December 23-25 Predictions
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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What do Brandon's predictions matter anyhow? He just waits till the last possible minute when everyone else has revealed their predictions already! 
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 1:01 am |
 
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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my derby predictions..... i went to damn high on some  
1. King Kong- $40.4M
2. Cheaper by the Dozen 2- $33.2M To high
3. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe- $24.6M
4. Fun with Dick and Jane- $30M To high
5. Rumor Has It- $12.8M
6. Munich- $10.6M
7. The Family Stone- $9.8M
8. Memoirs of a Geisha- $8M
9. The Ringer- $8M To high
10. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire- $7.1M To high
11. The Producers- $4.6M
12. Wolf Creek- $4.2M
i changed a lot of the numbers for the BO games here in the forum
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 2:57 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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I didn't make the Derby, but here's my predictions that were changed til today:
1. King Kong - $31 million
2. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe - $30 million
3. Cheaper by the Dozen 2 - $20 million
4. Fun with Dick and Jane - $19 million
5. The Family Stone - $10 million
6. Rumor Has It - $8 million
7. Memoirs of a Geisha - $7 million
8. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $6 million
9. The Ringer - $5.5 million
10. Munich - $5 million
11. Brokeback Mountain - $5 million
12. Wolf Creek - $4.5 million
13. Syriana - $3.5 million
14. Walk the Line - $3.5 million
15. The Producers - $2 million
I really don't see The Producers being that big.
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 2:47 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40586
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Well it does have a fanbase, with some Uma/Will Ferrell help...
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 3:44 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Shack wrote: Well it does have a fanbase, with some Uma/Will Ferrell help... Obviously not, with its mediocre limited opening.
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 4:32 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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25,000 is nothing to scoff at, it's just we're all accustomed to uber-PTA's after Memoirs, Brokeback, and Syriana. Considering Producers got mediocre to below average reviews, and isn't Oscar bait, it did fairly well.
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 6:20 pm |
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Jeff 42
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2005 2:44 pm
Posts: 763
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A $25,000 PTA is pretty weak for a movie with a decent amount of hype opening in only 6 theaters. For comparison, Chicago got a $26,947 PTA opening in 77 theaters.
_________________
My top 5 of '05:
1. Revenge of the Sith (A+)
2. Batman Begins (A)
3. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (A-)
4. The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy (A-)
5. Sin City (A-)
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 6:30 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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And weren't Chiacgo's reviews over 30% higher than Producers? With much more Oscar buzz?
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 8:08 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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I don't think that The Producers' start is all that disappointing. It's not even the reviews...it is just that this show does not have obsessed fans like Rent or The Phantom of the Opera do. Chicago? That was the Oscar buzz that this one doesn't really have. I think it will do okay-ish when it goes wide.
You know, if Rent opened in 6 theatres, its PTA would have been $50,000+, I guarantee you that and yet it would have not been huge when expanded. It just depends on the fans' obsession.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 8:32 pm |
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Jeff 42
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2005 2:44 pm
Posts: 763
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Jeff 42 wrote: Brandon has some really weird predictions this week...
King Kong 30.4
The Chronicles of Narnia 23.4
Fun with Dick and Jane 17.2
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 15.5
The Family Stone 8.5
Memoirs of a Geisha 6.4
Rumor Has It 5.2
The Ringer 4.6
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire 4.3
Munich 4.3
The Producers 2.9
Wolf Creek 2.7 Huh, looks like some of his "weird predictions," like for King Kong and CBTD2, will turn out to be quite good. 
_________________
My top 5 of '05:
1. Revenge of the Sith (A+)
2. Batman Begins (A)
3. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (A-)
4. The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy (A-)
5. Sin City (A-)
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| Sun Dec 25, 2005 11:58 pm |
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