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 Our Consensus In The Top 10 Categories 
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Sbil

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
Julia is not getting nominated for Charlie Wilson's War. No, no, no.


Thu Jan 17, 2008 6:54 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
I don't think Hoffman will miss out. Not only is he quite deserving, but he had two other performances this year that were (apparently) just as good. So the Academy will give him the nomination as a way of awarding him for all of his work.

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Thu Jan 17, 2008 7:03 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
Paul Dano - There Will Be Blood

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Catherine Keener - Into the Wild

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Thu Jan 17, 2008 7:38 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
Supporting Actor

Casey Affleck- The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem- No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman- Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook- Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson- Michael Clayton

Supporting Actress

Cate Blanchett- I'm Not There
Catherine Keener- Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan- Atonement
Amy Ryan- Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton- Michael Clayton

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Thu Jan 17, 2008 8:05 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
I think Dano and Garner will somehow get in to their respective categories. I'm really rooting for both. And if they get in, they'd probably be my favorites in each category.

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Thu Jan 17, 2008 8:38 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
I think these seem to be the safe picks:

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

And I say our two potential spoilers are...

Jennifer Garner, in place of Ronan.

And Paul Dano, upsetting PSH.

Incidentally, I really hope those two get in and Ronan and PSH miss out. Biased? Nah... (probably.)


Fri Jan 18, 2008 12:20 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
I'd really like to see Romola Garai get in for Atonement. It's absolutely heartbreaking watching her misery as she tries to figure out some kind of way to atone for what happened years earlier. But seeing as there's been absolutely no buzz for her, there's no chance that it happens.

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 12:35 am
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The French Dutch Boy
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
Supporting Actor

Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

Supporting Actress

Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Kelly MacDonald, No Country for Old Men
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

Peace,
Mike


Fri Jan 18, 2008 1:16 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
Webslinger wrote:
I'd really like to see Romola Garai get in for Atonement. It's absolutely heartbreaking watching her misery as she tries to figure out some kind of way to atone for what happened years earlier. But seeing as there's been absolutely no buzz for her, there's no chance that it happens.


Yep, I mentioned this in the Everyone's a Critic thread but I'm surprised she's barely been mentioned this year, she wasn't any worse than Ronan and Redgrave for me. A silently heartbreaking and very very good internal performance.

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 1:30 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-5 Days (Supporting Actor/Actress)
Shack wrote:
Webslinger wrote:
I'd really like to see Romola Garai get in for Atonement. It's absolutely heartbreaking watching her misery as she tries to figure out some kind of way to atone for what happened years earlier. But seeing as there's been absolutely no buzz for her, there's no chance that it happens.


Yep, I mentioned this in the Everyone's a Critic thread but I'm surprised she's barely been mentioned this year, she wasn't any worse than Ronan and Redgrave for me. A silently heartbreaking and very very good internal performance.

I think she was as good as they are. However, Ronan's 13 and Redgrave's 70, and those ages give them a big advantage over her.

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 1:50 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-6 Days (Best Editing/Cinematography)
Best Supporting Actor

1 Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
2 Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
3 Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
4 Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
5 Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood

It's really a 7-man race, with Tom Wilkinson at #8 behind Tommy Lee Jones and Max Von Sydow.


Best Supporting Actress

1 Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
2 Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
3 Catherine Keener, Into The Wild
4 Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
5 Ruby Dee, American Gangster


Fri Jan 18, 2008 3:51 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Best Actor:

George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Denzel Washington, American Gangster


Fri Jan 18, 2008 9:05 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Best Actor

George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Denzel Washington, American Gangster

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 9:10 am
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Sbil

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-6 Days (Best Editing/Cinematography)
alex young wrote:
Best Supporting Actor

1 Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
2 Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
3 Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
4 Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
5 Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood

It's really a 7-man race, with Tom Wilkinson at #8 behind Tommy Lee Jones and Max Von Sydow.


Best Supporting Actress

1 Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
2 Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
3 Catherine Keener, Into The Wild
4 Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
5 Ruby Dee, American Gangster


Um, the hell? Wilkinson is a lock at this point.


Fri Jan 18, 2008 9:29 am
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Sbil

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises


Fri Jan 18, 2008 9:31 am
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loyalfromlondon
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
ACTOR

George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortenson, Eastern Promises

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zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


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Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:58 am
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ef star star kay
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Viggo Mortenson - Eastern Promises
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling - Lars and the Real Girl

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 2:32 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Viggo Mortenson, Eastern Promises
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 2:45 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Best Actor

George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises


Fri Jan 18, 2008 2:46 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises


I opted for Gosling rather than Depp instead.

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 2:48 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Best Actor

George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

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Fri Jan 18, 2008 2:52 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Finally, an interesting race. Seriously, this category is also quite strong this year.

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-4 Days (Best Actor)
Not wanting to sound racist here, but I do think Denzel has the biggest shot here among black actors, and it'll seem kinda weird if only white actors are nominated this year. Or maybe we're already one step ahead and nobody really cares anymore about filling the "quota" - they're looking past black and white! Riiight..

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