Starting now woot woot

Lol @ My Year of Dicks

Surprising Best Supporting Actor. Critics Choice should be taken seriously as a predictor as they had Brian Tyree Henry and Judd Hirsch.

I heard about the Andrea Riseborough thing the last few weeks but I didn't believe it. I am glad she didn't knock out Michelle Williams.

I knew they were going to pick a random foreign director, may as well have thrown a dart between RRR, Triangle of Sadness, Decision To Leave, etc.

Triangle of Sadness got big support but no Dolly De Leon. Weird. Stephanie Hsu getting in though, so happy!

No huge snubs. No Davis or Deadwyler in actress, and no Dano in supporting actor, but they were never front runners anyway

Ana De Armas getting in after Blonde got Razzie noms lol

Winner predicts

Picture - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Director - The Daniels
Actor - Butler
Actress - Blanchett
Supporting Actor - Quan
Supporting Actress - Hsu

As much as I want Yeoh to win, Cate is so good in Tar that I'm leaning in that direction as well.

Butler for actor. His buzz keeps going up and feel Fraser's has been peaking a bit.

For supporting actress, I think Jamie might surprise here. People in the industry love her and even if Hsu should win, voters might treat this like a lifetime achievement award.

3/4 of your acting wins are wrong. Especially Blanchett. They're not giving her a third oscar for Tar lol

I hope Yeoh wins. If she wins SAG I think that would seal it.

Angela Bassett seems like a lock to win.

The Triangle of Sadness love seems so random. The Menu did the same thing alot better. Yet I guess Triangle is a good film for rich people to judge other rich people, the same reason The White Lotus won so many emmys.

Top Gun missing Director, Actor and Cinematography probably ends its hope of a big win.

No black led movies in best picture. will this lead to controversy?

I do worry that Everything Everywhere will start to face frontrunner backlash, the likes of which made the academy do very silly things like pick King's Speech over Social Network.

So thrilled with Triangle getting Picture, Director and Screenplay. One of the year's best.

And Paul Mescal making it was fantastic. I screamed.

But Danielle Deadwyler not being nominated was a gut punch and taints all of the things the Academy did right.

Given that got the loudest reception during the Oscar nominations presentation, that category will definitely get lots of television attention.

I've never even heard of To Leslie. Such a random nomination.

But I'm pleased Top Gun: Maverick got recognition, even if it's unlikely it wins anything.

All-in-all it feels like the Oscars are back to awarding the best. Hopefully it is over its virtue signalling/pandering to pressure stage, highlighted by She Said, Till, The Woman King, and I Wanna Dance with Somebody getting nothing.

I still feel like they could snub giving Marvel an acting Oscar after not nominating BP2 in Picture. I don't think they will pick a random white girl like Condon over Bassett though after the Davis/Deadwyler snubs. It'd have to be minority for minority lateral move in Hsu. Maybe I could consider JLC.

Best Picture

“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Malte Grunert, Producer

“Avatar: The Way of Water,” James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers

“The Banshees of Inisherin,” Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin and Martin McDonagh, Producers

“Elvis,” Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Gail Berman, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss, Producers

“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers

“The Fabelmans,” Kristie Macosko Krieger, Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner, Producers

“Tár,” Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan and Scott Lambert, Producers

“Top Gun: Maverick,” Tom Cruise, Christopher McQuarrie, David Ellison and Jerry Bruckheimer, Producers

“Triangle of Sadness,” Erik Hemmendorff and Philippe Bober, Producers

“Women Talking,” Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Frances McDormand, Producers

Best Director

Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”)

Todd Field (“Tár”)

Ruben Östlund (“Triangle of Sadness”)

Best Lead Actor

Austin Butler (“Elvis”)

Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”)

Paul Mescal (“Aftersun”)

Bill Nighy (“Living”)

Best Lead Actress

Cate Blanchett (“Tár”)

Ana de Armas (“Blonde”)

