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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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loyalfromlondon wrote:
Why are people still paying to watch Monster-In-Law? ](*,)


:mad: Heh.

I liked it! I guess there's no accounting for taste, haha.


Wed May 25, 2005 5:11 pm
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Award Winning Bastard

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MikeQ. wrote:
Thanks. I apologize as well.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Thanks, but no need for you to apologize. While I'm at it, I'd like to apologize to MG Casey, too. No offense. :oops:


Wed May 25, 2005 5:11 pm
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loyalfromlondon wrote:
Why are people still paying to watch Monster-In-Law? ](*,)


Because Sith was sold out.


Wed May 25, 2005 5:15 pm
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Libs wrote:
loyalfromlondon wrote:
Why are people still paying to watch Monster-In-Law? ](*,)


:mad: Heh.

I liked it! I guess there's no accounting for taste, haha.


It does own the romcom market for the foreseeable future.

Hurry up and get released Bewitched (though technically it's more high concept comedy than romcom).


Wed May 25, 2005 5:16 pm
No Wire Tampons!

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Monster in Law has the distinct advantage of being the only femme targeted comedy out right now and has no competition in the market; plus summer weekdays and this coming Memorial weekend should hoist its gross way above what it deserves.

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Wed May 25, 2005 5:18 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
MikeQ. wrote:
Thanks. I apologize as well.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Thanks, but no need for you to apologize. While I'm at it, I'd like to apologize to MG Casey, too. No offense. :oops:

If I offended you as well, I apologize. Like I said after another heated debate, Star Wars is fun. :)


Wed May 25, 2005 5:18 pm
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Michael wrote:
Monster in Law has the distinct advantage of being the only femme targeted comedy out right now and has no competition in the market; plus summer weekdays and this coming Memorial weekend should hoist its gross way above what it deserves.


Without a doubt.

That's what's so great about a certain film in release that shall go unnamed. It actually deserves it's box office.


Wed May 25, 2005 5:22 pm
Award Winning Bastard

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MG Casey wrote:
If I offended you as well, I apologize. Like I said after another heated debate, Star Wars is fun. :)


I wasn't offended, so no need to apologize, but thanks anyway. I should have been better than that. I will be next time. :smile:


Wed May 25, 2005 5:22 pm
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These numbers seem pretty good for Star Wars and should spell a sub 50% drop for Sith over the 3 day. I don't think that Madgascar/Longest will prove very formidable.

WAR, Kid Rock :wink:


Wed May 25, 2005 5:23 pm
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Madoshi
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Wow, I guess the canadian holiday had quite an impact Monday. I feel disapointed, yet the Sith number really is impressive on any objective scale.


Wed May 25, 2005 5:33 pm
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Ah, just to put my own two cents into it, ROTS still won't come close to ROTK worldwide ;)

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Wed May 25, 2005 5:35 pm
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I may be way off here...but don't really think Sith will pass Titanic on worldwide list...


Wed May 25, 2005 5:41 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Ah, just to put my own two cents into it, ROTS still won't come close to ROTK worldwide ;)


Most likely true, but it does come down to how well it plays in Japan. It is not utterly outisde the realm of possiblity for it to throw up a 200+ figure there.


Wed May 25, 2005 5:42 pm
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Nebs wrote:
I may be way off here...but don't really think Sith will pass Titanic on worldwide list...


HATER!!!

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Wed May 25, 2005 5:42 pm
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What is this apologizing bullshit?
FIGHT DAMMIT! IT ENTERTAINS ME!


Wed May 25, 2005 5:51 pm
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loyalfromlondon wrote:
Michael wrote:
Monster in Law has the distinct advantage of being the only femme targeted comedy out right now and has no competition in the market; plus summer weekdays and this coming Memorial weekend should hoist its gross way above what it deserves.


Without a doubt.

That's what's so great about a certain film in release that shall go unnamed. It actually deserves it's box office.


Im still miffed that last year's fantastic "13 Going on 30" is going to have pulled in considerably less than this film by the end of its run thanks in large part to Mean Girls and the female-lead track record.

But it seems there has to be a strong male lead or two major stars to make a romantic comedy work on a large scale.

I so wish they could have switched timeslots and years.

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Wed May 25, 2005 5:53 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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OK, my prediction of ROTS was 321 million, and hmm, I'm not sure if I should raise it so much yet. This coming weekend will really show what happens but right now, I will tentatively raise my prediction to 353 million, but I wouldn't be suprised if it falls short. Unlike some people here, I think the openers this weekend can do some massive damage. Think what Bruce Almighty did to poor Reloaded, I say at least Madagascar and Longest Yard combined can beat Bruce's opening gross :wink:

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Wed May 25, 2005 5:59 pm
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JMorphin wrote:
OK, my prediction of ROTS was 321 million, and hmm, I'm not sure if I should raise it so much yet. This coming weekend will really show what happens but right now, I will tentatively raise my prediction to 353 million, but I wouldn't be suprised if it falls short. Unlike some people here, I think the openers this weekend can do some massive damage. Think what Bruce Almighty did to poor Reloaded, I say at least Madagascar and Longest Yard combined can beat Bruce's opening gross :wink:



I don't think Bruce had much of a say in Reloaded's implosion. It was the horrible WOM that slaughtered the film.


