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 Weekend Numbers: (3 DAY + 4 DAY) 
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Madoshi
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jb007 wrote:
deathawk wrote:
The 4day for TLY is up now. 60M. The final numbers could prove interesting if one of the two is overestimated.


I think both Mad and TLY are overestimated.


That will make it just more interesting.... :razz:


Mon May 30, 2005 12:18 pm
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The Longest Yard's budget is estimated at $82,000,000.


Mon May 30, 2005 12:19 pm
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jb007 wrote:
deathawk wrote:
The 4day for TLY is up now. 60M. The final numbers could prove interesting if one of the two is overestimated.


I think both Mad and TLY are overestimated.


I don't think TLY will be. It has loyal fans and Sandler's crew will keep em coming in.

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Mon May 30, 2005 12:20 pm
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baumer72 wrote:
jb007 wrote:
deathawk wrote:
The 4day for TLY is up now. 60M. The final numbers could prove interesting if one of the two is overestimated.


I think both Mad and TLY are overestimated.


I don't think TLY will be. It has loyal fans and Sandler's crew will keep em coming in.


TLY dropped 18% from Saturday to Sunday. I just don't see it having a better drop from Sunday to Monday.

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Mon May 30, 2005 12:22 pm
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Can the streak be over?

The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day

Mon in Law should be equal to Troy


Mon May 30, 2005 12:23 pm
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College Boy Z

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Chuckster wrote:
Can the streak be over?

The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day

Mon in Law should be equal to Troy


Troy grossed over $130 million. Monster-in-Law won't touch $100 million.


Mon May 30, 2005 12:26 pm
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Ha! I predicted a 49% drop for STAR WARS and I was dead-on! Yay! Except even I had it predicted for a bit more with 55.5 Million, but it did 55.1 Million.

I also predicted a 15% drop for CRASH, which I was also dead-on with.

I say MADAGASCAR will take the top spot next weekend and it will get to 200 Million.


Mon May 30, 2005 12:27 pm
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Madoshi
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Chuckster wrote:
Can the streak be over?

The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day

Mon in Law should be equal to Troy


Doesn't look like it. With only MIL and K&S to really move the meter, this weekend is still about 40M behind. Raising Helen was also over 10 for the 4 day last year, and there were a bunch of others around or above 5.

The bottom of the pack is still too weak.


Mon May 30, 2005 12:28 pm
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mansonmyers wrote:
The Longest Yard's budget is estimated at $82,000,000.


Wow. That is quite high. With marketing costs the total would be about $120M+.

It would require over $220M WW to see profit. Since this American Football comedy will not make much money overseas, it won't be profitable till DVD revenues are accounted for.

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Mon May 30, 2005 12:29 pm
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I don't see why Madagas will do great business next weekend. If it falls 40% to 29 mill, then Sith would have to drop by at least 50% in order for it to win the weekend. It is possible, but I think Sith will take number one again.

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Mon May 30, 2005 12:34 pm
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Wallflower
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No way will MADAGASCAR drop 40% though. It might drop 35%.


Mon May 30, 2005 12:37 pm
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You've got to be kidding :roll:


Mon May 30, 2005 12:38 pm
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Those are some good numbers for STAR WARS and THE LONGEST YARD :)

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Mon May 30, 2005 12:39 pm
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Mike wrote:
No way will MADAGASCAR drop 40% though. It might drop 35%.


Why not?

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Mon May 30, 2005 12:41 pm
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Mike wrote:
No way will MADAGASCAR drop 40% though. It might drop 35%.


Madagascar will drop over 50%. Shrek 2 dropped 48% (even accounting for HP3) and WOM for Madagascar is mixed at best.

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Mon May 30, 2005 12:42 pm
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The Longest Yards 3 day changed from $50,000,000 to $48,100,000.


Mon May 30, 2005 12:42 pm
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okay, ZING already said that on the last page, heeh.

Some totals for the top 10:

Star Wars Episode III Revenge of the Sith: $255,543,000
Monster in Law: $60,730,000
Kicking And Screaming: $44,168,000
Crash: $36,138,000
The Interpreter: $69,233,000
Unleashed: $21,916,000
Kingdom of Heaven: $44,974,000
House of Wax $29,873,000


More:
The Hitchhikers Guide To The Galaxy: $48,645,000
Mindhunters: $4,260,000
Sin City: $73,433,000
Layer Cake: $742,000


Mon May 30, 2005 12:48 pm
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Wallflower
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Looking at last year's numbers for the weekend after Memorial Weekend, I'm going with a 40% drop for MADAGASCAR and a 49% drop for SITH. Last year even RAISING HELEN dropped just 40%, and that had mixed WOM too. The WOM for MADAGASCAR is actually probably better, so I don't think it's going to drop more than 40%, and if it does it won't be much more.


Mon May 30, 2005 1:04 pm
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Sbil

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Zingaling wrote:
Chuckster wrote:
Can the streak be over?

The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day

Mon in Law should be equal to Troy


Troy grossed over $130 million. Monster-in-Law won't touch $100 million.


He means for the weekend, not toal gross. Of course Monster-in-Law won't be anywhere near what Troy made overall.


Mon May 30, 2005 1:08 pm
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College Boy Z

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The total 4-day weekend gross was $224,983,000.


Mon May 30, 2005 1:11 pm
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Teenage Dream
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Longest Yard dropped from $50m. It's at $48m. Still ahead of Madagascar for the 3-day. (damn) I need to check out The Longest Yard.


Mon May 30, 2005 1:15 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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Zingaling wrote:
Tuukka wrote:
Doesn't this mean that Madagaskar might fail to reach 200 million? It would need a 4+ multiplier to reach it.


It's not impossible. I mean, with summer weekdays and nice drops (lack of direct kids competition), it is possible.


It wont reach 200 million at all with that kind of low opening. The opening isnt that much better than Shark Tales or Robots nor are the reviews for the movie better than Shrek 2, the Incredibles or Finding Nemo. I say it will make 180 million TOPs at this point


Mon May 30, 2005 1:18 pm
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The Kramer
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I'm gonna agree with Roid. It's become another Shark Tale at this point, rather than Shrek.

Speaking of Shrek 2, it had a total of $260.3M after the Memorial Weekend, so ROTS is still heading for $400M+, it's drop next weekend will detemine if the (in)famous $470M club will prevail.


Mon May 30, 2005 1:29 pm
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Flava'd‡ wrote:
I'm gonna agree with Roid. It's become another Shark Tale at this point, rather than Shrek.

Speaking of Shrek 2, it had a total of $260.3M after the Memorial Weekend, so ROTS is still heading for $400M+, it's drop next weekend will detemine if the (in)famous $470M club will prevail.


$470 million is already unachievable. $400 million is still possible if it had a great hold under 50% next weekend.


Mon May 30, 2005 1:30 pm
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Monday projections are all over the place (from 10 to 45% drop) and had proven to be unpredictable in the past.

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