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 BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat 
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Wall-E

Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
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Post BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
From Intertops.com

Box Office Opening Weekend Gross: COUPLES RETREAT
Closing Date: Oct 09, 2009 12:00 GMT -4
Total Opening 3-Day Weekend Box Office: Friday 9th October to Sunday 11th October
U.S. & Canada box office sales only.
19.5 million to 24.5 million +140
24.5 million to 29.5 million +140
29.5 million or more +230
19.5 million or less +400


Let the games begin!

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:26 am
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
Wow, extremely good odds. Can't see it missing $24 million.


Fri Oct 09, 2009 1:31 am
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
Seems pretty simple; don't see it breaking to $30m+ or hugely underperforming.

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 2:04 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
I think the trailer looks terrible. And the reviews back it up.

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 3:24 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
Though there is slight concern for the upside surprise, I'm splitting o/u 24.5 for what seems a likely win.

To crack 29.5 it needs more star power than just Vaughn, who is less of a co-lead like in his most popular films than a lead more like in Fred Claus, and who seems to cause overtracking by himself similar to how Ferrell does. It has strong but not dominant female stars and there is no built in fan base. Also it is too raunchy for PG13 and too PG13 for raunchy, and has poor reviews.

To miss 19.5 seems like more of a longshot, and seems unlikely with a solid mix of demographic appeal and the PG13 to Heartbreak Kid's R. It seems like a much more likely date movie than that, with a better mix of relatable situations. The female lead character in HK was a wreck and not in any way sympathetic or very relatable. And Stiller's character was too much of a pushover.

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:54 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
And the odds are down already.

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:56 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
the odds came down when they were scheduled to come down. Look above. (12:00 PM ET)

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:17 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
They came down more than 1 hour prior to noon Eastern. I checked before 10 am central which is before 11 am Eastern...

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:23 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
My bad.

Hmmm... must have been a lot of bets on one paticular bracket. When that happens they'll pull it down.

That's why it's always best to get your bets in ASAP. It also insures good odds.

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Fri Oct 09, 2009 4:02 pm
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Golfaholic
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
Glad I didn't put that much money on it. Thought about splitting with the lower one, but went for 24.5-29.5 only. Never thought 30+ would gonna happen


Sat Oct 10, 2009 11:44 am
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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
Everybody now, Saturday-drop, Saturday-drop!! We're gonna need a massive one.

I put some money on $29 million and up, but not enough to be profitable, just to cut some losses.


Sat Oct 10, 2009 12:13 pm
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College Boy Z

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
Damnit, I can't believe it's going to make $29m+. Here's hoping for a massive drop and $24.5-29m this weekend.


Sat Oct 10, 2009 12:50 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
One of the biggest "never-seen-it-coming" opening for me.

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Sat Oct 10, 2009 1:12 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
It was the PG-13, comedy, only new release that did it. Plus it had both sexes interested... although I still think the trailer sucks.

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Sat Oct 10, 2009 1:43 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: BETTING ODDS: Couples Retreat
35 million -- wow!!!

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Sun Oct 11, 2009 2:07 pm
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