [ 0 ]
Broken Embraces (Pedro Almodovar) Penelope Cruz thriller. 2% [ 5 ]
Cheri (Stephen Frears) Drama set in 1920's Paris. 4% [ 8 ]
How Do You Know? (James L Brooks) Comedy. 0% [ 0 ]
Inglorious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino) WWII Drama 4% [ 8 ]
The Human Factor (Clint Eastwood) Nelson Mandela drama. 11% [ 20 ]
The Informant (Steven Soderbergh) A Beautiful Mindish Thriller. 2% [ 5 ]
The Fighter (Darren Aronofsky) First wrestling, now boxing. 1% [ 2 ]
The Lovely Bones (Peter Jackson) Drama about heaven. 13% [ 22 ]
Nine (Rob Marshall) Adaptation of the hit Broadway musical. 11% [ 20 ]
Public Enemies (Michael Mann) John Dillinger vs the Feds. 9% [ 16 ]
A Serious Man (Coen Brothers) Comedy set in 1967. 1% [ 3 ]
Shutter Island (Martin Scorsese) Leo and Marty's 4th film. 13% [ 22 ]
State of Play (Kevin Macdonald) Based on hit BBC mini-series. 0% [ 1 ]
Taking Woodstock (Ang Lee) Comedy about 1969 music festival. 1% [ 3 ]
Tree of Life (Terence Malick) Brad Pitt drama set in the 1950s. 7% [ 13 ]
Up (Peter Docter) Pixar's latest. 1% [ 2 ]
Whatever Works (Woody Allen) Yearly effort. 0% [ 1 ]

Avatar for the win.

But it was a remake of a highly acclaimed award winning Asian flick directed by none other than Scorsese who at the time has been touted as long overdue for an Oscar with an all star cast. It's like saying Nine is not an Oscar baity movie. It was in an Oscar genre too (crime thriller)... Which part of the movie didn't sound like bait? The plot? The original should've been enough for the doubtful to recognize The Departed as an Oscar bait.

Nine and The Departed are world's apart. Which awards did the original Departed win?

Pretty much every single person disagreed on that, diminishing The Dparted's Oscar chances all the way until Oscar night because it was anything, but Oscar bait. It was very bloody, it was fun, it had over 200 "fuck"'s in it. That was NO Oscar bait.