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 September 19-21 Predictions 
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Post September 19-21 Predictions
You know the drill

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Sat Sep 13, 2008 1:57 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
What movies are opening next weekend?

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Sat Sep 13, 2008 2:42 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Releases with estimated theatre counts:

My Best Friend's Girl - 2,500+
Lakeview Terrace - 2,400
Igor - 2,300
Ghost Town - 1,400
Hounddog - 400

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Sat Sep 13, 2008 2:47 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Hounddog's the controversial Dakota Fanning movie, right?


Sat Sep 13, 2008 3:20 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Riggs wrote:
Hounddog's the controversial Dakota Fanning movie, right?


yes

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Sat Sep 13, 2008 3:48 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Hounddog is actually only opening in 11 theaters. They were first thinking of doing a fairly wide release, but now they are going to slolwy expand it. Probably because of the early bad reviews : (


Sat Sep 13, 2008 5:44 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
My Best Friend's Girl - 13
Lakeview Terrace - 10
Igor - 5
Ghost Town - 3


Sat Sep 13, 2008 7:29 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Every middle aged man who sees Hounddog this weekend should be marked into the suspicious characters and possible offenders database and have a tail follow them from that point on.

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Sat Sep 13, 2008 7:36 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Am I the only one who thinks it is fairly obvious that Lakeview Terrace will (somewhat) "break out" and grab the #1 spot?

The trailer was effective and attached to several big Summer movies.


Sat Sep 13, 2008 10:57 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
brooklyn wrote:
Am I the only one who thinks it is fairly obvious that Lakeview Terrace will (somewhat) "break out" and grab the #1 spot?

The trailer was effective and attached to several big Summer movies.


Maybe it's just me, but I'm actually still yet to see a trailer or TV spot. I didn't even know it was coming out next weekend until I read this thread.

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Sat Sep 13, 2008 11:01 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Webslinger wrote:
brooklyn wrote:
Am I the only one who thinks it is fairly obvious that Lakeview Terrace will (somewhat) "break out" and grab the #1 spot?

The trailer was effective and attached to several big Summer movies.


Maybe it's just me, but I'm actually still yet to see a trailer or TV spot. I didn't even know it was coming out next weekend until I read this thread.


I've definitely seen the most advertising for it of any of the new movies. I thought it seemed like an obvious hit. I see at the minimum 13 Million.


Sun Sep 14, 2008 12:45 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
My Best Friend's Girl - $13.8m
Lakeview Terrace - $11.1m
Igor - $4.6m
Ghost Town - $3.0m


Sun Sep 14, 2008 1:34 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
I think Igor can manage at Least 8m since there hasn't been a famiLy movie that did weLL in quite a Long time.


Sun Sep 14, 2008 2:04 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Has Igor been marketed at all? A few months back I would have thought it would be good for a $50m total gross - but looks like everyone is lowballing it.

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Sun Sep 14, 2008 3:58 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
My Best Friends Girl $12.75M
Lakeview Terrace $10.1M
Igor $5.75M
Ghost Town $4.4M


Sun Sep 14, 2008 12:14 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Boy, this Sept. is a yawner compared to other ones. I feel sorry for Ricky Gervais, he is so funny but he is stuck in Sixth Sense: The Comedy.

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Sun Sep 14, 2008 12:41 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Optimus_Prime wrote:
Boy, this Sept. is a yawner compared to other ones. I feel sorry for Ricky Gervais, he is so funny but he is stuck in Sixth Sense: The Comedy.


which is getting great reviews


Sun Sep 14, 2008 1:18 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Lakeview Terrace is heading for a $20 m + opening imo.


Sun Sep 14, 2008 5:03 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
O wrote:
Lakeview Terrace is heading for a $20 m + opening imo.


You really think so? It looks so pedestrian. I've certainly been wrong before, though.


Sun Sep 14, 2008 6:40 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Libs wrote:
O wrote:
Lakeview Terrace is heading for a $20 m + opening imo.


You really think so? It looks so pedestrian. I've certainly been wrong before, though.



Although I don't think a 20 million plus weekend is happening, a 15 million plus is certainly possible. I think it looks interesting enough to get that. Plus the trailer got a good reaction every time I saw it.

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Sun Sep 14, 2008 7:18 pm
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Seems really high for Igor considering the dearth of marketing. This doesn't seem like another Hoodwinked. Hopefully, Lakeview Terrace can exceed those low expectations.


Mon Sep 15, 2008 12:24 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
LAKEVIEW TERRACE - 15.8 MILLION
MY BEST FRIEND'S GIRL - 13.5 MILLION
IGOR - 6.3 MILLION
GHOST TOWN - 2.5 MILLION


Mon Sep 15, 2008 12:36 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
LAKEVIEW = $16m
BEST FRIEND = $11m
IGOR = $7m
GHOST TOWN = $6m


Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:08 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Magnus wrote:
RS Tracking:
Quote:
Think Lakeview has more potential than RS is giving it and Beverly Hills as kids eat that trailer up without fail.


MY BEST FRIEND'S GIRL: Mid Teens
IGOR: Low Teens
Lakeview: Mid Single Digits
Ghost Town: Low Single Digits (no longer even mid)

Future:
St Anna: Mid Single Digits
Eagle Eye: Low 30's
Nick & Norah: Low Double Digits
Nights in Rodanthe: Low Double Digits
Beverly Hills: Low 20's


As notfabio said, they are lowballing Lakeview. I think it will break double digits. But My Best Friend Girl is still the clear favorite to be no. 1.

Eagle Eye is looking good. Would not be surprised if it went to high 30s. Def. think Sept record is within range for this.




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Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:11 am
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Post Re: September 19-21 Predictions
Does Lakeview Terrace remind anyone of the movie Paparazzi? I mean the unintentional humor is almost the same unless it really was trying to convey the dark humor like Falling Down


Mon Sep 15, 2008 11:47 am
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