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Cynosure
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sun Apr 12, 2015 7:30 am Posts: 760
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
They've called Wisconsin for the GOP. That's 49 seats for the republicans and 48 for the democrats with Arizona, Nevada and Georgia remaining.
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 1:59 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
It will be interesting to see if Tshibaka unseats Murkowski in Alaska
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 2:09 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
God I hate donald Trump and all his cultists they ruin everything for the Republican party. He needs to go away and never come back. He's delusional if he thinks he'll win in 2024
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 2:17 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23868 Location: Classified
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Better than expected for dems but still results in a gridlocked congress that will do absolutely nothing until Trump comes back.
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 2:25 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21901 Location: Places
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Ron is going to be heavily protected from DT by the establishment. It is undeniable now. The donors and moneymen live in reality and know he is beyond toxic in the swing areas of swing states. DeSantis guarantees Florida. Whether he likes it or not, Ron DeSantis is about to be "drafted" to take down Trump just as Biden was drafted to take down Bernie.
Trump should officially be persona non grata in GOP circles, even though it is years too late.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 3:43 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
All elections need to be run like floridas where we have results and 99% of ballots counted in an hour after polls close.
This bs in Arizona and Nevada is unacceptable
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 3:45 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21901 Location: Places
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
zwackerm wrote: All elections need to be run like floridas where we have results and 99% of ballots counted in an hour after polls close.
This bs in Arizona and Nevada is unacceptable AZ and NV are deserts full of people who talk to other humans twice a decade. They need mail in ballots.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 3:59 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Florida has mail in ballots.
Arizona already counted most of their mail in ballots anyway.
If Pennsylvania had been closer it would be the same way right now
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 4:19 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Arizona still has over 400,000 ballots that need their 3 step verification before they can begin being counted. (Some, 25,000(?) I think I saw, have been verified today, but not tabulated for reporting yet.) Many mail-in ballots are dropped off ON election day, too, and that creates a huge backlog due to their ultra-manual counting procedures.
Election workers can't even pick up ballots until 7pm, much less begin the counting process, verifying every signature, and THEN only after bipartisan teams separate the ballot from the envelops (and count those too to ensure they match the ballot count) can they tabulated the results... A lot of manpower is involved.
Not being able to do ANY of this until after 7pm is the big problem. If they could pick up the ballots beforehand and just sort them to begin the signature verification and envelope/ballot separation process, it'd go a long way.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 4:46 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Democrats are prematurely celebrating the ousting of "NRA Barbie" from CO 3. The remaining precincts are heavily Republican areas of the district though so Boebert will likely pull through
IT's bizarre that such a moderate district backs a big Trumper like her. Most other freedom caucus members are in deep red districts
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 4:54 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
It looks pretty bad for her
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:12 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21901 Location: Places
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Comical to see people on social media complaining about both the Arizona elections being "rigged" and also complaining that their vote counting process is to thorough!
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:01 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Anywhere from 49 to 52 seats for Republicans still looks legitimately possible.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:09 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
So they barely counted at all today. Great.
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 10:48 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Boebert race has been a rollercoaster, I thought she was dead multiple times, but now leads by like 40 votes
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 10:54 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Literally no reason they can't count the votes in 2 days. please explain this to me
The Colorado 3 republicans need to primary Boebert in 2024 if she wins but they probably won't
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Wed Nov 09, 2022 11:09 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
So, have these mid-terms effectively killed the Donald Trump 2024 resurgence?
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 3:54 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11025 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Algren wrote: So, have these mid-terms effectively killed the Donald Trump 2024 resurgence? No because nothing can cure Trump’s ego
_________________
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:44 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
I see on the BBC website the Senate count is now 49-48 for the Republicans
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:50 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11025 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Yeah but Democrats are leading in one on the remaining races and won but with a minority of the overall vote in another (meaning a runoff vote) so more likely than not, the Senate will remain at 50-50 with the Democrats getting the tie breaking vote due to having the White House. I’d say there is a 60% chance the Dems keep the Senate
_________________
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:03 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48626 Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
My best guess is that Kelly will fairly easily take Arizona, Cortez Masto ekes out a win in Nevada, and Warnock wins the runoff next month, making the Senate 51-49.
But I won't be shocked if Nevada goes the other way and control is up in the air based on the Georgia runoff just like last time. But I'm not expecting Walker to perform as well in the runoff.
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:31 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Kelly should be safe for AZ, Warnock should win the runoff fairly easily, who knows with Nevada. At worst it will be 50/50 again (actual 50/50 because Sinema/Manchin would vote on party lines because the House is R now so they won't get blowback)
(but Sinema is fucked in 2024, Ruben Gallego is going to stomp her)
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:47 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
For once Republicans did more impressive in popular vote than electoral
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 1:04 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
Republicans could easily win the Georgia runoff if they decided it was important to them that Republicans controlled the senate, as a Republican just easily won there by 7%. But Republicans in Georgia seem less partisan and more likely to not vote/flip for the Dems.
Kelly will probably win the Senate race but at least Lake will probably win Governor. Nevada is harder to tell. I’d say if possible that they could also split Governor/senate as Lombardo is out performing Laxalt
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:10 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: The Biden era: The Establishment Strikes Back
The Michigan Governor race is as pathetic as the PA one. The DNC knew what they were doing donating to Tudors campaign.
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Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:13 pm |
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