TDK's Tuesday can surpass TiH's OD if it dropped under 13%.

$4,093,125 MAMMA MIA!

Not to shabby either!

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -21&p=.htm

Thud! That was the sound of my jaw hitting the floor. TDK is that mystical magical movie that we always talked about, "what if?" And I would just like to say that TDK is going to be breaking ground we haven't seen for a while, when you gon BOM and see Biggest 12th weekend, it is usually movies from when the box office wasn't so frontloaded. TDK is going to register high on these lists and thats unheard of.

Oh god, poor Hellboy. 60+% drop during the summer? I just died a little inside.

What are the chances that this film gets 100 million for its second weekend? Has that ever happened before?

What if:
F 35
S 37
S 31
Tot = 103

Hairspray dropped 37% on the same frame last year (which kinda makes Mamma Mia!'s drop look bad). Any idea why?

Ok lets look at it in perspective.. No question the market was full, some people didn't get to see the film on the weekend. However even with a 25% drop today we are still talking 200m in 5 days. Now for the rest of its run if it gets a 55% drop this weekend for 70 mill and 55% drops the rest of its run we are talking 415m minimum. Throw in best WOM in history and the Ledger factor and you something incredibly larger. Lets say it still drops 55% this weekend but all following weekends drop 42%.. We are talking 485 Million. That is not at all out of the question! Now lets take it one step further......

Lets say a 53% drop this weekend for 74.7 million. And then 38.5 drops the entire run...
Your gross is looking like 524 million.

So a respectable range here is 415-524 million. But as we have seen with incredible WOM films, legs happen. So what happens with a 50% drop this weekend and then 30% weekly drops the rest of its run???? Well Titanic would be gone.

All from BOM:

1 THE DARK KNIGHT $24,493,313 -43.8% $182,904,796
2 MAMMA MIA! $4,093,125 -49.1% $31,844,365
3 HANCOCK $1,684,785 -58.2% $193,228,764
4 JOURNEY TO THE CENTER OF THE EARTH $1,624,423 -58.1% $45,129,135
5 WALL-E $1,425,526 -54.7% $184,158,235
6 HELLBOY II: THE GOLDEN ARMY $1,172,380 -62.6% $57,699,265
7 SPACE CHIMPS $987,040 -51.4% $8,168,414
8 WANTED $656,910 -57.5% $123,979,545
9 GET SMART $558,395 -48.9% $120,167,090
10 KUNG FU PANDA $282,367 -54% $206,898,748

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

As I mentioned somewhere on these forums TDK will do 100 million or above this weekend.

Poor thing.

comparing first & second place monday's grosses:
2008
TDK 24.4m
MM 4.0m

2006
DMC 18.1m
SR 2.6m

That's some pretty big Monday drops by the rest. TDK bested everyone in the top 10 by at least 5 points.

BTW, there's a slight chance that THE DARK KNIGHT will beat BATMAN BEGINS' total gross in five days! (even though six days is more realistic)

I just got chills.

Fastest to $200M in 5 days likely - shattered beyond belief...
Fastest to $300M, first movie before 3rd Friday, possibly by 10th day...
Top grossing movie of year locked by 3rd weekend...
George Lucas furiously planning to figure out how to reclaim the #2 spot, if even possible now...

We shouldn't get TOO excited. It's still just Monday, lots of spillover from weekend, and the Monday drop is not exactly uncommon at all given the Sunday drop.

Still, this is fucking awesome.

The only sequels I can think of that passed their predecessor at a faster rate would be T2, Austin Powers 2 and technically Clerks 2. Anything else?

I usually don't get that excited by high box office numbers but The Dark Knight has sort of transcended. It's doing so amazing.

In other news, Mamma Mia had a good drop too. AND I DON'T CARE, SAYING THAT ISN'T SPAM.

Rambo 2 maybe.

The only sequels to 100mil films that I can think of that outgrossed the predecessors anywhere near this fast were Rush Hour 2 and Shrek 2, which did it in 13 and 14 days. The Dark Knight is truly from another planet.

Of course the others mentioned were to films that didn't make a 100 million. Rambo, Terminator, and Austin Powers weren't big hits with their first movie, although adjusted for inflation Terminator is over a 100 now.

Sweet Jesus. I honestly expected about $19-20m but it looks like it's not just the opening weekend that's completely absurd, but the entire run. It could outgross Batman Begins in just five days. Absolutely phenomenal.

