Also if you are going by those projection by using yahoo buzz then it should be appearing on moviefone by now or early tommorrow especially when you expect it to make high 20s. And of course its the norm for movies to appear on moviefone if they are making high teens to appear there depending on the genre

This will probably open to $20m 3 day. Its opening here soon too and i cant feel the buzz.

There's already been a great low comedy covering much of the same ground - Not Another Teen Movie - a hilarious spoof of many, many films in the genre.

However, the marketing for this one seems stronger, and it also stars the recognizable Alyson Hannigan (though, Not Another Teen Movie's Chyler Leigh was adorable and hilarious!)

Final Prediction:

17 (3-day)
21 (4-day)

Total Gross: $46 million

It debuted this morning.

Kthx.

Maybe not a total bomb but still overpredicted by you if you think it can make 30 million

Maybe not in three days, but I don't see why it'll make less than $25M in four days. And, $30M is looking more realistic than some of others' predictions.

Just admit that you were hoping that Date Movie would open to less than $20M (4-day) so you could laugh. Because if it goes over, you still don't have much room to talk.

My prediction was 17 million for 3 days. See the thread titled feb 17th-19th prediction. But if it doesnt gross 25 million like your bet with Darkshape, I would still be laughing over someone seeing BBM
But seriously, Yahoo buzz is overated with movies especially when I recall that House of Wax was mentioned in the yahoo buzz before

Sad Clown, you think Yahoo AND Moviefone are overrated, yet they've proven more times to be correct than incorrect. Just because you can name on film that was tracking well on Yahoo and did poorly doesn't mean it's "overrated."

To be fair, tracking numbers generally aren't off that much. If they track a film at $9 million and it makes $30 million opening weekend, everyone involved with the service should be fired.

Indeed.

I mean, don't studios use these numbers to get ready for the weekend? That's pretty important stuff. If you're off that much, you're doing something wrong.

A shocker is 50% difference either way. A film that triples its tracking number would be classified as a miracle.

Like when House of Wax was tracking at $33M and ended making making $12M?

That happened less than a week before it was set to open?

I don't recall that.

Neither do I. I do remember the film tracking high in the weeks leading up to the release. If that's the number the week before release, somebody should be fired.

Heh, Cheaper By the Dozen 2 was tracking for 38 million 5-day and it made 14. So it does happen.

But I don't think it will here. It looks like another Not Another Teen Movie if you ask me. The ads have just been...bad. I'm thinking it could go as low as 13 million 3-day, though I'll be predicting somewhere around 20 to 21 million most likely.

Well we already know the movie is kidna big on the internet, so yahoo buzz chart and moviefone isnt so surprising.

How so? If it were a big film on the internet, it would have been a little higher on anticipation polls, like the one on Coming Soon weeks ago (http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=540228#540228). I think we're just trying to find excuses for this film tracking well on Moviefone and Yahoo.

Heh, a Goldie poll. I wouldn't rely on that as an internet rabidness measure. We're a bunch of internet obsessed users who are aware of every single movie coming out for the next 2 months. We've been gauging Date Movie for a long long time. We don't have the same mindset as everyone else who's going by banners on internet sites or those bad tv spots. KJ is kind've a different breed of audience.

Well then how come the real tracking systems like that Reel Source and MTC have it so low?

Also a poll like the one on ComingSoon doesnt really give a good indication how many people wanna seeit considering it's asking whats your most anticipated somebody who picked FD might want to see Date Movie aswell or anyother movie they picked above Date Movie

Movies.com has a poll and Date Movie has a B+ on anticipation level http://movies.go.com/movies/movie?name=date-movie_2006

You can put every other movie coming on the 17th together in votes and it would still not have as many as Date Movie does.

It's not a Goldie poll...



If what you said before about Date Movie being a big internet movie were true, it would be tracking well on Reel Source, atleast. And, yeah, comparing Date Movie to Freedomland (which is like destined to make less than $30M TOTAL) and Eight Below is not exactly the best idea.

Like I said, everyone is trying to find reasons why it's tracking well on Moviefone and Yahoo, instead of judging it like other films that have showed up on there early in the week and went on to do well (WASC, FD3, Underworld, etc.). It's not like Date Movie is some special exception to every single Moviefone and Yahoo related rule. Underworld: Evolution was probably a huge internet movie, and it did show up on Moviefone and Yahoo around the same time as this. But, no one excused that. People are trying to find reasons why this one is an exception, when really, it's not the case.

I dont think it's gonna do 9m 3day like the tracking has it, but I dont think it has a shot at 40m or whatever 4day like some people were predicting before tracking came out. I think it could do a good 20m-22m 4Day, but not much more then that.

Hmm...

I have tickets for the preview on Thursday. Not really anticipating it, but free is free.

I'll agree with that. It won't open to $40M 4-day like I once thought, but I'd say around $25-30M 4-day will happen.

will prob be at my place, i got it set up in a pretty decent size aud...we are having a screening thurs night... unless other theatres are having screenings that i dont know about