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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Archangel wrote: What's the prediction for the Monday drop? 55%-68% drop, should easily drop again on tuesday because some people are still off on monday but not tuesday.
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 9:36 pm |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm Posts: 88 Location: Chicago
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
 On the conservative side, after the 3rd weekend sub-$80 million fiasco  , Avatanic is still on track to pass $900 million domestic 
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 9:40 pm |
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MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm Posts: 8202
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Sunday
Keyser Soze - 21.5m -18% BJs Prediction: 20.85 -19% Jmovies - 20.0m -22% Soagg - 19.8m -23% Eventine - 19.1m -26% Chip Munkington - 19.0m -26% Revatar - 18.99m -26%
Average: 19.89m -23%
2 hours $20.2 M
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 9:41 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
19.45
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 11:01 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
nice prediction, BJ likes 
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 11:05 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Sunday
Keyser Soze - 21.5m -18% BJs Prediction: 20.85 -19% LadiesMan217 - 20.2m -21% Jmovies - 20.0m -22% Soagg - 19.8m -23% Mdana - 19.45m -24% Eventine - 19.1m -26% Chip Munkington - 19.0m -26% Revatar - 18.99m -26%
Average: 19.88m -22%
closed
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 11:12 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Domestic Total:
Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57 Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44 Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00 Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84 Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61 MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69 Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55 Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56 したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82 Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35 Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27 KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44 billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18 Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54 Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97 Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00 The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06 O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61 Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53 Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45 SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88 Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28 BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51 Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74 Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53 Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34 DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28 BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m
Average Multiplyer: 4.82
only 8 of the first round predictors made it in without having to update in the 2nd round, congrats don't forget to get your predictions in, especially if you're past prediction was in the red. Those wit a strike through there name have predicted in round 2 BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 2 update #5
Proud Ryu - 450m SolC9 - 459m Archangel - 500m BennyBlanco - 501m Nazgul - 504m Telemachos - 510m BK - 525m Keyser Soze - 525m Tyler - 530m The Dark Shape 540m Eventine - 541.2m Captain_Cold - 545m Xiayun - 550m LadiesMan217 - 565m 2001 - 565m Gamaur - 575m Chip Munkington - 601m Soagg - 602m Jmovies - 612m Revatar - 612.5m Mesjarch - 620m Mark66 - 625m DIB2 - 720m Lotan - 770m BJ - 811m EnKi - 1.025b
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 583.80m
newly submitted are in bold, have fun all.
closed if avatar makes over 50m nest wknd I will make a third and last round that will probably end the wk of asscar nominations
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 11:27 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Im calling for an 8m+ monday.
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 11:28 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Sunday
Keyser Soze - 21.5m -18% BJs Prediction: 20.85 -19% LadiesMan217 - 20.2m -21% Jmovies - 20.0m -22% Soagg - 19.8m -23% Mdana - 19.45m -24% Eventine - 19.1m -26% Chip Munkington - 19.0m -26% Revatar - 18.99m -26%
Average: 19.88m -22%
closed Late tracking at my theaters no sell outs at one theater (the one I saw Avatar) where it is not doing as well (compared to the nation) out of 13 showings. This theater is the only one I am monitoring that still has 2d with three showings. Three sell-outs each at two theaters with 12 and 10 showings, but I didn't check for earlier showings at these theaters (1st checked around 5 pm EST). Most likely quite a few more at these two theaters, I just didn't check in time. First theater dropped late showing from Saturday on Sunday. Theater with 12 showings dropped two (they had Alvin playing at 12:50 am 1/3/10  ), and 10 showing theater dropped one.
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 11:32 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
ew, why is it such a hard sell in your area, anchorage has been selling out like mad, even today, looks to go 10 for 10 again if it can sell out the last wk showings.
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Sun Jan 03, 2010 11:34 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Monday- $10.1 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 8:53 am |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Hey I predicted 20M on Sunday! Why am I not on the list! 