Nope - Rambo 2 took more than 7 days, including a Memorial Day Monday, to overtake First Blood. The Dark Knight will clearly beat that.

Amazing for THE DARK KNIGHT and also great for MAMMA MIA.

Poor HELLBOY. That is so horrible.

Absolutely insane and unprecedented. I do think the great hold can partially be attributed to the weekend being unable to adequately meet demand. I wouldn't be surprised with an 18-20% drop today. Anything less than 15% would impressive the hell out of me.

First Monday | First Weekend Ratios for $40m+ Openers:

	Title	Year	%
1	Spider-Man 2	2004	31.4%
2	Meet the Fockers	2004	30.2%
3	The Perfect Storm	2000	30.0%
4	Madagascar	2005	29.2%
5	Pearl Harbor	2001	27.2%
6	Kingdom of the Crystal Skull	2008	26.7%
7	Godzilla	1998	26.5%
8	Bruce Almighty	2003	26.2%
9	The Day After Tomorrow	2004	25.2%
10	The Lost World	1997	25.0%
11	Mission: Impossible	1996	25.0%
12	Superman Returns	2006	24.7%
13	The Longest Yard	2005	23.1%
14	Mission: Impossible II	2000	22.4%
15	At World's End	2007	21.9%
16	The Two Towers	2002	21.8%
17	X-Men 3	2006	19.6%
18	War of the Worlds	2005	18.8%
19	Return of the King	2003	18.7%
20	Jurassic Park	1993	18.3%
21	Batman	1989	17.9%
22	Hitch	2005	17.4%
23	The Phantom Menace	1999	16.8%
24	Independence Day	1996	16.4%
25	Ratatouille	2007	16.1%
26	Pirates of the Caribbean	2003	16.1%
27	Book of Secrets	2007	15.6%
28	The Dark Knight	2008	15.5%
29	Fellowship of the Ring	2001	15.5%
30	Charlie and the Chocolate Factory	2005	15.2%
31	Big Daddy	1999	15.2%
32	Cloverfield	2008	15.2%
33	Talladega Nights	2006	14.8%
34	The Spy Who Shagged Me	1999	14.7%
35	Signs	2002	14.6%
36	Men in Black	1997	14.6%
37	Ghost Rider	2007	14.6%
38	Batman Returns	1992	14.5%
39	American Pie 2	2001	14.4%
40	Scary Movie	2000	14.4%
41	Transformers	2007	14.1%
42	Wall-E	2008	14.1%
43	Click	2006	14.1%
44	Austin Powers in Goldmember	2002	14.0%
45	Rush Hour 2	2001	14.0%
46	Batman Begins	2005	13.6%
47	The Order of the Phoenix	2007	13.5%
48	Hancock	2008	13.5%
49	Dead Man's Chest	2006	13.4%
50	Batman Forever	1995	13.4%
51	Attack of the Clones	2002	13.3%
52	Revenge of the Sith	2005	13.2%
53	The Bourne Ultimatum	2007	13.2%
54	Terminator 3	2003	13.0%
55	The Fast and the Furious	2001	13.0%
56	Bad Boys II	2003	12.9%
57	The Simpsons Movie	2007	12.5%
58	Wanted	2008	12.5%
59	The Bourne Supremacy	2007	12.3%
60	Mr. and Mrs. Smith	2005	12.2%
61	I, Robot	2004	12.2%
62	The Passion of the Christ	2004	12.1%
63	Planet of the Apes	2001	12.0%
64	The Village	2004	11.8%
65	Daredevil	2003	11.7%
66	X-Men	2000	11.6%
67	Jurassic Park III	2001	11.6%
68	The Da Vinci Code	2006	11.4%
69	xXx	2002	11.3%
70	Men in Black II	2002	11.2%
71	8 Mile	2002	11.2%
72	King Kong	2005	11.2%
73	Scooby Doo	2002	11.1%
74	The Matrix Reloaded	2003	11.1%
75	Fantastic Four	2005	11.0%
76	Batman & Robin	1997	10.9%
77	The Nutty Professor II	2000	10.9%
78	The Incredible Hulk	2008	10.8%
79	Shrek 2	2004	10.7%
80	300	2007	10.7%
81	Cars	2006	10.7%
82	Rush Hour 3	2007	10.6%
83	Kung Fu Panda	2008	10.5%
84	Fantastic Four II	2007	10.2%
85	Finding Nemo	2003	9.9%
86	Tomb Raider	2001	9.9%
87	Shrek	2001	9.9%
88	Scary Movie 4	2006	9.9%
89	Hulk	2003	9.8%
90	Troy	2004	9.8%
91	I Am Legend	2007	9.7%
92	Sex and the City	2008	9.7%
93	Spider-Man	2002	9.6%
94	The Matrix Revolutions	2003	9.5%
95	Casino Royale	2006	9.4%
96	The Prisoner of Azkaban	2004	9.0%
97	Prince Caspian	2008	8.7%
98	The Mummy	1999	8.4%
99	2 Fast 2 Furious	2003	8.3%
100	American Gangster	2007	8.2%
101	Horton Hears a Who!	2008	8.0%
102	Shrek 3	2007	7.9%
103	The Goblet of Fire	2005	7.8%
104	X2	2003	7.7%
105	Die Another Day	2002	7.7%
106	Van Helsing	2004	7.6%
107	Harry Potter	2001	7.4%
108	Mission: Impossible III	2006	7.4%
109	Happy Feet	2006	7.3%
110	Deep Impact	1998	7.3%
111	The Mummy Returns	2001	7.2%
112	Hannibal	2001	7.2%
113	Iron Man	2008	7.0%
114	The Chronicles of Narnia	2005	7.0%
115	Anger Management	2003	6.9%
116	Charlie's Angels	2000	6.9%
117	Spider-Man 3	2007	6.8%
118	How the Grinch Stole Christmas	2000	6.6%
119	Ice Age	2002	6.5%
120	The Chamber of Secrets	2002	6.0%
121	Monsters, Inc.	2001	6.0%
122	Alvin and the Chipmunks	2007	6.0%
123	Ice Age 2	2006	5.9%
124	Scary Movie 3	2003	5.8%
125	The Incredibles	2004	5.4%
126	Shark Tale	2004	4.9%
127	Chicken Little	2005	4.8%
128	Toy Story 2	1999	4.4%

