:sw:

Yeah, but the increases have been better on this weekend nearly every week in the past. For example, AOTC increased about 45% and TPM increased 42% if my memory serves me right.

I'm pretty sure it has to do with more schools being out, allowing more Friday matinee business.

suks for rots and mada i wanted both to increase 50%.
good for tly at least it didn't decrease.

This will probably put SW at around 69-70 mill for the 4 days. It is not as high as some of had hoped for but it is still impressive. I think the percentage drops are a little unfair to look at exclusively. This film is still making more than both Clones and Menace and therefore will come close to Menace.

Starts up the Imperial March theme :razz:

To be honest though, the Star Wars holds have been somewhat disappointing the past two days now. I was expecting about $21.5 after yesterday.

Unless something really strange happens the next two days, I think the 4-days will be:

Revenge of the Sith: $69 m
Madagascar: $63 m
The Longest Yard: $59 m

My projections were disputed by many yesterday, but now it looks pretty good. Here are the top 3:

STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH - 73
MADAGASCAR - 65
THE LONGEST YARD - 59

I remember a studio making estimates for a movie or two in the past, but generally no.

The Longest Yard's Sunday projection is out.

All I want is 400m [-o<

I knew Madagascar wouldn't increase that much. Still, thought it would increase more than that. Also was about 10% off with Sith, but with a $17-18M Sunday it'll be just fine, I think it will avoid a 50% drop. Throw in another $12M on Monday and it's at nearly $270M.

They seem to project TLY to have a similar Sunday and Monday as Raising Helen did. If that's the case, it will end up with 62M for the 4-day.

I think 400 is where it will end also.

and now all i want is for ROTS to pass Spider-Man $403,706,375 gross. [-o<

Projections:

STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH - 72
MADAGASCAR - 65
THE LONGEST YARD - 60
Monster-in-Law - 12.0
Kicking & Screaming - 6.2
Crash - 5.8
Unleashed - 2.3
The Interpreter - 2.2
Kingdom of Heaven - 2.1
House of Wax - 1.7
The Hitchhiker's Guide to Galaxy - 0.9

I'm not sure how Sith will reach $72 million.

Friday: $15,470,000
Saturday: $20,820,000 (+34.6%)
Sunday: $18,738,000 (-10.0%)
Monday: $14,990,400 (-20.0%)
4-Day: $70,000,000

I would think that's the best case scenario.

Why do you continue to overestimate Episode III, xiayun? With AOTC's drops it would $68.8 for the 4-day, and even if I applied better drops, it would still top out at around $70-70.5 million. There is nothing to indicate it will get $72 mil for the 4-day.

PEACE, Mike

It could follow Shrek 2's trajectry for the weekend.

I don't know. I would think it's more likely to follow the pattern of AOTC than Shrek 2.

I'm not applying AOTC's data anymore since its Saturday increase is more in line with Shrek 2's second weekend last year. As you can see, the Saturday increases last year were a lot weaker than the previous years, so I just think that data is more applicable.

EP III, ROCKS!!!!!!!!! :rock:

80m for the 4-day :rock:

\:D/

In your dreams. :wink:

Comparing Sith to Shrek 2 is a poor comparison in my opinion. They haven't exactly been performing so similar. Just because one day happens to coincidentally have the same increase, doesn't mean much. Sith and Shrek 2 are hardly similar films either.

PEACE, Mike

Just because they are both Star Wars? I'm more focusing on the date because I think the change in school schedule has more of an effect than the name of the movies. Again, we'll see.

If those are true, the box office stands to be 8 million off the same weekend last year... damn, we are never going to catch up, especially since next week Cinderella Man is the big opener, while last year had Harry Potter open.. we're screwed! :???:

That's the difference. I don't think it just happens by accident. It has to do with change in school schedules and I think we'll see better Sunday and Monday numbers than when ATOC was out.