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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
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Location: Las Vegas
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 Poseidon - Bomb of the Year Budget: $160M to $200M
Opening weekend: $20M Estimated.
This probably would not do well in overseas markets unlike Kingdom of Heaven.
Result: Bomb 
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Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
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| Sat May 13, 2006 3:35 pm |
 
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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There were signs for this movie bombing quite early on from studio tracking. The NBC TV Poseidon movie had awful ratings. Most people including myself disregaded that potential sign.
The other thing is that nobody asked for this. The Day after Tomorrow had a nice concept and great money shots. Above all this stinker has Kurt Russell and Josh Lucas.
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Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 3:44 pm |
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Epic
Hatchling
Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2006 8:12 am
Posts: 11
Location: Israel
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Sad but true.
From what I've heard the movie is not good. So personally, I'm happy it sinked.
This year had a lot of hits, moderately small ones, however the majority of these film were, lacking a better word, crappy. And I love to see bad movies (bad in my opinion, of course) flop. That's just my take on it.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 3:45 pm |
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Epic
Hatchling
Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2006 8:12 am
Posts: 11
Location: Israel
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Magnus101 wrote: Yeah, its like a Stealth situation. The movie looked so crap that when it flops, you just don't care. Yeah. And when a movie like The Island flops it's just makes you go mad...and break stuff.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 3:49 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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Speak for yourself. The Island was terribly trite and banal.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Sat May 13, 2006 3:51 pm |
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Epic
Hatchling
Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2006 8:12 am
Posts: 11
Location: Israel
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To each his own.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 3:53 pm |
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Christian
Team Kris
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 5:02 pm
Posts: 27584
Location: The Damage Control Table
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Clearly, the ship needed snakes on the loose.
_________________A hot man once wrote: Urgh, I have to throw out half my underwear because it's too tight.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 3:54 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Yeah, I doubt there will be a bigger bomb this year.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:00 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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What if Cars opens with $25m????
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:01 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Box wrote: What if Cars opens with $25m???? What if POTC2 opens with $10 million??? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:02 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Hopefully Josh Lucas never gets employed again.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:03 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Box wrote: What if Cars opens with $25m???? What if POTC2 opens with $10 million??? I'm sorry, but that's not possible. Not if Disney cares about DP07's and BJ's welfare  _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:03 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am
Posts: 13403
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I think this movie will do enough business oversea's to get this the break even when it all settles out so i'm going to say major disapointment but not a bomb.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:05 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Gullimont-Kyro wrote: I think this movie will do enough business oversea's to get this the break even when it all settles out so i'm going to say major disapointment but not a bomb. Well, that's what you can say about almost any film nowadays.
It won't break even while in theatres. Maybe on DVD. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:10 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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This movie has to gross close to $500M to break even. KOH which had a very good overseas run did $164M overseas and a $211M Worldwide total.
POS will be lucky to come within $200M of the break even gross, including DVD revenues also.
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:18 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Well its no surprise that this did disappoint as much as it did. Just read through the Poseidon prediction thread since the BEGINNING, and not post MI3, when many jumped on the Poseidon may disappoint too bandwagon. There were plenty of signs, but most people here ignored all of them until the past week or so...to be blatantly honest.... 
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=15131
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:18 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Well, I expect around $160-170 million worldwide. It should do well in rentals, probably around $40-50 million and send well too. Eventually with TV licenses and DVD sales...it will break even.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:21 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Well, I expect around $160-170 million worldwide. It should do well in rentals, probably around $40-50 million and send well too. Eventually with TV licenses and DVD sales...it will break even. I seriously doubt this will break even.
I am shocked that WB would give a budget close to $200M for such a movie with no stars. Heads are going roll at WB for this.
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:24 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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I think POSEIDON is opening in most international territories on June 2. Wise move considering X-MEN films are really dominant overseas and DA VINCI will be into its 3 weekend nearly everywhere.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:45 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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jb007 wrote: This movie has to gross close to $500M to break even. More like $400m. (with a budget of $200m, including marketing) _________________
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:46 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
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Location: Germany
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getluv wrote: X-MEN films are really dominant overseas No, they are not (as is the case with most comic book movies).
Still, it's competition, so moving Poseidon away from the crowded May was the right decision. _________________
Last edited by Nazgul9 on Sat May 13, 2006 4:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:47 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Nazgul9 wrote: jb007 wrote: This movie has to gross close to $500M to break even. More like $400m. (with a budget of $200m, including marketing) I thought the budget without marketing was $200M. If it is $200M with marketing, $400M is good.
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Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:48 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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I highly agree. The year doesnt look great at all for WB. I dont see the appeal for the foreign market for the film because unlike MI3 or KOH, its not a historical epic or action film that normally do very well overseas
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:51 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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jb007 wrote: I thought the budget without marketing was $200M. If it is $200M with marketing, $400M is good. Well, BOM says $160m, so it'd probably be even less than $200m with marketing (or lack thereof).
In any case, a bomb it is... _________________
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| Sat May 13, 2006 4:56 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Next up: Superman not making $200 million in the States!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 13, 2006 5:39 pm |
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