Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Fri Jul 18, 2025 11:55 am



Reply to topic  [ 53 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2, 3  Next
 Friday Numbers 
Author Message
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
Post Friday Numbers
MCN:
http://www.moviecitynews.com/

Friday the 13th 19.2 3105 - 19.2
He's Just Not That Into You 5.0 3175 -52% 40.5
Taken 4.6 3109 -25% 63.3
Confessions of a Shopaholic 4.3 2507 - 4.3
Coraline 3.0 2320 -34% 23.2
The International 2.6 2364 - 2.6
Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2.4 2965 -15% 101.2
The Pink Panther 2 1.9 3245 -44% 15.2
Push 1.7 2313 -51% 14.1
Slumdog Millionaire 1.5 1634 -23% 80.9
Also Debuting
Under the Sea 0.1 49 . 0.1
Billu Barber 0.1 70 . 0.1
Two Lovers 20,900 6 - 20,900


BOG
http://www.boxofficeguru.com/021409.htm

$19m F13
$4.3m SHOPAHOLIC
$2.6m INTERNATIONAL

-52 % INTO YOU
-33 % COARLINE
-49 % PUSH
-43 % PINK 2

_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U


Last edited by mark66 on Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:57 am
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
Post Re: Friday Numbers
ERC 3 day weekend estimates:

1 FRIDAY THE 13TH Warner Bros. · 3105 · $46,000,000 · $14,815 · $46,000,000
2 HE'S JUST NOT THAT INTO YOU Warner Bros. · 3175 · $21,000,000 · $6,614 · $56,500,000
3 TAKEN Fox · 3109 · $19,000,000 · $6,111 · $78,000,000
4 CONFESSIONS OF A SHOPAHOLIC Walt Disney · 2507 · $17,000,000 · $6,781 · $17,000,000
5 CORALINE Focus · 2320 · $14,000,000 · $6,034 · $33,000,000
6 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2965 · $11,000,000 · $3,710 · $110,000,000
7 THE INTERNATIONAL Sony · 2364 · $9,000,000 · $3,807 · $9,000,000
8 THE PINK PANTHER 2 Sony · 3245 · $8,500,000 · $2,619 · $23,000,000
9 PUSH Summit · 2313 · $7,000,000 · $3,026 · $18,000,000
10 SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE Fox Searchlight · 1634 · $7,000,000 · $4,284 · $85,000,000
11 GRAN TORINO Warner Bros. · 2303 · $6,250,000 · $2,714 · $127,500,000
12 THE UNINVITED Paramount · 1803 · $5,500,000 · $3,050 · $25,000,000

http://www.ercboxoffice.com/

_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U


Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:13 pm
Profile WWW
Begging Naked
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
Post Re: Friday Numbers
From the other thread:

Rorschach wrote:
I see this pattern for F13:

Fri: 20m
Sat: 15m (25% drop)
Sun: 11m (27% drop)
Mon: 5.5m (50% drop)

3-day: 46m
4-day: 51.5m


In 2004 (Last time Valentine's fell on a Saturday), most date-heavy films (As I think F13 might be) fell 40-55%, and with added frontloadedness from Friday that might be off-put by Valentine's, it'll probably drop at least 40%. I'd expect:

Friday - $19M
Saturday - $14M (-25%)
Sunday - $8M (-42%)
Monday - $4.4M (-45%)

For a $40 million 3-day, $44.4 million 4-day. Which, BTW, would still be insane.

So, over/under Cloverfield total? I say under.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:37 pm
Profile WWW
Begging Naked
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
Post Re: Friday Numbers
mark66 wrote:
ERC 3 day weekend estimates:

3 TAKEN Fox · 3109 · $19,000,000 · $6,111 · $78,000,000
6 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2965 · $11,000,000 · $3,710 · $110,000,000

http://www.ercboxoffice.com/


Wait, what?


Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:38 pm
Profile WWW
College Boy T

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm
Posts: 16020
Post Re: Friday Numbers
That would be absolutely ridiculous...

and, if that's the case, the MPAA should be promoting piracy!

It would also be ridiculous for Gran Torino...which will probably make more than The Departed.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:48 pm
Profile
Begging Naked
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
Post Re: Friday Numbers
da torri wrote:
That would be absolutely ridiculous...

and, if that's the case, the MPAA should be promoting piracy!

It would also be ridiculous for Gran Torino...which will probably make more than The Departed.


Probably? It'll only be $9 million away by the end of the weekend.

Also: With those kind of numbers for F13, anyone else thinking Taken benefited greatly from sneak-ins?


Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:51 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Taken is having an amazing run. I think it could top Paul Blart.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:51 pm
Profile WWW
Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
Taken is having an amazing run. I think it could top Paul Blart.


I'm actually seeing Taken today. On Valentine's Day. Instead of Shopaholic. What's happening to the world?