This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

(excludes The Lion King and Twister)

It's ridiculously impressive that TDK is so high on this list. As far as non-holiday affected films go, only Batman, Jurassic Park, ID4, and POTC are above it.

Sunday-Monday Declines ($40m+):

	Title	Year	%	Sunday	Monday
1	Spider-Man 2	2004	26.0%	$21,955,628	$27,661,137
2	The Perfect Storm	2000	-6.8%	$13,300,000	$12,396,408
3	Madagascar	2005	-10.6%	$15,418,361	$13,787,536
4	Pearl Harbor	2001	-18.5%	$19,749,861	$16,098,742
5	Kingdom of the Crystal Skull	2008	-18.9%	$33,032,721	$26,779,538
6	Godzilla	1998	-20.3%	$14,650,511	$11,679,410
7	The Day After Tomorrow	2004	-20.4%	$21,449,531	$17,063,757
8	Bruce Almighty	2003	-20.7%	$22,413,105	$17,780,715
9	X-Men 3	2006	-21.6%	$25,650,557	$20,110,492
10	The Longest Yard	2005	-22.1%	$14,122,159	$11,006,765
11	At World's End	2007	-26.5%	$34,121,377	$25,069,370
12	Superman Returns	2006	-27.0%	$17,797,603	$12,988,054
13	Mission: Impossible	1996	-27.0%	$15,579,807	$11,374,772
14	Meet the Fockers	2004	-28.4%	$19,419,360	$13,913,690
15	Hitch	2005	-29.1%	$10,594,290	$7,515,442
16	The Lost World	1997	-30.9%	$26,083,950	$18,029,095
17	The Two Towers	2002	-32.6%	$20,031,131	$13,509,942
18	Mission: Impossible II	2000	-32.6%	$19,236,656	$12,970,918
19	Cloverfield	2008	-32.6%	$9,028,443	$6,088,317
20	War of the Worlds	2005	-38.4%	$19,775,949	$12,183,228
21	Jurassic Park	1993	-39.7%	$14,303,800	$8,618,340
22	Return of the King	2003	-41.9%	$23,326,111	$13,563,208
23	Batman	1989	-43.1%	$12,725,416	$7,239,126
24	Independence Day	1996	-43.6%	$14,575,413	$8,225,381
25	The Dark Knight	2008	-43.8%	$43,596,151	$24,493,313
26	Ratatouille	2007	-44.5%	$13,598,308	$7,550,960
27	Book of Secrets	2007	-44.8%	$12,699,785	$7,004,295
28	Talladega Nights	2006	-46.4%	$12,990,767	$6,968,211
29	Charlie and the Chocolate Factory	2005	-47.0%	$16,112,728	$8,534,478
30	Ghost Rider	2007	-47.5%	$12,630,333	$6,634,072
31	Pirates of the Caribbean	2003	-47.8%	$14,374,903	$7,504,567
32	Batman Returns	1992	-48.5%	$12,829,251	$6,605,992
33	Big Daddy	1999	-48.6%	$12,312,000	$6,334,147
34	Dead Man's Chest	2006	-48.7%	$35,360,729	$18,140,271
35	Scary Movie 4	2006	-48.8%	$7,762,176	$3,973,984
36	Scary Movie	2000	-49.5%	$12,090,000	$6,102,126
37	Wall-E	2008	-49.9%	$17,807,221	$8,913,286
38	Signs	2002	-50.0%	$17,548,761	$8,773,638
39	Click	2006	-50.0%	$11,281,471	$5,638,403
40	The Phantom Menace	1999	-50.4%	$21,929,334	$10,881,272
