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 The Official Happy Feet Prediction and Tracking Thread 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
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I'm not saying that it cant theoretically do well, but that just its opening will not be nearly that high, as new CG films don't have the huge event status that they may have had in other years, as there will be 12 other ones of them earlier in the year. Its release date will help it immensely leg wise, but $55-60 m opening? I think that's a bit high. I'm seeing something more like high $30's , and then close to $200 m finish, that might happen. But a massive opening I don't see merely because of the release date, because the novelty is not as strong as it once was.


Mon Sep 11, 2006 12:44 am
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oth got 37 milliom against da vinci code, and had good legs with x3 comin righ up da ass

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Mon Sep 11, 2006 3:06 am
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Happy Feet

Opening Day: 18.20m
2nd Day: 30.04m +65%
Opening Wknd: 68.36m - Fri: 18.20m / Sat: 30.04m +65% / Sun: 20.12m -32%
4-Day: 73.18m - Mon: 4.82m -76%
5-Day: 79.46m - Tue: 6.26m +30%
6-Day: 91.98m - Wed: 12.52m +100%
Opening Wk: 106.00m - Thur: 14.02m +12%
2nd Wknd: 62.00m -9.5% - Fri: 25.54m +80% / Sat: 22.72m -10% / Sun: 14.04m -38%
11-Day: 170.52m - Mon: 2.52m -82%
12-Day: 172.92m - Tue: 2.40m -5%
13-Day: 174.96m - Wed: 2.04m -15%
2nd Wk: 177.10m - Thur: 2.14m +5%
3rd Wknd: 31.00m -50% - Fri: 7.26m +240% / Sat: 14.68m +102% / Sun: 9.06m -38%
18-Day: 209.74m - Mon: 1.64m -82%
19-Day: 211.48m - Tue: 1.74m +6%
20-Day: 213.04m - Wed: 1.56m -10%
3rd Wk: 214.60m - Thur: 1.56m NC
4th Wknd: 20.28m -34.5% - Fri: 4.68m +200% / Sat: 10.06m +115% / Sun: 5.54m -45%
25-Day: 236.08m - Mon: 1.20m -78%
26-Day: 237.33m - Tue: 1.25m +5%
27-Day: 238.58m - Wed: 1.25m NC
4th Wk: 240.03m - Thur: 1.45m +16%
5th Wknd: 14.18m -30.5% - Fri: 3.85m +165% / Sat: 6.15m +60% / Sun: 4.18m -32%
32-Day: 255.26m - Mon: 1.05m -75%
33-Day: 256.76m - Tue: 1.50m +40%
34-Day: 258.26m - Wed: 1.50m NC
5th Wk: 260.11m - Thur: 1.85m +25%
6th Wknd: 12.00m -15% - Fri: 4.05m +120% / Sat: 5.56m +40% / Sun: 2.30m -50%
4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m +1.5% - Mon: 2.40m +5%
40-Day: 279.81m - Tue: 5.30m +115%
41-Day: 284.86m - Wed: 5.05m -4%
6th Wk: 290.16m - Thur: 5.30m +5%
7th Wknd: 16.15m +34.5% - Fri: 5.80m +10% / Sat: 6.10m +5% / Sun: 4.25m -30%
4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m +70.5% - Mon: 4.45m +5%
47-Day: 312.51m - Tue: 1.75m -60%
48-Day: 313.56m - Wed: 1.05m -40%
7th Wk: 314.56m - Thur: 1.00m -5%
8th Wknd: 10.50m -35% - Fri: 2.50m +150% / Sat: 5.00m +100% / Sun: 3.00m -40%
53-Day: 325.51m - Mon: .45m -85%
54-Day: 326.01m - Tue: .50m +10%
55-Day: 326.41m - Wed: .40m -20%
8th Wk: 326.81m - Thur: .40m NC
9th Wknd: 7.45m -30% - Fri: 1.45m +260% / Sat: 3.10m +115% / Sun: 2.90m -6%
4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m -8.5% - Mon: 2.15m -20%
Wk-1: 106.00m - Wknd: 68.36m | Total: 106.00m
Wk-2: 71.10m - Wknd: 62.00m | Total: 177.10m
Wk-3: 37.50m - Wknd: 31.00m | Total: 214.60m
Wk-4: 25.43m - Wknd: 20.28m | Total: 240.03m
Wk-5: 20.08m - Wknd: 14.18m | Total: 260.11m
Wk-6: 30.05m - Wknd: 12.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m | Total: 290.16m
Wk-7: 24.40m - Wknd: 16.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m | Total: 314.65m
Wk-8: 11.90m - Wknd: 10.50m | Total: 326.81m
Wk-9: 10.40m - Wknd: 7.45m - 4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m | Total: 337.21m
Wk-10: 5.56m - Wknd: 4.75m | Total: 342.77m
Wk-11: 3.45m - Wknd: 2.85m | Total: 346.22m
Wk-12: 2.80m - Wknd: 2.25m | Total: 349.02m
Wk-13: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.55m | Total: 351.02m
Wk-14: 1.35m - Wknd: 1.10m | Total: 352.37m
Wk-15: 1.10m - Wknd: .75m - 4-Day-Wknd: .95m | Total: 353.47m
Wk-16: .50m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 353.97m
Wk-17: 40m - Wknd: .30m | Total: 354.33m
Wk-18: .32m - Wknd: .24m | Total: 354.65m
Wk-19: .24m - Wknd: .18m | Total: 354.84m
Wk-20: .20m - Wknd: .14m | Total: 355.04m
Wk-21: .17m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 355.21m
Wk-22: .14m - Wknd: .10m | Total: 355.35m
Wk-23: .22m - Wknd: .18m | Total: 355.57m
Wk-24: .18m - Wknd: .15m | Total: 355.65m
Wk-25: .16m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 355.81m
Wk-26: .15m - Wknd: .11m | Total: 355.96m
Money made after Wk-26: ~.5m
Estimated wks in theaters 36
Days to 50m: 3-Days - 68.36m
Days to 100m: 7-Days - 106.00m
Days to 150m: 9-Days - 153.96m
Days to 200m: 17-Days - 208.10m
Days to 250m: 30-Days - 250.03m
Days to 300m: 44-Days - 302.06m
Days to 350m: 86-Days - 350.12m
Domestic Total: 356m
International Total: 504m
World Wide Total: 860m

