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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Friday Numbers
MCN: http://www.moviecitynews.com/Friday the 13th 19.2 3105 - 19.2 He's Just Not That Into You 5.0 3175 -52% 40.5 Taken 4.6 3109 -25% 63.3 Confessions of a Shopaholic 4.3 2507 - 4.3 Coraline 3.0 2320 -34% 23.2 The International 2.6 2364 - 2.6 Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2.4 2965 -15% 101.2 The Pink Panther 2 1.9 3245 -44% 15.2 Push 1.7 2313 -51% 14.1 Slumdog Millionaire 1.5 1634 -23% 80.9 Also Debuting Under the Sea 0.1 49 . 0.1 Billu Barber 0.1 70 . 0.1 Two Lovers 20,900 6 - 20,900 BOG http://www.boxofficeguru.com/021409.htm$19m F13 $4.3m SHOPAHOLIC $2.6m INTERNATIONAL -52 % INTO YOU -33 % COARLINE -49 % PUSH -43 % PINK 2
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Last edited by mark66 on Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:57 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Friday Numbers
ERC 3 day weekend estimates: 1 FRIDAY THE 13TH Warner Bros. · 3105 · $46,000,000 · $14,815 · $46,000,000 2 HE'S JUST NOT THAT INTO YOU Warner Bros. · 3175 · $21,000,000 · $6,614 · $56,500,000 3 TAKEN Fox · 3109 · $19,000,000 · $6,111 · $78,000,000 4 CONFESSIONS OF A SHOPAHOLIC Walt Disney · 2507 · $17,000,000 · $6,781 · $17,000,000 5 CORALINE Focus · 2320 · $14,000,000 · $6,034 · $33,000,000 6 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2965 · $11,000,000 · $3,710 · $110,000,000 7 THE INTERNATIONAL Sony · 2364 · $9,000,000 · $3,807 · $9,000,000 8 THE PINK PANTHER 2 Sony · 3245 · $8,500,000 · $2,619 · $23,000,000 9 PUSH Summit · 2313 · $7,000,000 · $3,026 · $18,000,000 10 SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE Fox Searchlight · 1634 · $7,000,000 · $4,284 · $85,000,000 11 GRAN TORINO Warner Bros. · 2303 · $6,250,000 · $2,714 · $127,500,000 12 THE UNINVITED Paramount · 1803 · $5,500,000 · $3,050 · $25,000,000 http://www.ercboxoffice.com/
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:13 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Friday Numbers
From the other thread: Rorschach wrote: I see this pattern for F13:
Fri: 20m Sat: 15m (25% drop) Sun: 11m (27% drop) Mon: 5.5m (50% drop)
3-day: 46m 4-day: 51.5m In 2004 (Last time Valentine's fell on a Saturday), most date-heavy films (As I think F13 might be) fell 40-55%, and with added frontloadedness from Friday that might be off-put by Valentine's, it'll probably drop at least 40%. I'd expect: Friday - $19M Saturday - $14M (-25%) Sunday - $8M (-42%) Monday - $4.4M (-45%) For a $40 million 3-day, $44.4 million 4-day. Which, BTW, would still be insane. So, over/under Cloverfield total? I say under.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:37 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Friday Numbers
mark66 wrote: ERC 3 day weekend estimates: 3 TAKEN Fox · 3109 · $19,000,000 · $6,111 · $78,000,000 6 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2965 · $11,000,000 · $3,710 · $110,000,000 http://www.ercboxoffice.com/Wait, what?
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:38 pm |
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torrino
College Boy T
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm Posts: 16020
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 Re: Friday Numbers
That would be absolutely ridiculous...
and, if that's the case, the MPAA should be promoting piracy!
It would also be ridiculous for Gran Torino...which will probably make more than The Departed.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:48 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Friday Numbers
da torri wrote: That would be absolutely ridiculous...
and, if that's the case, the MPAA should be promoting piracy!
It would also be ridiculous for Gran Torino...which will probably make more than The Departed. Probably? It'll only be $9 million away by the end of the weekend. Also: With those kind of numbers for F13, anyone else thinking Taken benefited greatly from sneak-ins?
