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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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 June 3-5 Predictions It looks like such a crappy weekend in comparison to this weekend and last weekend. :razz:
Cinderella Man - $18.7 million
Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants - $13.7 million / $19.7 million
The Lords of Dogtown - $9 million
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| Sun May 29, 2005 12:37 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Cinderella Man - $20 million
Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - $16 million
Lords of Dogtown - $10 million
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| Sun May 29, 2005 1:33 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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1. Madagascar - $31.7 (-40%)
2. The Longest Yard - $25.2 (-48%)
3. Star Wars Episode III - $21.3 (-61%)
4. Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - $16.2 (NEW)
5. Cinderella Man - $15.5 (NEW)
6. Lords of Dogtown - $7.5 (NEW)
Interesting that Madagascar will be #1 in its 2nd weekend, not its first. It's pretty much a lock now for it to be first.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 1:38 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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MG Casey wrote: 1. Madagascar - $31.7 (-40%)
2. The Longest Yard - $25.2 (-48%)
3. Star Wars Episode III - $21.3 (-61%)
4. Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - $16.2 (NEW)
5. Cinderella Man - $15.5 (NEW)
6. Lords of Dogtown - $7.5 (NEW)
Interesting that Madagascar will be #1 in its 2nd weekend, not its first. It's pretty much a lock now for it to be first. You underestimate Cinderella Man.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 1:41 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Libs wrote: You underestimate Cinderella Man. Probably, but I just don't think people want another boxing drama so soon after Million Dollar Baby... I just have mixed feelings on this one... 
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| Sun May 29, 2005 1:45 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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With Cinderella Man being the only adult drama this summer (like Seabiscuit and Road to Perdition of their years), I don't see how it could make any less than $16 million this weekend.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 2:18 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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MG Casey wrote: 3. Star Wars Episode III - $21.3 (-61%)
[-(
You still deny the inevitable $350+ million gross. It'll drop about 55% next weekend. =;
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| Sun May 29, 2005 2:34 am |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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Madagascar - $29.4m - $109.9m
Revenge of the Sith - $26.0m - $310.2m
The Longest Yard - $23.1m - $99.3m
Cinderella Man - $18.5m - $18.5m
Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - $14.8m - $14.8m
Lords of Dogtown - $9.5m - $9.5m
_________________
All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
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| Sun May 29, 2005 2:51 am |
 
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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For Now
Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants- $17.3M (3DAY) / $23M (5DAY)
Cinderella Man- $17M
Lords of Dogtown- $9M <<< i was expecting a higher theater count
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| Sun May 29, 2005 3:03 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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1. Madagascar 32 million
2. The Longest Yard 27 million
3. Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith 24 million
4. Cinderella Man: 23 million
5. Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants: 18/24 million
6. Lords of Dogtown: 12 million
By the way, am I the only one who finds it just plain amazing that Crash will handily outgross xXx: State of the Union, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, House of Wax, AND Kingdom of Heaven? That means the following actually occured: Crash is THE highest grossing movie of the first week of summer (or second, if you count April 29th :wink: ).
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| Sun May 29, 2005 4:48 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Cinderella Man - 25m
Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - 10m/14m
Lords of Dogtown - No idea, I can see it going in either direction.
I really think Cinderella Man is being underpredicted. A few weeks ago I was thinking 20m, but the marketing has been so strong.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 6:06 am |
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Anonymous
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MovieDude wrote: By the way, am I the only one who finds it just plain amazing that Crash will handily outgross xXx: State of the Union, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, House of Wax, AND Kingdom of Heaven? That means the following actually occured: Crash is THE highest grossing movie of the first week of summer (or second, if you count April 29th :wink: ). Considering how hackneyed and manipulative Crash was, I'm amazed.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 9:12 am |
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Schlomo
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2005 10:09 am
Posts: 1097
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loyalfromlondon wrote: MovieDude wrote: By the way, am I the only one who finds it just plain amazing that Crash will handily outgross xXx: State of the Union, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, House of Wax, AND Kingdom of Heaven? That means the following actually occured: Crash is THE highest grossing movie of the first week of summer (or second, if you count April 29th :wink: ). Considering how hackneyed and manipulative Crash was, I'm amazed. =D> ...Crash was a High School Ethics PSA on steroids _________________revolutions wrote: that one dude with the giant ass mi:3 logo
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| Sun May 29, 2005 9:51 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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loyalfromlondon wrote: MovieDude wrote: By the way, am I the only one who finds it just plain amazing that Crash will handily outgross xXx: State of the Union, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, House of Wax, AND Kingdom of Heaven? That means the following actually occured: Crash is THE highest grossing movie of the first week of summer (or second, if you count April 29th :wink: ). Considering how hackneyed and manipulative Crash was, I'm amazed. You have a point, I don't think it was realistic in many ways. Yet, you didn't find it at the least to be well made?
