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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6153
Location: New York
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Speevy wrote: Jiffy208 wrote: Shrek is a $300m grosser adjusted for inflation, look how that sequel turned out. . . Shrek 2 was a phenomenon that I really don't think people expected. You can't just expect the same thing to happen to every other film, where the first film had great WOM. I have not heard of any expectations for a sequel to be another Shrek 2 outside of this one, I think it is definitely the best comparison.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 7:31 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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I think it's opening at the right time and will pass 300. No matter what people in the over 250 million superman club think, it is NOT going to be that big and will not take a chunk out of POTC2. This summer has been kind of weak so far with the big blockbusters, and I think this movie is set up to break out big.
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 7:42 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
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I think it will have a 3 multiplier even with a massive $130+ million opening. The summer is just completely depleted of blockbusters after it, so I think it will have plenty of staying power for audiences bored with the movies coming after it.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 8:16 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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150m+ opening
550m+ top out
 _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 9:10 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
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BJ wrote: 150m+ opening 550m+ top out As insane as it may sound...maybe. If the competition truly is weak, I can see it having fantastic legs.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 9:24 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am
Posts: 1879
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Sun Ra wrote: Speevy wrote: 5. I just don't see the buzz that everyone is talking about. Go outside. I go outside all the time. I deal with a lot of people on a daily basis. I have a lot friends who are movie buffs. I live in a major metropolitian area. I only know one person who is looking forward to it. I only see ads on TV. I really do not see the buzz surronding this. It may surprise but I think it will stay between 280 and 320 and 340 being the max probably it could make in my opinion. It won't make below 250 million.
_________________
Cromulent!
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 9:30 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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redspear wrote: Sun Ra wrote: Speevy wrote: 5. I just don't see the buzz that everyone is talking about. Go outside. I go outside all the time. I deal with a lot of people on a daily basis. I have a lot friends who are movie buffs. I live in a major metropolitian area. I only know one person who is looking forward to it. I only see ads on TV. I really do not see the buzz surronding this. It may surprise but I think it will stay between 280 and 320 and 340 being the max probably it could make in my opinion. It won't make below 250 million. pfft
550m+ _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:22 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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The first one had a 6.6 multiplier. A 3 multiplier for the second is VERY achievable.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:26 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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This will make $300m+ but not $400m or $500m.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:49 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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The higher it opens, the worse the legs...
If it opens above $150 mil, it should get about... 2.8-3.0 multiplier.
If it opens between $125-$150 mil, it should get a little higher... 3.0-3.5 multiplier.
If it opens between $100-$125 mil, it should get even a little more higher... 3.8-4.5 multiplier.
Indeed.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:54 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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Brian's Pirates of the Caribbean:Deadmans Chest Prediction
Opening Weekend
Opening Day:56m
Saturday:50.4m -10%
Sunday:41.33m -18%
WEEKEND TOTAL:147.73m
Day 4:18.6m -55%
Day 5:16.74m -10%
Day 6:14.23m -15%
Day 7:13.1m -8%
5 DAY TOTAL:183.07m
6 DAY TOTAL:197.3m
Opening Week:210.4
Second Weekend
Friday:21.615m +65%
Saturday:30.7m +42%
Sunday:22.1m -28%
SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL:74.4m -50.5%
Day 11:11.5m -48%
Day 12:10.81m -6%
Day 13:10.05m -7%
Day 14:9.75m -3%
Second Week:116.525 -45.5%
14 DAY TOTAL:327M
TOTAL:525m
INTERNATIONAL:580m
WW :1.105billion
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 10:59 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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DIB2 wrote: Brian's Pirates of the Caribbean:Deadmans Chest Prediction
Opening Weekend
Opening Day:56m
Saturday:50.4m -10%
Sunday:41.33m -18%
WEEKEND TOTAL:147.73m
Day 4:18.6m -55%
Day 5:16.74m -10%
Day 6:14.23m -15%
Day 7:13.1m -8%
5 DAY TOTAL:183.07m
6 DAY TOTAL:197.3m
Opening Week:210.4
Second Weekend
Friday:21.615m +65%
Saturday:30.7m +42%
Sunday:22.1m -28%
SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL:74.4m -50.5%
Day 11:11.5m -48%
Day 12:10.81m -6%
Day 13:10.05m -7%
Day 14:9.75m -3%
Second Week:116.525 -45.5%
14 DAY TOTAL:327M
TOTAL:525m
INTERNATIONAL:580m
WW :1.105billion  under predicting pansy 
550m+!!! ! ! ! _________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:57 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11035
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There is no way it makes 150mill 3 day.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:59 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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140.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:00 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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neo_wolf wrote: There is no way it makes 150mill 3 day. keep doubting, it will only make the actual even more shocking for you _________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:01 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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_________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:02 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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BJ wrote: neo_wolf wrote: There is no way it makes 150mill 3 day. keep doubting, it will only make the actual even more shocking for you i think you will be the one in shock. 
