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 Tuesday Numbers 
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Horror Hound
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Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
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Good for HOUSE OF WAX again. down 30% from last tuesday. Should fall 20% on wednesday, then 10% on thursday. Raising the total passed $28,000,000. And hopefully after Monday it will have passed by $30,000,000. Maybe for a $32,000,000 total.

Not bad at all.

Ucht, well someones gotta give the other movies some attention! :P


Ps. Massive amount for Star Wars...christ.


Wed May 25, 2005 3:45 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Hehe, guys, don't use Shrek 2. It's such a bad comparison considering it's a pure kids film.

Attack of the Clones (and even Reloaded) are the best comparisons.


Wed May 25, 2005 3:45 pm
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My weekday predictions:

Wed: $8.71 (-12%)
Thur: $8.19 (-6%)
Fri: $15.4 (+88%)
Sat: $19.4 (+26%)
Sun: $17.08 (-12%)
Mon: $13.15 (-23%)

3Day: $51.88
4Day: $65.00

That still wouldn't be absolutely horrid...


Wed May 25, 2005 3:46 pm
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Angels & Demons

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 6:44 pm
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Ugh give me a break...Madagascar and Longest Yard are not going to do that well. Both look pretty shitty, and are getting terrible reviews, people are not going to show up in huge numbers for those films.

And even if they do, on memorial day weekend it means nothing. There is plenty of room for all. Shrek 2 and Day After Tomorrow both grossed over 70 million last year remember.

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Wed May 25, 2005 3:46 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
jb007 wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
Ooh... it seems like a big drop for ROTS. I'm sure most people were expecting over $10 million. I expect a 10%+ drop for Wednesday and 5%+ drop for Thursday if it is really frontloaded like I suspect.


You and DP sound very silly and have lost all credibilty regarding BO prediction.

What if that does happen? Then you will be the silly one!

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Just like this silly cat!


You predicted $247M. It will do it by Sunday. DP predicted 280 before changing it and that will be done before third weekend starts.

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Wed May 25, 2005 3:47 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
So you can expect it to look at it like this:

Wednesday- 8.7
Thursday- 8.5
Friday- 17.2
Sat- 24
Sunday- 21.5
Monday- 15.7

Tuesday- 5.1
Wednesday- 4.5
Thurs- 4.5
Friday- 7.6

Total of about 278 mill by Monday. This will surpass 300 mill by Friday of next week. Then it has the rest of the summer to cruise to 100 mill more. It will make it for sure.


I'd say more like:

Wednesday - $8.5 million
Thursday - $7.95 million
Friday - $14.6 million

I don't like going day-by-day, so I just predict a weekend mutliplier of around 3.75 from then on (3-day) leading to a weekend slightly under $55 million.


So you are thinking that the film will do 14.6 on Friday, then increase by about 50% to about 22 mill and then decrease by about 30% on Sunday? This goes against everyhting Clones did. This film is laready tracking ahead of Clones. I just don't ssee it Doc.

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Wed May 25, 2005 3:48 pm
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ooh, i wasnt expecting that big of a drop!, but its still doing good!


Wed May 25, 2005 3:52 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Lecter, it won't drop that much on Sunday. All movies drop very low on Sunday. About 10-12% for Sith on Sunday.


Wed May 25, 2005 3:52 pm
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You must have big rats
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baumer72 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
So you can expect it to look at it like this:

Wednesday- 8.7
Thursday- 8.5
Friday- 17.2
Sat- 24
Sunday- 21.5
Monday- 15.7

Tuesday- 5.1
Wednesday- 4.5
Thurs- 4.5
Friday- 7.6

Total of about 278 mill by Monday. This will surpass 300 mill by Friday of next week. Then it has the rest of the summer to cruise to 100 mill more. It will make it for sure.


I'd say more like:

Wednesday - $8.5 million
Thursday - $7.95 million
Friday - $14.6 million

I don't like going day-by-day, so I just predict a weekend mutliplier of around 3.75 from then on (3-day) leading to a weekend slightly under $55 million.


So you are thinking that the film will do 14.6 on Friday, then increase by about 50% to about 22 mill and then decrease by about 30% on Sunday? This goes against everyhting Clones did. This film is laready tracking ahead of Clones. I just don't ssee it Doc.