Multiplyer: 5.20

:cool:

"Bump"

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Thu Oct 19, 2006 10:39 pm
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FRIDAY:14.8
SATURDAY:21.6+45%
SUNDAY:14.1-35%
OPENING WEEKEND:50.5 MILLION

MONDAY:2.9 -82%
TUESDAY:3.6+25%
WEDNESDAY: 7.3+100%
THURSDAY: 8.1+10%

FRIDAY:15.3 +90%
SATURDAY:13.8 -10%
SUNDAY:8.3 -40%
2ND WEEKEND:37.4 -26%
10 DAY TOTAL:109.8 million

MONDAY: 2.1 -75%
TUESDAY: 1.6 -20%
WEDNESDAY: 1.6 -7%
THURSDAY: 1.5 -5%

FRIDAY:5.5 +250%
SATURDAY:9.0 +70%
SUNDAY: -5.7 37%
3RD WEEKEND TOTAL:20.1 -47%
17 DAY TOTAL: 136.7 MILLION

MONDAY:1.4 -75%
TUESDAY:1.5+6%
WEDNESDAY: 1.5
THURSDAY: 1.4- 12%

FRIDAY:4.8+250%
SATURDAY:8.0 +70%
SUNDAY:5-35%
4TH WEEKEND TOTAL: 17.8 million-15%
23 DAY TOTAL: 160.3 million

total-251.6 domestic/325.6 overseas=577.2 million worldwide.

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Thu Oct 19, 2006 10:46 pm
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I'm admittedly not a very good box-office predictor (I tend to leave the predicting to the professionals), so I'm not going to make a solid predict.

I DO think this has great potential to reach $200mil. I know I'm in the $300mil club, but that's mostly wishful thinking.

But this really did get great audience response from its teaser last winter, and all the teasers I've seen have made it look awesome.

Then take into account Steve Irwin doing a voice (of course, most people won't know it 'til they see the movie, I imagine, as WB's not ever mentioned his participation in the teasers/trailers). And then the teaser trailer for Harry Potter 5 is going to be attached to Happy Feet.... This is one of the most anticipated of the Harry Potter films, so you KNOW there'll be fans going to see the movie for the trailer. I know that many on Leaky Cauldron have said they plan on going just for the trailer (with others encouraging them to stay for the movie as well, 'cause it looks so great!).

So, yeah, I'm gonna say between $185mil and $200mil, though who knows if that's going to be even remotely accurate.


Fri Oct 20, 2006 12:53 am
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Magnus wrote:
You're all CRAZY.