I like to use big, violent words :razz:

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Wed May 25, 2005 6:16 pm
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Madagascar and Yard are not doing that well in early reviews. i don't see them breaking into top place this week, but it's going to be close. Sith will take first, Madagascar will get the counter-programming boost to second (prolly within 10 million of Sith) and Yard will round out to the top 3 (within 10 million of Madagascar). This will be the weekend Monster-in_law might suffer because women will take kiddies to the family friendly Madagascar. This will also be Sith's last week ontop. I expect it to fall pretty quickly, the following two weekends afterwards. Especially by the time Batman comes out.


Wed May 25, 2005 6:24 pm
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deathawk wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Ah, just to put my own two cents into it, ROTS still won't come close to ROTK worldwide ;)


Most likely true, but it does come down to how well it plays in Japan. It is not utterly outisde the realm of possiblity for it to throw up a 200+ figure there.


And DOUBLE TPM's gross? Highly doubtful.

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Wed May 25, 2005 6:35 pm
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JMorphin wrote:
OK, my prediction of ROTS was 321 million, and hmm, I'm not sure if I should raise it so much yet. This coming weekend will really show what happens but right now, I will tentatively raise my prediction to 353 million, but I wouldn't be suprised if it falls short. Unlike some people here, I think the openers this weekend can do some massive damage. Think what Bruce Almighty did to poor Reloaded, I say at least Madagascar and Longest Yard combined can beat Bruce's opening gross :wink:


Once again, remember what Day After Tomorrow did to Shrek 2...NOTHING. They both opened at 70+ million.

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Wed May 25, 2005 6:51 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
deathawk wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Ah, just to put my own two cents into it, ROTS still won't come close to ROTK worldwide ;)


Most likely true, but it does come down to how well it plays in Japan. It is not utterly outisde the realm of possiblity for it to throw up a 200+ figure there.


And DOUBLE TPM's gross? Highly doubtful.

Not saying its likely, just saying its possible. Course the exchange rate changes work against it. Or do they work for it which would help. Now I've confused myself. My point is simply the theme may resonate to a degree that allows for it.


Wed May 25, 2005 6:55 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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In the name of all the Star Wars haters and bad predictors on this site, I wanna say I am truly dissappointed to see our name being used for insulting others. MG Casey is not one of us, but we are many, and that´s ok.

Repeat with me... I am a Star Wars hater and a bad predictor and I am proud of it!!!!! :wink:

Seriously... everybody is biased in its own way most of the time. And wether a hater or a fanboy, you are actually two sides of the same coin, so... If we discredit people for being "haters", we should discredit the fanboys as well, and then, nobody would be allowed to predict, specially this big franchise films.

That said: Sith final $360... But I hope is less... Die SW!!!! :razz:

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Last edited by dar on Wed May 25, 2005 8:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed May 25, 2005 7:30 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Moviebuf wrote:
JMorphin wrote:
OK, my prediction of ROTS was 321 million, and hmm, I'm not sure if I should raise it so much yet. This coming weekend will really show what happens but right now, I will tentatively raise my prediction to 353 million, but I wouldn't be suprised if it falls short. Unlike some people here, I think the openers this weekend can do some massive damage. Think what Bruce Almighty did to poor Reloaded, I say at least Madagascar and Longest Yard combined can beat Bruce's opening gross :wink:


Once again, remember what Day After Tomorrow did to Shrek 2...NOTHING. They both opened at 70+ million.


Do you honestly think a weekend like last year is going to be repeated just like that? No, I don't think so. Remember we have two big openers this time, and ROTS doesn't have the kid appeal that Shrek 2 had, especially with the darker mood and PG-13 rating. Madagascar can definitely do SOMETHING to ROTS. Don't expect some crazy 11% drop for ROTS like Shrek 2 did. I say an under 50% drop is still achievable, but the competition will be fierce this time around. Madagascar will take some of ROTS's kiddie audience, and The Longest Yard will take some of ROTS's teen audience. You can't deny that. The Day After Tomorrow was aiming at a completely different demographic from Shrek 2. That's why it did so well. A wide appeal movie can very well destroy a fanboy movie, but I'm giving ROTS the benefit of the doubt and having it drop ONLY 50%. It's still gonna be a huge weekend, and still possibly close to a recordbreaker:

Madagascar - 60~70 million 3-day / 75~90 million 4-day
ROTS - 60~70 million 3-day / 75~90 million 4-day
Longest Yard - 30~40 million 3-day / 40~55 million 4-day

Top 3 combined can be 150~180 3-day / 190~235 million 4-day

Add the rest of the top 12 and last year's record can be history! :wink:

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Wed May 25, 2005 7:44 pm
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deathawk wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
deathawk wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Ah, just to put my own two cents into it, ROTS still won't come close to ROTK worldwide ;)


Most likely true, but it does come down to how well it plays in Japan. It is not utterly outisde the realm of possiblity for it to throw up a 200+ figure there.


And DOUBLE TPM's gross? Highly doubtful.

Not saying its likely, just saying its possible. Course the exchange rate changes work against it. Or do they work for it which would help. Now I've confused myself. My point is simply the theme may resonate to a degree that allows for it.


The exchange rate works for it, definitely. Still, I'd say $130 million is the ceiling for ROTS in Japan.

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