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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21528
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Thursday Previews Ticket to Paradise- 1.1m
Seems solid. High teens possible. Can't imagine its multiplier is worse than Downton Abbey 2
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 10:39 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Thursday Previews
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 11:16 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21528
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Thursday Previews 25m OD and 60m OW look good! 65m OW possible, though 70m seems out of reach
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 11:19 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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Re: Thursday Previews Think its decent enough. This feels much more like a Rock vehicle than a superhero charged movie.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 11:49 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Thursday Previews Will be Rock's 15th $100M+ film in 11 years since he joined the Fast franchise. This OW is probably 90% him and 9.9% lack of competition and 0.1% DC. 
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 12:30 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32603
Location: the last free city
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Re: Thursday Previews zwackerm wrote: 25m OD and 60m OW look good! 65m OW possible, though 70m seems out of reach It’s going to end up below $60m opening. Thinking high fifties
_________________
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 12:48 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22194
Location: Places
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Re: Thursday Previews walk ups were quite good and WOM seems strong, thinking 65-70m.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 1:01 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21528
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Thursday Previews WOM is ok at best.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 1:48 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Thursday Previews I'd imagine $60 mil is safe with that number. Was hoping for $70+ mil, but alas. Has a pretty good 88% audience score on RT. Don't really track those, so I'm not sure how that compares to other films (and I imagine the Snyder cult positively review bombed this due to reasons)
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 2:43 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Thursday Previews This weekend overall will be a lot of fun between BP, Ticket and the horror trifecta: Thursday #'s
Smile $1,062,103 -1% -30% Halloween Ends $1,015,105 -20% Terrifier 2 $202,000 -13% +531% Terrifier's Thurs numbers are not that far off from last Friday. Seems like its set for a very nice weekend ahead. Halloween is almost under $1M already.  Smile only dipped 1% on Thur despite two openers that will do $75M+. Looks like its set for another great weekend.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 2:51 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: Thursday Previews Halloween's drop is alarming, but what about Smile! Stayed above $1 million. Quite astonishing.
Anyway, this looks to be an interesting weekend. My eyes are only on Smile, though. Its hold is surely going to be impressive.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 7:50 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: Thursday Previews I cannot make sense of Terrifier 2's numbers. It is one crazy run.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 7:58 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: Thursday Previews Basically Halloween Ends will struggle to out-gross Morbius at this rate. That feels like its level, not Smile.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 8:20 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6756
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Re: Thursday Previews Rev wrote: zwackerm wrote: 25m OD and 60m OW look good! 65m OW possible, though 70m seems out of reach It’s going to end up below $60m opening. Thinking high fifties Charlie is saying 26m ish including previews. 60m+ should happen. Walkups have been good.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 9:42 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22194
Location: Places
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Re: Thursday Previews This probably opens to $75m if it stays in July as it was, and no doubt has better legs there. The release date change looks extremely foolish.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 10:11 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6756
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Re: Thursday Previews RTH @BOT
BA est in right ball park ,I'd been going with 26-27, TTP 7
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri Oct 21, 2022 10:50 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25322
Location: Classified
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Re: Thursday Previews Excel wrote: This probably opens to $75m if it stays in July as it was, and no doubt has better legs there. The release date change looks extremely foolish. In this alternate universe, Flashpoint would be opening in two weeks!
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 12:10 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: Thursday Previews Rise of Gru is going to out-gross The Batman, lol
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 12:15 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Thursday Previews TTP isn't bad. If it follows Lost City's multiple would be about $18.5M but can see it do low 20's since the audience may skew older if Tatum drove people to see TLC. BA is solid all things considered. A teaser for BP in 3 weeks!  Halloween's Friday drop is 87% . Should stabilize to 78% according to Deadline. Smile down 29% in the mean time and should get past Halloween. Bring on Wakanda!!!
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 12:28 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
Posts: 1874
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Re: Thursday Previews Keyser Söze wrote: RTH @BOT
BA est in right ball park ,I'd been going with 26-27, TTP 7
very impressive Friday
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 6:50 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: Thursday Previews Black Adam is now at 42% on Rotten Tomatoes. It's only three percent above last week's big flop. I wonder how much the critical slaying will affect its second weekend drop.
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 6:51 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Thursday Previews 1 Black Adam $26.8
2 Ticket to Paradise $6.4M
3 Smile $2.57M -32% $78.53M
4 Halloween Ends $2.47 -88% $48.65
5 Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile $1.185M -41% $25.70M
6 Terrifier 2 $0.546M +118% $3.91M
7 The Woman King $0.520M -49% $61.5M
8 Amsterdam $0.257M -71% $13.36M
9 Barbarian $0.176M -56% $39.73M
10 TÁR $0.150M +34% $0.855M
11 Top Gun: Maverick $0.08M -60% $716.11M
12 The Banshees of Inisherin $0.067 M $16.75K PTA
13 Bros $0.064M -78% $11.325M
14 Minions: The Rise of Gru $0.06M -39% $368.62M
Well TGM finally left the top 10 and had it's worst weekly drop of its run. Lost theaters and BA had a big impact.
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 11:12 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21528
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Thursday Previews good for both openers, though TTP wont crack 20m with that. it could do high teens though. it should stay flat or increase on Saturday
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 11:22 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Thursday Previews Terrifier has to be the biggest winner of the weekend. Almost a top 5 showing. Could make $2.24M this weekend if it follows last week's dailies. It's 16th day is it's biggest day of its run so far by 28%! It's PTA on Friday was the strongest of its run yet. With Halloween could go further up next weekend. It will be at a 7.0 multiplier by the end of the weekend and costing only $250K could very well do $10M or more for 40X it's budget. This is a fascinating run to watch that seemingly has come out of nowhere.
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 11:27 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: Thursday Previews Yeah, it's a strange one. When the first one came out I didn't understand why it wasn't more popular. It seemed, to me, ripe for a new horror cult following. Maybe it would have if released theatrically.
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| Sat Oct 22, 2022 12:41 pm |
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