he has seen most of 2007's films...at least, he's seen most of the good ones. I don't think he saw Zodiac, but that may be about it. People know he's missing from the show, but I'm sure his Top Ten will get more publicity than any other critic's.

He saw it before he made his Top Ten list, and he gave it a 3.5/4 anyways [meaning it wouldn't have made his list], so it doesn't really matter.

i know that happened with "Children of Men" with a LOT of critics last year, and I was very very upset about it

Even Ebert won't be able to pimp this to an Oscar win.

Heh. You can refute yourself this time...

Actually, missy, it's 100% quoted from this thread, just above - - a thread about Juno - - in which you somehow managed to include your ten millionth pimping of Once...

...not to mention that 1973 was a vintage year for weird!

It's reviews are great. 94% Rotten tomatoes with an 8.1 average and a 100% Cream of the Crop with an 8.4 average which actually is better than No Country for Old Men's 90% and 8.2 average. If it misses out on a nomination it will not be because of reviews.

The only one thing that concerns me if that no matter how brilliant it is, it might be just a little too young-skewing for it to be that popular with the academy.

I have a new prediction:

J.K. Simmons and Allison Janney of Juno will be nominated in the supporting categories. They were both really pretty great, and I feel like their categories are pretty up in the air at the moment other than a few locks. Juno seems to be riding a wave of buzz right now, too.

I am probably entirely off-base, though, considering neither one of them has been nominated at all this season yet.

Janney HAS received a critic's award from Austin for Juno, though unfortunately for her her S. Actress buzz keeps getting shifted over to Garner by people for whatever reason (And not just around here). Simmons would need a BAFTA mention for me to genuinely consider him (As cool as it would be), but I do think Janney stands a legitimate chance, better than the other two at least.

Janney? Maybe Simmons? Nah. Affleck, Bardem, Holbrook, Hoffman and Wilkinson all look solid and Travolta is just outside and waiting.

I just feel like it would be kind of silly to recognize Janney in such a small role when she's been passed over dozens of times in better, more memorable roles. It sort of belittles the rest of her career.

I'm still predicting (and hoping for) a Jennifer Garner nom.

I agree completely. Actually, the screenplay wasn't even that special. It was funny and all, but nothing of monumental significance. I can't believe the attention it's getting really...it's not much more than a very good coming-of-age teen comedy, which don't normally go hand-in-hand with Oscars. I think it's really all in the timing. And that Ebert's probably still high off of painkillers.

I'm still not sold on it getting a BP nom. All the directors of recent comedy BP nominees have been getting more attention, even the directors of LMS. I think Reitman got zilch so far.

Moreover, I repeat my question, when was the last time a movie got a BP nom and yet not more than three nominations in total. Four Weddings and a Funeral? Or did we have another one after that?

The Full Monty - 4 noms (inluding Director)
Lost in Translation - 4 noms (inluding Director)
Sideways - 5 noms (including Director)
Little Miss Sunshine - 4 noms (no Director nom)

Just because they look solid doesn't mean other people can't sneak in. It's not like the nominations are *never* surprises.

Yeah, but the examples of people sneaking in are usually the ones when a movie is sweeping in many categories anyway. For instance: Alan Alda getting one for The Aviator without precursors or Eastwood getting in for M$B. Even Samatnah Morton, Djimon Hounsou and Marcia Gay Harden, when they got their surprising noms, they had some kind of precursors. The Best Sup. Actor candidates so far have very strong precursors. As I said, I could see Janney. Swinton, Blanchett and Ryan are locked, but beyond that, it's rather unsure with Redgrave, Keener and Ronan fighting for spots...so Janney? Maybe.

I haven't seen the movie and I do want to see it, but it seems to me that the main reason going for its chances as a BP nominee is pretty much its box-office success because without it being nominated, it's looking rather bleak for the success of BP nominees (unless Hairspray or American Gangster can sneak in...whiuch I both consider possible as well!).

Is it possible that Juno gets an editing nom? As Good As It Gets got one. LMS and Sideways didn't. It'd be a weird nomination but who knows, it usually matches up with BP.

Fuck. The soundtrack is now the #1 album on iTunes.

Sorry, but now you're bullshit nitpicking. Page has been in ONE blockbuster. ONE. After that, Hard Candy and An American Crime I haven't heard of ONE of her credits. And judging from her Letterman appearance is is far more down to earth than 97% of actresses her age. I think you're just getting caught up in your own annoyance at the idea of this winning Picture, and getting irrational. Seriously.

This simply won't be a movie to break the streak. I think for a comedy to win, it'd need at least a BD nom. Which it likely won't get. It'll also have the least noms overall.