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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: December 18-20 predictions Yeah, Reloaded was huge, but this isanther level.
Jurassic World is the weirdest one. I think EVERYONE wanted to see it, but not many were super-hyped about it. They just went out and saw it.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 9:18 pm |
 
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Bishop King
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun May 19, 2013 2:05 pm
Posts: 354
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Okay I think everyone on here who is being honest with themselves knows this will break OW record
But what is the real number it will do?
I guess that's the golden question but I am quite confident we see 227
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 9:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: December 18-20 predictions 1. STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS - 206.74 MILLION (New)
2. SISTERS - 19.93 MILLION (New)
3. ALVIN & THE CHIPMUNKS: THE ROAD CHIP - 8.85 MILLION (New)
4. THE GOOD DINOSAUR - 5.9 MILLION (-43%)
5. CREED - 5.26 MILLION (-48%)
6. IN THE HEART OF THE SEA - 5.084 MILLION (-54%)
7. THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 - 5 MILLION (-56%)
8. KRAMPUS - 3.79 MILLION (-55%)
9. THE NIGHT BEFORE - 2.7 MILLION (-35%)
10. SPOTLIGHT - 1.93 MILLION (-23%)
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 2:28 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5824
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars - $255m
Sisters - $9m
Alvin - $8m
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:34 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7196
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: December 18-20 predictions This is going to feel like the longest day of work ever.
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 9:19 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Keyser Söze wrote: Matrix Reloaded and Sith were huge leading to the OW. TDK exploded just in the release week. Even on thursday before OW, Xiayun did not think TDK would break OW record. It just happened. Yes forgot Reloaded - I guess because it fizzled out soon after. The other one is ROTK. _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 9:34 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Alvin off to a fine start with reviews at 11%.
_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 11:14 am |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: December 18-20 predictions The line for the STAR WARS marathon at the El Capitan is the longest movie line I've ever been in. 1 a.m. and all 1100 people were here.
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 11:17 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: December 18-20 predictions I don't think I'll ever see a movie line as long as I did for the midnight TPM one I was in.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 11:23 am |
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CowboyFromHell
Your Knife, My Back. My Gun, Your Head.
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 5:23 pm
Posts: 2033
Location: Somewhere, USA
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Re: December 18-20 predictions The Force Awakens - 230
Sisters - 20
Alvin & the Chipmunks - 8.5
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:04 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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Re: December 18-20 predictions So this weekend should also be the #1 Aggregated Weekend? Previous was Jurassic World weekend. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/we ... p12sum.htm
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:41 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Not just should, it WILL be. The three openers alone should bring in at least $235-240 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:51 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: December 18-20 predictions From people IN LINE?! I. AM. SHOCKED.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 4:48 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: December 18-20 predictions This is easily the most media hyped film I've ever seen since TDK. Before that it was probably ROTS because I remember the news making a BIG deal just out of the PG-13 rating lol!. I don't remember the hype for TPM and Reloaded, but I don't doubt they weren't HUGE either. Disney has really done a great job of creating awareness and making sure it's no less than a 100%. I have honestly lost count over how many Target, Dodge, and Toys R's Us commercials I have seen.
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 4:50 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Magnus wrote: Chippy wrote: From people IN LINE?! I. AM. SHOCKED. There's three news trucks here as well. Slow news day. I mean, it's a Thursday. _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 5:05 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: December 18-20 predictions O wrote: 1 Star Wars $261.1 m
SW Ep. 3 adjusts to $206,157,600 over its first 4 days today. Considering that followed the worst performing SW film I think this is very achievable. Avengers adjusts now to $213 m, and Jurassic World did $208 m but I still feel there's quite a bit of room to go even in December.
I'm going to go with $261.1 m, which is a bit higher than the 22% increase on the OW record jump Avengers made over HP7 Pt. 2. I feel like the market has grown a lot and think this is a rare pop culture event that everyone is going to want to see OW due to FOMO despite being December. People won't be able to go to a holiday party without seeing SW in a lot of cases. Cross demographic appeal to every demographic and one of the weakest November box office's in the past 20 years in terms of anticipated movies only helps.
2) Sisters $28 m
Despite the Star Wars monster on the horizon, a hotly anticipated movie can still do really well against a pop culture giant. Mamma Mia comes to mind against The Dark Knight, adjusting today to $32.2 m. Sisters trailers are getting great reception every time that I can't see this going under Baby Mama adjusted for inflation even in December as the starpower of Fey/Poehler has gone up significantly since then. At the highest level, What Woman Want would adjust today to $52 m. But I feel like more people will watch this than J Lo's MIM ($26.9 m adjusted). I feel like next weekend will be a one off weekend that everyone "has to go to the movies" and Sisters is going to get a significant spillover effect as well. Throwing it out there now, Sisters will have a chance at $160 m+ and pull a Meet The Fockers type run with any OW over $30 m. Also not betting against Universal this year. They clearly must have indicators that there was a high likelihood of success counterprogramming with Star Wars or they would have budged on this one.
3 Alvin $16 m
You have to give it to this franchise, it seems to survive a lot longer than anyone thought it would. The last one adjusts to $23-24 m OW. Despite Star Wars, this will probably see some solid business due to underwhelming showings of other family films. Other than Sisters, looks like I might be spot on about this weekend. Still think Sisters will make up ground quickly though! Hope I get within $5 m of the final OW tally. 
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| Fri Dec 18, 2015 8:26 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40600
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Shack wrote: I don't think you can predict high enough for this film. Believe the improbable. Yep _________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Dec 18, 2015 8:30 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Want to see how low Alvin can go.
Don't disappoint me Fox.
_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 12:05 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19448
Location: San Diego
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Re: December 18-20 predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 228
Alvin - 15
Sisters - 12 Didn't predict too bad.
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| Sun Dec 20, 2015 2:28 pm |
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