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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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 SCORES with Actuals (from 3rd page) used xiayun's:
[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 100 [col] 95 [col] 94.74% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 20 [col] 23.5 [col] 85.11% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Saw 2 [col] 4.4 [col] 4.0 [col] 90% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3.3 [col] 2.4 [col] 62.50% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 6.6 [col] 5 [col] 68.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Derailed [col] 7.2 [col] 7 [col] 97.14% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Pride & Prejudice [col] 2.2 [col] 2 [col] 90.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 4.8 [col] 4.2 [col] 85.71% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Chicken Little [col] 15 [col] 13.5 [col] 88.89% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Jarhead [col] 4.6 [col] 4.9 [col] 93.88% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 85.6%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 89.92% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 84.52% [/table]
Damn Zorro! 
Edited: with new projections
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
Last edited by JMorphin on Mon Nov 21, 2005 6:13 pm, edited 6 times in total.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:47 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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harry potter will not make 100m.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:51 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32625
Location: the last free city
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 97.2 [col] 95 [col] 97.68% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 20.5 [col] 23 [col] 89.13% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 15.6 [col] 13.2 [col] 81.82% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 7.2 [col] 6.7 [col] 92.54% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 7.4 [col] 5.1 [col] 54.90% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 7.0 [col] 4.8 [col] 54.17% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 6.8 [col] 4.3 [col] 41.86% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Saw II [col] 4.7 [col] 4 [col] 82.50% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3.4 [col] 2.4 [col] 58.33% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] P&P [col] 3.0 [col] 2 [col] 50.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 70.29%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 93.41% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 64.51% [/table]
DAMN  holdovers 
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
Last edited by Rev on Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:08 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:53 pm |
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Amos
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:54 pm
Posts: 1585
Location: New Zealand
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Re: SCORES with projections EDIT: BOM Numbers
[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 100.3 [col] 95 [col] 94.42% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 22.9 [col] 23 [col] 99.57% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 14.1 [col] 13.2 [col] 93.18% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 6.5 [col] 6.7 [col] 97.01% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 6.0 [col] 5.1 [col] 82.35% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 5.7 [col] 4.8 [col] 81.25% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 4.4 [col] 4.3 [col] 97.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Saw II [col] 4 [col] 4 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 2.9 [col] 2.4 [col] 79.17% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Pride & Prejudice [col] 2.2 [col] 2 [col] 90.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]91.46%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 96.99% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 90.08% [/table]
_________________
Cut My Milk!
Last edited by Amos on Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:03 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:55 pm |
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Anonymous
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BOM numbers came, so maybe better to wait for new projections.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:55 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 96.7 [col] 95 [col] 98.21% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 21.3 [col] 23 [col] 92.61% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 15.8 [col] 13.2 [col] 80.30% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 6.8 [col] 6.7 [col] 98.51% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 7.2 [col] 5.1 [col] 58.82% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 6 [col] 4.8 [col] 75.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Saw II [col] 4.5 [col] 4.5 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 5.2 [col] 4.3 [col] 79.07% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3.2 [col] 2.4 [col] 66.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Prime [col] 2.3 [col] 2 [col] 85.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]83.42%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 95.41% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 80.42% [/table]
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:56 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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mine is with the new projections made by xiayun.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:56 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Mr. Sparkle wrote: harry potter will not make 100m. With BOM numbers, I agree.
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:56 pm |
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Anonymous
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88.81% with xiayun's new projections.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:57 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Sorry all, Saw II should be projected at $4.0M with the new BOM number.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:59 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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xiayun wrote: Sorry all, Saw II should be projected at $4.0M with the new BOM number. NO!! 
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 3:59 pm |
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Amos
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:54 pm
Posts: 1585
Location: New Zealand
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Mr. Sparkle wrote: xiayun wrote: Sorry all, Saw II should be projected at $4.0M with the new BOM number. NO!! Yay 
_________________
Cut My Milk!
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:00 pm |
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Anonymous
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xiayun wrote: Sorry all, Saw II should be projected at $4.0M with the new BOM number. 88.51% then. 