BJ im going to laugh at you so hard when this movie makes less than your predictions 
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:04 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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matatonio wrote: BJ wrote: neo_wolf wrote: There is no way it makes 150mill 3 day. keep doubting, it will only make the actual even more shocking for you i think you will be the one in shock. BJ im going to laugh at you so hard when this movie makes less than your predictions we shall see.  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:06 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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It's the highest tracking film ever, yeah, but that doesn't really mean that it'll just shatter the four-year-old record like it's nothing and beat it by a full $40 million. I think it will break the record, but not by more than $15 million.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:26 am |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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Can you guys imagine just for a second what would happen if BJ was right? What kind of response would he give? Would he rub it in our faces indefinitely? Because, let's face it, I don't think anything could ever top calling a $590 million domestic gross. You could predict grosses to the penny of many $100 million films, but that simply pales in comparison. Hm...
Anyway, I'm still in this club, but only out of sheer optimism. Realisitcally, I'm expecting 130/450. But I think there is a chance, if everything goes right for it, and all of the movies after it fall flat, and the WOM is remarkable. It'll need the repeat viewings of the original to get to 500 (myself, I saw it in first-run theaters five times ) but I find that unlikely, with a cliffhanger ending. _________________
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:24 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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insomniacdude wrote: It'll need the repeat viewings of the original to get to 500 (myself, I saw it in first-run theaters five times ) but I find that unlikely, with a cliffhanger ending. I don't think the cliffhanger's as bad as everybody thinks.
[spoil]People do see Sparrow is alive at the end of the movie and that scene will probably be very funny, especially since he shares it with Barbossa.[/spoil] _________________
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:29 am |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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Eventine wrote: I don't think the cliffhanger's as bad as everybody thinks. I wouldn't know. Spoiler-free and proud of it  _________________
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:47 am |
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tina_als_girl
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 3:43 pm
Posts: 2252
Location: Wellsville, MO
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Eventine wrote: I don't think the cliffhanger's as bad as everybody thinks.
[spoil]People do see Sparrow is alive at the end of the movie and that scene will probably be very funny, especially since he shares it with Barbossa.[/spoil] Are you sure about that? Everything I've heard points away from the early speculations that offered that up as a possible ending.
Even so, I do think this movie will have quite a bit of rewatchability. I saw CotBP 11 times in first-run, and I'm wanting to beat my record by at least one... so, who knows how many times others might decide to go.
Joy
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 10:30 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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insomniacdude wrote: Can you guys imagine just for a second what would happen if BJ was right? What kind of response would he give? Would he rub it in our faces indefinitely? Because, let's face it, I don't think anything could ever top calling a $590 million domestic gross. You could predict grosses to the penny of many $100 million films, but that simply pales in comparison. Hm... That's what I worry about with this movie. 
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 10:38 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Zingaling wrote: insomniacdude wrote: Can you guys imagine just for a second what would happen if BJ was right? What kind of response would he give? Would he rub it in our faces indefinitely? Because, let's face it, I don't think anything could ever top calling a $590 million domestic gross. You could predict grosses to the penny of many $100 million films, but that simply pales in comparison. Hm... That's what I worry about with this movie. That's why you should join the club.  _________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 1:16 pm |
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