| Author |
Message |
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
DP07 wrote: I thought I had already made my prediction in here.
If WOM is as I expect it to be: 31m/94m
If it turns out to be good: 31m/105m This is going to be your third underprediction since October (after Saw and Closer)
Unless you pull a National Treasure again and turn out to have the closest prediction, hehe_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:11 am |
 
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
Dr. Lecter wrote: DP07 wrote: I thought I had already made my prediction in here.
If WOM is as I expect it to be: 31m/94m
If it turns out to be good: 31m/105m This is going to be your third underprediction since October (after Saw and Closer) Unless you pull a National Treasure again and turn out to have the closest prediction, heheI thought both of those wouldn't have enough mainstream appeal given the types of films that they seemed to be, but I was wrong.  (Well, in the case of Closer it seems the marketing tricked many into seeing a movie that wasn't really what they wanted to see). Anyway, I think Ocean's Twelve is different, the marketing is just so clearly weak.
|
| Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:30 am |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
I think that O12 is the kind of a movie that works without too much marketing. However, there is a chance that the legs will be bad, that's true. The movie doesn't seem good to me. On the other hand I wasn't very fond of the first flick either. Nonetheless, I see a huge $40+ million opening for it no matter what. The total gross is a different question whatsoever.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:36 am |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Theatre Count: 3,290
RT Score: 45%
Any new predictions?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Thu Dec 09, 2004 9:33 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
Opening: $45.0 million
Total: $157.5 million
Those are my final predictions. That would give it a $13,600 PTA, and with the holidays, it should be able to do atleast a 3.5x multiplier.
|
| Thu Dec 09, 2004 9:36 pm |
|
|
|
Anonymous
|
$40m opening
$120m total
|
| Thu Dec 09, 2004 9:59 pm |
|
|
|
matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
|
$52M/$180M
|
| Thu Dec 09, 2004 10:01 pm |
|
|
|
MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
|
I'm still feeling it for this movie. The cast has been everywhere lately.
Opening: $49.5
Total: $130.0
I do feel a 57% second weekend drop. It will be a bit like I, Robot without the good summer days.
|
| Thu Dec 09, 2004 10:06 pm |
|
|
|
Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
|
46.8m opening.
|
| Thu Dec 09, 2004 10:10 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
It comes back at RT and currently sits fresh at 63% and 67% COC. The average score is 6.2, so pretty consistent across the board.
|
| Fri Dec 10, 2004 1:26 pm |
|
|
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
I was tempted to lower my prediction but it's more fun to go with earlier gut feeling. If O12 disappoints, I predict the blame will go to it being made like one of those movies (Bounce was one earlier in the year) where the people making it look like they are having too much fun, and not focusing on creating fun for us.
|
| Fri Dec 10, 2004 5:48 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
GET IN YOUR FINAL PREDICTIONS, PEOPLE! :wink:
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Fri Dec 10, 2004 5:53 pm |
|
|
|
El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
|
38 million
110 million
|
| Fri Dec 10, 2004 6:02 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Final Predictions:
Opening weekend - $47.1 million
Total gross - $174 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Fri Dec 10, 2004 6:10 pm |
|
|
|
Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
|
prediction : 61/220
|
| Fri Dec 10, 2004 6:50 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
With a decent grade at Yahoo I don't think WOM will be as bad as I feared, so, I'll go with something more similar to the higher of my predictions for its total:
31m/103m
|
| Fri Dec 10, 2004 7:41 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
ALL PREDICTIONS UPDATED WITH AVERAGES IN THE 2ND POST!
Keep them coming 
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sat Dec 11, 2004 6:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
|
| Sat Dec 11, 2004 6:09 am |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Critical reception:
RT: 61% (Average Rating - 6.2/10)
Metascore: 55%
Yahoo Reviews: B
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Sat Dec 11, 2004 6:14 am |
|
|
|
Chris
life begins now
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 9:09 pm
Posts: 6480
Location: Columbus, Ohio
|
$54/$200
|
| Sat Dec 11, 2004 6:58 am |
|
|
|
El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
|
Looks like Nebs has the closest prediction at around 40.0 million. Should we do second week drop predictions too? Im thinking it will drop 55% next week
|
| Sun Dec 12, 2004 2:32 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Well, with the estimated gross of $40,880,000 it's between Nebs and Archie Gates.
As for predicting...just predict the second weekend! :wink:
I'll wait for the actuals to do so.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Sun Dec 12, 2004 2:49 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Actual: $39,153,380
Nebs is the winner. Congrats!
Okay, I'll track this movie against Ocean's Eleven from now on. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Mon Dec 13, 2004 4:59 pm |
|
|
|
El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
|
If only I had predicted that extra 1 million .....
|
| Mon Dec 13, 2004 5:02 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
Ocean's Twelve seems to be following a similar pattern to Ocean's Eleven, thus far. Similar opening weekends, similar PTA's, similar Monday drops. If it holds out the same through the rest of this week, I think that it will have a drop of about 48%, considering that it's more likely to be a tad bit more frontloaded than the first.
2nd Weekend: $20.3 million (-48%)
|
| Tue Dec 14, 2004 10:49 pm |
|
|
|
MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
|
2nd Weekend: $18.4 (-53%)
|
| Tue Dec 14, 2004 11:11 pm |
|
|
