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 Our Consensus In The Top 10 Categories 
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly


Sun Jan 20, 2008 7:14 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Best Director

PTA, There Will Be Blood
Ridley Scott, American Gangster
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Sean Penn, Into The Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 8:20 am
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Sbil

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Ethan Coen & Joel Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly


Sun Jan 20, 2008 12:19 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
P.T. Anderson, There Will Be Blood
The Coens, No Country for Old Men
Sean Penn, Into the Wind
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright, Atonement

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


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I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sun Jan 20, 2008 2:39 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-3 Days (Best Actress)
Best Director

P.T. Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd: Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Sean Penn, Into The Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

It's been so hard for me to decide who the lone director slot will go to, now that Julian Schnabel won't be the lone director, since Diving Bell is so bloody strong and will be nominated for Best Picture. I've finally decided that Tim Burton will likely get the nomination - even though the film won't be nominated. I think everyone agrees it's his return back to Burton glory, and there are no other directors I would pin as being "lone director" material.

The other 4 spots seem locked to me: Anderson, Coens, Penn, and Schnabel.

Peace,
Mike


Sun Jan 20, 2008 3:12 pm
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why so serious?
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Depends a lot on how Picture plays out.

Paul Thomas Anderson- There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen- No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy- Michael Clayton
Sean Penn- Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel- The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 3:23 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson(it feels so weird typing his full name), There Will Be Blood
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Joe Wright, Atonement

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 3:30 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
If Atonement gets into Best Picture, it will be Joe Wright and my gut says Joe Wright but I think I'm gonna go with facts and say Gilroy

Paul Thomas Anderson
Joel and Ethan Coen
Tony Gilroy
Sean Penn
Julian Schnabel

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 3:33 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 3:39 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Julian Schnabel)
Into the Wild (Sean Penn)
No Country for Old Men (Ethan Coen, Joel Coen)
There Will Be Blood (Paul Thomas Anderson)
Zodiac (David Fincher)


Sun Jan 20, 2008 3:55 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Ballsy move with Zodiac there

I'm saving my no guts no glory pick for tomorrow. :twisted:

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 3:57 pm
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why so serious?
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Let me guess: It has something to do with Sweeney Todd, no? ;)

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 4:37 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Joe Wright, Atonement
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly


Sun Jan 20, 2008 6:06 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Webslinger wrote:
Let me guess: It has something to do with Sweeney Todd, no? ;)


nope

Sweeney's dead as can be

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 6:51 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-3 Days (Best Actress)
Best Director

1 Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
2 Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
3 Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
4 Sean Penn, Into The Wild
5 Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton

Although I won't be surprised to see Joe Wright bump out either Anderson on Penn instead of bumping out Gilroy, as directors love to nominate the performance-centric direction style of Gilroy.


Sun Jan 20, 2008 7:30 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Joel/Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Sean Penn - Into the Wild

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 8:54 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
2000? Soderbergh had been nominated before for writing, but not directing, and it was the first time for Ang and Daldry.

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sun Jan 20, 2008 9:20 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Yeah, but Scott was the only one who had been nominated for Best Director prior to that year.

I mean, if you want to get down to it, Penn and PTA are a prior nominees also, just not for Directing.

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sun Jan 20, 2008 9:26 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Hmm, I guess that makes sense.

Looking over the past Director nominees, there are years with some bizarre picks (04 with Hackford and Leigh, 95 with Mike Figgis, Chris Noonan, and Michael Radford - who?) and then some really solid years (01 had Altman, PJ, Lynch, Scott... and Ron Howard). In a year with so many great director's films, it makes me kinda sad that potentially three first-time (or close to it) directors are gonna get Oscar noms, over largely ignored visionary directors like Burton, Fincher + Cronenberg.

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sun Jan 20, 2008 9:42 pm
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why so serious?
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Shack wrote:
Webslinger wrote:
Let me guess: It has something to do with Sweeney Todd, no? ;)


nope

Sweeney's dead as can be


It had better be. I just got back from seeing it. It's a good movie, but I don't see how the hell it can be proclaimed as a masterpiece of any sort. I'd be really pissed if it somehow managed anything outside some deserved tech nods and maybe something for Depp.

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Sun Jan 20, 2008 10:05 pm
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Cream of the Crop
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-2 Days (Best Director)
Best Director

Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Sean Penn, Into The Wild
Joe Wright, Atonement

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Mon Jan 21, 2008 6:33 am
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Golfaholic
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-1 Day (Best Picture)
Best Picture

The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
Juno
There Will Be Blood


Mon Jan 21, 2008 7:34 am
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Cream of the Crop
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-1 Day (Best Picture)
Best Picture

Atonement
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
There Will Be Blood

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Mon Jan 21, 2008 8:03 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-1 Day (Best Picture)
No Country for Old Men
Michael Clayton
Atonement
Juno
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly.

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Best Actress 2008


Mon Jan 21, 2008 10:26 am
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Sbil

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-1 Day (Best Picture)
Throughout my entire history of predicting the Oscars, I've never been this unsure of predicting the Best Picture noms.

Best Picture
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood


Mon Jan 21, 2008 11:44 am
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