41	Men in Black	1997	-50.9%	$15,126,003	$7,433,260
42	Austin Powers in Goldmember	2002	-51.4%	$20,974,475	$10,200,239
43	Batman Forever	1995	-51.6%	$14,580,161	$7,063,641
44	American Pie 2	2001	-51.7%	$13,477,195	$6,508,875
45	Daredevil	2003	-51.8%	$9,789,964	$4,723,035
46	The Simpsons Movie	2007	-52.4%	$19,479,149	$9,277,515
47	Rush Hour 2	2001	-52.5%	$19,956,000	$9,470,392
48	The Bourne Ultimatum	2007	-52.7%	$19,324,800	$9,131,700
49	The Fast and the Furious	2001	-53.0%	$11,063,880	$5,203,440
50	The Village	2004	-53.4%	$12,886,097	$6,006,877
51	Hancock	2008	-53.6%	$18,294,508	$8,481,615
52	Fellowship of the Ring	2001	-53.9%	$15,915,778	$7,332,948
53	The Spy Who Shagged Me	1999	-54.1%	$16,565,000	$7,609,000
54	The Order of the Phoenix	2007	-54.6%	$22,955,554	$10,415,480
55	Transformers	2007	-55.2%	$22,144,125	$9,927,640
56	Bad Boys II	2003	-55.2%	$13,435,935	$6,017,302
57	Wanted	2008	-55.3%	$14,271,625	$6,381,750
58	The Bourne Supremacy	2004	-55.5%	$14,543,175	$6,472,425
59	Mr. & Mrs. Smith	2005	-55.9%	$13,972,763	$6,165,118
60	X-Men	2000	-56.0%	$14,406,045	$6,332,165
61	Attack of the Clones	2002	-56.3%	$24,369,439	$10,660,341
62	8 Mile	2002	-56.4%	$13,103,235	$5,718,050
63	Sex and the City	2008	-56.7%	$12,716,359	$5,512,485
64	Terminator 3	2003	-57.0%	$13,264,560	$5,705,435
65	I, Robot	2004	-57.3%	$14,901,033	$6,362,656
66	Men in Black II	2002	-57.5%	$13,811,088	$5,864,188
67	Batman Begins	2005	-57.7%	$15,656,151	$6,627,412
68	300	2007	-57.9%	$18,097,726	$7,617,203
69	Fantastic Four	2005	-57.9%	$14,656,001	$6,176,738
70	Revenge of the Sith	2005	-58.0%	$34,212,468	$14,352,807
71	Planet of the Apes	2001	-58.0%	$19,552,000	$8,219,306
72	xXx	2002	-58.0%	$11,960,715	$5,017,652
73	The Da Vinci Code	2006	-58.3%	$21,125,768	$8,811,932
74	Scooby Doo	2002	-58.8%	$14,613,958	$6,014,477
75	I Am Legend	2007	-59.3%	$18,356,821	$7,465,450
76	Batman & Robin	1997	-59.8%	$11,660,719	$4,688,266
77	Rush Hour 3	2007	-59.9%	$13,031,000	$5,227,000
78	Jurassic Park III	2001	-60.3%	$14,783,370	$5,872,140
79	The Matrix Reloaded	2003	-61.2%	$26,054,783	$10,108,350
80	The Incredible Hulk	2008	-61.4%	$15,562,200	$6,010,405
81	Tomb Raider	2001	-62.3%	$12,531,000	$4,725,061
82	Hulk	2003	-62.5%	$16,305,255	$6,112,200
83	The Nutty Professor II	2000	-62.5%	$12,352,020	$4,636,065
84	Cars	2006	-62.6%	$17,124,836	$6,407,907
85	The Matrix Revolutions	2003	-63.1%	$12,420,905	$4,587,414