Andrea Riseborough (“To Leslie”)

Michelle Williams (“The Fabelmans”)

Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actor

Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”)

Judd Hirsch (“The Fabelmans”)

Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”)

Hong Chau (“The Whale”)

Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Adapted Screenplay

“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery,” Written by Rian Johnson

“Living,” Written by Kazuo Ishiguro

“Top Gun: Maverick,” Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks

“Women Talking,” Screenplay by Sarah Polley

Best Original Screenplay

“The Banshees of Inisherin,” Written by Martin McDonagh

“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert

“The Fabelmans,” Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner

“Tár,” Written by Todd Field

“Triangle of Sadness,” Written by Ruben Östlund

Best Cinematography

“All Quiet on the Western Front”, James Friend

“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths,” Darius Khondji

“Elvis,” Mandy Walker

“Empire of Light,” Roger Deakins

“Tár,” Florian Hoffmeister

Best Documentary Feature Film

“All That Breathes,” Shaunak Sen, Aman Mann and Teddy Leifer

“All the Beauty and the Bloodshed,” Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov

“Fire of Love,” Sara Dosa, Shane Boris and Ina Fichman

“A House Made of Splinters,” Simon Lereng Wilmont and Monica Hellström

“Navalny,” Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris

Best Documentary Short Film

“The Elephant Whisperers,” Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga

“Haulout,” Evgenia Arbugaeva and Maxim Arbugaev

“How Do You Measure a Year?” Jay Rosenblatt

“The Martha Mitchell Effect,” Anne Alvergue and Beth Levison

“Stranger at the Gate,” Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

Best Film Editing

“The Banshees of Inisherin,” Mikkel E.G. Nielsen

“Elvis,” Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond

“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Paul Rogers

“Tár,” Monika Willi

“Top Gun: Maverick,” Eddie Hamilton

Best International Feature Film

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany)

“Argentina, 1985” (Argentina)

“Close” (Belgium)

“EO” (Poland)

“The Quiet Girl” (Ireland)

Best Original Song

“Applause” from “Tell It Like a Woman,” Music and Lyric by Diane Warren

“Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick,” Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga and BloodPop

“Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson; Lyric by Tems and Ryan Coogler

“Naatu Naatu” from “RRR,” Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose

“This Is a Life” from “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Music by Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski; Lyric by Ryan Lott and David Byrne

Best Production Design

“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper

“Avatar: The Way of Water,” Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole

“Babylon,” Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino

“Elvis,” Production Design: Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy; Set Decoration: Bev Dunn

“The Fabelmans,” Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara

Best Visual Effects

“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar

“Avatar: The Way of Water,” Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

“The Batman,” Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick

“Top Gun: Maverick,” Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher

Best Animated Feature Film

“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio,” Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley

“Marcel the Shell With Shoes On,” Dean Fleischer Camp, Elisabeth Holm, Andrew Goldman, Caroline Kaplan and Paul Mezey

“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish,” Joel Crawford and Mark Swift

“The Sea Beast,” Chris Williams and Jed Schlanger

“Turning Red,” Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins

Best Animated Short Film

“The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse,” Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud

“The Flying Sailor,” Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby

“Ice Merchants,” João Gonzalez and Bruno Caetano

“My Year of Dicks,” Sara Gunnarsdóttir and Pamela Ribon

“An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It,” Lachlan Pendragon

Best Costume Design

“Babylon,” Mary Zophres

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Ruth Carter

“Elvis,” Catherine Martin

“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Shirley Kurata

“Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris,” Jenny Beavan

Best Live Action Short

“An Irish Goodbye,” Tom Berkeley and Ross White

“Ivalu,” Anders Walter and Rebecca Pruzan

“Le Pupille,” Alice Rohrwacher and Alfonso Cuarón

“Night Ride,” Eirik Tveiten and Gaute Lid Larssen

“The Red Suitcase,” Cyrus Neshvad

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová

“The Batman,” Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Camille Friend and Joel Harlow

