http://news.fantasymoguls.com/originalc ... tim-1.html

EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Cloverfield (Paramount) - $18.25M, $5,350 PTA [$18.25M cume]
2. NEW – 27 Dresses (Fox) - $8.65M, $2,830 PTA [$8.65M cume]
3. The Bucket List (Warner Bros) - $4.08M, $1,402 PTA [$31.6M cume]
4. Juno (Fox Searchlight) - $3.03M, $1,196 PTA [$78.1M cume]
5. First Sunday (Sony) - $2.33M, $1,057 PTA [$23M cume]
6. NEW – Mad Money (Overture) - $2.25M, $650 PTA [$2.25M cume]
7. National Treasure: Book of Secrets (Disney) - $2.05M, $547 PTA [$191.9M cume]
8. Alvin & the Chipmunks (Fox) - $1.67M, $565 PTA [$191.0 cume]
9. I Am Legend (Warner Bros) - $1.5M, $597 PTA [$244M cume]
10. Atonement (Focus) - $1.24M, $968 PTA [$28.3M cume]
11. One Missed Call (Warner Bros) - $920,000, $478 PTA [$22.5M cume]
12. There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) - $762,000, $1,959 PTA [$5.7M cume]
13. Sweeney Todd (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $714,000, $474 PTA [$46.1M cume]
14. P.S. I Love You (Warner Bros) - $605,000, $372 PTA [$49M cume]
15. Pirates Who Don't Do Anything (Universal) -$560,000, $418 PTA [$5.4M cume]
16. Charlie Wilson's War (Universal) - $542,000, $401 PTA [$61.3M cume]
17. The Great Debaters (Weinstein/MGM) - $392,000, $384 PTA [$26.8M cume]
18. The Orphanage (Picturehouse) - $332,000, $473 PTA [$4.1M cume]
19. No Country for Old Men (Miramax) - $325,000, $397 PTA [$47.7M cume]
20. The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep (Sony) - $310,000 , $187 PTA [$36.1M cume]
*The Kite Runner (Paramount Vantage) - $270,000, $446 PTA [$11.8M cume]
*Enchanted (Disney) - $195,000, $254 PTA [$122.9M cume]
*NEW – Cassandra's Dream (Weinstein/MGM) - $111,000, 1,035 PTA [$111,000 cume]
*The Savages (Fox Searchlight) - $95,000, $543 PTA [$3.2M cume]
*The Golden Compass (New Line) - $91,000, $268 PTA [$67.9M cume]
*The Diving Bell & the Butterfly (Miramax) - $86,000, $804 PTA [$2.1M cume]
*Persepolis (Sony Classics) - $63,000, $3,706 PTA [$687,000 cume]
*NEW – Little Chenier (Slowhand Releasing) - $27,468, $ 1,526 PTA [$27,468 cume]
*NEW – Blonde and Blonder (Hanover House) - $9,600, $600 PTA [$9,600 cume]
*NEW – Teeth (Roadside Attractions) - $9,156, $2,289 PTA [$9,156 cume]
*NEW – Taxi to the Dark Side (Thinkfilm) - $2,702, $1,351 PTA [$2,702 cume]
*NEW – Summer Palace (Palm) - $2,078, $2,078 PTA [$2,078 cume]
*NEW – Day Zero (Glass Key) - $1,827, $1,827 PTA [$1,827 cume]
*NEW – Bombay to Bankok (Eros Entertainment) - $1,350, $270 PTA [$1,350 cume]

That should give Cloverfield $50-53m over 4 days, $27-29m for 27 Dresses, and $6.5-7m for Mad Money.

Stupid Clovercrap.

Right on for 27 Dresses and Mad Money.

Amazing for the two openers. This will definetely be a record January. Also, Mad Money didn't do that bad, per se.

Cloverfield is no 300 but still good.

Nice hold for The Bucket List. 100M here we come!

Alvin also held well.

Woody Allen's latest flopped.

How is that for Teeth? Good or bad?

Why so low?
Some IMs:
2007
3.59 STOMP THE YARD
3.17 ALPHA DOG
3.05 PRIMEVAL
2006
3.86 GLORY ROAD
4.19 LAST HOLIDAY
3.07 TRISTAN & ISOLDE

If PRIMEVAL & T&I can manage a multiplier of 3something than CLOVERFIELD should do around $55m and 27 DRESSES could do $32m with a multiplier of 3.75 and MAD MONEY around $8.5m... (even though MONEY could have the same IM as LAST HOLIDAY = $9.5m)

I don't think Cloverfield could manage 3.0 IM over 4 days with its frontloadedness.

Since your the resident box office expert, is that Friday estimate good or bad for Teeth being it's on 4 screens?

Are there already signs of frontloadedness worse than PRIMEVAL?

I think the number is low. I expect Cloverfield over 20m and it won't drop hard as the WoM is good IMO.

BTW, doesn't FM have a history of not including Midnights?

Angry coz it'll beat SW SE's January opening record, are we?

Rather they have a history of not taking into account friday midnights in their saturday projections.

Very impressive for Cloverfield (come on, it's January), and I'm glad to see 27 Dresses do well. Heigl gets a lot of flak, but I like her. So yay for her (and James Marsden, bless him) starring in a hit.

I'm sort of pissed that it didn't break 20m, now that it has come so close...

If those hold up, outstanding for both Cloverfield and 27 Dresses.

These past 6-7 months really have been outstanding for James Marsden, huh?

Yes, he's on his way up. I doubt he forsaw his career taking off when he signed up for this.

Fuuuuuuuuuck I hate when that happens

yeah, I was thinking the same..

Hairspray - Enchanted - 27 Dresses..

gotta love this guy..

James Marsden seems like a nice guy - he deserves the success.

Great for Cloverfield and 27 Dresses - exactly as expected. Saw Cloverfield tonight and it was great. Then sneaked into 27D for about 25 mins and then left.

What sort of drop is that for Bucket List? Seems solid.

Outstanding for Cloverfield. How can someone be disspointed with that kind of number, in JANUARY! Solid for 27D, more happy for Marseden who deserves the sucess.

Great weekend.

CLOVERFIELD did what it should do. Nothing more, nothing less.

Hope Cloverfield is higher. It atleast has to cross $55M 3 day.

Stupid Heigl is gonna be paid more now.

Ofcourse. But more because it didn't match my bonanza predictions.