Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)								Aug 12-18
LW	TW	Title	LW (HKD)	TW (HKD)	Days	% chg	Total (HKD)	LW (USD)	TW (USD)	Total (USD)
--	1	Alien: Romulus	--	$9,218,770	4	--	$9,218,770	--	$1,187,205	$1,187,205
1	2	Deadpool & Wolverine	$6,284,116	$3,021,167	26	-51.9%	$44,991,031	$798,472	$389,069	$5,794,005
4	3	Crayon Shin-chan: Our Dinosaur Diary	$2,236,182	$2,558,763	10	+14.4%	$4,794,945	$287,978	$329,520	$617,499
2	4	Doraemon: Nobita's Earth Symphony	$3,986,568	$2,349,652	18	-41.1%	$11,535,858	$506,541	$302,591	$1,485,603
3	5	Inside Out 2	$2,667,931	$1,596,099	39	-40.2%	$81,721,547	$338,992	$205,547	$10,524,211

Alien: Romulus had a decent opening. It's about $2m HK below Prometheus's opening weekend from 2012 and $3m HK below Alien: Covenant's opening weekend. Word of mouth should carry this to at least 2.5m, maybe 3m. Deadpool & Wolverine had its best hold this weekend. The hold is enough to allow it to gross 6m total. Crayon Shin-chan had an OK hold. We are comparing its first full 7 day week vs. its 3-day opening weekend so the increase is a bit deceptive. It might get to 1m.

Alien: Romulus is headed for around a -60% 2nd weekend drop. Its total will be around 2m in 11 days.

Alien: Romulus performed extremely well this weekend and is now estimated to be around $640,000 (-47%) for its 2nd weekend. A stronger Saturday/Sunday has helped it to close the gap between itself and Prometheus's 2nd weekend. Total after 11 days is around 2.25m US. 2.5m is a lock and 3m is possible.

		Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)								Aug 19-25
LW	TW	Title	LW (HKD)	TW (HKD)	Days	% chg	Total (HKD)	LW (USD)	TW (USD)	Total (USD)
1	1	Alien: Romulus	$9,218,770	$8,238,605	11	-10.6%	$17,457,375	$1,187,205	$1,066,462	$2,259,805
3	2	Crayon Shin-chan: Our Dinosaur Diary	$2,558,763	$1,591,645	17	-37.8%	$6,386,590	$329,520	$206,033	$826,725
2	3	Deadpool & Wolverine	$3,021,167	$1,515,912	33	-49.8%	$46,506,943	$389,069	$196,230	$6,020,185
4	4	Doraemon: Nobita's Earth Symphony	$2,349,652	$1,413,394	25	-39.8%	$12,949,252	$302,591	$182,960	$1,676,242
5	5	Inside Out 2	$1,596,099	$1,075,470	46	-32.6%	$82,797,017	$205,547	$139,216	$10,717,827

Alien: Romulus is going to hit 2.5m at least with 3m in play. 1m seems likely for Crayon Shin-chan. Meanwhile, Deadpool & Wolverine finally passes 6m. There are some discrepancies with Crayon Shin-chan and Deadpool's numbers. The totals above were taken from adding the weekly grosses altogether. Disclaimer: A few weeks ago, I discovered an accounting error for Deadpool's total and corrected it for the last few weeks, however, this week both Deadpool and Crayon Shin-chan has its total gross adjusted down for some reason.

Wait just 2 posts above you said it was going to drop 60% and then 47% and now you are saying it just dropped 10.6% !!!! That is crazy recovery.

The chart is weekly (Mon-Sun), so the drop looks really good since it’s comparing 4 days to 7 days.

The chart is weekly (Mon-Sun), so the drop looks really good since it’s comparing 4 days to 7 days.

That makes more sense.

Ne Zha 2 opens on Saturday (February 22). It will steal 1-2 IMAX showtimes away from Captain America on Saturday and Sunday. Early pre-sales in IMAX is superb. It is about 30-50% full so far with most showings with 4 days to go. In regular theaters that have released early schedules for Ne Zha 2, pre-sales are very good all around with about 10-15% capacity filled with primetime showings. At this rate, theaters will probably add another screen or two to Ne Zha 2 this weekend. It depends on how many screens Ne Zha 2 will get but I believe it can make 1m US this weekend in 2 days if all theaters give it 2 screens or more. If it makes 1m or more this weekend, there's a chance that this can leg its way to 5m US.

Captain America is looking at a drop of 65-75% this weekend with mixed word of mouth, severely decreased pre-sales and Ne Zha taking away some IMAX showings on Saturday/Sunday factors in its major drop.

What a difference one day later makes. Ne Zha 2 has gone from 10-15% capacity filled with peak showtimes to now over 60% filled. IMAX peak showtimes have now reached 80-90% capacity. Fast pre-selling means many theaters have added showtimes on Saturday/Sunday. Most places have given Ne Zha 2 2-3 screens, however, those with more than 6 screens have given Ne Zha 2 at least 4 screens. Some IMAX theaters have given most of their entire day to Ne Zha 2 with no Captain America IMAX showtimes listed.