“Elvis,” Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti

“The Whale,” Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley

Best Original Score

“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Volker Bertelmann

“Babylon,” Justin Hurwitz

“The Banshees of Inisherin,” Carter Burwell

“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Son Lux

“The Fabelmans,” John Williams

Best Sound

“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Viktor Prášil, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler, Lars Ginzel and Stefan Korte

“Avatar: The Way of Water,” Julian Howarth, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers and Michael Hedges

“The Batman,” Stuart Wilson, William Files, Douglas Murray and Andy Nelson

“Elvis,” David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson and Michael Keller

“Top Gun: Maverick,” Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor

And your winners

Best Picture
“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers

Best Director
Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”)

Best Lead Actor
Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”)

Best Lead Actress
Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actor
Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actress
Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Adapted Screenplay
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery,” Written by Rian Johnson

Best Original Screenplay
“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert

Best Cinematography
“All Quiet on the Western Front”, James Friend

Best Documentary Feature Film
“All That Breathes,” Shaunak Sen, Aman Mann and Teddy Leifer

Best Documentary Short Film
“The Elephant Whisperers,” Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga

Best Film Editing
“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Paul Rogers

Best International Feature Film
“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany)

Best Original Song
“Naatu Naatu” from “RRR,” Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose

Best Production Design
“Avatar: The Way of Water,” Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole

Best Visual Effects
“Avatar: The Way of Water,” Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

Best Animated Feature Film
“Turning Red,” Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins

Best Animated Short Film
“The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse,” Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud

Best Costume Design
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Ruth Carter

Best Live Action Short
“An Irish Goodbye,” Tom Berkeley and Ross White

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“The Batman,” Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine

Best Original Score
“The Banshees of Inisherin,” Carter Burwell

Best Sound
“Top Gun: Maverick,” Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor

Andrea Riseborough has been generating lots of A-listers pushing for her and hosting screenings to show the film. She could pull a surprise if her dark horse role generates more attention.

https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/20 ... -to-leslie

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movie ... 235308245/

It's kinda crazy Michelle Williams got in for lead. I feel like she would fit as supporting and could've had a chance to win.

Thank you Rev for posting the nominations. Here are my predicted winners:

Best Picture
“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Malte Grunert, Producer

Best Director
Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Lead Actor
Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”)

Best Lead Actress
Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actor
Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Best Supporting Actress
Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Adapted Screenplay
“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell

Best Original Screenplay
“The Banshees of Inisherin,” Written by Martin McDonagh

Best Cinematography
“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths,” Darius Khondji

Best Film Editing
“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Paul Rogers

Best International Feature Film
“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany)

Best Original Song
“Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson; Lyric by Tems and Ryan Coogler

Best Production Design
“All Quiet on the Western Front,” Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper

Best Visual Effects
“Avatar: The Way of Water,” Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

Best Animated Feature Film
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio,” Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley

Best Costume Design
“Babylon,” Mary Zophres

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“Elvis,” Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti

Best Original Score
“Babylon,” Justin Hurwitz

Best Sound
“Top Gun: Maverick,” Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor

SOOOOOO HAPPPY for Turning Red, Puss in Boots 2 and The Sea Beast getting noms
I expected Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio to get a nom but TOTALLY SURPRISED BY Marcel the Shell With Shoes On
only cause it's hybrid live action & animation movie like Who Frame Rodger Rabbit

Field of 5 nominees most likely Everything Everywhere, Fabelmans, Banshees, Tar and Top Gun, with Ostlund the lone Director.

For the big awards I think EEAAO will sweep Picture, Director, Actress and Supporting Actor. I think the lack of Whale in Picture could hint Fraser won't win Actor, it's between him and Butler. And Bassett is winning Supporting Actress.

why are people saying that Farrell is not in contention for Actor when he has won more precursor awards than Butler or Fraser? Obviously they could win, but Farrell is at least ahead of Fraser, IMO, if not Butler.