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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21479 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Fast X weekend
7.5m previews.
Seems like 60-70m is still where it ends up. Don’t see it going below or above
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Fri May 19, 2023 11:04 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6717
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 Re: Fast X weekend
it can definitely slip to high 50s. Yesterday walkups were meh. If that continues it will have high teens true friday and that does not lock 60m. 70m Wont happen for sure. I would say 58-63m range for its OW.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri May 19, 2023 11:21 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19374 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Fast X weekend
$60mish was what I was expecting. If they do somehow manage to do 2 more films I think the drop off could be ugly. They should just do a big finale next film to wrap it up.
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Fri May 19, 2023 12:11 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35206 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Yikes. Not good.
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Fri May 19, 2023 5:42 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23261 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Fast X weekend
publicenemy#1 wrote: $60mish was what I was expecting. If they do somehow manage to do 2 more films I think the drop off could be ugly. They should just do a big finale next film to wrap it up. Yes - they have to close out the series with one more. Not two.
_________________
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http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Fri May 19, 2023 7:03 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68237 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Fast X weekend
MadGez wrote: Yes - they have to close out the series with one more. Do they? Do they really? Couldn't this one be the final one??! Please make it stop 
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri May 19, 2023 7:22 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6717
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Early Deadline numbers https://deadline.com/2023/05/fast-x-box ... 235373030/FX - 27/65 Guardians - 8.2/32.7 Mario - 2.2/9.5
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri May 19, 2023 7:24 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21479 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Would be good numbers all around!
Keep the Guardians sub 50% drops coming!
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Fri May 19, 2023 7:39 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Mario could be at $549M by the end of the weekend and there's a holiday in Canada so Monday should be solid to get it to $550M. Mermaid is coming in but looking like it could at least do $570M+. Likely won't be able to keep up the 25% holds but could get some business May long weekend to help prop up its total.
Fast is disappointing but not unexpected. The global story is really compelling so far so not sure domestic even will matter much in the end. This franchise just keeps printing money.
Great for Guardians. With a solid hold next weekend, setting up for a very respectable total given the underwhelming opening.
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Sat May 20, 2023 1:28 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35206 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Fast X weekend
zwackerm wrote: Keep the Guardians sub 50% drops coming!
It deserves it. I didn't even want to see it but my friend did. I thought it was the best Guardians, and honestly one of the best Marvel movies. I was very surprised. Not that I hated the other two movies in the series. I liked the first and the second was OK. I just didn't think I cared about a third movie. Glad I saw it.
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Sat May 20, 2023 2:21 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68237 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Keyser Söze wrote: Early Deadline numbers
FX - 27/65 That's already been increased to $66 million. By the end of the weekend it'll be $70m. 
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat May 20, 2023 7:50 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13054 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Looks like close to $28m to me...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Sat May 20, 2023 8:18 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23261 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Fast X should be close to $70m and Guardians 35m. Pretty good.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Sat May 20, 2023 9:37 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21479 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Guardians- 8.4m -46%
Awesome hold!
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Sat May 20, 2023 10:14 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19374 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Fast X weekend
I think F10 did enough to where it's not a bad #. And with some people being back for the next one I think it should manage not to fall off with the next one.
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Sat May 20, 2023 11:15 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21479 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Only a hair under F9 is a good number.
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Sat May 20, 2023 11:34 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: Fast X weekend
GOTG3 would only need a 3.55 multiplier from this weekend on out to get to $350M. Lots of competition but it's not impossible. If it gets to $355.24M, it will have achieved something only 7 other MCU movies have done, a 3X multiplier:
Spider-Man: Far from Home $390,532,085 $92,579,212 Jul 2, 2019 4.218356114 Guardians of the Galaxy $333,176,600 $94,320,883 Aug 1, 2014 3.532373631 Black Panther $700,059,566 $202,003,951 Feb 16, 2018 3.465573631 Iron Man $318,604,126 $98,618,668 May 2, 2008 3.230667504 Ant-Man $180,202,163 $57,225,526 Jul 17, 2015 3.148982204 Spider-Man: No Way Home $804,793,477 $260,138,569 Dec 17, 2021 3.09371071 The Avengers $623,357,910 $207,438,708 May 4, 2012 3.005022139
Sad looking at this and seeing how much Ant Man as a franchise turned from being one of the leggy favorites to despised. GOTG is ending on a high note.
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Sat May 20, 2023 12:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35206 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Fast X weekend
zwackerm wrote: Only a hair under F9 is a good number. I think F9 had a bit more subdued opening due to the pandemic. People weren't fully back to the movies yet. So before the poor tracking came in I would have expected Fast X to be closer to Fate of the Furious. If it does hit 70 Million though that's not too terrible.
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Sat May 20, 2023 12:57 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6717
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: Only a hair under F9 is a good number. I think F9 had a bit more subdued opening due to the pandemic. People weren't fully back to the movies yet. So before the poor tracking came in I would have expected Fast X to be closer to Fate of the Furious. If it does hit 70 Million though that's not too terrible. F9 also benefited from being the 1st big opener that summer and by then all seat restrictions were removed. So open marketplace is a big plus but make part of the audience were still hesitant.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat May 20, 2023 1:24 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Inflation aside of course, still crazy that the 11th installment in a franchise is still possibly 70% higher OW than the 1st installment, 39% higher than the 2nd installment and 192% higher than the 3rd installment. How they turned things around from Tokyo Drift (to have almost all 8 movies match or surpass Drift's total box office of $62.5M in their opening weekends 8X in a row) is legacy building in itself for the franchise in Hollywood. That would be the equivalent of us saying Shazam 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10th films will all open to $58M+. 
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Sat May 20, 2023 2:00 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35206 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Evil Dead Rise has held up really well. To think they were going to send this straight to HBO Max. I would love to see it reach 70 Million. But I'm thinking it ends around 67 Million.
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Sat May 20, 2023 2:10 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19374 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Fast X weekend
I think with Gal Gadot and The Rock back F11 may actually increase from this one.
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Sat May 20, 2023 2:55 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21479 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Yeah Evil Dead will sell nearly as many tickets as the 2013 film which adjusts to 70m. Very good.
Hopefully it gets a sequel
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Sat May 20, 2023 3:09 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25205 Location: Classified
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Much like Guardians, this opening looks decent just because of the doomer prerelease expectations. Hopefully it holds as well as the G-Men in the weeks to come. Great drops for the two big films. Lol at Book Club.
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Sat May 20, 2023 3:45 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68237 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Fast X weekend
Yeah The Next Chapter isn't having any of the first film's legs. zwack was right.
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Sat May 20, 2023 3:49 pm |
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