11 million for Thursday per Hollywood-Elsewhere... completely expected.

there's still hope Magnus.

just saw the movie; everybody is under estimating the legs.period.

i cant believe nobody figured this out all month. w.b. arent going for the 5 day. they are going for the 7 day.

magnus this film will increase 100% tops on friday. saturday will have a bigger increase then 19% percent though. and sunday will be bigger then friday.

with 11 million today i see

friday-18.5 million + 65%
saturday: 23.8 million + 29%
sunday:20.2 million -15%
=62.5 million ow
=93.5 million 5 day
+17million monday - 16%
+12.2 million tuesday - 30%
=122.7 million opening

with roughly 135 million heading into to face pirates and around 161-164 million after that weekend, climbing its way up to 250 million total.

Now you just went into very annoying territory, next it'll be WB are going for 30 day numbers and 60 day numbers, just stop.

ah, we shall see.

edit im lookng at batman weekend numbers. its rises went: +65%, +20%, -13%

supes wom isnt AS good, but given that supermans a kid movie, i think were looking at these increases as base. saturdays increase could be particulary large. that would give supes 59 million.

excel...

It will not make $250 million total. You continue to do what I said earlier - no matter how low the 5-Day turns out to be, your legs just happen to increase to give it $250 million total. First, you expected $100 million 5-Day and gave it a 2.5x multiplier to $250 million total. That was reasonable, I guess. Then, with Wednesday numbers, the general projection dropped down to $95 million 5-Day, so your multiplier went up to 2.63x. Now, the 5-Day will be around $90 million, so you jump the multiplier up even more to 2.78x. Batman Begins had a 2.81x multiplier from its 5-Day opening, so basically, you're saying that despite greater competition and WOM not being as great as Batman Begins, it will still achieve a similar multiplier.

And, no, I don't buy the "WOM is better than I expected" crap, because ever since reviews started being released, you've been talking about how it will have excellent WOM. It doesn't have excellent WOM, just good.

There's a point where you just have to throw in the towel and admit defeat.

Dave Poland posted a very succinct analysis. Basically: 250M is not happening.

One box office service is reporting it already as 46% off of the Wednesday opening. But of course, the Wednesday opening was a Tuesday/Wednesday opening. So depending on what the Tuesday numbers actually were – no one has broken them out – the drop is probably not as severe as it seems.

The movie that SR was compared to yesterday was War of the Worlds, which dropped just 32% in its second day. For those on the Batman Begins tip, that film was off 40% on Thursday. Men In Black II was off just 11%.

I guess the real point here is that none of these films cracked $250 million domestic. Worldwide, WotW did best with $591 million, MiBII did $441 million and BB did $371 million.

NO! Until there is 0% chance, im maintaining 250 million

This is Zeta Plan reporting for duty!

::cough::

Spin spin spin!

Well that is good I ONLY LOVE BATMAN COMICS AND BATMAN MOVIES from DC.

Other comic books and movies from DC suck!!

Blind fanboy?

Yep.

At least Magnus and others (minus revolutions, he still doesn't count) can admit it.

you under estimate me zingaling. the announcement of my admitall could be sooner then you think

eh im off to get smashed PEACE!

Speaking of blind superman fanboys, that one guy from BOM is now spinning that SR will now follow FOTR pattern. The other fanboys from imdb and RT think that SR will have a 30 friday number, and a +30 sat numbers too because of how FOTR pattern

boy am i going to be way off in my prediction.

lol, 400M+ domestic?? Dude, what were you thinking?

my love for superman clouded my judgement.

dont worry about it. as long as we get a sequel idont care how much dough it makes.

First MI3 bombing
and then SR bombing


and then in the future Wii bombing

Congrats Positive Jon on pretty much winning the bet. I'm gone for a month as soon as weekend estimates are up.

SR sooo deserves at least $75 OW. DAMN U AMERICANS!!!

what was the bet?

it'd make over $75m OW. fri-sun

I lowered the bar to $60M after it moved to Wednesday, then called the bet off after upping my prediction to $66M. Damn you Jon, DAMN YOU.