86	Kung Fu Panda	2008	-63.5%	$17,285,274	$6,316,507
87	The Passion of the Christ	2004	-63.6%	$27,860,195	$10,131,876
88	King Kong	2005	-63.8%	$15,556,225	$5,638,125
89	Fantastic Four 2	2007	-64.1%	$16,413,435	$5,896,708
90	Troy	2004	-64.1%	$12,752,783	$4,577,335
91	Casino Royale	2006	-64.1%	$10,677,868	$3,836,772
92	American Gangster	2007	-64.4%	$10,047,660	$3,573,180
93	The Prisoner of Azkaban	2004	-64.8%	$23,925,205	$8,428,431
94	Spider-Man	2002	-65.3%	$31,814,980	$11,034,785
95	2 Fast 2 Furious	2003	-66.6%	$12,490,320	$4,174,805
96	Shrek 2	2004	-67.0%	$34,900,541	$11,512,320
97	Die Another Day	2002	-68.1%	$11,406,652	$3,637,421
98	Finding Nemo	2003	-68.5%	$22,032,107	$6,945,560
99	Shrek	2001	-68.5%	$13,251,433	$4,173,525
100	The Mummy	1999	-68.5%	$11,568,445	$3,642,215
101	Anger Management	2003	-68.5%	$9,296,191	$2,929,271
102	Van Helsing	2005	-68.6%	$12,583,985	$3,950,375
103	Prince Caspian	2008	-68.7%	$15,240,939	$4,774,987
104	The Goblet of Fire	2005	-68.8%	$25,848,463	$8,055,221
105	X2	2003	-70.6%	$22,310,123	$6,549,717
106	Horton Hears a Who!	2008	-72.0%	$12,901,768	$3,615,494
107	Charlie's Angels	2000	-72.0%	$9,884,030	$2,767,188
108	Mission: Impossible III	2006	-72.2%	$12,701,240	$3,531,502
109	The Mummy Returns	2001	-72.4%	$17,838,245	$4,931,450
110	Hannibal	2001	-72.6%	$15,218,000	$4,171,700
111	Harry Potter	2001	-72.8%	$24,448,477	$6,642,702
112	Deep Impact	1998	-72.9%	$11,080,669	$3,004,361
113	Shrek 3	2007	-73.3%	$36,124,782	$9,632,139
114	The Chronicles of Narnia	2005	-73.3%	$17,223,441	$4,603,152
115	Iron Man	2008	-73.4%	$26,034,208	$6,934,568
116	Scary Movie 3	2003	-73.9%	$10,714,000	$2,801,000
117	Spider-Man 3	2007	-74.2%	$39,937,865	$10,285,268
118	Happy Feet	2006	-75.1%	$12,148,078	$3,022,447
119	Ice Age	2002	-77.8%	$13,603,378	$3,019,472
120	Ice Age 2	2006	-78.2%	$18,293,907	$3,984,233
121	Alvin and the Chipmunks	2007	-78.2%	$12,122,872	$2,641,866
122	The Chamber of Secrets	2002	-78.3%	$24,512,232	$5,321,301
123	How the Grinch Stole Christmas	2000	-78.4%	$16,729,450	$3,611,685
124	Monsters, Inc.	2001	-79.5%	$18,240,489	$3,747,215
125	Toy Story 2	1999	-81.3%	$13,431,816	$2,511,086
126	The Incredibles	2004	-81.4%	$20,440,611	$3,802,480
127	Shark Tale	2004	-82.7%	$13,598,117	$2,356,076
128	Chicken Little	2005	-84.2%	$12,122,834	$1,916,322

This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

(excludes The Lion King and Twister)

Only JP, Batman, and ID4 held better, once again.