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| Sun May 29, 2005 10:32 am |
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Anonymous
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DP07 wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: MovieDude wrote: By the way, am I the only one who finds it just plain amazing that Crash will handily outgross xXx: State of the Union, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, House of Wax, AND Kingdom of Heaven? That means the following actually occured: Crash is THE highest grossing movie of the first week of summer (or second, if you count April 29th :wink: ). Considering how hackneyed and manipulative Crash was, I'm amazed. You have a point, I don't think it was realistic in many ways. Yet, you didn't find it at the least to be well made? Not particularly. But even if a film is well made, that doesn't make it a great or even good film. Just means it was well made. I'm sure there are people who will say Herbie Fully Loaded is well made.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 10:48 am |
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Animosity Reigns
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
Posts: 1777
Location: The Dirty South
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Zingaling wrote: With Cinderella Man being the only adult drama this summer (like Seabiscuit and Road to Perdition of their years), I don't see how it could make any less than $16 million this weekend. I hear huge talk about Cinderella man walking around the halls of my theatre...espically among Women and Seniors....
more talk than I heard for Seabiscuit....
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| Sun May 29, 2005 11:18 am |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Cinderella Man will do very well. It is being incredibly well advertised, even if I personally think it looks like typical Howard sappy, boring crapola. Will get at least Road to Perdition numbers, probably higher, as the dramatic/love storyline is much more accessible than the dark storyline of Perdition. Cinderella Man is also again the "serious summer film" and has this weekend to itself in that both other openers are small ones and will make no dent in Cinderella Man's audience.
PEACE, Mike 
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| Sun May 29, 2005 11:24 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Dang this is a very very hard one to predict.
Fighting Around the World with Russell Crowe - $20.0 million
Sisterhood of the Pants Party- $14.8 million
Dude Wheres My Skateboard? - $11 million
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| Sun May 29, 2005 12:26 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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You know, I'll go with 26.5m for Cinderella Man as of now. I wouldn't surprise me if it opened with over 30m, and finished at about 150m.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 2:35 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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DP07 wrote: You know, I'll go with 26.5m for Cinderella Man as of now. I wouldn't surprise me if it opened with over 30m, and finished at about 150m. For $30 million, Cinderella Man would need a PTA of $10,700. It'll need some awesome WOM to get that. I think it'll open lower, but have fantastic legs (of course), and still reach over $100 million. It could finish better than Seabiscuit.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 3:08 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32582
Location: the last free city
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Cinderella Man: 28 million
Madagascar 26 million
Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith 23 million
The Longest Yard 20 million
Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants: 12/16 million
Lords of Dogtown: 8 million
MIL: 5 mill
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Sun May 29, 2005 3:19 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Boxing is a hard sell no matter the people involved in it, tops Cinderella Man can do is about 20m imo, but more then likely it'll have very good wom.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Sun May 29, 2005 3:45 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Zingaling wrote: DP07 wrote: You know, I'll go with 26.5m for Cinderella Man as of now. I wouldn't surprise me if it opened with over 30m, and finished at about 150m. For $30 million, Cinderella Man would need a PTA of $10,700. It'll need some awesome WOM to get that. I think it'll open lower, but have fantastic legs (of course), and still reach over $100 million. It could finish better than Seabiscuit. Regarding the $10,700 PTA, Road to Perdition achieved a PTA near that when it opened in July 2002.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 4:38 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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Cinderella Man: $25.0
Sisterhood Of The Travelling Pants: 3-Day/$14.0 5-Day/$18.0
Lords Of Dogtown: $12.0
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| Sun May 29, 2005 4:40 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25204
Location: Classified
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Lords of Dogtown - $17M
Cinderella Man - $16M
Sisterhood of Pants - $14M
Star Wars will be #1 again. Can't believe these high predictions for Cindrella Man. Million Dollar Baby just came out a few months ago, and it barely crossed $100M even with the oscar. Why would Cinderella Man do better? When two of the same movies open with a few months of each other, the second tends to suffer, atleast with the opening.
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| Sun May 29, 2005 5:31 pm |
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