Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Fri Apr 26, 2024 1:28 pm



Reply to topic  [ 2665 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18 ... 107  Next
 HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week 
Author Message
Don't Dream It, Be It
User avatar

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
Post Re: HK: SH2+MI4 start early; Why BD1 XMas bad idea; 3I end d
Just want to say thank you for your continued, detailed work in this thread!

You Are the Apple of My Eye has become the 2nd Biggest Film of 2011, is that correct?

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Dec 02, 2011 9:32 pm
Profile WWW
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK: SH2+MI4 start early; Why BD1 XMas bad idea; 3I end d
Nope, it's #3 behind Transformers and Harry Potter. Fantastic total though. It's got a shot at becoming the highest local release of all time (includes mainland as well -- Kung Fu Hustle holds the record with $61,278,697 HKD, Apple of My Eye is less than 3m HKD away.)

If it doesn't pass Kung Fu Hustle, it will probably end up #3 on the all-time local films list behind Hustle and Shaolin Soccer.

Friday adm.(so far)December 2
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)2,8582,367-17.2%+5.8%
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)4,2052,331-44.6%+20.6%
3Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)--1,829---1.8%
43 Idiots1,9941,485-25.5%+16.2%
5You Are the Apple of My Eye3,1971,381-56.8%--


Friday adm.December 2
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1You Are the Apple of My Eye8,2044,228-48.5%+29.3%
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)6,6943,672-45.1%+35.9%
3The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)5,6793,487-38.6%+12.9%
4Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)--3,184--+5.9%
5The Rum Diary--3,132----


Saturday adm.(so far)December 3
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)4,8653,971-18.4%+70.4%
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)5,1893,872-25.4%+63.6%
33 Idiots3,0022,119-29.4%+42.7%
4Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)--2,039--+11.5%
5Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)--1,867----


Saturday adm.December 3
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)9,8867,756-21.5%+111.2%
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)11,5747,679-33.7%+120.2%
3You Are the Apple of My Eye13,8737,398-46.7%+75.0%
43 Idiots7,9905,816-27.2%--
5Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)--5,224--+64.1%


Good hold for Tintin. Apple of My Eye is slowing down now. Looks the same way with 3 Idiots. Seediq Bale is posting good numbers.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sat Dec 03, 2011 4:14 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/1: Tintin repeats; Sherlock Holmes 2 premieres Dec
Sunday adm.(so far)December 4
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)6,8784,849-29.5%+22.1%
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)6,5773,964-39.7%+2.4%
3Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)--2,714--+33.1%
43 Idiots3,9982,354-41.1%+11.1%
5Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)--2,099--+12.4%


Sunday adm.December 4
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)14,1708,577-39.5%+11.7%
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)10,6117,126-32.8%-8.1%
3You Are the Apple of My Eye12,1256,008-50.4%-18.8%
43 Idiots8,3755,567-33.5%-4.3%
5Magic to Win--4,894----


Weekend adm.Dec 1-4
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)35,57222,832-35.8%
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)33,41921,256-36.4%
3You Are the Apple of My Eye39,58420,903-47.2%


December 1 Weekend Estimates

1. The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn - $320,000 (-35%)/$966,470
2. Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2) - $120,000
3. You Are the Apple of My Eye - $110,000 (-48%)/$7,607,360
4/5. Magic to Win/Seediq Bale (Part 1) - $85,000 (-4% for Seediq Bale 1)

* The Rum Diary - $75,000
* 3 Idiots - $80,700 (-26%)/$2,565,046

Tintin had a pretty good hold. It looks like it will turn out to be a marginal disappointment. Seediq Bale Part 2 benefited strongly from the first film plus Golden Horse awards. Apple of My Eye will most likely not catch Kung Fu Hustle for #1 local film of all time. Magic to Win and Part 1 of Seediq Bale will be very close, I think. #2-#5 are all interchangeable at this point with no guarantees except for Tintin winning this weekend. The Rum Diary did pretty well for only going semi-wide.

___________________________________

Kung Fu Hustle 2 is supposedly getting a 2012 release. Stay tuned to this developing story. (Updated poll to reflect this new development.)

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun Dec 04, 2011 1:12 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/8 THU: Magic slides into first; SH2+MI4 opens Dec.
Dec. 1 WKD
RankFilm TitleDistributorWeekend BOWeeksEngmntsEng. average% changeB.O. Cume
1Adventures Of Tintin, TheParamount Int'l$263,363237$7,118-47%$909,835
2Seediq Bale (Part 2)Lighten Distribution$233,959123$10,172$233,959
3Magic To WinNewport Ent.$143,100132$4,472$143,100
4You Are The Apple of My EyeFox Int'l$118,390732$3,700-44%$7,615,750
5Arthur ChristmasSony Int'l$103,950134$3,057$103,950
6Rum Diary, TheIntercontinental$99,296112$8,275$99,296
73 IdiotsEdko$82,8811413$6,375-24%$2,567,227
8Phantom Of The Opera (25th Anniversary Concert), TheUniversal Int'l$75,63719$8,404$75,637
9Strawberry CliffEdko$43,79318$5,474$43,793
10In TimeFox Int'l$41,928623$1,823-47%$1,716,334


Ok for Tintin but it needed to drop better to pass 1.5m. It's looking unlikely now and it will probably finish with 1.2-1.3m. Disappointing run here. That number for Part 2 of Seediq Bale looks incredibly off. Did they combine the grosses for the two parts into one? Magic to Win opened decently. Apple of My Eye is not going to pass Kung Fu Hustle or Shaolin Soccer. It will need a miracle with the slashing of screens/showtimes left, right and center next week. Currently, it sits at $59.5m HKD and is $1.2m behind Shaolin Soccer but Apple will finish its run with $60m banked. Arthur Christmas bombed but it was expected. Tintin was a much higher profile release than this and this one had little hope considering Tintin only managed a $500,000 opening weekend. Rum Diary opens strongly. Although it is slowing down now, 3 Idiots currently sits 14th overall for the year. Phantom of the Opera impressed. It did get the optimum showtime (1 showtime per day) but because of its over 3 hr length, it is a very good opening weekend for a special feature. Strawberry Cliff performed respectably. In Time is the forgotten success story.