OW: 38m (simliar OW to OTH)
Total: 165m

This is not breaking 200m. I GURANTEE it.


I disagree :tongue:

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Fri Oct 20, 2006 7:32 pm
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Post Re: The Official Happy Feet Prediction and Tracking Thread
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Release Date: November 17, 2006
Distributor: Warner Bros. Pictures
Production Company(s): Village Roadshow Pictures
Director: George Miller
Producer(s): George Miller, Doug Mitchell, Bill Miller
Executive Producer(s): Bruce Berman, Graham Burke, Zareh Nalbandian, Dana Goldberg
Screen Writter/ Writting Credits: George Miller, John Collee, Judy Morris, Warren Coleman
Music/Composer: John Powell
Genre: Adventure, Animation, Comedy, Family, Musical
MPAA Rating: PG, for mild perill and rude humor.
Happy Feet Cast (Voice):
Robin Williams , Noah; Ramone; Adelie; Lovelace
Hugh Jackman , Memphis
Elijah Wood , Mumble
Nicole Kidman , Norma Jean
Brittany Burphy , Gloria
Hugo Weaving , Noah
Steve Irwin , Kev
Others
Offical Wesite: Happy Feet Official Website
Plot Outline: In the great nation of Emperor Penguins, deep in Antarctica, you're nobody unless you can sing—which is unfortunate for Mumble (Elijah Wood), who is the worst singer in the world. He is born dancing to his own tune... tap dancing.

Though Mumble's mom, Norma Jean (Nicole Kidman), thinks this little habit is cute, his dad, Memphis (Hugh Jackman), says it "just ain't penguin." Besides, they both know that, without a Heartsong, Mumble may never find true love.

As fate would have it, his one friend, Gloria (Brittany Murphy), happens to be the best singer around. Mumble and Gloria have a connection from the moment they hatch, but she struggles with his strange "hippity- hoppity" ways.

Mumble is just too different—especially for Noah the Elder (Hugo Weaving), the stern leader of Emperor Land, who ultimately casts him out of the community.

Away from home for the first time, Mumble meets a posse of decidedly un-Emperor-like penguins—the Adelie Amigos. Led by Ramon (Robin Williams), the Adelies instantly embrace Mumble's cool dance moves and invite him to party with them.

In Adelie Land, Mumble seeks the counsel of Lovelace the Guru (also voiced by Robin Williams), a crazy-feathered Rockhopper penguin who will answer any of life's questions for the price of a pebble.

Together with Lovelace and the Amigos, Mumble sets out across vast landscapes and, after some epic encounters, proves that by being true to yourself, you can make all the difference in the world.
Tagline: WARNING: May Cause Toe-Tapping.

Movie Poster(s): :cool:
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Trailer(s):
Teaser
Trailer2
Link to a couple more trailers