No, I told you, I never go by day-day numbers, I go by multipliers and I don't see where the problem is, as I am giving it even a higher multiplier than you do in your prediction. Your weekend multiplier is around 3.65, mine is 3.73.

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Wed May 25, 2005 3:53 pm
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jb007 wrote:
You predicted $247M. It will do it by Sunday. DP predicted 280 before changing it and that will be done before third weekend starts.

I actually changed mine to $285 million before it was released. I do expect it to pass that by a lot. I'm saying it won't cross $350 million now.


Wed May 25, 2005 3:54 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
Lecter, it won't drop that much on Sunday. All movies drop very low on Sunday. About 10-12% for Sith on Sunday.


Argh, I haven't even predicted a Sunday drop, where do you all guys see my predicted Sunday drop?!

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Wed May 25, 2005 3:54 pm
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Here's what it will do if it follows AOTC's performance, exactly:


Day 6 $9,907,771 / $182,710,278
Day 7 $8,619,761 / $191,330,039
Day 8 $8,447,366 / $199,777,404
Day 9 $16,810,257 / $216,587,662
Day 10 $24,374,873 / $240,962,535
Day 11 $21,693,637 / $262,656,172
Day 12 $15,836,355 / $278,492,528
Day 13 $4,592,543 / $283,085,071
Day 14 $4,133,289 / $287,218,359
Day 15 $4,215,954 / $291,434,314
Day 16 $6,914,165 / $298,348,479
Day 17 $11,823,223 / $310,171,702
Day 18 $8,394,488 / $318,566,190
Day 19 $2,854,126 / $321,420,316
Day 20 $2,939,750 / $324,360,066
Day 21 $2,704,570 / $327,064,635
Day 22 $2,785,707 / $329,850,342
Day 23 $5,014,272 / $334,864,615
Day 24 $7,320,838 / $342,185,452
Day 25 $5,637,045 / $347,822,497
Day 26 $1,916,595 / $349,739,093
Day 27 $2,146,587 / $351,885,679
Day 28 $1,931,928 / $353,817,607
Day 29 $2,028,524 / $355,846,132
Day 30 $3,103,642 / $358,949,774
Day 31 $4,779,609 / $363,729,384
Day 32 $4,253,852 / $367,983,236
Day 33 $1,276,156 / $369,259,392
Day 34 $1,301,679 / $370,561,070
Day 35 $1,210,561 / $371,771,632
Day 36 $1,162,139 / $372,933,770
Day 37 $1,754,830 / $374,688,600
Day 38 $2,649,793 / $377,338,393
Day 39 $2,066,838 / $379,405,231
Day 40 $826,735 / $380,231,967
Day 41 $876,339 / $381,108,306
Day 42 $858,813 / $381,967,119
Day 43 $875,989 / $382,843,108
Day 44 $1,226,384 / $384,069,492
Day 45 $1,815,049 / $385,884,541
Day 46 $1,524,641 / $387,409,182
Day 47 $808,060 / $388,217,242
Day 48 $767,657 / $388,984,899
Day 49 $767,657 / $389,752,556
Day 50 $844,423 / $390,596,978
Day 51 $1,030,195 / $391,627,174
Day 52 $1,112,611 / $392,739,785
Day 53 $890,089 / $393,629,874
Day 54 $356,036 / $393,985,909
Day 55 $405,881 / $394,391,790
Day 56 $385,587 / $394,777,377
Day 57 $397,154 / $395,174,531
Day 58 $420,983 / $395,595,514
