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 So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders? 
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Extra on the Ordinary
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Post In the Valley of Elah Update...
70%!!!!

It's Cream of the Crop score (76% with a 7.1/10 rating) is identical to Crash.

I don't want to give anyone here an ulcer, but maybe it's time to call it an official contender already?

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Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:54 am
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
It's a contender, but I really don't see it being another Crash, which was such a unique situation. Jones is pretty much assured of a nomination though.

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Thu Sep 20, 2007 12:02 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
I actually think Jones is probably the leading contender in Best Actor category, assuming Bardem goes in supporting.

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Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:11 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Having just seen it, I think Viggo Mortensen will also be recognized for Eastern Promises. Unlike AHOV he's absolutely the standout, and it really is one of the stronger performances I've seen this year. The reviews are almost identical to A History of Violence (maybe that did have slightly more 100s on Metacritic but really, the plentiful amount of 90-88 reviews are damn close to raving just as much about it. It's semantics in this case if you ask me.), only this time a lot more people are on board the Cronenberg train, and having a really daring lead performance will only help. However, Focus/Universal has plenty of other contenders as always, so this probably won't get a BP nomination, although I don't think BD is out of the question just yet.


Fri Sep 21, 2007 12:42 am
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Control has 93% at RT currently:

http://uk.rottentomatoes.com/m/control/


Any chance for it to contend in any major categories? (like BA?)

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Thu Oct 04, 2007 10:47 am
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Michael Clayton now has a score of 82 with 3 100s out of 26 reviews at MC, a much stronger showing than I first anticipated after reading the early feedbacks. The RT average of 7.2 is still on the low side for a BP nom, but Clooney is very much in the race.

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Fri Oct 05, 2007 1:56 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
As if the Best Actor category wasn't strong enough already...

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Fri Oct 05, 2007 3:16 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
It's up to 87 % with a 7.4 rating at Rotten Tomatoes (88%/7.6 COTC!!!).

Far better than anyone could have imagined, I think. Box office will be interesting to follow...

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Fri Oct 05, 2007 5:33 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Wow.

Definitely in the race for BA and maybe Best Sup. Actor.

Box-officw-wise, it should do okay. It didn't set the world on fire in its UK release, US box-office should do a little better, maybe $35-40 million...

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Fri Oct 05, 2007 6:01 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Yeah, should be a stronger contender than Syriana was but weaker than Erin Brockovich (that was a weak year and box office won't match), maybe more like The Constant Gardener. I could see noms for Actor, Supporting Actor, and Screenplay.

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Fri Oct 05, 2007 6:22 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Tom Wilkinson?

I haven't seen the movie so I can't say for sure but I imagine Tilda Swinton would at least have a shot as well. She's somewhat overdue, and the category seems pretty weak this year.

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Fri Oct 05, 2007 6:43 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
From MC's collection of one-line synopsis, Wilkinson seems to get the biggest praise among supporting roles:

Quote:
After Clooney, who gives a sterling performance as a tarnished figure, the standout performance belongs to Wilkinson, a geyser of manic eloquence. Also quite fine are Swinton and Sydney Pollack.


Quote:
In a heartbreaking, scene-stealing performance, Wilkinson plays his bipolar character's manic delirium as a heightened form of awareness, a life-affirming source of moral clarity in a cloudy and corrupt world.


Still, Clooney appears to simply outshine everyone, as the review that is graded the lowest at MC still said "Without the steadfast intelligence of Clooney's performance, Michael Clayton wouldn't work half as well as it does."

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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Clooney is very strong in the film, I'd definetly have him as a contender.

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Fri Oct 05, 2007 7:32 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Lust, Caution ought to be in for at least a few tech noms, right?

The film was gorgeous. I'd be floored if the Academy passed it up for cinematography, art direction, and costume design. Sumptuous.


Sat Oct 06, 2007 2:03 am
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
zennier wrote:
Lust, Caution ought to be in for at least a few tech noms, right?

The film was gorgeous. I'd be floored if the Academy passed it up for cinematography, art direction, and costume design. Sumptuous.



Without even seeing the film, I'd say yes. It's a contender.

I also think Michael Clayton can be a perfect BP nominee by Academy standards.

(You're back! Or I'm back... lol :wink: Haven't "seen" you in a while... )

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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Control stands at 97% with 29 reviews in. I don't think it can be ignored anymore, hm..

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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
android wrote:
zennier wrote:
Lust, Caution ought to be in for at least a few tech noms, right?

The film was gorgeous. I'd be floored if the Academy passed it up for cinematography, art direction, and costume design. Sumptuous.



Without even seeing the film, I'd say yes. It's a contender.

I also think Michael Clayton can be a perfect BP nominee by Academy standards.