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:51 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm Posts: 11637
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Taken is having an amazing run. I think it could top Paul Blart.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:51 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Jedi Master Carr wrote: Taken is having an amazing run. I think it could top Paul Blart. I'm actually seeing Taken today. On Valentine's Day. Instead of Shopaholic. What's happening to the world? We would, of course, be seeing He's Just Not That Into You but I saw it with a girlfriend last week.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:53 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: Friday Numbers
I haven't stressed what an AMAZING number that is for Friday the 13th. Realistically, I thought around $17m max (and just barely making my $45m four-day prediction), but this is awesome. I hope it beats The Grudge for the horror opening record.
And jesus, Taken!
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:22 pm |
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GCC
The Dark Knight
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:11 pm Posts: 777
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Mammoth for Friday the 13th.
It'll drop -70% next weekend...
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:32 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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 Re: Friday Numbers
GRAN TORINO Warner Bros. · 2303 · $6,250,000 · $2,714 · $127,500,000
Ok, one of you box office wizards can help me out here. Somebody good with multipliers, legs, etc... From my eyes, it appears Gran Torrino will topple 145 million. Are you seeing that?
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:36 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Top post updated with MCN Friday Top Ten
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:38 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Hmmm, UNDER THE SEA 3D did pretty badly on Friday...
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:47 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16923 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Taken's a monster.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:54 pm |
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GCC
The Dark Knight
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:11 pm Posts: 777
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 Re: Friday Numbers
What exactly is the appeal of Taken?
Also, yes, this proves piracy has little effect. Copies of this were even circulating around my office...
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:59 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25427 Location: Classified
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 Re: Friday Numbers
I knew F13 was gonna be even huger than expected. And Taken is a beast!
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:03 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm Posts: 12333
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 Re: Friday Numbers
At this point, Paul Blart will most likely pass Star Wars: Special Edition as the highest grossing January film. Also if Taken continues to have these massive holds then $125M may be in play.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:24 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm Posts: 11637
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 Re: Friday Numbers
SFERIC wrote: What exactly is the appeal of Taken?
Also, yes, this proves piracy has little effect. Copies of this were even circulating around my office... I think it shows the most people don't know where to look for pirate copies. It takes forever for anybody to download a copy off the internet, so most people don't. I think the appeal is a desire for the old action films.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:25 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Also, Paul Blart's run has been amazing. It just won't stop making money!
Increases should be especially big for holdovers, The Uninvited included.
The Messengers increased 197% on Valentine's Day.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:34 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21895 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: Friday Numbers
What was the last horror movie to pass 100 million? Not saying F13 is going too, but I think it should be able to hit a 2 multiplier, it was pretty well liked, so it has a chance.
Dam, we haven't had a horror movie cross 100 million since the The Grudge 5 years ago, thats insane (Twilight and I am Legend are not horror movies)
Taken is absolutely insane, it'll pass 100 million in two weeks the latest. He's just not that into you should come close too depending on how good it holds in the next weeks.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:42 pm |
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the ultimate biu
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun Jun 08, 2008 3:37 am Posts: 322 Location: London
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Scream 2
Last slasher movie to hit $100
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:44 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Hopefully, Hollywood has noticed that rating doesn't matter and R-rated horror films can and do make big money. No more PG-13 crap like The Unborn, please. The Uninvited doesn't fall into this since it isn't a horror movie.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:48 pm |
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billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm Posts: 4308
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 Re: Friday Numbers
so yeah 2009 is basically the most insane box office year ever.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:16 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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 Re: Friday Numbers
Holy hell, $170+ Million top 12? For just the 3-day weekend?  What's next, $100 Million OW for Watchmen? Taken may just be the most ridiculous BO performance I've seen in some time. I guess people love their action movies.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:26 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: Friday Numbers
seriously, it is so insane that a Day in February will have the first non summer/holiday season 50m+ friday. Its never happened on easter, and even 2003 with its disproportionately huge october could not manage it. Even more insane is it happened a day before the historically huge valentines day. There was a 120% increase on saturday in 1998 and a 121% increase in 2004 both would push saturday over 100m.
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Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:26 pm |
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