Thursday adm.(so far)December 8
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Nutcracker 3D--2,068--
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)2,2371,255-43.9%
3The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)1,9331,204-37.7%
4White Vengeance--1,202--
53 Idiots1,2781,060-17.1%


Thursday adm.December 8
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1White Vengeance--2,567--
2The Nutcracker 3D--2,477--
33 Idiots2,4481,773-27.6%
4You Are the Apple of My Eye3,2691,746-46.6%
5Magic to Win--1,728--


Thursday ActualsDecember 8
LWTWTitleLast Thu. (USD)Thursday (USD)% chgTheatersDaysTotal
21Magic to Win$19,106$16,538-13.4%328$222,353
--2White Vengeance--$15,217--261$15,217
13The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn$25,422$12,473-50.9%3815$979,511
34You Are the Apple of My Eye$18,831$11,061-41.3%2950$7,647,542
653 Idiots$11,820$9,290-21.4%1399$2,612,296
56Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)$16,896$8,889-47.4%258$132,384
47The Rum Diary$18,797$8,623-54.1%138$140,095
--8The Nutcracker--$5,578--261$5,578
--9Sector 7--$4,740--111$4,740
710Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 1)$9,677$4,528-53.2%1922$349,697


Real Steel$2,492,941
In Time$1,744,803
Life Without Principle$1,083,482
Immortals$967,305
The Three Musketeers$751,459
Starry Starry Night$529,770


Good for Magic to Win. White Vengeance topping the admissions and finishing 2nd in gross is a pleasant surprise. Tintin has dropped fairly hard for an animation release. It will finish with 1.2-1.3m. Apple of My Eye is going to finish behind Kung Fu Hustle and Shaolin Soccer for highest grossing local film of all time. 3 Idiots sits at #14 overall for the year. Seediq Bale Part 2 is doing ok but not great. Rum Diary had a strong opening weekend and will finish with more than $200,000. Nutcracker's fall from admissions seems about right. I had doubts that it finished #2 in admissions when it was being beaten by nearly every other release. Seediq Bale Part 1 will finish higher than Part 2.

Bring on next week, please. (As a sidenote, do you know Hong Kong is the only territory that will pit Sherlock Holmes and Mission Impossible against each other on the same day?)

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri Dec 09, 2011 3:20 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/8: 3 Idiots #1; Early opening week watch for SH2+M
I lost Friday's and a part of Saturday's data as well. To make it up to you, here are the early opening week sales watch for Sherlock Holmes 2 and Mission Impossible 4.

[Right after the admissions...] /Ryan Seacrest

Saturday adm.December 10
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
13 Idiots5,8165,135-11.7%--
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)7,7564,838-37.6%--
3You Are the Apple of My Eye7,3984,765-35.6%--
4White Vengeance--3,580----
5The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)7,6793,415-55.5%--


Sunday adm.(so far)December 11
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)3,9642,830-28.6%--
2The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)4,8492,340-51.7%--
33 Idiots2,3541,901-19.2%--
4The Nutcracker 3D--1,467----
5Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)2,7141,431-47.3%--


Sunday adm.December 11
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)7,1264,727-33.7%-2.3%
23 Idiots5,5674,615-17.1%-10.1%
3The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)8,5773,766-56.1%+10.3%
4White Vengeance--3,584--+0.1%
5You Are the Apple of My Eye6,0083,506-41.6%-26.4%


I can tell you that 3 Idiots came in at #1 on Friday and is #1 in admissions for the weekend. Tintin might sneak out a 3rd weekend at #1 in gross.

Now to the good stuff. First off, a look at the busiest theater in Hong Kong, Langham Place.

Langham Place
Sherlock Holmes 2Mission Impossible 4
DayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filled
Dec. 147:30 PM4720223.3%Dec. 14
10:00 PM3020214.9%
12:30 AM52022.5%12:30 AM02020.0%
Total8260613.5%Total02020.0%
Dec. 1512:00 PM42022.0%Dec. 1512:00 PM72023.5%
2:30 PM32021.5%2:30 PM32021.5%
5:00 PM12020.5%5:00 PM42022.0%
7:30 PM6220230.7%7:30 PM3120215.3%
10:00 PM172028.4%10:00 PM3020214.9%
12:30 AM132026.4%12:30 AM02020.0%
3:00 AM02020.0%3:00 AM02020.0%
Total10014147.1%Total7514145.3%
Dec. 1612:00 PM42022.0%Dec. 1612:00 PM42022.0%
2:30 PM02020.0%2:30 PM02020.0%
5:00 PM42022.0%5:00 PM72023.5%
7:30 PM6120230.2%7:30 PM3720218.3%
10:00 PM3620217.8%10:00 PM2320211.4%
12:30 AM112025.4%12:30 AM52022.5%
3:00 AM02020.0%3:00 AM02020.0%
Total11614148.2%Total7614145.4%
Dec. 179:30 AM3720218.3%Dec. 179:30 AM142026.9%
12:00 PM42022.0%12:00 PM42022.0%
2:30 PM3120215.3%2:30 PM122025.9%
5:00 PM4020219.8%5:00 PM182028.9%
7:30 PM4320221.3%7:30 PM202029.9%
10:00 PM2520212.4%10:00 PM92024.5%
12:30 AM02020.0%12:30 AM02020.0%
3:00 AM02020.0%3:00 AM22021.0%
Total143141410.1%Total6514144.6%
Dec. 189:30 AM2720213.4%Dec. 189:30 AM3320216.3%
12:00 PM22021.0%12:00 PM92024.5%
2:30 PM172028.4%2:30 PM152027.4%
5:00 PM3520217.3%5:00 PM142026.9%
7:30 PM192029.4%7:30 PM72023.5%
10:00 PM32021.5%10:00 PM42022.0%
12:30 AM42022.0%12:30 AM02020.0%
Total10714147.6%Total8214145.8%
4-day total54862628.8%4-day total29858585.1%


Besides a slight gain on Sunday for Mission Impossible 4, it is still well behind Sherlock Holmes 2. The most shocking thing is that is still losing to Sherlock Holmes on its opening day (Thursday). The two benefits that I see for Mission Impossible are that this has been given the biggest screens on Thursday/Friday everywhere and it also has IMAX to bridge the gap. With bigger screens, it should be able to make up some ground on Sherlock Holmes 2 especially if theaters only give Holmes 2 screens. Inflated prices in IMAX will help immensely especially with the movie being marketed for IMAX screens.

Now, we head over to The ONE. Will Mission Impossible 4 fare better here?

The ONE
Sherlock Holmes 2Mission Impossible 4
DayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filled
Dec. 147:15 PM2216313.5%Dec. 14
7:30 PM3816323.3%
8:00 PM101636.1%
9:40 PM121637.4%
9:50 PM131638.0%
10:20 PM41632.5%
12:00 AM61633.7%12:30 AM41632.5%
Total10511419.2%Total41632.5%
Dec. 1510:00 AM131638.0%Dec. 1510:00 AM3116319.0%
12:15 PM41632.5%12:30 PM41632.5%
2:30 PM41632.5%2:50 PM101636.1%
4:45 PM61633.7%5:15 PM101636.1%
7:15 PM3816323.3%7:40 PM7916348.5%
9:30 PM3916323.9%10:00 PM3316320.2%
Total10497810.6%Total16797817.1%
Dec. 1610:40 AM1611114.4%Dec. 169:30 AM81634.9%
1:00 PM61115.4%12:00 PM61633.7%
3:20 PM1611114.4%2:20 PM41632.5%
5:40 PM1511113.5%4:45 PM81634.9%
8:00 PM7811170.3%7:15 PM9016355.2%
10:20 PM6211155.9%9:40 PM6416339.3%
Total19366629.0%Total18097818.4%
Dec. 1710:00 AM121637.4%Dec. 179:00 AM101636.1%
12:15 PM61633.7%11:30 AM61633.7%
2:40 PM3116319.0%2:00 PM91635.5%
5:00 PM3916323.9%4:30 PM141638.6%
7:30 PM131638.0%
9:50 PM1816311.0%9:50 PM1816311.0%
12:15 AM41632.5%12:30 AM41632.5%
Total123114110.8%Total619786.2%
Dec. 1810:00 AM2716316.6%Dec. 189:00 AM2316314.1%
12:15 PM21631.2%11:30 AM41632.5%
2:40 PM1716310.4%2:00 PM151639.2%
5:00 PM3516321.5%4:30 PM111636.7%
7:30 PM1916311.7%7:10 PM111636.7%
9:50 PM31631.8%9:50 PM61633.7%
Total10397810.5%Total709787.2%
4-day total628490412.8%4-day total482407511.8%


