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 December 18-20 predictions 
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You must have big rats
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Yeah, Reloaded was huge, but this isanther level.

Jurassic World is the weirdest one. I think EVERYONE wanted to see it, but not many were super-hyped about it. They just went out and saw it.

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 9:18 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Okay I think everyone on here who is being honest with themselves knows this will break OW record

But what is the real number it will do?

I guess that's the golden question but I am quite confident we see 227


Wed Dec 16, 2015 9:26 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
1. STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS - 206.74 MILLION (New)
2. SISTERS - 19.93 MILLION (New)
3. ALVIN & THE CHIPMUNKS: THE ROAD CHIP - 8.85 MILLION (New)
4. THE GOOD DINOSAUR - 5.9 MILLION (-43%)
5. CREED - 5.26 MILLION (-48%)
6. IN THE HEART OF THE SEA - 5.084 MILLION (-54%)
7. THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 - 5 MILLION (-56%)
8. KRAMPUS - 3.79 MILLION (-55%)
9. THE NIGHT BEFORE - 2.7 MILLION (-35%)
10. SPOTLIGHT - 1.93 MILLION (-23%)


Thu Dec 17, 2015 2:28 am
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Star Wars - $255m
Sisters - $9m
Alvin - $8m


Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:34 am
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
This is going to feel like the longest day of work ever.


Thu Dec 17, 2015 9:19 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Keyser Söze wrote:
Matrix Reloaded and Sith were huge leading to the OW. TDK exploded just in the release week. Even on thursday before OW, Xiayun did not think TDK would break OW record. It just happened.


Yes forgot Reloaded - I guess because it fizzled out soon after. The other one is ROTK.

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Thu Dec 17, 2015 9:34 am
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Alvin off to a fine start with reviews at 11%.

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Thu Dec 17, 2015 11:14 am
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
The line for the STAR WARS marathon at the El Capitan is the longest movie line I've ever been in. 1 a.m. and all 1100 people were here.


Thu Dec 17, 2015 11:17 am
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
I don't think I'll ever see a movie line as long as I did for the midnight TPM one I was in.

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Thu Dec 17, 2015 11:23 am
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
The Force Awakens - 230
Sisters - 20
Alvin & the Chipmunks - 8.5


Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:04 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
So this weekend should also be the #1 Aggregated Weekend? Previous was Jurassic World weekend.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/we ... p12sum.htm


Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:41 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Not just should, it WILL be. The three openers alone should bring in at least $235-240 million.

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Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:51 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
From people IN LINE?! I. AM. SHOCKED.

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Thu Dec 17, 2015 4:48 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
This is easily the most media hyped film I've ever seen since TDK. Before that it was probably ROTS because I remember the news making a BIG deal just out of the PG-13 rating lol!. I don't remember the hype for TPM and Reloaded, but I don't doubt they weren't HUGE either. Disney has really done a great job of creating awareness and making sure it's no less than a 100%. I have honestly lost count over how many Target, Dodge, and Toys R's Us commercials I have seen.


Thu Dec 17, 2015 4:50 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Magnus wrote:
Chippy wrote:
From people IN LINE?! I. AM. SHOCKED.


There's three news trucks here as well.


Slow news day. I mean, it's a Thursday.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Fuck Trump


Thu Dec 17, 2015 5:05 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
O wrote:
1 Star Wars $261.1 m

SW Ep. 3 adjusts to $206,157,600 over its first 4 days today. Considering that followed the worst performing SW film I think this is very achievable. Avengers adjusts now to $213 m, and Jurassic World did $208 m but I still feel there's quite a bit of room to go even in December.

I'm going to go with $261.1 m, which is a bit higher than the 22% increase on the OW record jump Avengers made over HP7 Pt. 2. I feel like the market has grown a lot and think this is a rare pop culture event that everyone is going to want to see OW due to FOMO despite being December. People won't be able to go to a holiday party without seeing SW in a lot of cases. Cross demographic appeal to every demographic and one of the weakest November box office's in the past 20 years in terms of anticipated movies only helps.

2) Sisters $28 m

Despite the Star Wars monster on the horizon, a hotly anticipated movie can still do really well against a pop culture giant. Mamma Mia comes to mind against The Dark Knight, adjusting today to $32.2 m. Sisters trailers are getting great reception every time that I can't see this going under Baby Mama adjusted for inflation even in December as the starpower of Fey/Poehler has gone up significantly since then. At the highest level, What Woman Want would adjust today to $52 m. But I feel like more people will watch this than J Lo's MIM ($26.9 m adjusted). I feel like next weekend will be a one off weekend that everyone "has to go to the movies" and Sisters is going to get a significant spillover effect as well. Throwing it out there now, Sisters will have a chance at $160 m+ and pull a Meet The Fockers type run with any OW over $30 m. Also not betting against Universal this year. They clearly must have indicators that there was a high likelihood of success counterprogramming with Star Wars or they would have budged on this one.

3 Alvin $16 m

You have to give it to this franchise, it seems to survive a lot longer than anyone thought it would. The last one adjusts to $23-24 m OW. Despite Star Wars, this will probably see some solid business due to underwhelming showings of other family films.


Other than Sisters, looks like I might be spot on about this weekend. Still think Sisters will make up ground quickly though! Hope I get within $5 m of the final OW tally. :D


Fri Dec 18, 2015 8:26 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Shack wrote:
I don't think you can predict high enough for this film. Believe the improbable.


Yep

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Fri Dec 18, 2015 8:30 pm
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
Want to see how low Alvin can go.

Don't disappoint me Fox.

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Sat Dec 19, 2015 12:05 am
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Post Re: December 18-20 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 228
Alvin - 15
Sisters - 12

Didn't predict too bad.


Sun Dec 20, 2015 2:28 pm
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