Day 59 $656,734 / $396,252,248
Day 60 $518,820 / $396,771,068
Day 61 $223,093 / $396,994,160
Day 62 $254,326 / $397,248,486
Day 63 $236,523 / $397,485,009
Day 64 $255,445 / $397,740,453
Day 65 $352,513 / $398,092,967
Day 66 $507,619 / $398,600,586
Day 67 $406,096 / $399,006,682
Day 68 $178,682 / $399,185,364
Day 69 $194,763 / $399,380,127
Day 70 $175,287 / $399,555,414
Day 71 $168,276 / $399,723,690
Day 72 $257,462 / $399,981,151
Day 73 $388,767 / $400,369,918
Day 74 $299,351 / $400,669,269
Day 75 $137,701 / $400,806,970
Day 76 $159,734 / $400,966,704
Day 77 $153,344 / $401,120,048
Day 78 $159,478 / $401,279,526
Day 79 $207,321 / $401,486,847
Day 80 $298,543 / $401,785,390
Day 81 $250,776 / $402,036,166
Day 82 $135,419 / $402,171,585
Day 83 $127,294 / $402,298,879
Day 84 $104,381 / $402,403,260
Day 85 $105,425 / $402,508,684
Day 86 $119,130 / $402,627,814
Day 87 $171,547 / $402,799,361
Day 88 $126,945 / $402,926,306
Day 89 $63,472 / $402,989,779
Day 90 $74,263 / $403,064,042
Day 91 $72,778 / $403,136,819
Day 92 $72,050 / $403,208,869
Day 93 $118,882 / $403,327,751
Day 94 $168,813 / $403,496,563
Day 95 $113,104 / $403,609,668
Day 96 $61,076 / $403,670,744
Day 97 $65,352 / $403,736,096
Day 98 $55,549 / $403,791,645
Day 99 $62,770 / $403,854,415
Day 100 $111,103 / $403,965,519
Day 101 $167,766 / $404,133,285
Day 102 $105,693 / $404,238,978
Day 103 $49,676 / $404,288,653
Day 104 $55,140 / $404,343,793
Day 105 $46,318 / $404,390,111
Day 106 $52,802 / $404,442,913
Day 107 $140,981 / $404,583,894
Day 108 $212,882 / $404,796,775
Day 109 $223,526 / $405,020,301
Day 110 $138,586 / $405,158,887
Day 111 $51,277 / $405,210,164
Day 112 $30,766 / $405,240,930
Day 113 $39,381 / $405,280,311
Day 114 $121,292 / $405,401,603
Day 115 $212,261 / $405,613,864
Day 116 $108,253 / $405,722,118
Day 117 $27,063 / $405,749,181
Day 118 $37,889 / $405,787,070
Day 119 $31,826 / $405,818,896
Day 120 $25,461 / $405,844,357
Day 121 $89,623 / $405,933,981
Day 122 $147,879 / $406,081,859
Day 123 $90,206 / $406,172,065
Day 124 $20,747 / $406,192,812
Day 125 $26,557 / $406,219,369
Day 126 $23,635 / $406,243,004
Day 127 $19,381 / $406,262,385
Day 128 $65,120 / $406,327,506
Day 129 $110,704 / $406,438,210
Day 130 $52,031 / $406,490,241
Day 131 $15,609 / $406,505,850
Day 132 $17,951 / $406,523,801
Day 133 $13,643 / $406,537,444
Day 134 $13,097 / $406,550,541
Day 135 $36,802 / $406,587,343
Day 136 $60,355 / $406,647,698
Day 137 $33,196 / $406,680,894
Day 138 $11,950 / $406,692,844
Day 139 $9,082 / $406,701,926
Day 140 $8,628 / $406,710,555
Day 141 $8,542 / $406,719,096
Day 142 $29,384 / $406,748,481
Day 143 $46,133 / $406,794,614
Day 144 $26,296 / $406,820,909
Day 145 $8,678 / $406,829,587
Day 146 $8,504 / $406,838,091
Day 147 $8,419 / $406,846,510
Day 148 $7,914 / $406,854,424
Day 149 $13,295 / $406,867,719
Day 150 $23,001 / $406,890,720