Similar story here. Aside from the opening day flurry for Mission Impossible, it looks to be a Sherlock Holmes victory. The two most telling points here are Friday and Saturday's data. On Friday, The ONE has (so far) scheduled Sherlock in the smaller of the 2 different size screens with pretty good results. It not only defeats Mission Impossible on a day-to-day comparison but it remains competitive in the peak showtimes as well. Saturday, meanwhile, sees Sherlock doubling Mission Impossible's admissions with 1 extra showtime. Now, you could say that because of the extra showtime for SH2, it will obviously have more admissions. That is true as we get closer to the showtimes themselves but if Mission Impossible was equal to Sherlock Holmes at this early stage, they would have more admissions on other days (Friday, Sunday) but this doesn't seem to be the case. In reality, Mission Impossible is losing to Sherlock Holmes at this theater.

Most of the other theaters are in line with these results with a couple of outliers. Those outliers, however, are not enough to make up what should be a huge lead for Sherlock Holmes.

I'll be back with another update tomorrow or Tuesday. I may post the predictions article tomorrow but if not, it will definitely be up by Tuesday. Let the games begin!

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun Dec 11, 2011 1:33 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/8: 3 Idiots #1; Early opening week watch for SH2+M
Thursday Schedules

Note: All holdover showtimes in brackets are from Tuesday.

Hollywood
NewHoldoversLeaving
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 12 showingsWhite Vengeance - 1 showing (▼ 5)Sector 7 3D
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 11 showingsMagic to Win - 4 showings (▼ 5)The Nutcracker 3D
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.) - 1 showing (▼ 2)Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)
3 Idiots - 5 showings (▲ 4)The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)
Immortals 3D
In Time
You Are the Apple of My Eye


Palace APM
NewHoldoversLeaving
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 18 showingsWhite Vengeance - 1 showing (▼ 6)Sector 7 3D
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 17 showings3 Idiots - 2 showings (▼ 5)The Nutcracker 3D
Arthur Christmas (3D Can.) (Tues.)
Magic to Win (Tues.)
Strawberry Cliff
Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Eng.)
Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 1)
Starry Starry Night (Tues.)
You Are the Apple of My Eye


Festival Walk
New
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 16 showings
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 11 showings


The One
New
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 14 showings
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 13 showings


Mission Impossible 4 vs. Sherlock Holmes 2 - WWW?

Wednesday adm.(so far)December 14
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--5,312----
2Magic to Win--2,785----
3Margin Call--1,885----
4The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)--1,836----
5Sector 7 3D--1,336----


Ignore #2-#5. Wednesday is the day where admissions are highly inflated for some movies. The only number you have to worry about is Sherlock Holmes 2. This number is lower than Pirates 4 3D admissions on its opening Wednesday but higher than Ip Man 2's. It is still pretty early but if Sherlock Holmes keeps up this pace, it'll be heading towards a 2m OW.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Last edited by Bluebomb on Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:32 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Tue Dec 13, 2011 6:34 am
Profile
KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
Post Re: HK 12/8: 3 Idiots #1; Early opening week watch for SH2+M
That is great for Sherlock Holmes it goes to show that the emptiness in OS markets as well. I think both MI4 and SH2 will benefit from this. Actually most of the places MI4 is getting out of the gate first and the WOM seems to be very well for it which might not be as great for SH2 but I think given the holidays both will survive each other.


Tue Dec 13, 2011 11:01 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8636
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: HK: Sherlock Holmes 2 vs Mission Impossible 4 starts tod
Also Tin Tin is mostly done overseas.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Tue Dec 13, 2011 5:37 pm
Profile WWW
KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
Post Re: HK: Sherlock Holmes 2 vs Mission Impossible 4 starts tod
Yeah Tin Tin's underwhelming run is done overseas...I think its time that it breaks out marginally in states ;)


Wed Dec 14, 2011 12:11 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/14 WED: Sherlock Holmes finds over 15k clues to st
Wednesday adm.December 14
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--15,628----
2Magic to Win--3,584----
3Margin Call--2,275----
4The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)--2,093----
5Sector 7 3D--1,586----


Sherlock Holmes 2 does manage to beat Ip Man 2's start in admissions. Mission Impossible 4 did not rank high enough to place in the top 5.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Wed Dec 14, 2011 1:10 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK: Thursday actuals+Friday admissions; Twilight: BD1 12
Thursday adm.(so far)December 15
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--10,343--
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--9,578--
33 Idiots1,060405-61.8%
4White Vengeance1,202198-83.5%
5Arthur Christmas (3D Eng.)--142--


Thursday adm.December 15
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--24,390--
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--20,842--
33 Idiots1,773940-47.0%
4You Are the Apple of My Eye1,746599-65.7%
5White Vengeance2,567477-81.4%


Mission Impossible was boosted by midnight showings at almost every theater. I'm surprised that Sherlock only increased by 5,000 admissions from previews to opening day. Not good. 3 Idiots had an exceptional drop. Not bad for Apple of My Eye. White Vengeance is pretty much dead.

Thursday ActualsDecember 15
LWTWTitleLast Thu. (USD)Thursday (USD)% chgTheatersDaysTotal
--1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--$212,354--881$233,899
--2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--$139,619--781$242,895
533 Idiots$9,290$5,810-37.5%13106$2,711,825
44You Are the Apple of My Eye$11,061$4,688-57.6%1457$7,763,931
15Magic to Win$16,538$3,178-80.8%1515$349,196
26White Vengeance$15,217$2,889-81.0%238$127,230
67Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)$8,889$1,622-81.8%615$194,059
RE8Arthur Christmas--$1,394--1315$219,762
39The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn$12,473$1,275-89.8%1222$1,140,861
1010Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 1)$4,528$827-81.7%329$382,224


So Mission Impossible manages to make up the deficit from Sherlock's Wednesday previews in just 1.1 days. It's performance, however, is nothing spectacular. At that pace, it is headed for a 1.1-1.3m weekend...possibly below Johnny English's weekend and well below MI3's opening weekend. Sherlock's opening day was muted thanks to its special screenings. It's on pace for a 1.0-1.3m weekend which would be higher than its predecessor's start. 3 Idiots continues to post strong numbers. I cannot wait for My Name is Khan in 3 weeks. That one is getting a wide release and should do some incredible numbers. Apple of My Eye continues to inch closer and closer to Shaolin Soccer and Kung Fu Hustle. It'll be close for #2 with Soccer. Other holdovers dropped in the 80% range. This is standard when a big new release or multiple big releases come out. Arthur Christmas makes a return into the top 10. It should land somewhere in the top 5 this weekend.

