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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Mothers Day Weekend numbers Book Club 500k preview
Seems like maybe high single digits.
Crazy the original made almost 70m. This will be lucky to make 25m
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| Fri May 12, 2023 11:17 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68237
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first.
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| Fri May 12, 2023 12:58 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Algren wrote: The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first. I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day.
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| Fri May 12, 2023 1:04 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68237
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers zwackerm wrote: Algren wrote: The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first. I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day. Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres. The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Fri May 12, 2023 1:17 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Algren wrote: zwackerm wrote: Algren wrote: The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first. I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day. Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres. The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man. It’s a wide release in 3000+ theaters. It’s not just arthouses playing it. By June it’s PTA will be pitiful.
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| Fri May 12, 2023 1:42 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25204
Location: Classified
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Am I the only one who doesn't remember the first Book Club at all? I'm convinced it doesn't exist. This is an accounting conspiracy. And it goes all the way to the top!
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| Fri May 12, 2023 3:10 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32582
Location: the last free city
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers The first Book Club opened to 13.5m and finished with 68.5m domestic. A 5.0 multiplier  https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6 ... =bo_se_r_1it opened on 5/17/2018 competing against summer movies Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo, Incredibles 2, JW:Fallen Kingdom...
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| Fri May 12, 2023 3:13 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68237
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers zwackerm wrote: Algren wrote: zwackerm wrote: Algren wrote: The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first. I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day. Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres. The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man. It’s a wide release in 3000+ theaters. It’s not just arthouses playing it. By June it’s PTA will be pitiful. You've given nothing yet to prove your theory. It opens in more-or-less the same as the first. Why is this going to deviate from the first's performance? _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Fri May 12, 2023 3:29 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Algren wrote: zwackerm wrote: Algren wrote: zwackerm wrote: Algren wrote: The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first. I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day. Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres. The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man. It’s a wide release in 3000+ theaters. It’s not just arthouses playing it. By June it’s PTA will be pitiful. You've given nothing yet to prove your theory. It opens in more-or-less the same as the first. Why is this going to deviate from the first's performance? Because it will open to barely half of the first film. So it will probably do like 4-5m next week and barely be doing anything by Memorial Day. It’s not gonna have a much bigger total than AYTG?IM,M Just because the first is leggy doesn’t mean this one will be. 80 For Brady barely got a 3x multiple
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| Fri May 12, 2023 3:44 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21857
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers You said hi single digits in the first post, that's 9 million. similar legs would put it at 45 million. It should play well for older audiences, the first isn't the only extremely old skewing movie to do well. 80 for Brady somehow managed a 3+ multiplier despite being a one weekend only type of movie. The first did 625k. Similar roll out would be around 10-11 million for the weekend.
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| Fri May 12, 2023 3:54 pm |
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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
Posts: 2077
Location: At the edge of reality
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Copied Algrens record list (sorry  ) - new entry incoming...CONSECUTIVE DAYS OVER $1 MILLION:
101 Titanic
80 Avatar
80 E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial
75 Top Gun: Maverick
61 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace
59 Finding Nemo
54 Back to the Future
54 Ghostbusters
54 Jurassic Park
54 Shrek 2
52 Aladdin (2019)
52 Avatar: The Way of Water
52 The Avengers
52 Black Panther
52 The Hangover
52 Incredibles 2
52 Shrek
52 Toy Story 4
48 The Passion of the Christ
47 Coco
47 Frozen
47 Moana
47 Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
46 Batman
45 Avengers: Infinity War
45 The Blind Side
45 Bridesmaids
45 Cars
45 Frozen II
45 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
45 Inside Out
45 Jurassic World
45 The Sixth Sense
45 Spider-Man
45 Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
45 Toy Story 3
45 Up
45 Wonder Woman
43 Independence Day
41 Despicable Me
41 Finding Dory
41 The Secret Life of Pets
41 Spider-Man: Far from Home
41 Terminator 2: Judgment Day
40 The Dark Knight
40 Despicable Me 2
40 Despicable Me 3
40 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
40 The Jungle Book (2016)
40 Minions: The Rise of Gru
40 Spider-Man 2
39 A Star Is Born (2018)
39 Iron Man
39 Joker
38 American Sniper
38 Apollo 13
38 Avengers: Endgame
38 Beauty and the Beast (2017)
38 Bruce Almighty
38 The Dark Knight Rises
38 Deadpool
38 Elvis
38 Inception
38 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
38 Knocked Up
38 Kung Fu Panda
38 The Lion King (2019)
38 Maleficent
38 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
38 The Proposal
38 Ratatouille
38 Saving Private Ryan
38 Shrek the Third
38 Spider-Man: Homecoming
38 Spider-Man: No Way Home
38 Wedding Crashers
38 Zootopia
37 The Super Mario Bros. Movie (heading for 40 days)
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| Fri May 12, 2023 4:34 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68237
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Haha. I'm on it, Samweis. Was waiting for it to hit 38
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| Fri May 12, 2023 4:47 pm |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am
Posts: 879
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Sequels to movies for older audiences are probably a tougher sell because they're more skeptical about franchises and they died in the meantime. I also think 80 For Brady scratched that itch.