We would, of course, be seeing He's Just Not That Into You but I saw it with a girlfriend last week.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:53 pm
Profile
College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
Post Re: Friday Numbers
I haven't stressed what an AMAZING number that is for Friday the 13th. Realistically, I thought around $17m max (and just barely making my $45m four-day prediction), but this is awesome. I hope it beats The Grudge for the horror opening record.

And jesus, Taken!


Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:22 pm
Profile
The Dark Knight

Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:11 pm
Posts: 777
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Mammoth for Friday the 13th.

It'll drop -70% next weekend...


Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:32 pm
Profile
Award Winning Bastard

Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
Post Re: Friday Numbers
GRAN TORINO Warner Bros. · 2303 · $6,250,000 · $2,714 · $127,500,000

Ok, one of you box office wizards can help me out here. Somebody good with multipliers, legs, etc... From my eyes, it appears Gran Torrino will topple 145 million. Are you seeing that?


Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:36 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Top post updated with MCN Friday Top Ten

_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U


Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:38 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Hmmm, UNDER THE SEA 3D did pretty badly on Friday...

_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U


Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:47 pm
Profile WWW
100% That Bitch
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm
Posts: 16923
Location: Monterrey, Mexico
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Taken's a monster.

_________________

Image
Tongue Pop!


I kneel with Magnus.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:54 pm
Profile
The Dark Knight

Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:11 pm
Posts: 777
Post Re: Friday Numbers
What exactly is the appeal of Taken?

Also, yes, this proves piracy has little effect. Copies of this were even circulating around my office...


Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:59 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25427
Location: Classified
Post Re: Friday Numbers
I knew F13 was gonna be even huger than expected. And Taken is a beast!


Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:03 pm
Profile
Let's Call It A Bromance
User avatar

Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
Post Re: Friday Numbers
At this point, Paul Blart will most likely pass Star Wars: Special Edition as the highest grossing January film. Also if Taken continues to have these massive holds then $125M may be in play.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:24 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
Post Re: Friday Numbers
SFERIC wrote:
What exactly is the appeal of Taken?

Also, yes, this proves piracy has little effect. Copies of this were even circulating around my office...


I think it shows the most people don't know where to look for pirate copies. It takes forever for anybody to download a copy off the internet, so most people don't. I think the appeal is a desire for the old action films.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:25 pm
Profile WWW
Orphan

Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Also, Paul Blart's run has been amazing. It just won't stop making money!

Increases should be especially big for holdovers, The Uninvited included.

The Messengers increased 197% on Valentine's Day.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:34 pm
Profile
Online
On autopilot for the summer
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21896
Location: Walking around somewhere
Post Re: Friday Numbers
What was the last horror movie to pass 100 million? Not saying F13 is going too, but I think it should be able to hit a 2 multiplier, it was pretty well liked, so it has a chance.

Dam, we haven't had a horror movie cross 100 million since the The Grudge 5 years ago, thats insane (Twilight and I am Legend are not horror movies)

Taken is absolutely insane, it'll pass 100 million in two weeks the latest. He's just not that into you should come close too depending on how good it holds in the next weeks.

_________________
Image

Chippy wrote:
As always, fuck Thegun.


Chippy wrote:
I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!


Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:42 pm
Profile
Star Trek XI
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jun 08, 2008 3:37 am
Posts: 322
Location: London
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Scream 2

Last slasher movie to hit $100

_________________
Image
I demand a SACRAFICE


Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:44 pm
Profile
Orphan

Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Hopefully, Hollywood has noticed that rating doesn't matter and R-rated horror films can and do make big money. No more PG-13 crap like The Unborn, please. The Uninvited doesn't fall into this since it isn't a horror movie.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:48 pm
Profile
He didn't look busy?!
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm
Posts: 4308
Post Re: Friday Numbers
so yeah 2009 is basically the most insane box office year ever.

_________________
Image
Retroviral Videos
A film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:16 pm
Profile WWW
I heet the canadian!
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
Post Re: Friday Numbers
Holy hell, $170+ Million top 12? For just the 3-day weekend? :hahaha: What's next, $100 Million OW for Watchmen?

Taken may just be the most ridiculous BO performance I've seen in some time. I guess people love their action movies.


Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:26 pm
Profile
Killing With Kindness
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
Post Re: Friday Numbers
seriously, it is so insane that a Day in February will have the first non summer/holiday season 50m+ friday. Its never happened on easter, and even 2003 with its disproportionately huge october could not manage it. Even more insane is it happened a day before the historically huge valentines day. There was a 120% increase on saturday in 1998 and a 121% increase in 2004 both would push saturday over 100m.

_________________
The Force Awakens

Image


Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:26 pm
Profile WWW
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 53 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2, 3  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot], Thegun and 109 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.