Friday adm.(so far)December 16
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--15,478--+61.6%
2Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--14,416--+39.4%
33 Idiots--657--+62.2%
4You Are the Apple of My Eye--571----
5Arthur Christmas (3D Eng.)--407--+186.6%


Friday adm.December 16
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--32,400--+32.8%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--31,423--+50.8%
33 Idiots--1,472--+56.6%
4You Are the Apple of My Eye--1,058--+76.6%
5Arthur Christmas (3D Eng.)--592----


With opening day-itis gone, Sherlock held the top spot for most of the day but Mission Impossible passed it near the end of the day. With gross, Mission Impossible should be about $50,000 ahead for Friday. Still, underwhelming performances by both movies. Both needed to have strong opening weekends to save itself from big screen cuts next weekend. After coming off the worst weekend in 4 years last weekend, this was supposed to be the time for both movies to co-exist but score high weekend grosses. At this point, both movies will probably decrease next weekend and Breaking Dawn actually has a fleeting chance at capturing #1 next weekend.

Saturday adm.(so far)December 17
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--23,314--+50.6%
2Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--19,584--+35.8%
33 Idiots--1,078--+64.1%
4You Are the Apple of My Eye--938--+64.3%
5Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)--623----


The family quadrant will keep Sherlock ahead for most of the day on Saturday and Sunday but will it stay that way at the end? 3 Idiots seems to be labouring. Apple of My Eye is chugging along slowly. Arthur Christmas might actually pass both Idiots and Eye on both days.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri Dec 16, 2011 2:00 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/15: WKD Admissions + Estimates (MI4 beats Sherlock
Broadway/AMC increased their ticket prices by $5/$10 starting this weekend for all movies.

Saturday adm.December 17
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--53,912----
2Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--53,809----
33 Idiots5,1352,317-54.9%--
4You Are the Apple of My Eye4,7651,553-67.4%--
5Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)--976----


Sherlock held the lead straight until the end but Mission Impossible came back once again at night. It managed to erase a 4,000 admissions deficit by the end of the day. Extremely good for 3 Idiots. I have no doubt that this will be saved next weekend and that it will see a hefty increase. Apple of My Eye did ok but it won't be enough to save it from the onslaught. After its horrendous start, Arthur Christmas has been doing quite well.

Sunday adm.(so far)December 18
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--21,640--+10.5%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--20,477---12.2%
33 Idiots1,9011,157-39.1%+7.3%
4Arthur Christmas (3D Eng.)--846----
5Arthur Christmas (3D Can.)1,431407-71.6%-34.7%


Sunday adm.December 18
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--52,474---2.5%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--46,633---13.5%
33 Idiots4,6152,804-39.2%+21.0%
4Arthur Christmas (3D Eng.)--1,318--+35.0%
5You Are the Apple of My Eye3,5061,013-71.1%-34.8%


Weekend adm.Dec 15-18
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol--163,073--
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows--152,810--
33 Idiots--7,533--
4You Are the Apple of My Eye--4,223--


December 15 Weekend Estimates

1. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - $1,200,000
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - $1,050,000
3. 3 Idiots - $40,000 (-48.0%)/$2,750,000
4. Arthur Christmas - $30,000 (-52.5%)/$250,000
5. You Are the Apple of My Eye - $26,000 (-66.1%)/$7,790,000

Mission Impossible does it and defeats Sherlock Holmes in dramatic fashion after being behind by $120,000 before opening day and losing in admissions on Saturday. It not only managed to win in an outright manner on Sunday but padded its lead as the day increased. This may be a sign of strong word of mouth seeping in. No doubt, you can thank IMAX for most of the gap created as Sherlock Holmes did have theaters where it outperformed Mission Impossible by a fair bit.

While it did win the weekend, it did not do so in an explosive way. It came in below MI3's OW by about -40% and with increased ticket prices, it will come in below Johnny English Reborn's OW. Also, when going back through Tom Cruise's 100m+ domestic movies, MI4's OW ranks below War of the Worlds and Mission Impossible 3. You'll have to go back to 2004 when Collateral only opened to $400,000 to see the last movie that MI4's OW beat. MI4 is now looking ahead to finish with about 3.5-4.0m depending on how it does with the holidays.

Sherlock Holmes 2, meanwhile, increased from its predecessor but not by much. It too suffered under the weight of competition. Its OW is down 31% from Iron Man 2 and this also benefited from increased ticket prices which isn't good. All in all, it was a pretty underwhelming weekend and both movies are looking towards Christmas holidays to boost its total. Sherlock Holmes is also looking for a total of about 3.0-4.0m.

If 3 Idiots manages to pull off a drop below 50%, that would be shocking. Shocking that all screens for primetime showings were all locked up by MI4 & SH2 but it somehow found enough people to watch it with what little showtimes it had left. That would be an astounding drop and it will survive Christmas week. Good news as that should benefit the movie with its long running time. The amazing thing is that HK's gross is only about $250,000 behind South Korea's for highest grossing foreign territory (not counting India obviously) and it passed the UK on the first weekend of December.

You Are the Apple of My Eye's wheels have fallen off with a mediocre drop but it won't be enough to save it from getting slashed next weekend. Its total looks to be a little over 7.8m, good enough for #2 all-time for local films (all Chinese language movies).

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun Dec 18, 2011 1:43 pm
Profile
KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
Post Re: HK 12/15: WKD Admissions + Estimates (MI4 beats Sherlock
Well this was expected both movies bit into each others business...I would say this was a problem of scheduling. The good news from the data is clearly for MI4 whereas Sherlock though doing good looks to be more frontloaded. MI4 should easily emerge victorious of the two with or without IMAX gap if I must add.


Sun Dec 18, 2011 10:27 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/15: WKD Admissions + Estimates (MI4 beats Sherlock
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Well this was expected both movies bit into each others business...I would say this was a problem of scheduling. The good news from the data is clearly for MI4 whereas Sherlock though doing good looks to be more frontloaded. MI4 should easily emerge victorious of the two with or without IMAX gap if I must add.

Scheduling or not, HK was coming off its worst weekend in 4 years! I'm a bit disappointed that both failed to make 2.5m together.