T.V. Appearances from the cast:
-

BJs Prediction:
Happy Feet

Opening Day: 18.20m
2nd Day: 30.04m +65%
Opening Wknd: 68.36m - Fri: 18.20m / Sat: 30.04m +65% / Sun: 20.12m -32%
4-Day: 73.18m - Mon: 4.82m -76%
5-Day: 79.46m - Tue: 6.26m +30%
6-Day: 91.98m - Wed: 12.52m +100%
Opening Wk: 106.00m - Thur: 14.02m +12%
2nd Wknd: 62.00m -9.5% - Fri: 25.54m +80% / Sat: 22.72m -10% / Sun: 14.04m -38%
11-Day: 170.52m - Mon: 2.52m -82%
12-Day: 172.92m - Tue: 2.40m -5%
13-Day: 174.96m - Wed: 2.04m -15%
2nd Wk: 177.10m - Thur: 2.14m +5%
3rd Wknd: 31.00m -50% - Fri: 7.26m +240% / Sat: 14.68m +102% / Sun: 9.06m -38%
18-Day: 209.74m - Mon: 1.64m -82%
19-Day: 211.48m - Tue: 1.74m +6%
20-Day: 213.04m - Wed: 1.56m -10%
3rd Wk: 214.60m - Thur: 1.56m NC
4th Wknd: 20.28m -34.5% - Fri: 4.68m +200% / Sat: 10.06m +115% / Sun: 5.54m -45%
25-Day: 236.08m - Mon: 1.20m -78%
26-Day: 237.33m - Tue: 1.25m +5%
27-Day: 238.58m - Wed: 1.25m NC
4th Wk: 240.03m - Thur: 1.45m +16%
5th Wknd: 14.18m -30.5% - Fri: 3.85m +165% / Sat: 6.15m +60% / Sun: 4.18m -32%
32-Day: 255.26m - Mon: 1.05m -75%
33-Day: 256.76m - Tue: 1.50m +40%
34-Day: 258.26m - Wed: 1.50m NC
5th Wk: 260.11m - Thur: 1.85m +25%
6th Wknd: 12.00m -15% - Fri: 4.05m +120% / Sat: 5.56m +40% / Sun: 2.30m -50%
4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m +1.5% - Mon: 2.40m +5%
40-Day: 279.81m - Tue: 5.30m +115%
41-Day: 284.86m - Wed: 5.05m -4%
6th Wk: 290.16m - Thur: 5.30m +5%
7th Wknd: 16.15m +34.5% - Fri: 5.80m +10% / Sat: 6.10m +5% / Sun: 4.25m -30%
4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m +70.5% - Mon: 4.45m +5%
47-Day: 312.51m - Tue: 1.75m -60%
48-Day: 313.56m - Wed: 1.05m -40%
7th Wk: 314.56m - Thur: 1.00m -5%
8th Wknd: 10.50m -35% - Fri: 2.50m +150% / Sat: 5.00m +100% / Sun: 3.00m -40%
53-Day: 325.51m - Mon: .45m -85%
54-Day: 326.01m - Tue: .50m +10%
55-Day: 326.41m - Wed: .40m -20%
8th Wk: 326.81m - Thur: .40m NC
9th Wknd: 7.45m -30% - Fri: 1.45m +260% / Sat: 3.10m +115% / Sun: 2.90m -6%
4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m -8.5% - Mon: 2.15m -20%
Wk-1: 106.00m - Wknd: 68.36m | Total: 106.00m
Wk-2: 71.10m - Wknd: 62.00m | Total: 177.10m
Wk-3: 37.50m - Wknd: 31.00m | Total: 214.60m
Wk-4: 25.43m - Wknd: 20.28m | Total: 240.03m
Wk-5: 20.08m - Wknd: 14.18m | Total: 260.11m
Wk-6: 30.05m - Wknd: 12.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m | Total: 290.16m
Wk-7: 24.40m - Wknd: 16.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m | Total: 314.65m
Wk-8: 11.90m - Wknd: 10.50m | Total: 326.81m
Wk-9: 10.40m - Wknd: 7.45m - 4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m | Total: 337.21m
Wk-10: 5.56m - Wknd: 4.75m | Total: 342.77m
Wk-11: 3.45m - Wknd: 2.85m | Total: 346.22m
Wk-12: 2.80m - Wknd: 2.25m | Total: 349.02m
Wk-13: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.55m | Total: 351.02m
Wk-14: 1.35m - Wknd: 1.10m | Total: 352.37m
Wk-15: 1.10m - Wknd: .75m - 4-Day-Wknd: .95m | Total: 353.47m
Wk-16: .50m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 353.97m
Wk-17: 40m - Wknd: .30m | Total: 354.33m
Wk-18: .32m - Wknd: .24m | Total: 354.65m
Wk-19: .24m - Wknd: .18m | Total: 354.84m
Wk-20: .20m - Wknd: .14m | Total: 355.04m
Wk-21: .17m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 355.21m
Wk-22: .14m - Wknd: .10m | Total: 355.35m
Wk-23: .22m - Wknd: .18m | Total: 355.57m
Wk-24: .18m - Wknd: .15m | Total: 355.65m
Wk-25: .16m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 355.81m
Wk-26: .15m - Wknd: .11m | Total: 355.96m
Money made after Wk-26: ~.5m
Estimated wks in theaters 36
Days to 50m: 3-Days - 68.36m
Days to 100m: 7-Days - 106.00m
Days to 150m: 9-Days - 153.96m
Days to 200m: 17-Days - 208.10m
Days to 250m: 30-Days - 250.03m
Days to 300m: 44-Days - 302.06m
Days to 350m: 86-Days - 350.12m
Domestic Total: 356m
International Total: 504m
World Wide Total: 860m

Multiplyer: 5.20

:cool:

Posted Predictions:
-

Other News:
-

Competition:
The competiton for this film will be the Opening Wknd of Casino Royal (Action/Adventure/Thriller), should have no problem blasing all other films out of its way.