On Saturday and Sunday, Ne Zha 2 will have more than 700 showings across Hong Kong based off of early weekend schedules. Pricing interestingly remains at regular price at most theaters despite the runtime being longer than 140 minutes. 1m is now locked and it is chasing 1.5-2m for the 2-day weekend.

Every other holdover including Captain America will be sacrificed this weekend.

It hasn't even opened in Hong Kong yet? That's another 200m.

Hah. It does have a slim shot at 200m HK though.

Ne Zha 2 opens with close to 55,000 admissions with 2 IMAX theaters added back into admissions. Ne Zha 2 has taken most of the IMAX showtimes away from Captain America and some locations have dropped Captain America entirely on Saturday. Those that haven't will give the entire IMAX screen to Ne Zha 2 on Monday.

Weekend projections

Ne Zha 2
Saturday: $850,000
Sunday: $875,000/$1,725,000 (2-day opening weekend)

Some theaters have added more showtimes for Ne Zha 2 on Sunday due to previous arrangements with other films. Had Ne Zha 2 gotten approval earlier by a few days, Captain America might have been dropped completely in IMAX on Saturday and Ne Zha 2 might have gotten the biggest screens everywhere. Gross, Ne Zha 2 is bludgeoning the field with strong pre-sales in IMAX and in fast pre-selling regular theaters.

Future outlook

Mon-Wed: $1,100,000
Thurs-Sun: $3,100,000/$5,925,000 (9-day total)

Next weekend, I expect Ne Zha 2 to increase from opening weekend. This could be one of those films that plays strongly for 4-5 weeks with many moviegoers watching it again and again. It is not playing like a regular animation film where 9 PM showings have struggled. 9 PM showings have been doing well so far. Friday should see a sizable increase from Thursday and Saturday's increase should be quite large from Friday as well.

I believe 10m US is a lock right now. 15-20m US depends on how many repeat viewers it gets.

Oh I misread it and thought stuff like Endgame had made 200m US there instead of 200 HK (which would've been impossibly high, I now realize)

Ne Zha 2 opening day - $6,572,837 HK ($828,500 US) including Macau

Ne Zha 2 had a fantastic opening day. Today (Sunday) is looking even better with a lot of sold out shows compared to yesterday so I expect a solid increase today. I'm also factoring in that some theaters increased their showtime count on Sunday after Ne Zha 2's pre-sales performance earlier in the week.

2-day opening weekend estimate - $1,705,000 US

I am still expecting a huge increase for Ne Zha 2 next week. WOM is really good so far.

Captain America 2nd weekend estimate - $275,000 (-78%)/$1,740,000

I hope they release a cantonese-dubbed vesion soon.

They probably will. It's only a matter of time.

MPIA released figures for Ne Zha 2's opening day ($6,018,203 HK, $758,589 US) and with Macau added ($6,674,191 HK, $841,275 US).

Ne Zha 2 has crossed more than 30,000 admissions so far today. Most theaters are in the average range of about 40-50 admissions per showing this afternoon. Some are well above, close to 100 and there are a few outliers with single digit admission showings. It played incredibly well this morning at most places with some theaters having showings over 200 admissions.

February 20 Weekend Actuals

Ne Zha 2 - $12,115,948 HK ($1,527,615 US) (2-day weekend)
Captain America: Brave New World - $3,753,010 HK/$13,701,233 HK ($473,190/$1,727,492 US) (7-day week)

On Ne Zha 2's 2nd weekend, it is looking at $1,480,000 for the 4-day weekend with about a 3.7m total. It really depends on its performance on Saturday/Sunday. Demand seems to be quite high compared with Thursday and Friday. So far, its weekdays have been disappointing.

I'm surprised no where is showing Ne Zha 2 in 3D. They definitely left a lot of money on the table by not showing 3D in my opinion.

February 27 Weekly Actuals

Ne Zha 2 - $17,448,672 HK ($2,230,186 US)/$29,564,620 HK ($3,778,776 US)

Ne Zha 2 won Thursday over Mickey 17 by about $20,000 US. Ne Zha 2 is looking at a 4-day weekend of about $1.05m this weekend to send its total to 5.2m. Meanwhile, Mickey 17 is aiming for about $600,000.

March 6 Weekly Actuals

Ne Zha 2 - $11,171,815 HK (-36.0%) ($1,429,308 US)/$40,736,485 HK ($5,211,777 US)

Decent hold for Ne Zha 2.

March 13 Weekend Estimates

Ne Zha 2 - $660,000/$6,125,000 US

Though Ne Zha 2's weekday holds are nothing home to write about, its weekend holds are another story. Saturday/Sunday were very strong. On Sunday, one theater had multiple showings of over 200 admissions. It flew by 6m on Sunday. 7m should happen within the next 2 weeks.