(You're back! Or I'm back... lol :wink: Haven't "seen" you in a while... )


Other than Zodiac, I've yet to see a film as stunning and elegant. Anyone familiar with Lee (ok, that's everyone, right? lol) knows how beautiful his films tend to be. This is no exception. I can think of several scenes that just floored me due to sheer beauty. It would be a shame if it weren't recognized. If Geisha could score attention with similar reviews (iirc - but that film isn't nearly as striking as this one), then so should Lust, Caution.

(I've been here and there. It's my first semester at Berkeley. As such, the workload is sort of overwhelming. But living in the Bay Area allows me the chance to see new, limited releases early and I have an expansive collection of rare and classic film at my fingertips on campus :wub2:. You've been absent, too.... send me a PM!)

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Control stands at 97% with 29 reviews in. I don't think it can be ignored anymore, hm..


Excellent! I've anticipated it highly since seeing the trailer with Delirious. I know several of the people I live with are Joy Division fans, so this will be an exciting film to see. I'm skeptical as to what type of nominations this could be up for. Is there a precedence for films like this (low profile film, low profile filmmakers) to receive serious recognition? This'll be a dynamic contender... not something I'm expecting to break out, but I'm curious to see if it maintains the critical praise it has garnished.


Sat Oct 06, 2007 2:58 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Rod wrote:
It's up to 87 % with a 7.4 rating at Rotten Tomatoes (88%/7.6 COTC!!!).

Far better than anyone could have imagined, I think. Box office will be interesting to follow...


Now up to 90% with 7.6 average with 94%/7.8 COTC. Incredible. If not for the thriller aspect and the plot, which is not academy friendly, I'd actually consider it a pretty serious contender. Still think it's limited to acting and screenplay.

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Sat Oct 13, 2007 2:09 am
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Rave of Youth Without Youth from Levy

http://emanuellevy.com/article.php?articleID=7246

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Sun Oct 14, 2007 1:50 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
No Country has jumped to 95% on RT

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Fri Oct 19, 2007 1:07 am
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Quote:
SWEENEY TODD is Tim Burton’s best film since ED WOOD – which I consider to be his very best film to date. That said, upon multiple viewings it is possible this film will become my favorite Burton film.

It is that perfect subject matter for him… a hybrid of Disney and Bava and Corman. In structure it is a sweeping love story between a young innocent man and a caged would be Repunzel… but then there’s that rare character that you never see in a Disney fantasy musical. A bitter psychopathic father figure that is out to revenge the horror of his own life. I would call this Tim Burton’s Grimmest Fairy Tale.

However, the character that probably a ton of you are waiting to hear about is Sacha Baron Cohen’s Signor Adolfo Pirelli, the greatest barber in the world – or so he claims. I’m happy to report that Sacha is utterly brilliant and hilarious in that role. During THE CONTEST folks are going to go friggin’ nuts over him – and this is exactly the sort of role that the Academy might nominate for a Supporting Actor nod.

I can not wait to see this film again, it’s easily one of my favorites this year. I feel this was one of those perfect material, perfect cast resulting in the best work from Burton in over a decade. And that’s a great thing for all of us.


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Mon Nov 12, 2007 2:41 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
The Savages is back on track with 95% and 20 reviews in.

http://64.14.20.205/m/savages/

I think we're looking at an acting nom or two...maybe a screenplay nom as well.

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Mon Nov 26, 2007 7:33 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
I can't believe I forgot Sacha Baron Cohen was in Sweeney Todd. Harry's right - Even if ST is too off-putting for the big awards, that's exactly the kind of nod it could pick up. He'll have overdue snubbed love from Borat too.

I'm actually putting him in my nominations, the category isn't too threatening this year so it's very possible.

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Mon Nov 26, 2007 7:38 pm
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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
Dr. Lecter wrote:
The Savages is back on track with 95% and 20 reviews in.

http://64.14.20.205/m/savages/

I think we're looking at an acting nom or two...maybe a screenplay nom as well.


One thing, The Squid and the Whale was 94% with an 8/10 average and only got a screenplay nomination. I think Linney's role sounds more prominent here though so she'll have a better chance. Hoffman too.

It's a longshot but Best Actress is so wide open right now that Linney could win if she get's enough buzz. That's a big if, but really, it's anyone's game. She's a consistently great actress though so I'd be fine with awarding her. Regardless even getting a nom here would give her 3 overall and would put her on the shortlist of due actresses, so I think she'll get one eventually.

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Post Re: So, what about 2007 and Oscar contenders?
The Squid and the Whale was a very awkward movie [mainly because of the scenes with the younger brother]. The Academy hates awkward movies. The Savages...the last thing that film is is awkward. It's a very sweet, well-balanced dramedy. I don't know how to explain why it's so different from Squid & Whale, but it just is. I'm not predicting this for a BP nom, but it definitely deserves some major nominations [Hoffman, Linney, Orig Screenplay].

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