If its drops are just 99% of AOTC's:

Day 6 $9,907,771 / $182,710,278
Day 7 $8,533,563 / $191,243,841
Day 8 $8,279,263 / $199,523,104
Day 9 $16,310,976 / $215,834,080
Day 10 $23,414,406 / $239,248,486
Day 11 $20,630,433 / $259,878,919
Day 12 $14,909,614 / $274,788,533
Day 13 $4,280,550 / $279,069,084
Day 14 $3,813,970 / $282,883,054
Day 15 $3,851,347 / $286,734,401
Day 16 $6,253,047 / $292,987,448
Day 17 $10,585,784 / $303,573,232
Day 18 $7,440,747 / $311,013,979
Day 19 $2,504,556 / $313,518,535
Day 20 $2,553,895 / $316,072,430
Day 21 $2,326,088 / $318,398,518
Day 22 $2,371,912 / $320,770,429
Day 23 $4,226,747 / $324,997,176
Day 24 $6,109,340 / $331,106,516
Day 25 $4,657,150 / $335,763,666
Day 26 $1,567,597 / $337,331,262
Day 27 $1,738,151 / $339,069,413
Day 28 $1,548,693 / $340,618,106
Day 29 $1,609,866 / $342,227,972
Day 30 $2,438,464 / $344,666,436
Day 31 $3,717,682 / $348,384,118
Day 32 $3,275,650 / $351,659,768
Day 33 $972,868 / $352,632,636
Day 34 $982,402 / $353,615,038
Day 35 $904,498 / $354,519,536
Day 36 $859,635 / $355,379,170
Day 37 $1,285,068 / $356,664,238
Day 38 $1,921,048 / $358,585,286
Day 39 $1,483,433 / $360,068,718
Day 40 $587,439 / $360,656,158
Day 41 $616,459 / $361,272,617
Day 42 $598,088 / $361,870,705
Day 43 $603,950 / $362,474,655
Day 44 $837,074 / $363,311,730
Day 45 $1,226,481 / $364,538,211
Day 46 $1,019,942 / $365,558,153
Day 47 $535,164 / $366,093,316
Day 48 $503,321 / $366,596,638
Day 49 $498,288 / $367,094,926
Day 50 $542,636 / $367,637,561
Day 51 $655,395 / $368,292,957
Day 52 $700,749 / $368,993,706
Day 53 $554,993 / $369,548,699
Day 54 $219,777 / $369,768,476
Day 55 $248,041 / $370,016,517
Day 56 $233,282 / $370,249,799
Day 57 $237,878 / $370,487,677
Day 58 $249,629 / $370,737,306
Day 59 $385,527 / $371,122,833
Day 60 $301,521 / $371,424,353
Day 61 $128,357 / $371,552,711
Day 62 $144,864 / $371,697,575
Day 63 $133,376 / $371,830,951
Day 64 $142,606 / $371,973,557
Day 65 $194,828 / $372,168,386
Day 66 $277,747 / $372,446,133
Day 67 $219,976 / $372,666,109
Day 68 $95,821 / $372,761,930
Day 69 $103,401 / $372,865,331
Day 70 $92,130 / $372,957,461
Day 71 $87,561 / $373,045,022
Day 72 $132,628 / $373,177,650
Day 73 $198,266 / $373,375,916
Day 74 $151,138 / $373,527,054
Day 75 $68,828 / $373,595,882
Day 76 $79,042 / $373,674,924
Day 77 $75,122 / $373,750,046
Day 78 $77,345 / $373,827,391
Day 79 $99,544 / $373,926,935
Day 80 $141,909 / $374,068,844
Day 81 $118,012 / $374,186,856
Day 82 $63,089 / $374,249,945
Day 83 $58,711 / $374,308,656
Day 84 $47,661 / $374,356,317
Day 85 $47,657 / $374,403,974
Day 86 $53,313 / $374,457,287
Day 87 $76,004 / $374,533,291
Day 88 $55,680 / $374,588,971
Day 89 $27,562 / $374,616,533
Day 90 $31,925 / $374,648,458
Day 91 $30,973 / $374,679,431
Day 92 $30,357 / $374,709,788
Day 93 $49,588 / $374,759,376
Day 94 $69,711 / $374,829,087
Day 95 $46,239 / $374,875,327
Day 96 $24,720 / $374,900,046
Day 97 $26,185 / $374,926,232
Day 98 $22,035 / $374,948,267
Day 99 $24,651 / $374,972,917
Day 100 $43,195 / $375,016,113







And 98% of AOTC's drops:

Day 6 $9,907,771 / $182,710,278
Day 7 $8,447,366 / $191,157,644
Day 8 $8,112,850 / $199,270,493
Day 9 $15,821,680 / $215,092,173
Day 10 $22,482,607 / $237,574,780
Day 11 $19,609,330 / $257,184,110
Day 12 $14,028,515 / $271,212,625
Day 13 $3,986,904 / $275,199,529
Day 14 $3,516,449 / $278,715,978
Day 15 $3,515,043 / $282,231,020
Day 16 $5,649,376 / $287,880,397
Day 17 $9,467,225 / $297,347,622
Day 18 $6,587,295 / $303,934,917
Day 19 $2,194,887 / $306,129,804
Day 20 $2,215,519 / $308,345,323
Day 21 $1,997,512 / $310,342,834
Day 22 $2,016,288 / $312,359,123
Day 23 $3,556,733 / $315,915,855
Day 24 $5,088,973 / $321,004,828
Day 25 $3,840,139 / $324,844,967
Day 26 $1,279,534 / $326,124,501
Day 27 $1,404,417 / $327,528,918
Day 28 $1,238,696 / $328,767,614
Day 29 $1,274,618 / $330,042,232
Day 30 $1,911,162 / $331,953,394
Day 31 $2,884,326 / $334,837,719
Day 32 $2,515,709 / $337,353,428
Day 33 $739,618 / $338,093,046
Day 34 $739,323 / $338,832,369
Day 35 $673,819 / $339,506,188
Day 36 $633,929 / $340,140,116
Day 37 $938,087 / $341,078,204
Day 38 $1,388,182 / $342,466,385
Day 39 $1,061,126 / $343,527,511
Day 40 $415,961 / $343,943,473
Day 41 $432,101 / $344,375,574
Day 42 $414,990 / $344,790,563
Day 43 $414,824 / $345,205,387
Day 44 $569,138 / $345,774,525
Day 45 $825,478 / $346,600,002
Day 46 $679,533 / $347,279,536
Day 47 $352,950 / $347,632,485
Day 48 $328,596 / $347,961,081
Day 49 $322,024 / $348,283,105
Day 50 $347,142 / $348,630,247
Day 51 $415,043 / $349,045,290
Day 52 $439,281 / $349,484,572
Day 53 $344,397 / $349,828,968
Day 54 $135,003 / $349,963,972
Day 55 $150,826 / $350,114,798
Day 56 $140,419 / $350,255,217
Day 57 $141,739 / $350,396,955
Day 58 $147,238 / $350,544,194
Day 59 $225,098 / $350,769,292
Day 60 $174,271 / $350,943,563
Day 61 $73,438 / $351,017,000
Day 62 $82,045 / $351,099,045
Day 63 $74,775 / $351,173,820
Day 64 $79,142 / $351,252,963
Day 65 $107,032 / $351,359,995
Day 66 $151,044 / $351,511,039
Day 67 $118,418 / $351,629,457
Day 68 $51,062 / $351,680,519
Day 69 $54,544 / $351,735,063
Day 70 $48,108 / $351,783,171
Day 71 $45,260 / $351,828,432
Day 72 $67,863 / $351,896,295
Day 73 $100,424 / $351,996,718
Day 74 $75,780 / $352,072,498
Day 75 $34,162 / $352,106,660
Day 76 $38,835 / $352,145,495
Day 77 $36,536 / $352,182,030
Day 78 $37,237 / $352,219,268
Day 79 $47,440 / $352,266,708
Day 80 $66,948 / $352,333,656
Day 81 $55,111 / $352,388,767
Day 82 $29,165 / $352,417,932
Day 83 $26,867 / $352,444,799
Day 84 $21,590 / $352,466,389
Day 85 $21,370 / $352,487,759
Day 86 $23,665 / $352,511,424
Day 87 $33,396 / $352,544,820
Day 88 $24,219 / $352,569,039
Day 89 $11,867 / $352,580,906
Day 90 $13,607 / $352,594,513
Day 91 $13,068 / $352,607,581
Day 92 $12,679 / $352,620,260
Day 93 $20,501 / $352,640,761
Day 94 $28,530 / $352,669,291
Day 95 $18,733 / $352,688,024
Day 96 $9,913 / $352,697,937
Day 97 $10,395 / $352,708,332
Day 98 $8,659 / $352,716,991
Day 99 $9,589 / $352,726,581
Day 100 $16,633 / $352,743,214


97.5%:

