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 Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions 
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Extraordinary

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Post Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Let's just pretend this weekend didn't happen and jump to next one!

I'm expecting huge jumps. Avatar has a chance to make a run for top 3rd weekend of all time but could definitely eek out its predecessor for #2 ($68,490,688).


Sat Dec 24, 2022 2:21 pm
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Avatar hopefully can crack 70m.

It would be cool if Puss in Boots could have a huge increase to like 20m, but 15m would be more reasonable.

Everything else that did low single digits this weekend should do high single digits


Tue Dec 27, 2022 4:03 pm
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
AVATAR 2 $87m (falls 3m short of the record)

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Tue Dec 27, 2022 4:36 pm
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Actuals for Avatar 2 came in much higher than estimates. The nationwide winter storm probably negated what....... $10-$20M from what it would have gotten? And it still held up well.

$600M here we come....
It could match Titanic's original unadjusted. And that's just domestic. WW is what will ultimately decide if we get an Avatar 4 and Avatar 5. I'm sure Cameron is immensely grateful for the China release. That will boost its WW totals even more.

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Wed Dec 28, 2022 12:25 am
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
LOG YOUR PREDICTIONS IN THIS WEEKEND'S DERBY! ;)

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Wed Dec 28, 2022 12:25 am
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
I want to see:

Avatar - $75M+
Puss - $20M+
Dance - $10M+
Black Panther - $7M+
Whale - $2M+

We deserve it after last weekend.


Wed Dec 28, 2022 1:09 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Rough estimates on where these films will end up for the fun of it.

Avatar $588M
WF $447M
PIB $121M
Violent Night $48M
Dance $41M
Whale $30M
Babylon $20M


Thu Dec 29, 2022 3:26 am
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
I hope there is another $20 million in Wakanda Forever's tank, but I don't hold out much hope. I have it and Violent Night in my draft, and I was estimating that I'd get about another $20 million from them combined. I feel after New Year's Day it will plummet.

But I share your hope re: The Whale. I have a feeling it will slow-burn its way to a $25 million or more gross.

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Thu Dec 29, 2022 4:31 am
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
O wrote:
Violent Night $48M


You think it's only going to make another $4 million? It just did $870k on Tuesday. I get that it's a Christmas movie and it's bound to nosedive after Christmas, but it still has, what, five days left of the holidays? I definitely see it finishing over $50 million.

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Thu Dec 29, 2022 5:24 am
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Avatar Wednesday- 20.4
Puss in Boots- 5.8


Thu Dec 29, 2022 1:50 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Algren wrote:
O wrote:
Violent Night $48M


You think it's only going to make another $4 million? It just did $870k on Tuesday. I get that it's a Christmas movie and it's bound to nosedive after Christmas, but it still has, what, five days left of the holidays? I definitely see it finishing over $50 million.


Yeah it will probably hold better. Let's see how quickly it holds on to it's audience but the lack of big competition helps.


Thu Dec 29, 2022 2:31 pm
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
COMPARISON:

NO WAY HOME
1st week - 600M
2nd week - 1.05B
3rd week - 1.37B
4th week - 1.53B

AVENGERS INFINITY WAR
1st week - 640M
2nd week - 1.16B
3rd week - 1.60B
4th week - 1.81B

AVATAR THE WAY OF WATER
1st week - 441M
2nd week - 863M
3rd week - 1.3B+
4th week - 1.5B-1.65B

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Thu Dec 29, 2022 9:48 pm
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Puss has been holding well over the week and could be at $70M by the end of the 4day weekend. It would be at a 5.63 multiplier from its $12.4M 3day opening already. If it holds well and gets another strong bump MLK weekend it could have a shot at passing its predecessor but is definitely recovering quickly.

I definitely see $120M right now since it would just edge out Lightyear. Feel DW wouldn't be able to resist getting Puss there if it were that close!


Fri Dec 30, 2022 5:09 pm
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
Cool, so WOW is going to have seven consecutive days above $20 million, and it's not its first seven days.

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Sat Dec 31, 2022 8:09 am
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Post Re: Dec. 30 - Jan. 1 Predictions
O wrote:
Algren wrote:
O wrote:
Violent Night $48M


You think it's only going to make another $4 million? It just did $870k on Tuesday. I get that it's a Christmas movie and it's bound to nosedive after Christmas, but it still has, what, five days left of the holidays? I definitely see it finishing over $50 million.


Yeah it will probably hold better. Let's see how quickly it holds on to it's audience but the lack of big competition helps.


Well, it didn't hold all that much better. I expected (when I wrote that) that it would finish a couple of million above $50 million, not a few thousand, lol. But at least it reached the milestone. Good for it. Universal forced it over, lol.

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