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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm Posts: 631 Location: Cephiro
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jb007 wrote: deathawk wrote: The 4day for TLY is up now. 60M. The final numbers could prove interesting if one of the two is overestimated. I think both Mad and TLY are overestimated.
That will make it just more interesting.... :razz:
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:18 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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The Longest Yard's budget is estimated at $82,000,000.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:19 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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jb007 wrote: deathawk wrote: The 4day for TLY is up now. 60M. The final numbers could prove interesting if one of the two is overestimated. I think both Mad and TLY are overestimated.
I don't think TLY will be. It has loyal fans and Sandler's crew will keep em coming in.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:20 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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baumer72 wrote: jb007 wrote: deathawk wrote: The 4day for TLY is up now. 60M. The final numbers could prove interesting if one of the two is overestimated. I think both Mad and TLY are overestimated. I don't think TLY will be. It has loyal fans and Sandler's crew will keep em coming in.
TLY dropped 18% from Saturday to Sunday. I just don't see it having a better drop from Sunday to Monday.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:22 pm |
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Chuckster
Angels & Demons
Joined: Wed Feb 09, 2005 7:06 pm Posts: 210
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Can the streak be over?
The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day
Mon in Law should be equal to Troy
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:23 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Chuckster wrote: Can the streak be over?
The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day
Mon in Law should be equal to Troy
Troy grossed over $130 million. Monster-in-Law won't touch $100 million.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35206 Location: Minnesota
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Ha! I predicted a 49% drop for STAR WARS and I was dead-on! Yay! Except even I had it predicted for a bit more with 55.5 Million, but it did 55.1 Million.
I also predicted a 15% drop for CRASH, which I was also dead-on with.
I say MADAGASCAR will take the top spot next weekend and it will get to 200 Million.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:27 pm |
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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm Posts: 631 Location: Cephiro
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Chuckster wrote: Can the streak be over?
The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day
Mon in Law should be equal to Troy
Doesn't look like it. With only MIL and K&S to really move the meter, this weekend is still about 40M behind. Raising Helen was also over 10 for the 4 day last year, and there were a bunch of others around or above 5.
The bottom of the pack is still too weak.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:28 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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mansonmyers wrote: The Longest Yard's budget is estimated at $82,000,000.
Wow. That is quite high. With marketing costs the total would be about $120M+.
It would require over $220M WW to see profit. Since this American Football comedy will not make much money overseas, it won't be profitable till DVD revenues are accounted for.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:29 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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I don't see why Madagas will do great business next weekend. If it falls 40% to 29 mill, then Sith would have to drop by at least 50% in order for it to win the weekend. It is possible, but I think Sith will take number one again.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:34 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35206 Location: Minnesota
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No way will MADAGASCAR drop 40% though. It might drop 35%.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:37 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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You've got to be kidding 
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:38 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8627 Location: Syracuse, NY
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Those are some good numbers for STAR WARS and THE LONGEST YARD 
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:39 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Mike wrote: No way will MADAGASCAR drop 40% though. It might drop 35%.
Why not?
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:41 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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Mike wrote: No way will MADAGASCAR drop 40% though. It might drop 35%.
Madagascar will drop over 50%. Shrek 2 dropped 48% (even accounting for HP3) and WOM for Madagascar is mixed at best.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:42 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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The Longest Yards 3 day changed from $50,000,000 to $48,100,000.
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:42 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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okay, ZING already said that on the last page, heeh.
Some totals for the top 10:
Star Wars Episode III Revenge of the Sith: $255,543,000
Monster in Law: $60,730,000
Kicking And Screaming: $44,168,000
Crash: $36,138,000
The Interpreter: $69,233,000
Unleashed: $21,916,000
Kingdom of Heaven: $44,974,000
House of Wax $29,873,000
More:
The Hitchhikers Guide To The Galaxy: $48,645,000
Mindhunters: $4,260,000
Sin City: $73,433,000
Layer Cake: $742,000
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Mon May 30, 2005 12:48 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35206 Location: Minnesota
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Looking at last year's numbers for the weekend after Memorial Weekend, I'm going with a 40% drop for MADAGASCAR and a 49% drop for SITH. Last year even RAISING HELEN dropped just 40%, and that had mixed WOM too. The WOM for MADAGASCAR is actually probably better, so I don't think it's going to drop more than 40%, and if it does it won't be much more.
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:04 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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Zingaling wrote: Chuckster wrote: Can the streak be over?
The big three should about 10 million over Shrek and Day
Mon in Law should be equal to Troy Troy grossed over $130 million. Monster-in-Law won't touch $100 million.
He means for the weekend, not toal gross. Of course Monster-in-Law won't be anywhere near what Troy made overall.
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:08 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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The total 4-day weekend gross was $224,983,000.
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:11 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm Posts: 10678
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Longest Yard dropped from $50m. It's at $48m. Still ahead of Madagascar for the 3-day. (damn) I need to check out The Longest Yard.
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:15 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Zingaling wrote: Tuukka wrote: Doesn't this mean that Madagaskar might fail to reach 200 million? It would need a 4+ multiplier to reach it. It's not impossible. I mean, with summer weekdays and nice drops (lack of direct kids competition), it is possible.
It wont reach 200 million at all with that kind of low opening. The opening isnt that much better than Shark Tales or Robots nor are the reviews for the movie better than Shrek 2, the Incredibles or Finding Nemo. I say it will make 180 million TOPs at this point
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:18 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25204 Location: Classified
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I'm gonna agree with Roid. It's become another Shark Tale at this point, rather than Shrek.
Speaking of Shrek 2, it had a total of $260.3M after the Memorial Weekend, so ROTS is still heading for $400M+, it's drop next weekend will detemine if the (in)famous $470M club will prevail.
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:29 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Flava'd‡ wrote: I'm gonna agree with Roid. It's become another Shark Tale at this point, rather than Shrek.
Speaking of Shrek 2, it had a total of $260.3M after the Memorial Weekend, so ROTS is still heading for $400M+, it's drop next weekend will detemine if the (in)famous $470M club will prevail.
$470 million is already unachievable. $400 million is still possible if it had a great hold under 50% next weekend.
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:30 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Monday projections are all over the place (from 10 to 45% drop) and had proven to be unpredictable in the past.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Mon May 30, 2005 1:37 pm |
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