Day 6 $9,907,771 / $182,710,278
Day 7 $8,404,267 / $191,114,545
Day 8 $8,030,277 / $199,144,822
Day 9 $15,580,745 / $214,725,566
Day 10 $22,027,278 / $236,752,844
Day 11 $19,114,170 / $255,867,015
Day 12 $13,604,511 / $269,471,525
Day 13 $3,846,675 / $273,318,201
Day 14 $3,375,458 / $276,693,658
Day 15 $3,356,893 / $280,050,551
Day 16 $5,367,671 / $285,418,222
Day 17 $8,949,250 / $294,367,472
Day 18 $6,195,118 / $300,562,591
Day 19 $2,053,682 / $302,616,273
Day 20 $2,062,410 / $304,678,682
Day 21 $1,849,982 / $306,528,664
Day 22 $1,857,844 / $308,386,508
Day 23 $3,260,516 / $311,647,025
Day 24 $4,641,345 / $316,288,370
Day 25 $3,484,490 / $319,772,859
Day 26 $1,155,108 / $320,927,968
Day 27 $1,261,378 / $322,189,346
Day 28 $1,106,859 / $323,296,206
Day 29 $1,133,147 / $324,429,353
Day 30 $1,690,373 / $326,119,726
Day 31 $2,538,095 / $328,657,820
Day 32 $2,202,432 / $330,860,252
Day 33 $644,211 / $331,504,463
Day 34 $640,668 / $332,145,131
Day 35 $580,926 / $332,726,057
Day 36 $543,747 / $333,269,803
Day 37 $800,531 / $334,070,334
Day 38 $1,178,581 / $335,248,916
Day 39 $896,311 / $336,145,227
Day 40 $349,561 / $336,494,788
Day 41 $361,272 / $336,856,060
Day 42 $345,195 / $337,201,255
Day 43 $343,297 / $337,544,551
Day 44 $468,600 / $338,013,151
Day 45 $676,189 / $338,689,341
Day 46 $553,799 / $339,243,140
Day 47 $286,176 / $339,529,316
Day 48 $265,070 / $339,794,386
Day 49 $258,443 / $340,052,829
Day 50 $277,181 / $340,330,010
Day 51 $329,706 / $340,659,716
Day 52 $347,181 / $341,006,897
Day 53 $270,801 / $341,277,698
Day 54 $105,612 / $341,383,311
Day 55 $117,388 / $341,500,699
Day 56 $108,731 / $341,609,430
Day 57 $109,193 / $341,718,622
Day 58 $112,851 / $341,831,473
Day 59 $171,646 / $342,003,120
Day 60 $132,210 / $342,135,330
Day 61 $55,429 / $342,190,759
Day 62 $61,610 / $342,252,369
Day 63 $55,865 / $342,308,233
Day 64 $58,825 / $342,367,059
Day 65 $79,149 / $342,446,208
Day 66 $111,126 / $342,557,334
Day 67 $86,678 / $342,644,012
Day 68 $37,185 / $342,681,197
Day 69 $39,518 / $342,720,715
Day 70 $34,677 / $342,755,393
Day 71 $32,458 / $342,787,851
Day 72 $48,419 / $342,836,270
Day 73 $71,285 / $342,907,555
Day 74 $53,517 / $342,961,072
Day 75 $24,003 / $342,985,075
Day 76 $27,147 / $343,012,222
Day 77 $25,409 / $343,037,631
Day 78 $25,765 / $343,063,396
Day 79 $32,657 / $343,096,053
Day 80 $45,851 / $343,141,904
Day 81 $37,552 / $343,179,456
Day 82 $19,771 / $343,199,227
Day 83 $18,120 / $343,217,348
Day 84 $14,487 / $343,231,835
Day 85 $14,266 / $343,246,101
Day 86 $15,718 / $343,261,819
Day 87 $22,068 / $343,283,886
Day 88 $15,922 / $343,299,808
Day 89 $7,762 / $343,307,570
Day 90 $8,854 / $343,316,424
Day 91 $8,460 / $343,324,885
Day 92 $8,166 / $343,333,051
Day 93 $13,138 / $343,346,189
Day 94 $18,189 / $343,364,378
Day 95 $11,882 / $343,376,260
Day 96 $6,256 / $343,382,516
Day 97 $6,526 / $343,389,042
Day 98 $5,409 / $343,394,451
Day 99 $5,959 / $343,400,410
Day 100 $10,284 / $343,410,694


97%:

6 $9,907,771 / $182,710,278
7 $8,361,168 / $191,071,446
8 $7,948,126 / $199,019,572
9 $15,342,268 / $214,361,840
10 $21,578,900 / $235,940,740
11 $18,629,064 / $254,569,805
12 $13,191,241 / $267,761,045
13 $3,710,696 / $271,471,741
14 $3,239,438 / $274,711,179
15 $3,205,100 / $277,916,278
16 $5,098,672 / $283,014,951
17 $8,457,168 / $291,472,119
18 $5,824,451 / $297,296,570
19 $1,920,904 / $299,217,474
20 $1,919,175 / $301,136,649
21 $1,712,672 / $302,849,321
22 $1,711,131 / $304,560,452
23 $2,987,634 / $307,548,086
24 $4,231,087 / $311,779,173
25 $3,160,199 / $314,939,373
26 $1,042,234 / $315,981,606
27 $1,132,283 / $317,113,889
28 $988,483 / $318,102,372
29 $1,006,770 / $319,109,141
30 $1,494,147 / $320,603,288
31 $2,231,957 / $322,835,245
32 $1,926,848 / $324,762,093
33 $560,713 / $325,322,806
34 $554,769 / $325,877,575
35 $500,457 / $326,378,033
36 $466,026 / $326,844,059
37 $682,588 / $327,526,647
38 $999,787 / $328,526,433
39 $756,439 / $329,282,872
40 $293,498 / $329,576,370
41 $301,775 / $329,878,145
42 $286,867 / $330,165,012
43 $283,826 / $330,448,839
44 $385,436 / $330,834,275
45 $553,332 / $331,387,607
46 $450,855 / $331,838,462
47 $231,785 / $332,070,247
48 $213,590 / $332,283,837
49 $207,182 / $332,491,018
50 $221,063 / $332,712,082
51 $261,606 / $332,973,688
52 $274,058 / $333,247,746
53 $212,669 / $333,460,415
54 $82,516 / $333,542,931
55 $91,246 / $333,634,177
56 $84,083 / $333,718,260
57 $84,007 / $333,802,267
58 $86,376 / $333,888,644
59 $130,705 / $334,019,349
60 $100,159 / $334,119,508
61 $41,776 / $334,161,284
62 $46,196 / $334,207,480
63 $41,674 / $334,249,154
64 $43,657 / $334,292,811
65 $58,440 / $334,351,251
66 $81,629 / $334,432,879
67 $63,344 / $334,496,223
68 $27,035 / $334,523,258
69 $28,584 / $334,551,843
70 $24,954 / $334,576,797
71 $23,237 / $334,600,034
72 $34,486 / $334,634,520
73 $50,512 / $334,685,032
74 $37,728 / $334,722,760
75 $16,834 / $334,739,594
76 $18,942 / $334,758,536
77 $17,638 / $334,776,174
78 $17,794 / $334,793,968
79 $22,438 / $334,816,405
80 $31,341 / $334,847,747
81 $25,537 / $334,873,283
82 $13,376 / $334,886,659
83 $12,196 / $334,898,856
84 $9,701 / $334,908,557
85 $9,504 / $334,918,061
86 $10,417 / $334,928,478
87 $14,551 / $334,943,029
88 $10,445 / $334,953,474
89 $5,066 / $334,958,540
90 $5,749 / $334,964,289
91 $5,465 / $334,969,754
92 $5,248 / $334,975,002
93 $8,400 / $334,983,402
94 $11,570 / $334,994,971
95 $7,519 / $335,002,490
96 $3,938 / $335,006,429
97 $4,088 / $335,010,516
98 $3,370 / $335,013,887
99 $3,694 / $335,017,581
100 $6,343 / $335,023,924


If the film deviates from AOTC's performance even by a seemingly small amount, it will have considerably different grosses, as you can see.

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Wed May 25, 2005 3:59 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
jb007 wrote:
You predicted $247M. It will do it by Sunday. DP predicted 280 before changing it and that will be done before third weekend starts.

I actually changed mine to $285 million before it was released. I do expect it to pass that by a lot. I'm saying it won't cross $350 million now.


After this weekend it will be, it won't cross $400M. It is your third prediction already and probably will have a couple more.

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:02 pm
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I am sticking with what I stuck all the way. This movie won't cross $400 million, unless there is a significant studio pus. I see it topping out at around $390 million.

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:04 pm
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I love it when people state the obvious and expect to pick up some kind of credibility for doing so.
Give the dog a bone huh :D

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:07 pm
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jb007 wrote:
After this weekend it will be, it won't cross $400M. It is your third prediction already and probably will have a couple more.