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| Fri May 12, 2023 6:43 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Early
GoTG 3 15/55
Mario 2.9/13.3
Book Club 2.1/7
Evil Dead 1/3.6
Margaret 515k/2.3
Hypnotic 800k/2.3
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| Fri May 12, 2023 8:44 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21479
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers If it can hold onto theaters, GOTG has a chance to match the original unadjusted
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| Fri May 12, 2023 11:12 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6717
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers zwackerm wrote: If it can hold onto theaters, GOTG has a chance to match the original unadjusted Theaters is not the issue. next week its losing Imax/PLF and so will take a big hit and following that every week there is a wide big opener. So screens/showtimes will be challenging. Especially into June. Even Mario took a big hit last week bcos Guardians took all Imax/PLF screens.
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| Fri May 12, 2023 11:57 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Who’s going to the movies this weekend??? most people will be playing ZELDA TEARS OF THE KINGDOM 
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| Sat May 13, 2023 12:44 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35206
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers The sequel to Book Club is not going to have the same kind of legs as the first. It's been so long since the first and I don't think many felt a sequel was necessary. It's easier for an original movie to leg out. That doesn't happen as often with sequels.
That being said I'm hoping to catch it while it's playing. I saw the first in theaters with my mom and a few other family members. We all enjoyed it.
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| Sat May 13, 2023 2:28 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40274
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Streaming era hits this hard since the first one. Old people are just gonna watch this at home.
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| Sat May 13, 2023 3:07 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68237
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Skyblade wrote: Sequels to movies for older audiences are probably a tougher sell because they're more skeptical about franchises and they died in the meantime. I also think 80 For Brady scratched that itch. Magic Mike wrote: The sequel to Book Club is not going to have the same kind of legs as the first. It's been so long since the first and I don't think many felt a sequel was necessary. It's easier for an original movie to leg out. That doesn't happen as often with sequels. These arguments make sense. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Sat May 13, 2023 4:19 am |
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zwackerm
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Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
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Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Guardians official estimate 15.7m
Looks like 57-58m and a 51-52% drop. Which will be the 6th or 7th best hold on the MCU for a second weekend, over or under Far From Home and beating Thor Ragnarok
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| Sat May 13, 2023 10:23 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32582
Location: the last free city
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers zwackerm wrote: Guardians official estimate 15.7m
Looks like 57-58m and a 51-52% drop. Which will be the 6th or 7th best hold on the MCU for a second weekend, over or under Far From Home and beating Thor Ragnarok THANK DA MCU GODS!  I was worried it'd be another 60% + drop
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| Sat May 13, 2023 11:29 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19374
Location: San Diego
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Excellent drop for Guardians.
Evil Dead Rise is gonna pass Shazam tomorrow... yeesh
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| Sat May 13, 2023 12:36 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32582
Location: the last free city
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers publicenemy#1 wrote: Evil Dead Rise is gonna pass Shazam tomorrow... yeesh EMBARRASING 
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| Sat May 13, 2023 12:46 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
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Location: San Diego
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Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers Yeah Shazam was waaaay better off against Avatar. Even with a low opening the holidays could've had it hit like 80m+... still bad but lol
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| Sat May 13, 2023 12:52 pm |
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