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 12:38 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mesjarch wrote: Hey I predicted 20M on Sunday! Why am I not on the list!  
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 2:06 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BOM Update:AvatarReader Rating: A- (2,992 votes)A's: 2,550 - 85.2% B's: 230 - 7.7% C's: 61 - 2.0% D's: 32 - 1.1% F's: 119 - 4.0% Top Rated #2 top rated from readers
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 2:38 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Yahoo Update:AvatarYahoo Users: A (28,660 ratings) / A- from critics#22 Top ratedUser reviews for Avatarenjoy 
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 2:39 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
RT Update:AvatarReviews: 235 Fresh/Rotten: 195 Fresh /40 Rotten Certified Fresh83% Fresh / 17% RottenAverage Rating: 7.4 / 10Cream of the CropReviews: 34Fresh/Rotten: 32 Fresh / 2 Rotten 94% Fresh / 6% RottenAverage Rating: 7.6 / 10 Its got 90% from the users with 6858 fresh and 688 rotten, average grade is 8.6
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 2:41 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 2:42 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6787
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
did it go down with actuals? ERC has avatar at 1.01B Quote: Exhibitor Relations "Avatar" ($1.01 bil) is only the fifth film to gross $1 billion worldwide at the box office. The others: "Titanic" ($1.8 bil), "LOTR: Return of the King" ($1.1 bil), "PofC: Dead Man's Chest" ($1.06 bil), "The Dark Knight" ($1.00 bil). When all is said and done, only James Cameron's "Titanic" has a chance of staying afl...oat in the box office tsunami that is Fox's "Avatar."See More 21 minutes ago
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 2:51 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote: did it go down with actuals? ERC has avatar at 1.01B Quote: Exhibitor Relations "Avatar" ($1.01 bil) is only the fifth film to gross $1 billion worldwide at the box office. The others: "Titanic" ($1.8 bil), "LOTR: Return of the King" ($1.1 bil), "PofC: Dead Man's Chest" ($1.06 bil), "The Dark Knight" ($1.00 bil). When all is said and done, only James Cameron's "Titanic" has a chance of staying afl...oat in the box office tsunami that is Fox's "Avatar."See More 21 minutes ago there is no indication of it going down from what is reported there
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 2:58 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6787
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
i thought actual number was 1.022B yesterday from variety. We will anyway know in next couple of hours.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:04 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote: i thought actual number was 1.022B yesterday from variety. We will anyway know in next couple of hours. they might be using BOM as there source instead of variety
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:06 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6787
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: i thought actual number was 1.022B yesterday from variety. We will anyway know in next couple of hours. they might be using BOM as there source instead of variety erc uses rentrak. I doubt they would use BOM as a data source. Variety may be using nielson edi. I thought they merged(edi and rentrak) but we still might get 2 versions.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:08 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm Posts: 12333
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Even Brandon Gray can't say anything bad about this film. 
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:25 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
One sell-out, a 7:10 showing, out of all three theaters. Total of two early morning shows dropped.
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 4:14 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's 3rd WkndEnKi - 81.5m +7% BJs Prediction: 70.90m -6% Mark66 - 68.055m -10%Jmovies - 68m -10% Captain_Cold - 68m -10% Soagg - 66.9m -11% BennyBlanco - 66.5m -12% Xiayun - 64.5m -15% DIB2 - 64.5m -15% Eventine 63.8m -15% LadiesMan217 - 64.3m -15% MG Casey - 64m -15% Keyser Soze - 62m -18% Flava'd - 62m -18% 2001 - 61m -19% Gamaur - 61m -19% Mesjarch - 60.5m -19% Solas - 60.5m -19% Lotan - 60.0m -20% Revatar - 58.67m -22% Telemachos - 57m -24% Chip Munkington - 56.8m -24% ~Average: 63.59m -15% Mark66 with the third highest posted prediction is the wknd3 winner, congrats
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Mon Jan 04, 2010 4:57 pm |
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