:cry: So much hate!


Wed May 25, 2005 4:09 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
jb007 wrote:
After this weekend it will be, it won't cross $400M. It is your third prediction already and probably will have a couple more.

:cry: So much hate!


I'm just stating the facts, unless you deny making predictions of 247, 285, now less than 350.

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:13 pm
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jb007 wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
jb007 wrote:
After this weekend it will be, it won't cross $400M. It is your third prediction already and probably will have a couple more.

:cry: So much hate!


I'm just stating the facts, unless you deny making predictions of 247, 285, now less than 350.

The 247 and 285 were before it was ever released. The 247 I made two months before it came out, and the good ads made me raise it to 285. Is it illegal to do that? :-k


Wed May 25, 2005 4:15 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
jb007 wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
jb007 wrote:
After this weekend it will be, it won't cross $400M. It is your third prediction already and probably will have a couple more.

:cry: So much hate!


I'm just stating the facts, unless you deny making predictions of 247, 285, now less than 350.

The 247 and 285 were before it was ever released. The 247 I made two months before it came out, and the good ads made me raise it to 285. Is it illegal to do that? :-k


Not illegal. Just shows how bad your predictions for ROTS are, since they were based on personal dislike rather than any coherent analysis.

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:20 pm
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jb007 wrote:
Not illegal. Just shows how bad your predictions for ROTS are, since they were based on personal dislike rather than any coherent analysis.


Yes, indeed. I actually wasn't surprised that he nitpicked the movie, either, considering that he was always trying to drag it's success chances down. MG Casey, all I can say is, that I won't be looking to you as a credible source for predictions, because you project your personal opinion on the masses and throw out logic and reason in the process. When you stop doing that, I'll take you more seriously.


Wed May 25, 2005 4:26 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
jb007 wrote:
After this weekend it will be, it won't cross $400M. It is your third prediction already and probably will have a couple more.

:cry: So much hate!


:lol: don't sweat the small stuff.

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:34 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Not illegal. Just shows how bad your predictions for ROTS are, since they were based on personal dislike rather than any coherent analysis.


Yes, indeed. I actually wasn't surprised that he nitpicked the movie, either, considering that he was always trying to drag it's success chances down. MG Casey, all I can say is, that I won't be looking to you as a credible source for predictions, because you project your personal opinion on the masses and throw out logic and reason in the process. When you stop doing that, I'll take you more seriously.


MG Casey may get some things wrong, but everyone does. And don't bother trying to tell me some of your predictions aren't influenced by personal opinion, because you've made terrible predictions before with films, when letting your dislike for the film interfere. As have I, and I'm sure most people. MG Casey is easily one of the better predictors on this site, so he's doing something right.

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:34 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Not illegal. Just shows how bad your predictions for ROTS are, since they were based on personal dislike rather than any coherent analysis.


Yes, indeed. I actually wasn't surprised that he nitpicked the movie, either, considering that he was always trying to drag it's success chances down. MG Casey, all I can say is, that I won't be looking to you as a credible source for predictions, because you project your personal opinion on the masses and throw out logic and reason in the process. When you stop doing that, I'll take you more seriously.


I did the same thing for TTT. You can't let your personal feelings get in the way of common sense. The numbers are there to who that this film is going to be massive, well, already is. But to say that it will top out at 340 mill is just funny.

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Wed May 25, 2005 4:38 pm
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MikeQ. wrote:
MG Casey may get some things wrong, but everyone does. And don't bother trying to tell me some of your predictions aren't influenced by personal opinion, because you've made terrible predictions before with Lord of the Rings or other films, when letting your dislike for the film interfere. MG Casey is easily one of the better predictors on this site, so he's doing something right.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Um...my prediction for ROTK was about $330M. That's hardly terrible. No need running to his defense because you were making foolish statements about Sith's chances all along. This is Star Wars, and LOTR is just not as popular. Sorry, but it's true.


Wed May 25, 2005 4:39 pm
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baumer72 wrote:
I did the same thing for TTT. You can't let your personal feelings get in the way of common sense. The numbers are there to who that this film is going to be massive, well, already is. But to say that it will top out at 340 mill is just funny.


baumer, I never recall you constantly tripping over yourself to berate a movie's chances of success like he has been doing.


Wed May 25, 2005 4:41 pm
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