From the data, Sherlock seems slightly more family friendly as evidenced by its Saturday win. Therefore, Sherlock will benefit from Christmas holidays moreso than Mission Impossible.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Mon Dec 19, 2011 12:42 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/22: Breaking Dawn chases 1st #1 in franchise
Thursday schedules for Christmas week

Pacific Place
NewHoldoversLeaving
Happy Feet 2 (3D Eng.) - 5 showingsSherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 6 showings (▼ 12)
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Eng.) - 5 showingsMission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 5 showings (▼ 14)
The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate (Can.) - 3 showingsArthur Christmas (3D Eng.) - 2 showings (▼ 5)
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 - 9 showings3 Idiots - 1 showing (▼ 3)


Olympian City
NewHoldoversLeaving
Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.) - 5 showingsSherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 8 showings (▼ 14)The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (3D Can.)
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.) - 4 showingsMission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 9 showings (▼ 15)You Are the Apple of My Eye
The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate (Can.) - 5 showingsArthur Christmas (3D Can.) - 1 showing (-)
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 - 7 showings3 Idiots - 3 showings (▼ 4)


Festival Walk
NewHoldoversLeaving
Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.) - 1 showingSherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 10 showings (▼ 16)White Vengeance
Happy Feet 2 (3D Eng.) - 3 showingsMission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 10 showings (▼ 11)Strawberry Cliff
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.) - 2 showingsArthur Christmas (3D Eng.) - 1 showing (▼ 2)Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Part 2)
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Eng.) - 3 showingsYou Are the Apple of My Eye - 1 showing (-)
The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate (Can.) - 2 showings3 Idiots - 2 showings (▼ 5)
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 - 6 showings


December 22 Predictions

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Tue Dec 20, 2011 2:05 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/22: Breaking Dawn chases 1st #1 in franchise
Thursday adm.(so far)December 22
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1--16,573--
2Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol10,3436,381-38.3%
3Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--5,591--
4Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows9,5785,474-42.8%
5The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate (Can.)--2,855--

Twilight will stay on top for the day. This early number is down 35% from Eclipse's opening day presales. The good news is that this will have Christmas and the following 2 days to make up for any lost business on opening day. Very good for Mission Impossible, Alvin and Sherlock Holmes. Flying Swords of Dragon Gate did poorly.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Wed Dec 21, 2011 1:00 pm
Profile
KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
Post Re: HK 12/22: Breaking Dawn chases 1st #1 in franchise
Amazing for Happy Feet 2 :P


Thu Dec 22, 2011 12:03 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/22 THU: BD1 leads but can it hold on for the win?
Thursday adm.December 22
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--34,290--
2Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol24,39021,987-9.9%
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows20,84217,212-17.4%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--12,800--
5The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate (3D Can.)--6,525--


Breaking Dawn 1's OD number comes in -27.3% from Eclipse's OD. Keep in mind though that Eclipse's OD was fueled by the July 1 holiday.

Excellent for Mission Impossible. Extremely positive word of mouth is coming out now. Similarly, Sherlock Holmes is also doing well with good WOM out there. Strong start for Alvin. Poor for Happy Feet 2.
Thursday ActualsDecember 22
LWTWTitleLast Thu. (USD)Thursday (USD)% chgTheatersDaysTotal
--1Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--$184,902--541$184,902
12Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol$212,354$160,176-24.6%648$2,033,051
23Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows$139,619$104,876-24.9%478$1,544,326
--4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked--$74,811--371$74,811
--5The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate--$51,018--381$51,018
--6Happy Feet 2--$43,328--351$43,328
47You Are the Apple of My Eye$4,688$6,009+28.2%1164$7,814,300
383 Idiots$5,810$5,677-2.3%9113$2,774,865
89Arthur Christmas$1,394$2,748+97.1%822$275,584
910The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn$1,275$807-36.7%529$1,161,447


Twilight started off quite well. The holidays may push this to over 1m for the weekend. Great holds for Mission Impossible and Sherlock Holmes. I think increases are in the works for both films. Very good start for Alvin. This looks headed towards a 500k+ weekend which is a better start than the last Alvin film. Those are weak starts for Flying Swords of Dragon Gate and Happy Feet 2. Both were in 3D but largely ignored. Amazing hold for Apple. It has now passed Shaolin Soccer to claim #2 all-time Chinese language film. Extremely good for 3 Idiots. Fantastic for Arthur Christmas. It will do at least a 4 multiplier. Tintin failed to click here.

Friday adm.(so far)December 23
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--15,698---5.3%
2Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol14,41612,373-14.2%+93.9%
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows15,47811,072-28.5%+102.3%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--6,035--+7.9%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--2,745----


Friday adm.December 23
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol32,40032,999+1.8%+50.1%
2Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--32,989---3.8%
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows31,42326,777-14.8%+55.6%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--13,453--+5.1%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--5,832----


Mission Impossible 4 is looking solid. I don't know whether to be worried or happy about that drop. Yes, it's close to the holidays but it's Twilight. I'll say it's ok for now. Sherlock Holmes is coming on strong and will catch Twilight for #2. This will easily outdo Twilight's admissions on Saturday/Sunday. Alvin is waiting for the windfall to come on Sunday. This could triple its OD numbers on Christmas Day. Still poor for Happy Feet 2.

Dec. 15 WKD
RankFilm TitleDistributorWeekend BOWeeksEngmntsEng. average% changeB.O. Cume
1Mission: Impossible Ghost ProtocolParamount Int'l$1,303,500144$29,625$1,875,419
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of ShadowsWarner Bros Int'l$1,038,747137$25,484$1,436,001
3Phantom Of The Opera (25th Anniversary Concert), TheUniversal Int'l$38,24535$7,649-39%$176,107
43 IdiotsEdko$37,8071613$2,908-50%$2,769,647
5You Are The Apple of My EyeFox Int'l$28,019914$2,001-64%$7,813,289
6Arthur ChristmasSony Int'l$26,591312$2,216-58%$274,685
7Magic to WinNewport Ent.$21,290315$1,419-79%$381,846
8White VengeanceGala Films$15,104223$657-83%$154,261
9Adventures Of Tintin, TheParamount Int'l$13,370412$1,114-90%$1,164,181
10Seediq Bale (Part 2)Lighten Distribution$9,01136$1,502-84%$366,673


Good starts for Mission Impossible and Sherlock Holmes. Phantom is doing well. 3 Idiots in Hong Kong is running out of time if it wants to catch South Korea's gross. It declined softly though. Apple dropped ok. Arthur Christmas held up well. Magic to Win, White Vengeance had ugly holds. Tintin disappeared and will finish with a disappointing 1.175m. Seediq Bale had a nasty drop.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri Dec 23, 2011 12:52 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/22: MI4 increases; Zoo, Skin, Turning, Flowers sne
Saturday adm.(so far)December 24
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol19,58435,438+81.0%+186.4%
2Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--32,141--+104.7%
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows23,31430,010+28.7%+171.0%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--12,512--+107.3%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--6,725--+145.0%


Saturday adm.December 24
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol53,80957,476+6.8%+74.2%
2Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--51,869--+57.2%
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows53,91245,247-16.1%+69.0%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--21,148--+57.2%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--11,119--+90.7%


Sunday adm.(so far)December 25
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol21,64037,420+72.9%+16.4%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows20,47728,960+41.4%-3.5%
3Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--27,900---13.2%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--17,550--+40.3%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--9,416--+40.0%


Sunday adm.December 25
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol52,47459,593+13.6%+3.7%
2Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--42,343---18.4%
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows46,63342,307-9.3%-6.5%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--25,886--+22.4%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--13,387--+20.4%


Note: These Sunday admissions are NOT final. This update was taken at 9 pm. Final admissions for Sunday and the weekend are higher.

