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 Star Trek 2 predictions 
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Excel wrote:
This means war was a total flop, and I think I speak for everyone when I say WTF was Unstoppable?

You don't speak for me. It was Tony Scott's last movie, starring Denzel Washington and Chris Pine...

And This Means War wasn't a flop at all, let alone a "total flop". It did respectfully for its budget.

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Fri Dec 07, 2012 1:31 am
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Ah, Unstoppable was that train movie. Eh, modest hit.

But he is hardly a major star. He's Jack Ryan right? He will be a star in a bit. But I see little reason to predict a drastic increase over the first. I say adjust it for inflation, and add 35% to the opening weekend, and 15% ish to the total.

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Fri Dec 07, 2012 2:58 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Oh yeah, that Jack Ryan movie, what an unstoppable train wreck that's going to be. :funny:

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Fri Dec 07, 2012 3:50 am
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On autopilot for the summer
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
If it's better than Sum of All fears, it'll most likely be a big hit.

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Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:37 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
It could be worse than that. Chris Pine isn't the most charismatic actor.

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Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:38 am
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You must have big rats
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Excel wrote:
This means war was a total flop, and I think I speak for everyone when I say WTF was Unstoppable?


Umm, Unstoppable didn't do badly and had really good legs.

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Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:46 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Anything other than MOS in summer 2013 is utter shit for Excel so be prepared to see him downplaying every movie that has potential to cross MOS.


Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:07 am
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
I've been worried about this being another Iron Man 2, but the announcement teaser already has 2.3 million views after less than 36 hours. Even the Japanese announcement teaser has over 600,000 views. So clearly interest is still there.

I'm pretty certain $300+ million will happen, but dunno still beyond that.


Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:32 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Trailer views are not always accurate..

Transformers 3 has the highest views on youtube for a trailer...

:lol:

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Fri Dec 07, 2012 1:59 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
The teaser is cool, but I'm still not as crazy excited for this as I was with TDKR and TA last year. Don't get me wrong I loved the first one and I'm definitely looking forward to this, but for now I'm setting my expectations low.

As for box office if Skyfall can have a big increase coming off of something like QOS than it shouldn't be hard for Trek 2 to do same considering how much audiences loved the first one, but I still don't think $300M+ is a lock yet. This could still very easily go the way of IM2 if it turns out to dissapoint.

100/285


Fri Dec 07, 2012 7:34 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
The biggest problem I see is the competition around it. While Summers do help your daily gross this one is sandwiched between IM3 and Fast 6/Hangover 3 combo. Can't see this one having good legs even with great opening unless the WOM is out of the world.


Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:27 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
The biggest problem I see is the competition around it. While Summers do help your daily gross this one is sandwiched between IM3 and Fast 6/Hangover 3 combo. Can't see this one having good legs even with great opening unless the WOM is out of the world.


Yeah that's another thing. Competition is straight up brutal next May. We could potentially have 3 $100M+ openers that are only a week or two apart plus TH3 which should also do solid business. It's just like 2007 except much stronger IMO just because you have more BIG releases stacked on top of the of the other. Not to mention that supposedly TH3 and Fast 6 are going to open on the same day which is batshit crazy by itself.


Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:47 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Dil wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
The biggest problem I see is the competition around it. While Summers do help your daily gross this one is sandwiched between IM3 and Fast 6/Hangover 3 combo. Can't see this one having good legs even with great opening unless the WOM is out of the world.


Yeah that's another thing. Competition is straight up brutal next May. We could potentially have 3 $100M+ openers that are only a week or two apart plus TH3 which should also do solid business. It's just like 2007 except much stronger IMO just because you have more BIG releases stacked on top of the of the other. Not to mention that supposedly TH3 and Fast 6 are going to open on the same day which is batshit crazy by itself.


The studios are being pathetic. Yet another front loaded summer. The second half is extremely weak. Trek should have opened mid July. This Hangover vs Furious nonsense must end. The comedy should move to late July.

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Sat Dec 08, 2012 5:21 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Excel wrote:
adjust it for inflation, and add 35% to the opening weekend, and 15% ish to the total.


With inflation, it is: 80 / 270. That is 110/305.

Sounds about right.

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Sat Dec 08, 2012 5:52 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Still not convinced it will pull a Pirates 2/Shrek 2/TF2 performance.


Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:12 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
OW: $112.0M
Total: $305.2M


Mon Dec 10, 2012 11:54 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Magnus wrote:
Trek should have opened in June 2012 like it was originally supposed to. It moving was annoying mainly because it allowed ASM to become a hit (domestically at least). If ST2 opened in its original spot, I doubt ASM does more than 200m at best.
JJ was set on doing Super 8 and had Spielberg backing him up. Who could argue against that power?


Wed Dec 12, 2012 3:26 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
At my IMAX they showed the first 10 minutes of the movie and believe me it looks AWESOME in IMAX 3D.


Fri Dec 14, 2012 1:05 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
At my IMAX they showed the first 10 minutes of the movie and believe me it looks AWESOME in IMAX 3D.


I'm considering just going to see Hobbit in IMAX 3d for this alone....worth it?

How does it compare to similar opening IMAX sneak peeks for TDKR and TDK?


Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:08 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
We didn't have IMAX in Singapore back then so I was not able to see the sneak peek.


Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:10 am
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Official Trailer:



Mon Dec 17, 2012 2:43 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Loved it! Much better than the announcement teaser. Feeling confident about $425M+ again.


Mon Dec 17, 2012 2:45 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
They made this teaser feel like MoS teaser at least the first half. Not very impressive.


Mon Dec 17, 2012 3:15 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Biggestgeekever wrote:
I'm thinking $150m opening will happen. I've seen the argument that Star Trek is too nerdy for that kind of expansion, but I think that's total BS.

Well, they are trying their hardest to make it look un-nerdy, there's barely any space shots, aliens, a lot seems to take place on earth. While i like the trailer, sometimes i wish they would make Trek more like Trek again, you know, exploration, conflicts with other races, stuff like that.

Still, $150m is BS, you hear me, BS! :P

$120m / $350m

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Mon Dec 17, 2012 3:28 pm
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Post Re: Star Trek 2 predictions
Based on the nine minute prologue, it's going to be awesome.


Mon Dec 17, 2012 6:48 pm
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