Yeah, I'm predicting Hounsou for Blood Diamond over Carell, but I'm just saying I don't think Steve Carell can be ruled out yet.

People who aren't Gunslinger actually hate LMS?

What is wrong with these people.

I know. You have no soul if you hate Little Miss Sunshine.

Heh.

Carell is probably 11th right now, behind the main five, Wahlberg, Sheen, Affleck, Pitt and DiCaprio (If the Academy moronically follows SAG's lead) ahead of him, in that order.

As for the category itself, it's usually the most ripe for a surprise, be it a nom (Hurt in '05, Alda in '04) or a snub (Quaid in '02, Buscemi in '01). I've got either Wahlberg or Sheen in his place (Still trying to choose which one).

You prophet, you!

Although I'm one of the few on the boards (and in the world, for that matter) who was never enamored with LMS, I'm actually quite pleased with this. Things are getting fun!

I noticed that too. Everyone at OW seems to hate Little Miss Sunshine and think this win is so undeserving. But they were all were hoping beyond hope that Dreamgirls didn't win, and it didn't, so they should be happy!

I love the Little Miss Sunshine win not only because I love the film, but because it opens the race so widely. I think Kris Tapley put it well (who was the only "Oscar person" to predict LMS to win the PGA):

Little Miss Sunshine = PGA Winner
The Departed = BFCA and Critics Awards Winner
Babel = Golden Globe Drama Winner
Dreamgirls = Golden Globe Comedy/Musical Winner
The Queen = Critical darling et al.

Wide open race.

Peace,
Mike.

They don't hate the film itself (Well, a couple heartless souls do), but the majority finds it overrated. Not THE most overrated (Babel holds that title, as seen by the many jokes about it), but it's up there. There's also some anger about United 93 and others getting overlooked for what most consider a bland five.

Theys always bitter, I tell ya. But I love 'em for it.

That's their way of avoiding being repetitive in saying "Go The Departed!"

All this even dispensing of awards and "wide open race" talk just gives more credence to the fact that United 93 WILL PULL THROUGH AND STEAL A SPOT IN THE TOP 5 COME TUESDAY.

Yes?



*sigh*

I would be very happy if United 93 knocked out The Queen or Babel (especially The Queen, which I really don't think deserves a nomination).

I just wanted to say how much I love this year. I love The Departed and Little Miss Sunshine, and really appreciate and admire The Queen. I haven't seen Dreamgirls, but I do think it adds a nice touch to the Best Picture 5-some of the year, it's a movie's movie, big, loud, and cinematic, I never wanted it to win, but I support it getting a nomination lots. Babel is the one movie I hate, but you can't win em all, and... it's useful to have one movie to hate on. Hell, even in the overall film picture this year, I had 12 As, last year I had 5. 2006 kicks ass... The fun academy season tops it off well. I'm just kind of want to forget about 2005's Oscars altogether, even Brokeback while I do appreciate it as masterful filmmaking, that is not a film I'm dieing to get the copy of and watch again anytime soon. Ditto Capote and GNAGL, it's great great indie-esque filmmaking, but an entire nominee batch of them is tiresome.

OW made a good point. Though The Queen, yet again, has flown under-the-radar throughout all of this, it's likely that BAFTA will give it the nod, so...

This thing really is wide open.

Wow this was a turning point in the BP race but not in the way I thought. I expected Dreamgirls to win PGA pretty easily though I was hoping for a "Departed" win.Dreamgirls has no WGA nom and will not win DGA or SAG ensemble though it can still win ACE.
Forget about Dreamgirls being the frontrunner for BP even if it has the most Oscar noms come Tuesday.

why's the fact I disliked the movie a lesser reason?

For the record: I am perfectly happy with LMS winning this one.

I am sooo giddy about tuesday...

LMS is as "overrated" as The Departed, so.. whatever.

It's a very good movie and an excellent surprise, but still...


So, we have Babel vs. Dreamgirls vs. The Departed vs. Little Miss Sunshine. Interesting.

Since the turn of the century, half of the Oscar best picture winners did not have the most nominations.

My point being, the trends can change. Until the SPR/SIL split, people usually predicted picture and director Oscars to go hand in hand.

Ahem, who called me a liar?

im absolutely kidding with you. :-)

don't think less of me.

as for this recent development, the race couldn't be anymore impossible for my nerves.

im just glad dreamgirls lost, hehehe. this is ok.

The Departed will win anyway

To be quite honest, when I first saw it I would give it an A, but now it's slid down into B+/B region. The little problems that I had with it had grown by my DVD viewing. The ending is very "About Schmidt" to me, as funny as it can be, it just doesn't belong on that picture.

It's interesting that it won PGA. It makes a bit of scense, it was a pretty big financial success. I still say it doesn't get SAG, but I would say Departed doesn't. Babel vs. Dreamgirls for Best Picture at this point I think.

I do like the fact that I'm actually going to have to watch the Oscars this year to find out what happens.

This season has made idiots out of all of us.

Even I will skip the nomination ceremony. Fuck man I have to work and the Oscars aren't that important.

Back off into posting oblivion for me.

Awesome. Since Children of Men would need to pull out a miracle, Little Miss Sunshine is the movie I'm rooting for most, especially over Babel and The Queen.

Plus, LMS is only my second favorite movie of the year.

Little Miss sunshine is the second most overrated film of the year(#1 being Babel).