Mission Impossible 4 did an incredible job this weekend. It ran away from the field on the weekend and has already passed 3m. It will hit 4m by next weekend and a final total of 5.5m is possible.

Breaking Dawn fizzled after opening day but it still managed to score its best opening of the franchise. It came in slightly below Eclipse's 5-day opening weekend admissions but will forge ahead in gross thanks to increased ticket prices.

Sherlock Holmes couldn't take advantage of the 1 big holiday and slipped from last week. It has passed 2m and will pass its predecessor before the end of its run. 3.5-4m is the range where its total could fall.

Alvin got off to fairly good start and will open ahead of its predecessor. It has a shot at 1m and will handily beat Squeakuel's total gross.

Happy Feet 2 stumbled and will open less than what the first one began with.

December 22 Weekend Estimates

1. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - $1,350,000 (+3.8%)/$3,225,000
2. Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $875,000
3. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - $825,000 (-20.6%)/$2,261,000
4. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked - $420,000
5. Happy Feet 2 - $230,000

We Bought A Zoo, The Skin I Live In, Turning Point 2 and The Flowers of War all received special previews this weekend.

Edit: Silly me forgot about the weekend admissions. Here they are.

Weekend adm.Dec 22-25
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol163,073172,055+5.5%
2Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--161,491--
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows152,810131,543-13.9%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--73,287--

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Mon Dec 26, 2011 2:23 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/22: Weekend actuals; Minor shakeups abound
December 26 holiday admissions

Monday adm.December 26
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol15,59054,749+251.2%-8.1%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows13,76538,624+180.6%-8.7%
3Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--33,440---21.0%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--28,028--+8.3%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--11,637---13.1%


Really amazing for Mission Impossible 4. Sherlock Holmes 2 performed quite well. Breaking Dawn Part 1 is running out of gas quickly. Alvin 3 had an exceptional increase from Christmas. Troubling for Happy Feet 2.

December 27 holiday admissions

Tuesday adm.December 27
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol28,43148,256+69.7%-11.9%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows23,58532,144+36.3%-16.8%
3Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1--26,719---20.1%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)--25,220---10.0%
5Happy Feet 2 (3D Can.)--10,913---6.2%


Pretty good for Mission Impossible. Even though Sherlock didn't perform as well here, it did manage to increase the gap between itself and Breaking Dawn. Great hold for Alvin here. The daily hold for Happy Feet 2 was the best of the top 5 but it's not great especially for an already low admissions Monday for HF2.

December 22 Weekend Actuals (includes Monday/Tuesday holidays)

Dec. 22 WKD
RankFilm TitleDistributorWeekend BOWeeksEngmntsEng. average% changeB.O. Cume
1Mission: Impossible Ghost ProtocolParamount Int'l$1,148,935243$26,719-12%$3,356,946
2Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, TheGolden Scene$914,846135$26,138$1,104,183
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of ShadowsWarner Bros Int'l$736,655237$19,910-22%$2,373,124
4Alvin And The Chipmunks: ChipwreckedFox Int'l$397,674134$11,696$544,726
5Flying Swords of Dragon Gate, TheNewport Ent.$311,265138$8,191$390,405
6Happy Feet 2Warner Bros Int'l$275,951131$8,902$366,101
7Phantom Of The Opera (25th Anniversary Concert), TheUniversal Int'l$40,91748$5,115+7%$230,627
83 IdiotsEdko$34,097179$3,789-10%$2,814,272
9You Are The Apple of My EyeFox Int'l$30,3111011$2,756+8%$7,852,447
10Arthur ChristmasSony Int'l$21,01949$2,335-21%$299,527


Don't know what happened here. Admissions were pointing to a slight increase for MI4. Nonetheless, that is a very good hold. It is going to pass MI3 and 4m this weekend. Good opening for Breaking Dawn but I still think that moving it to the beginning of the month was a better choice. The Monday and Tuesday holiday admissions and weekday actuals have shown that it doesn't matter if it gets holidays because most of the demand will have been burned off in the first weekend. They'll be playing with fire if they do it against The Hobbit. That Sherlock Holmes 2 decline is a bit deceiving. Last week I added the Wednesday previews into Thursday's gross. Variety didn't do this for SH2 but I noticed that they lumped Wednesday previews for POTC 4 into its OW (those previews started at 7 PM like SH2). With last Wednesday's previews included, it is a -29.0% drop. It's an OK drop but it's not the powerhouse that I thought it was. This will still do better than its predecessor though. Alvin 3 had a good opening. It will hold well to make 1m. Flying Swords of Dragon Gate and Happy Feet 2 both disappointed. That Happy Feet 2 is pretty bad. Comparing the first week totals between Happy Feet 1 & 2, HF2 slid -52.6% from HF1's opening week gross. Phantom of the Opera continues to perform well through the holidays. With My Name is Khan coming out next weekend, 3 Idiots time here looks to be up. 2.87m looks final. Apple of My Eye is very close to Kung Fu Hustle for top spot. It looks like it will pass KFH to become the biggest Chinese language release of all time. Weak hold for Arthur Christmas. I was expecting an increase.

There will be no more updates this week. I'll be back in the new year. Let's look at the January schedule before I go.





Release DateMovie Title
January 5The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
My Name is Khan
Speed Angels
The Awakening
New Year's Eve
Melancholia
Texas Killing Fields
January 12The Darkest Hour
The Great Magician
Love...Actually Sucks
January 19From Up on Poppy Hill (From Kokuriko Hill)
The Flowers of War
Journey 2: The Mysterious Island
All's Well End's Well 2012
The Muppets
January 21Puss in Boots
The Viral Factor
January 26The Descendants
A Happy Event
Jack and Jill
Haywire
Naruto Shippuden: Blood Prison


January 5 looks pretty weak headlined by Dragon Tattoo. Dragon Tattoo, however, is rated III and the Girl installments were released late last year. My Name is Khan is looking like a UA only release. Releasing New Year's Eve after the holiday is stupid and ridiculous. Melancholia probably will get a limited arthouse release.

January 12 picks up with 2 releases in The Darkest Hour and The Great Magician. The Great Magician should win the weekend although The Darkest Hour will pose a challenge.