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:01 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 99 [col] 95 [col] 95.79% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 25 [col] 23 [col] 91.30% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 14 [col] 13.2 [col] 93.94% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 6.9 [col] 6.7 [col] 97.01% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 5.7 [col] 5.1 [col] 88.24% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 6.1 [col] 4.8 [col] 72.92% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Saw II [col] 4.4 [col] 4 [col] 90.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 4.2 [col] 4.3 [col] 97.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3 [col] 2.4 [col] 75.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Prime [col] 2.2 [col] 2 [col] 90.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]89.19%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 93.55% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 88.10% [/table]
I'm hoping my last second change of 22.8 to 25.0 for WTL (and to a much less extent, the change of 98.2 to 99 for HP4) doesn't come back and haunt me.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:03 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Derby
[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 99.1 [col] 95 [col] 95.68% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 22.9 [col] 23 [col] 99.57% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 15.7 [col] 13.2 [col] 81.06% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 6.5 [col] 6.7 [col] 97.01% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 6.4 [col] 5.1 [col] 74.51% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 5.6 [col] 4.8 [col] 83.33% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 5.3 [col] 4.3 [col] 76.74% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Saw II [col] 4.6 [col] 4 [col] 85.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3.1 [col] 2.4 [col] 70.83% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Pride and Prejudice [col] 2.5 [col] 2 [col] 75.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 83.87%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 97.62% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 80.44% [/table]
 DAMN YOU holdovers!! 
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:08 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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88.71%.
Going low on the holdovers really paid off this time.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:18 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40589
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 102.6 [col] 95 [col] 92.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 23.5 [col] 23 [col] 97.83% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 14.4 [col] 13.2 [col] 90.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 7.5 [col] 6.7 [col] 88.06% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 5.3 [col] 5.1 [col] 96.08% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 5.9 [col] 4.8 [col] 77.08% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 4.3 [col] 4.3 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Saw II [col] 4.7 [col] 4 [col] 82.50% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3.1 [col] 2.4 [col] 70.83% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Dreamer: Inspired by a True Story [col] 2.2 [col] 2 [col] 90.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 88.53%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 94.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 86.93% [/table]
Arr...
If I didn't have such a shotty memory, and I was actually in the derby this week, I would've been one of the top contenders. _________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:25 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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92.45% for Jeff, and 91.45% for Samweis. Congrats, guys!
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:29 pm |
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Amos
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:54 pm
Posts: 1585
Location: New Zealand
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xiayun wrote: 92.45% for Jeff
_________________
Cut My Milk!
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 4:40 pm |
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Jeff 42
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2005 2:44 pm
Posts: 763
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 100 [col] 95 [col] 94.74% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 20 [col] 23 [col] 86.96% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 14.2 [col] 13.2 [col] 92.42% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 6.4 [col] 6.7 [col] 95.52% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 5.7 [col] 5.1 [col] 88.24% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 5.3 [col] 4.8 [col] 89.58% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 4.1 [col] 4.3 [col] 95.35% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Saw II [col] 3.6 [col] 4 [col] 90.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 2.6 [col] 2.4 [col] 91.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Pride and Prejudice [col] 2 [col] 2 [col] 100.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 92.45%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 90.85% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 92.85% [/table]
Thanks, xiayun! 
_________________
My top 5 of '05:
1. Revenge of the Sith (A+)
2. Batman Begins (A)
3. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (A-)
4. The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy (A-)
5. Sin City (A-)
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 6:30 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 97 [col] 95 [col] 97.89% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 20.9 [col] 23 [col] 90.87% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 14.3 [col] 13.2 [col] 91.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 7.3 [col] 6.7 [col] 91.04% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 6.1 [col] 5.1 [col] 80.39% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 5.5 [col] 4.8 [col] 85.42% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 4.5 [col] 4.3 [col] 95.35% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Saw II [col] 4.6 [col] 4 [col] 85.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3.2 [col] 2.4 [col] 66.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Dreamer: Inspired by a True Story [col] 2.4 [col] 2 [col] 80.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]86.43%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 94.38% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 84.44% [/table]
Trust me, it's an improvement and I'll take it...
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 6:39 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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Damn you Zorro!
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 6:40 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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With holdovers dropping big, the score should favor us KJers over random derby players.
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 6:41 pm |
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newfoundglorysp
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm
Posts: 1093
Location: Montreal, Canada
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87.54 at least this is way better then the last week.
_________________
TOP 5 MOVIES
1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou
2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
5. Being John Malkovich
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| Sat Nov 19, 2005 7:04 pm |
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asalem182
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am
Posts: 2375
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 97.6 [col] 95 [col] 97.26% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] Walk the Line [col] 23.5 [col] 23 [col] 97.83% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Chicken Little [col] 14.1 [col] 13.2 [col] 93.18% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Derailed [col] 6.7 [col] 6.7 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Zathura [col] 6.2 [col] 5.1 [col] 78.43% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Jarhead [col] 5.3 [col] 4.8 [col] 89.58% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Get Rich or Die Tryin' [col] 4.9 [col] 4.3 [col] 86.05% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Saw II [col] 4.8 [col] 4 [col] 80.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] The Legend of Zorro [col] 3 [col] 2.4 [col] 75.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Dreamer: Inspired by a True Story [col] 2.3 [col] 2 [col] 85.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]88.23%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 97.54% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 85.91% [/table]
Hopefully that will be enough for a place inside the top 50.
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| Sun Nov 20, 2005 3:34 am |
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