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Pics: :cool:
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Yet another huge film that BJ intends to grind into all of your heads by the time it comes out :biggrin:

This will be the biggest GCI fest of the year no doubt, nothing is coming close, not even Cars.

BJs Porediction:

Opening Wknd: 68m

Domestic Total: 326m

Any thoughts?

:smile:

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Sat Oct 21, 2006 1:36 am
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Magnus wrote:
You a crazy black man BJ


:bows:

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Sat Oct 21, 2006 4:38 am
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Wow, those are some great pics! Thanks for posting those, BJ!

Joy


Sat Oct 21, 2006 2:35 pm
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Predictions for Happy Feet :cool:

Opening Wknd:

Squee - 30m
MG Casey - 37m
Magnus - 38m
Zingaling - 41m
Ashwani -43m
Misutaa Supaakora - 43m
Tixster - 44m
Shack -45m
Sun Ra - 45.9m
Dr Lecter - 49.5m
DIB2 - 50.4m
Matatonio - 51m
Eventine - 53m
Excel - 56.6m
Mood-Swing Jon - 63.8m
Enrico - 68m
BJ - 68.36m
Revolutions - 80m

Average Opening Wknd Prediction: 50.42m


Domestic Total:

Squee - 110m / multiplyer - 3.67
MG Casey - 125m / multiplyer - 3.38
Zingaling - 156m / multiplyer - 3.80
Magnus - 160m / multiplyer - 4.00
Shack - 165m / multiplyer - 3.66
Ashwani - 172m / multiplyer - 4.00
Trixster - 175m / multiplyer - 4.00
Sun Ra - 201.8m / multiplyer - 4.40
Dr. Lecter - 202m / multiplyer - 4.08
Matatonio - 203m / multiplyer - 3.98
Misutaa Supaakora - 215m / multiplyer - 5.00
Excel - 220m / multiplyer - 3.69
Eventine - 235m / multiplyer - 4.40
DIB2 - 242m / multiplyer - 4.80
Positive Jon - 275.5m / multiplyer - 4.32
Revolutions - 300m / multiplyer - 3.75
Enrico - 320m / multiplyer - 4.71
BJ - 356m / multiplyer - 5.20

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 212.68m

Average Multiplyer: 4.160

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Sat Oct 21, 2006 3:54 pm
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OW: $40M

FINAL: $195m


Sat Oct 21, 2006 4:16 pm
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tina_als_girl wrote:
Wow, those are some great pics! Thanks for posting those, BJ!

Joy
:shades:

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Sat Oct 21, 2006 4:45 pm
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Teaser Trailer for Potter 5 to be released with Happy Feet:

[url=http://www.rottentomatoes.com/news/comments/?entryid=368988]RT-News writes: "The teaser trailer for "Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix" will hit theaters Nov. 17, Warner Bros. says. The trailer will precede the family comedy "Happy Feet."

Posted by RT-News on Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2006, 04:56 PM
[/url]

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Sat Oct 21, 2006 9:22 pm
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:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:
:dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance: :dance:

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Wed Oct 25, 2006 12:42 am
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48/200


Wed Oct 25, 2006 1:04 am
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[font=century gothic]40/175[/font]

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soon you will all be in the 50m+ range :biggrin:

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Wed Oct 25, 2006 5:33 am
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Happy Feet is everywhere. It should fare better than OTH. $42M/$180M.


Wed Oct 25, 2006 9:27 am
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Killing With Kindness
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Magnus wrote:
Magnus wrote:
You're all CRAZY.

OW: 38m (simliar OW to OTH)
Total: 165m

This is not breaking 200m. I GURANTEE it.


Okay, so I just looked at the release schedule and there is literally NO kid films after Happy Feet until Eragon. So legs will be a bit better than I thought

OW: 38m
Total: 170m

Still not breaking 200m.


Oh yes it will :shades:

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Wed Oct 25, 2006 9:51 pm
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Superfreak
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blacks>pakis

:yes:

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Wed Oct 25, 2006 10:49 pm
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Superfreak
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no, penis size. :roll:

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Thu Oct 26, 2006 3:10 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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stop that.

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Thu Oct 26, 2006 8:00 pm
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change my predicts

53/227


Thu Oct 26, 2006 8:53 pm
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lol sorry bjj

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Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.


Thu Oct 26, 2006 10:30 pm
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New Prediction

OW:62.7m
TOTAL:269.6m
4.3 multiplier

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Sat Oct 28, 2006 10:07 pm
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