Without a doubt, January 19 is the highlight of the month and maybe possibly the whole year in terms of total weekend gross. I knew when I saw From Kokuriko Hill's poster 2 weeks ago in the coming soon section that it would be big. This is being advertised heavily and I think it could challenge Ponyo's gross. Even though Tales from Earthsea didn't do so great, that was 5 years ago and in a weaker economy than the HK box office state right now. 1.5m is assured for this movie. The Flowers of War has been doing good in limited release so far and Christian Bale's dust up with Chinese police and starpower will attract viewers. The Muppets looks to be the outsider looking in but I'm sure it will gross an OK amount. You've got the obligatory Chinese New Year release in All's Well End's Well 2012. This is a contender for #1. Last year, the 2 CNY movies combined for 2.5m. This year, it looks like there will be only 1 release. It has the mountain of Chinese stars hoping to draw people in and playing to an empty CNY marketplace will very helpful. It has competition, however, from Journey 2: The Mysterious Island. The first one made 4.5m in HK alone and it's being rewarded with an early release with Australia. This is the favorite to win the weekend especially with Journey 2 being in 3D and having the coveted IMAX slot. On January 21, it gets even more complicated with 2 high profile releases coming out. The Monday holiday means that the CNY releases will have Monday-Wednesday as holidays to act as buffers for low grosses so some distributors have decided to release their films on Saturday. Puss in Boots and The Viral Factor will sneak screens away (probably from The Muppets). Puss in Boots is hoping to bank on Kung Fu Panda 2's strategy of opening much later than almost everywhere else to capitalize on holidays. It sounds like a good idea in theory but KFP2's HK gross was behind almost every other Asian territory that got an early release -Taiwan and the Philippines. No doubt, China definitely stole away business as many took a ferry/train over to watch KFP2 and come back. Puss in Boots could definitely fall into a KFP2 scenario here but the 2 day weekend looks to be strong. The holidays will only strengthen it's opening week gross here but it also faces massive competition from From Kokuriko Hill and Muppets. The Viral Factor is a high profile release featuring Nicholas Tse and Jay Chou as the leading actors for this crime drama. Overheard 2 showed that these types of movies can become hits and they are hoping the CNY holiday will kick start the box office gross for this movie. The trailers are explosive and well done and have gotten good-great reaction. All in all, I expect a 3.5m 4-day weekend here for all movies combined (the lack of holidays will lead to weaker openings).

After all that, we come back down on the January 26 weekend. Haywire looks like it'll be the winner while The Descendants kicks off the start of the Oscar season (ie February) in HK.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Thu Dec 29, 2011 1:03 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK 12/29: MI4 powers through; BD1 fades; TP2 down from 1
Thursday-Sunday admissions (Dec. 29 weekend)

Thursday adm.December 29
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol21,98718,317-16.7%
2Turning Point 2--11,828--
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows17,21211,824-31.3%
4Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 134,29011,804-65.6%
5Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)12,80010,267-19.8%


Thursday ActualsDecember 29
LWTWTitleLast Thu. (USD)Thursday (USD)% chgTheatersDaysTotal
21Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol$160,176$142,229-11.2%5215$3,955,711
--2Turning Point 2--$86,526--371$147,932
33Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows$104,876$74,079-29.4%4116$2,733,452
14Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1$184,902$68,228-63.1%378$1,453,497
45Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked$74,811$68,198-8.8%388$822,875
66Happy Feet 2$43,328$38,983-10.0%348$549,246
--7We Bought A Zoo--$38,178--291$48,881
58The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate$51,018$26,006-49.0%398$530,042
--9The Skin I Live In--$19,041--61$41,163
8103 Idiots$5,677$5,242-7.7%6120$2,840,392


Friday adm.December 30
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol32,99923,594-28.5%+28.8%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows26,77714,567-45.6%+23.2%
3Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 132,98912,544-62.0%+6.3%
4Turning Point 2--11,502---2.8%
5Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)13,4539,905-26.4%-3.5%


Saturday adm.December 31
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol57,47642,008-26.9%+78.0%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows45,24724,059-46.8%+65.2%
3Turning Point 2--22,334--+94.2%
4Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 151,86919,226-62.9%+53.3%
5Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)21,14814,621-30.9%+47.6%


Sunday adm.January 1
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol59,59335,885-39.8%-14.6%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows42,30719,723-53.4%-18.0%
3Turning Point 2--14,935---33.1%
4Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)25,88614,168-45.3%-3.1%
5Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 142,34312,823-69.7%-33.3%


Weekend adm.Dec 29-Jan 1
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol172,055119,804-30.4%
2Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows131,54370,173-46.7%
3Turning Point 2--60,599--
4Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1161,49156,397-65.1%
5Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)73,28748,961-33.2%


December 29 Weekend Estimates

1. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - $838,700 (-27%)/$4,195,700
2. Turning Point 2 - $430,000/$490,000
3. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - $390,400 (-47%)/$2,763,500
4. Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $329,400 (-64%)/$1,433,600
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked - $287,400 (-30%)/$832,100

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun Jan 01, 2012 4:15 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK: 2012 release dates + IMAX schedule
2012 Release Dates

February (aka Oscar season)

2/2 - War Horse, J. Edgar, Chronicle, The Lady, Anonymous, The Allure of Tears
2/9 - Man on a Ledge, The Ides of March, Star Wars: Phantom Menace 3D, Romancing in Thin Air, Contraband
2/16 - Moneyball, Hugo, This Means War
2/23 - The Artist, Safe House, Ghost Rider 2

March

3/1 - Underworld 4, Hansel & Gretel, We Need to Talk About Kevin
3/8 - John Carter, The Iron Lady, A Simple Life (or 3/9)
3/15 - Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, One for the Money, Machine Gun Preacher
3/22 - The Hunger Games, The Vow
3/29 - Footloose

April

4/5 - Titanic 3D, The Lorax, The Pirates! Band of Misfits
4/19 - Battleship
4/26 - The Avengers

May

5/10 - The Dictator
5/24 - Men in Black 3
5/31 - Snow White and the Huntsmen

June

6/7 - Prometheus
6/21 - Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter, G.I. Joe 2

July

7/3 - The Amazing Spider-Man
7/5 - Madagascar 3, Ice Age 4
7/19 - The Dark Knight Rises

August

8/2 - Total Recall, Brave
8/30 - The Possession

October

10/18 - Frankenweenie

November

11/1 - Skyfall

December

12/12 - Armour of God 3
12/20 - Life of Pi, Wreck-it Ralph

2012 IMAX schedule

1/19 - Journey 2: The Mysterious Island
1/21 - Puss in Boots
3/1 - Underworld: Awakening
3/8 - John Carter
4/5 - The Lorax
5/24 - Men in Black
7/3 - The Amazing Spider-Man
7/19 - The Dark Knight Rises
12/12 - Armour of God 3

Already the first weekend of July looks pretty tantalizing. Pretty dumb of Dreamworks to schedule Madagascar 3 against Ice Age 4 after IA4 booked that date a long time ago. Add Spider-Man to the mix and you've got yourself a problem. Men in Black 3 will be fairly big here. In a forum poll, MIB3 ranked 3rd amongst 20 films set to open summer 2012. #1 & #2? The Dark Knight Rises and The Avengers.

