Well next week will determine if it makes 300 million or closer to 250 million now. I dont know about projections but wouldnt something like 60 million 4 day implies it will be alot closet to 300 mill

300 mill was never really expected for this film though. 250 was always the wOW number.

Opening wknd: 90m-100m

2nd wknd 56m -62m 3-day.

By the way, I'd like to apologize if people did take some of my posts earlier the wrong way. Didn't mean to offend anyone!

Sith dropped 49.1% 3-Day last year on Memorial Day weekend, even though it opened on Thursday. I don't see a drop under 45% or over 52% for TDVC.

300 mill? nope.

250? doubt it.

In you dreams

300m+

350m+

totaly beast bad wom and all

So which one of those is the number of the beast?

72/199

well ok I was maybe wrong with the opening............
BUT THIS MOVIE WILL SHOW SOME OF THE WORST LEGS EVER FOR A SUMMER BLOCKBUSTER.......DAVIDs "MOST IMPORTANT THING" WILL BE LONGER THAN DVC LEGS.
trust me.
I will still hurt me if it will cross 200...but if shall not...it is not allowed to get over 230.....Trust me.....

The terrible legs you speak of are not going to happen. When a film ia averaging a B with it's reviewers, that does not spell disaterous legs. It means that many liked it, some didn't and some loved it. The film is guaranteed to make at least 80 if not 85 mill this weekend.

It will go like this:

Friday:30
Saturday 31
Sunday 25

This rounds out to about 86 mill, I am going low with 80-85, but it is tracking for about 86. Let's say the weekdays yield another 10-12 mill, then if it falls 50% next weekend, that puts it at about 45-47 mill for the three day and about 55 for the 4. That puts it at least at 150 mill. You think it will drop 60% every weeekend after that and 0.00 on the weekdays? You're dreaming. It is guaranteed to make 250. These legs that some of you make up in your head, ignoring the tracking and the numbers and the WOM from teh people who have actually seen it, indicate a better than average enjoyment of the film. That means it won't make 300, but 250, is all but assured.

I think the Showbizdata estimates may be a bit high at this point. I saw 69m/180m before the weekend began, I see a 76m/195m as of right now.

Well, I kept saying legs won't be very good. This is just as frontloaded of a blockbuster as they usually come. I doubt anyone sees this getting a multiplier of 3 now

Should top out with $215 million or less.

Ah see...even the Doctor is on our side. Short legs ahead I say (and I cant remember when I bashed a movie so hard).

4.05

300m+

50m+ wknd 2

BJ, king of overprediction

Remember when x2 had a 85mill opening yet it still top out at 215 even with good WOM, well davinci did 77mill and with the bad wom its getting it will top out at 170-185.

Well to be fair, you are comparing a sequel movie multiplier to a non sequel. Davinci also has the 4th highest opening for a non sequel and the largest opening for a non sequel movie to fall short of 200 million was DAT

Now that you mentioned something about X2s opening, I now see Superman Returns opening with 70 million which would make it the number 2 July opening of all time and end up with 180 million using X2s multiplier

There was this movie that came out two weeks later, which I can't seem to remember the name for... but it was kinda huge... I think it was, like, The Matrix Reloaded. Da Vinci has X3 next weekend, but Memorial Day still helps it.

Oh, and X2 opened the summer, meaning it opened about four weeks away from Memorial Day weekend.

It ROTS could get it why not?

Without midnights and opening on a Friday ROTS would still certainly have dropped.

You forget that weekdays will be better for TDVC and it has Memorial Day much earlier. Plus, X2 was in a very frontloaded genre.

Doesn't Universal own the rights to Angels and Demons?

People, dont forget, Da Vinci Code is the SECOND film in a trilogy. Angels and Demons is the first.

well, x3 did fall from 85 to 39 with NO COMPITION in its second week...even with good wom. without reloaded, it would gotten like 225-230 though.

Yeah, it dropped 53% second weekend, which I'd consider to be a great drop for a frontloaded $85 million opener with a huge fanbase. With Reloaded, it dropped almost 57%.

Yeah. and x3 is looking to mimic x3s performance only with a bigger opening. -53% against break up, then -60% to cars.