Internet people are hyping up Armour of God 3. It could be a major player come this winter. Maybe a battle incoming with it, The Hobbit and Breaking Dawn Part 2?

The gap between CNY and March 1 is too long. Will IMAX book Hugo in February?

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Mon Jan 02, 2012 12:51 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK: 2011 Year End; total box office revenue up 3% from 2
The Hong Kong Motion Picture Industry Association released the top 10 local and foreign films of 2011 yesterday.

Note: All grosses are up to December 31.

2011 Top 10 Local Movies
RankTitleTotal (HKD)Total (US$)
1Sex & Zen: Extreme Ecstasy 3D$41,078,280$5,290,001
2I Love Hong Kong$26,688,278$3,436,877
3Overheard 2$24,010,055$3,091,980
4Shaolin$20,510,569$2,641,321
5All's Well Ends Well 2011$20,321,315$2,616,949
6Don't Go Breaking My Heart$12,302,950$1,584,356
7Let the Bullets Fly$12,211,549$1,572,585
8Life Without Principle$8,437,059$1,086,512
9Mr. and Mrs. Incredible$8,220,252$1,058,592
10The Lost Bladesman$8,059,285$1,037,863


2011 Top 10 Foreign Movies
RankTitleTotal (HKD)Total (US$)
1Transformers: Dark of the Moon$84,703,797$10,908,032
2Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2$76,785,999$9,888,390
3You Are the Apple of My Eye*$61,295,651$7,893,565
4Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides$45,506,109$5,860,211
5Kung Fu Panda 2$39,469,375$5,082,809
6Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol*$34,195,780$4,403,683
7X-Men: First Class$25,877,191$3,332,427
8Johnny English Reborn$25,018,578$3,221,856
9Rise of the Planet of the Apes$23,932,198$3,081,953
10Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows*$23,069,877$2,970,905

* - still in release

Total box office revenue was up from HK$1.339b in 2010 to HK$1.379b in 2011 (+3%) thanks in part to rising ticket prices and the emergence of non-Hollywood products. 2012 looks to rise again thanks to the late ticket price hike (which started only 2 weeks ago).

Dec. 29 WKD
RankFilm TitleDistributorWeekend BOWeeksEngmntsEng. average% changeB.O. Cume
1Mission: Impossible Ghost ProtocolParamount Int'l$815,505343$18,965-29%$4,907,553
2Turning Point 2Intercontinental$498,251136$13,840$625,373
3Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of ShadowsWarner Bros Int'l$414,829337$11,212-44%$3,198,404
4Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, TheGolden Scene$340,805235$9,737-63%$1,816,890
5Alvin And The Chipmunks: ChipwreckedFox Int'l$300,070234$8,826-25%$1,161,175
6We Bought A ZooFox Int'l$224,979127$8,333$303,660
7Happy Feet 2Warner Bros Int'l$188,211231$6,071-32%$761,685
8Flying Swords of Dragon Gate, TheNewport Ent.$144,556237$3,907-54%$701,705
9Skin I Live In, TheEdko$126,30516$21,051$169,704
10Phantom Of The Opera (25th Anniversary Concert), TheUniversal Int'l$41,55959$4,618+2%$300,186


MI4 has done extremely well here and in Asia. This is heading towards 5.5m at least and has a shot at beating Pirates 4 for #4 this year. Very weak for Turning Point 2. Sherlock Holmes 2 is heading to about Iron Man 2's total. Breaking Dawn will break 2m although becoming the biggest in the franchise is not a sure thing yet. Alvin 3 will increase at least 50% from Alvin 2. We Bought A Zoo did mild numbers. Happy Feet 2 has been so disappointing...even that hold looks pretty bad. Flying Swords failed to click even with the Cantonese version here. Huge PTA for The Skin I Live In. This might beat The Tree of Life. Phantom is doing some good numbers over the holidays.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Thu Jan 05, 2012 10:11 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK: 2011 Year End; total box office revenue up 3% from 2
1/5 update:

Girl with the Dragon Tattoo will debut on top with about $375,000. MI4 headed for a 60% drop. SH2 is down about 70% from last weekend. Breaking Dawn Part 1 is declining in the 75-80% range.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sat Jan 07, 2012 3:20 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3007
Post Re: HK: The Darkest Hour and a Magician...evil houdini loose
Weekend actuals

1. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo - $424,778
X. New Year's Eve - $163,998

Thursday ActualsJanuary 5
LWTWTitleLast Thu. (USD)Thursday (USD)% chgTheatersDaysTotal
--1The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo--$59,790--371$149,372
12Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol$142,229$46,793-67.1%4522$5,018,910
--3New Year's Eve--$29,612--381$29,612
34Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows$74,079$21,601-70.8%3322$3,274,207
25Turning Point 2$86,526$17,810-79.4%338$674,600
46Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1$68,228$15,193-77.7%2715$1,876,033
97The Skin I Live In$19,041$11,182-41.3%68$194,441
--8The Awakening--$10,391--161$28,329
79We Bought A Zoo$38,178$8,461-77.8%248$327,074
810The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate$26,006$5,391-79.3%1515$729,754


You Are the Apple of My Eye$7,917,789
3 Idiots$2,896,264
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn$1,172,823
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked$1,162,169
Happy Feet 2$779,899


January 12 schedules

Pacific Place
NewHoldoversLeaving
The Darkest Hour 3D - 6 showingsNew Year's Eve - 2 showings (▼ 5)The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1
The Great Magician - 4 showingsThe Girl with the Dragon Tattoo - 5 showings (-)3 Idiots
The Skin I Live In - 3 showings (▼ 5)
We Bought A Zoo - 3 showings (▲ 1)
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Eng.) - 2 showings (▲ 1)
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 2 showings (▼ 3)
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 5 showings (-)


Olympian City
NewHoldoversLeaving
The Darkest Hour 3D - 10 showingsNew Year's Eve - 2 showings (▼ 5)Speed Angels
The Great Magician - 9 showingsThe Awakening - 1 showing (▼ 4)Turning Point 2
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo - 5 showings (-)We Bought A Zoo
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 - 1 showing (▼ 2)Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Can.)
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 1 showing (▼ 2)The Flying Swords of Dragon Gate (Can.)
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 3 showings (▼ 5)
3 Idiots - 1 showing (▼ 2)


The One
NewHoldoversLeaving
The Darkest Hour 3D - 9 showingsNew Year's Eve - 1 showing (▼ 5)Speed Angels
The Great Magician - 6 showingsThe Girl with the Dragon Tattoo - 5 showings (-)Texas Killing Fields
The Skin I Live In - 5 showings (▼ 6)Turning Point 2
We Bought A Zoo - 1 showing (-)
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 - 1 showing (-)
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 1 showing (▼ 2)
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 2 showings (▼ 5)
3 Idiots - 1 showing (▼ 2)


January 12 Predictions

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Tue Jan 10, 2012 3:21 pm
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 2665 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18 ... 107  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Flava'd vs The World and 194 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.